The Transfer Flow Podcast (Theodore Knutson)

In this conversation, Ted Knutson interviews Ravi Ramineni, a former VP of analytics and research at the Seattle Sounders. Ravi shares his journey from being a fan of Spanish football to working in the futbol/soccer and analytics space. He discusses his transition from a software engineer to a football analytics professional and his experience working with the Sounders. Ravi also talks about the challenges of working in a multiclub group and his decision to start a football consulting company. He emphasizes the importance of personal fit and finding a role that aligns with one's goals and values. The conversation covers various topics, including having access to coaching staff, and the weird things that happen at clubs, including Ravi's experience translating for a player during a visa issue

The back half of the episode switches into current football topics,like the challenges faced by Manchester United, the impact of financial regulations like the Premier League's PSR and UEFA's FFP, and the decision-making process for young players like Benjamin Sesko on whether to make a pressure-filled leap to the Premier League. We also discuss the changing role of the football front office and the need for sophisticated financial modeling and risk management in the era of salary caps..

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Ted Knutson and Nikos Overheul discuss their experiences in the football industry, including their time at Brentford and Vancouver Whitecaps. They highlight the challenges of building and running a club, the importance of clear objectives and strategies, and the common pitfalls in the industry. They emphasize the need for effective communication, realistic expectations, and a well-thought-out hiring process.

The conversation covers various topics related to working in football, including the emotional connection to the game, the challenges of hiring coaches, evaluating players, and the current state of the Dutch national team. The hosts discuss the importance of having a clear style of play and aligning recruitment with the team's goals. They also highlight the flaws in the hiring process and the difficulty of projecting player performance. The conversation ends with a story about a team requesting increasingly positive reports on players they were planning to sign.

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

In this episode, Ted Knutson and Ravi Ramineni discuss the importance of left-footed center backs in football/soccer. They explore the reasons why teams prioritize left-footed center backs, such as the ability to play across the body and open up the field. They also discuss the trade-offs teams have to make when choosing between an aerially dominant center back or one who is good on the ball. The conversation touches on specific left-footed center backs in the transfer market, including Ricardo Calafiori, Jarrad Branthwaite, and Max Kilman.

The conversation also covers the struggles of CONCACAF teams in the Copa America. They also touch on the performance of the United States national team and the talent level of American players. The conversation concludes with a discussion about Chelsea's signing of young player Aaron Anselmino and the difficulties of evaluating young talents.

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this Episode, Ravi and Patrick discuss Leny Yoro's move to Manchester United, Real Madrid possibly tempting Trent Alexander-Arnold away from Liverpool, and landing sports for Xavi Simons. They also touch on Adrien Rabiot, Martin Terrier and the ripple effects in the transfer window.

Ravi has worked in sports data analytics and player development for over a decade, helping build the Seattle Sounders analytics team. Patrick is a Therapist by day, but has written and produced content about football for nearly a decade, primarily with Sky Sports Media.

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Follow us on our Socials:

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Ted and Patrick discuss Liverpool's efforts to replace the aging Mo Salah, Kevin De Bruyne agreeing to terms with Al-Ittihad, and the search for the next USMNT manager. They also get into PSG and Bayern Munich's interest in Desire Doue, their Arsenal fandom, Cody Gakpo and future plans for gambling content.

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Follow us on our Socials:

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q/

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Patrick and Ravi discuss Ederson potentially leaving Man City and possible replacements, Liverpool's drop in midfield quality and their search for a defensive midfielder, and Aston Villa's ambitious transfer window and possible Joao Felix addition.

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Follow us on our Socials:

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

#ederson #manchestercity #mancity #mosalah #liverpool #liverpoolfc #joaofelix #epl #premierleague #soccer #football

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Ravi and Patrick discuss Victor Osimhen's strengths and his fit at different clubs, Viktor Gyokeres potential move to the Premier League and how much he should cost, and Chelsea signing their EIGHTH goalkeeper. They also dive into Celtic's Matt O'Riley play in the preseason, Federico Chiesa open to leaving Juventus, and more.

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Follow us on our Socials:

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Ted and Patrick discuss Kylian Mbappe purchasing a stake in Caen, Jadon Sancho's uncertain future, and Conor Gallagher's fit with Atletico Madrid. They also get into the importance of sell-on clauses and how teams utilize them, Teun Koopmeiners' next move, and Jake O'Briens move to Everton.

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Follow us on our Socials:

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

In this episode, Patrick and Ravi discuss the Striker market. They go into Julian Alvarez' transfer to Atletico Madrid and his fit in Diego Simeone's system, Dominic Solanke signing with Tottenham, Samu Omorodion joining a packed Chelsea squad, and West Ham completing a move for 31-year-old Niclas Fullkrug.

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Follow us on our Socials:

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Patrick and Ravi discuss Martin Zubimendi being linking with Liverpool and his similarities to Xabi Alonso, Dani Olmo's strange move to Barcelona, and Newcastle being linked with Marc Guehi. They also get into Maximilian Beier's potential move to Dortmund and Mikel Arteta hiring pickpockets to steal from his players to "keep them on their toes"

Link to the Sid Lowe article on Zubimendi that Ravi mentioned: https://www.theguardian.com/football/2022/sep/08/real-sociedad-martin-zubimendi-xabi-alonso-manchester-united?CMP=share_btn_tw

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Follow us on our Socials:

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Introduction/Leagues Cup discussion

03:45 - Martin Zubimendi linked with Liverpool

07:55 - Zubimendi's versatility and potential impact

09:23 - Comparison to Xabi Alonso

15:27 - Dani Olmo's curious move to Barcelona

16:12 - Olmo's long injury history

17:38 - Barcelona's problem finding youth minutes

19:52 - Olmo ISN'T a winger

23:14 - Barcelona refuse to learn

25:01 - Max Beier moving to Dortmund

29:01 - What position is best for Beier

29:36 - Marc Guehi to Newcastle

32:10 - Concern with 1v1 defending

36:04 - Mikel Arteta's pickpocket saga

38:22 - The wrong time for a lesson

46:35 - Outro

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Ted Knutson, former professional gambler, discusses his history with gambling, his plans for his new venture Variance Betting, and shares picks for the upcoming championship season. Subscribe for more!

Sites mentioned:

Bet105 - https://bet105.eu/en?clickid=QiMBLJfA-Vpn7ty2Gsq9MGNd7ZgqdRLk&sportId=220

Prime Sports: https://www.primesports.com/

Pinnacle: https://www.pinnacle.com/en/

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Follow us on our Socials:

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Ted Knutson, former professional gambler, breaks down market implied models, the different odds styles in various countries, and shares picks for the Premier League title, top four, and relegation battles. He also dives into what's next for Variance Betting and shares stories from his time at Pinnacle and as a professional gambler.

Link to Odds Checker: https://www.oddschecker.com/

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Follow us on our Socials:

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

TIMESTAMPS:

00:00 - Introduction

1:32 - Ted's time at Pinnacle

4:04 - the goal of Variance betting

5:45 - models + humans

8:00 - Behind the scenes at Pinnacle

13:26 - Learning from your mistakes

14:04 - The market implied model

16:09 - Value in the winners market

17:10 - Different odds styles

18:41 - Back to the winners market

19:56 - The Arsenal wager

21:43 - Liverpool's value

22:28 - The top four

23:56 - Bankroll management

25:00 - Manchester United's value

25:55 - Newcastle and Chelsea's value

27:33 - The relegation market

28:30 - Southampton's relegation chances

28:50 - Ipswich's Odds

29:12 - Leicester losing their coach

29:33 - Crystal Palace

30:41 - Wolves chances

30:58 - Everton to stay up?

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Ali Maxwell, co-host of the Not The Top 20 Podcast, joins Patrick and Ravi to discuss the promotion and relegation battles in the championship, managerial changes and their impacts, and players to watch in this Championship season. They also get into Wayne Rooney at Plymouth, manager performance vs. perception, and surprises after the first week of games.

Not The Top 20's EFL Preview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jy8OiJPgh5E

Follow Ali and NTT20:

NTT20: http://www.youtube.com/ @NotTheTop20 

Ali: https://x.com/AliMaxwell_

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Follow us on our Socials:

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

TIMESTAMPS:

00:00 - Intro

1:37 - Managerial changes in the championship

6:10 - Plymouth sign Wayne Rooney

12:00 - Manager performance vs. perception

15:45 - Style vs. Results

18:27 - Promotion and relegation battles

21:12 - Newly relegated teams and how championship teams stack up

23:00 - Promoted/relegated teams adapting to a new style of play

25:30 - How will teams from League 1 cope?

29:37 - Players to keep an eye on

34:33 - Which new transfer/young player will break through?

36:10 - Any Surprises after week 1?

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Patrick and Ravi discuss Matthijs de Ligt and Noussair Mazraoui joining from Bayern Munich, Kinglsey Coman's possible loan to Arsenal or Barcelona, and Liverpool Stars entering the final year of their contracts. Plus Arsenal's attempt to sign Mikel Moreno, why South American players may be more likely to join a Saudi side than Europeans, and more!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Follow us on our Socials: Follow us on our Socials:

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

TIMESTAMPS:

00:00 - Intro

2:05 - De Ligt and Mazraoui join United

15:28 - Kinglsey Coman's loan move

24:35 - Arsenal's attempt to sign Mikel Merino

31:25 - Liverpool Stars entering the final year of their contracts

39:42 - The impact of Saudi on decision making

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Patrick and Ravi discuss Manchester City vs. Chelsea, Raheem Sterling's comments on his omission from the squad and Joao Felix's transfer. They then touch on Real Madrid struggling in Kylian Mbappe's first La Liga game and their tendency to play through the left side, as well as Manchester United's narrow victory over Fulham.

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Follow us on our Socials: Follow us on our Socials:

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Ravi and Patrick start off with Ilkay Gundogan leaving Barcelona to return to Manchester city in what could be Pep Guardiola's last season. Then, they discuss Georginio Rutter moving to Brighton, Brighton's Transfer strategy, and Sander Berge moving to Fulham. They finish with Oliver Skipp's move to Leicester and Enzo Maresca speaking out on Chelsea's training sessions despite their huge squad.

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Follow us on our Socials: Follow us on our Socials:

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

TIMESTAMPS:

00:00 - Intro

01:15 - Gundogan returns to City and Pep's Last Season?

09:44 - Georginio Rutter to Brighton/ Brighton's transfer Strategy

20:44 - Sander Berge to Fulham/ Fulham's squad

33:04 - Oliver Skipp and why did Leicester City spend 25m on him?

38:25 - Enzo Maresca speaks on how Chelsea manages their training

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Patrick and Ravi discuss Napoli's move this off-season, including new manager Antonio Conte, and how what Victor Osimhen's price is now. Next, they move to Juventus and their acquisition of Francisco Conceicao and Nico Gonzalez. They also touch on Dominic Calvert-Lewin being linked with Chelsea, Barcelona FINALLY registering Dani Olmo, and what the future may look like for Endrick at Real Madrid.

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Follow us on our Socials: Follow us on our Socials:

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

TIMESTAMPS:

00:00 - Intro

03:00 - Napoli's moves this Summer

04:40 - Conte as Napoli's Manager

05:56 - The addition of Lukaku

08:03 - Scott McTominay

09:50 - Coaching Blindspots

13:12 - Billy Gilmour

13:45 - David Neres

17:41 - New Centerbacks

20:01 - Osimhen's Price

22:49 - The issues PSG are facing

23:56 - Juventus targeting wingers

24:30 - Francisco Conceicao

28:23 - Nico Gonzalez

30:43 - The financial risk of amortization

31:02 - Liverpool's approach vs Juve and Napoli

37:09 - Chelsea and Dominic Calvert-Lewin

46:34 - Could Arsenal be in for DCL?

51:24 - Dani Olmo Registered by Barcelona

54:49 - Endrick's Future

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Ravi and Patrick discuss Federico Chiesa signing with Liverpool, his role, and the potential to move out wide. Next, they move to Darwin Nunez potentially leaving Liverpool, Arsenal being a possible landing spot, and Arsenal lacking attacking depth. They then touch on Newcastle's interest in RB Leipzig defender Mohamed Simakan after being unable to finish their Marc Guehi transfer, comparisons of the two players, and Newcastle's hopes for the season. Lastly, they finish with Dani Olmo's fantastic Barcelona debut, and the injury to 17-year-old midfielder Marc Bernal.

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Follow us on our Socials: Follow us on our Socials:

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Ted and Ravi discuss their transfer grades for Arsenal, Aston Villa, Bournemouth, Brighton and Brentford. We start with Arsenal, who made some solid signings this window, but failed to improve their attacking depth and we disagree a bit on the quality of the incoming transfers. We also grades for the next 4 Premier League teams in alphabetical order. Namely, Villa's PSR driven offseason and some good business by them in the offloading of Douglas Luiz and Moussa Diaby, but did the incomings substantially improve the Champions league team? Next, Bournemouth's big sale of Dominic Solanke and where they might replace his production. Finally, we finish with why we rated Brentford's window a mild success, and discuss how Brighton's aggressive approach might pay off for them. Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Follow us on our Socials:

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

TIMESTAMPS:

00:00 - Intro

03:00 - Arsenal Discussion

04:3 - Arsenal's Grades

05:58 - Riccardo Calafiori and Ben White

06:28 - Mikel Merino

07:36 - Adding Sterling

08:24 - The need to improve the #9 position

09:00 - Osimhen allegedly offered to Arsenal

09:41 - Aston Villa Weirdness 

11:34 - Ian Maatson

12:48 - The Jaden Philogene Saga

13:20 - Douglas Luiz and Moussa Diaby

15:10 - Villa Grade

15:18 - Bournemouth and their Stadium

16:10 - Offseason additions (players & staff)

19:10 - Replacing Dominic Solanke's Production

21:31 - Grades & Above average talent for Bournemouth is a win

22:33 - Brentford

22:42 - Selling Ivan Toney to Saudi and Fabio Carvalho

23:47 - Igor Thiago

27:56 - Jayden Meghoma

28:48 - Brentford Grades

29:13 - Brighton

30:11 - Brighton's Net Spend this window

31:48 - Not investing in their Academy

32:06 - Yankuba Minteh

32:44 - Mats Wieffer

34:48 - Fabian Hürzeler and the risk of a 31-year-old manager

37:46 - Challenging for CL spots?

38:49 - Brighton Grade

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Chelsea's transfer window was a disaster, so make sure to listen until the end to hear our thoughts on what is probably the worst window for ANY club in many years. We're grading 5 teams in alphabetical order on the second episode of our offseason transfer grades, starting with Crystal Palace and their head-scratching decision to not sell Marc Guehi to Newcastle. Then, Everton's Poor window to go along with their lackluster start of the season. Next comes Fulham, who sold João Palhinha for 50m, but chose to reinvest some of that money into older players. And finally, before we go in on Chelsea, we touch on Ipswich's risky transfer strategy and how it sets them up for the future, even in they get relegated.

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Follow us on our Socials:

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps - 

00:00 - Intro

02:06 - Crystal Palace's Window

02:42 - Failing to sell Marc Guehi

03:36 - 2 new centerbacks

04:04 - Oliver Glasner as manager

04:18 - Will Hughes

04:53 - Teams Scrambling to find a backup goalkeeper

05:18 - Joachim Andersen

05:53 - What will they get out of Eddie Nketiah?

07:38 - The Grade for Crystal Palace

08:09 - 5M for Jordan Ayew??

08:21 - Moving on to Everton

09:02 - Blowing a 2-0 lead in the 87'

09:40 - Jarrad Branthwaite and Jacob O'Brien

10:45 - Everton's struggles this window

12:27 - Their squad mismanagement

13:58 - Everton get their Grade

14:26 - Fulham's window

15:37 - 50M+ for João Palhinha and where they spent the money

16:39 - Spending money on older players

18:03 - Elite players can age gracefully

20:05 - Emile Smith-Rowe and Joachim Anderson

20:48 - Grades for Fulham

21:05 - Ipswich's window

22:12 - the need to change their playstyle

23:48 - Ed Sheeran and Taylor Swift

24:13 - The 3 options Ipswich had entering the Premier League

25:44 - Risky transfers that set them up for success

27:14 - Ipswich's lack of outgoings

27:51 - Chelsea's crazy window

28:41 - Ravi's biggest issue with Chelsea's window

30:11 - A fix for load management?

30:44 - Chelsea operating like an investment fund

33:33 - A huge risk on Pedro Neto

35:16 - Similarities to Barcelona

36:13 - Where Chelsea deserve credit

37:07 - Chelsea's assumptions make backfire

39:44 - How did Chelsea grade?

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Ted and Ravi discuss the transfer windows for Leicester City, Liverpool, Manchester City, Newcastle, and Nottingham Forrest. They start with a confusing window for Leicester and move to Liverpool in their first window under Arne Slot. Next up is Manchester City, who made some good moves and got good value for Julian Alvarez. Then comes Newcastle, who had possibly the worst window of any team not named Chelsea. Finally, they discuss Nottingham Forest's VERY busy window.

Link to the newsletter for part 3:https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/liverpool-gearing-massive-changes

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Follow us on our Socials:

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

TIMESTAMPS:

00:00 - Intro

00:48 - Leicester City Inbounds

01:41 - Bilal El Khannouss

02:55 - Caleb Okoli and Odsonne Édouard

03:42 - Oliver Skipp and Harry Winks

05:06 - Facundo Buonanotte's loan

06:45 - Leicester's Overall Grade

07:02 - Using early games to predict relegation

09:13 - Liverpool's transition window

11:09 - Lack of new contracts for their 3 stars

15:00 - Long-term view vs. short/medium term

16:00 - When to move on from stars

17:45 - Salah changing his game as he ages

20:28 - The decision for TAA/ Real Madrid leveraging stars

22:15 - Zubimendi in January?

22:56 - Manchester City's Window and Sávio

23:30 - Gundogan joining from Barcelona

24:45 - Selling Julian Alvarez

26:47 - Madrid coming for Rodri?

27:58 - Newcastle's Window

28:13 - Their lone savior?

29:26 - Not overpaying for Marc Guehi

31:49 - Clubs that are good at extracting value for players

34:20 - Nottingham Forrest's busy window

35:43 - Evaluating their window on face value

36:33 - Inbound grade for Forest

37:32 - Did they solve their issues from last year?

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Ted and Ravi discuss the summer windows for Manchester United, Southampton, Tottenham, West Ham and Wolves. They start with United's expensive, but sensible, window and how their new signings may fit in the squad. Then comes newly promoted Southampton, who made additions at goalkeeper and to their defense in the hopes of staying up. Tottenham paid up for Dominic Solanke and Archie Gray, while West Ham spent too much on a number of different moves. Finally, we discuss Wolves window and what essentially feels like them playing the lottery.

Ugarte Newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/manuel-ugarte-manchester-united-transfer-rumours-analysis

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Follow us on our Socials:

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

TIMESTAMPS:

00:00 Intro

0:36 Man United Overview

1:50 Man United Finishing Top 4

2:14 Squad Needing Change

2:59 Resisting Overpaying

3:58 Joshua Zirkzee

4:11 De Ligt

4:50 Too Many Ajax Players?

5:16 Overpaying For Leny Yoro

5:30 Window Review

6:37 Manuel Ugarte

8:00 United Outgoings

11:10 Southampton Overview

11:59 Aaron Ramsdale

12:31 Making Loans Permanent

13:02 Mateus Fernandes

13:40 Yukinari Sugawara

14:00 Brereton Diaz

15:02 Some Confusing Signings

15:40 Southampton Outgoings

15:51 Southampton Overall Grade

16:22 Spurs Overview

16:56 Dominic Solanke

18:30 Overpaying for youngsters?

19:46 Incomings Grade

19:52 Spurs Outgoings

21:38 West Ham Overview

22:30 Risky Transfer Strategy?

23:42 Niclas Fullkrug

26:19 Max Kilman

26:45: Jean-Claire Todibo

27:41 Wan-Bissaka &

28:09: West Ham Outgoings

28:42 Outgoing Grades

28:57 Wolves Overview

29:24 Wolves Outgoings

29:39 Andre

30:00 Sam Johnstone

30:23 Strand Larsen

31:36 Wolves Overall Grade

32:21 Outro

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Ted and Ravi start by discussing a controversial analytics take from someone that's a part of the community. Next, they talk about Chelsea's owner rift and the leaks that suggest a potential buyout may happen. They then get into discussion about Arsenal's injury situation with Martin Odegaard and Mikel Merino set to miss time. And finally, they wrap up with the MLS transfer window and all of the things that you need to know about that, including biggest additions and misses of the window.

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Follow us on our Socials:

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

TIMESTAMPS:

00:00 - Intro

01:48 - Is analytics for player recruitment solved?

03:18 - every action in football has 3 parts

04:40 - You don't have data for everything

06:15 - Difficulty at scale

07:30 - Different level of information impacting decision makers

09:48 - Evaluating players from lower leagues

11:53 - Player factors impact on transfer success

13:55 - Chelsea's ownership rift

16:13 - Boehly joined and isntantly became Interim Sporting Director

16:58 - Where this confidence comes from

17:43 - 2 captains driving the boat

19:52 - Football clubs run like investment funds

21:46 - Blitzer and Harris make co-ownership work

22:31 - Arsenal's injury situation

23:59 - Small point loses feel insurmountable

25:04 - What would a long-term Odegaard injury mean?

26:06 - Champions League format changes help

26:29 - September International break

29:18 - MLS window rules and time period

30:21 - MLS is paying real money

32:22 - Their offset window creates mismatches

33:45 - Josh Sargent example

35:17 - How MLS can fix this issue

35:58 - Extra problems that come with overseas transfers

37:48 - The profile of MLS Winter signings

38:28 - NWSL eliminating the draft

39:45 - MLS academies draining talent out of the draft

41:12 - Balancing International roster spots

42:13 - Big free agent signings - Giroud and Reus

42:50 - Discovery Lists

44:16 - Griezmann rumours

47:15 - MLS connection with South/Latin America

48:15 - Spurs weird deal for Johnny Cardoso

49:20 - More additions to the MLS this year

51:10 - Players the U.S. and Canada excel at creating

52:26 - Deals that fell through because of the deadline mismatches

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Ted Knutson, former professional gambler, explains his best betting practices and discusses his Premier League Matchday 4 picks. Subscribe for more!

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Follow us on our Socials:

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

TIMESTAMPS:

00:00 Introduction

1:44 Who is Ted Knutson?

2:20 Working With Pinnacle.com Products

3:26 Working at Brentford/Midtjylland & SmartOdds

4:05 Founding StatsBomb

4:25 Present Day — TheTransferFlow.com

4:58 Variance Betting Principles

5:21 Discount Bookies > Bonuses

8:20 Price Shop

10:37 Working with Models & Knowledge

12:35 Why Early Season is Tricky

13:54 Your Bets are your own

14:47 Market Implied (MI) Model

16:18 Be careful about Promoted Teams

17:18 Expected Goals (xG) Model

18:07 Caveats

21:06 Plugs

20:23 Recreational Sports Betting

22:32 Brighton v Ipswich Bet

23:52 Southampton v Man United Bet

25:11 Crystal Palace v Leicester Bet

26:02 Fulham v West Ham No Bet

26:25 Liverpool v Nottingham Forest Bet

27:25 Man City v Brentford No Bet

28:35 Aston Villa v Everton No Bet

29:46 Bournemouth v Chelsea Bet

31:20 Spurs v Arsenal Bet

32:39 Wolves v Newcastle No Bet

33:31 Recap 

33:54 Outro

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Patrick and Ted start the episode by discussing the North London Derby and the weakness that Spurs continue to show in their midfield. Next, they move to Liverpool, who seemed to have fixed there defense, but were unable to get anything going offensively. After touching on City vs Brighton and United vs Southampton, they move to Newcastle's Internal power struggle, as Eddie Howe and Paul Mitchell compete for power. Finally, they end the episode with their thoughts on Chelsea vs Bournemouth (hint: not good) and West Ham vs Fulham. Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Follow us on our Socials:

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

TIMESTAMPS:

00:00 - Intro

03:28 - Arsenal vs. Spurs

04:47 - The midfield battle

06:30 - Spurs crosses were not effective

07:38 - How teams can get value from crosses

09:23 - Watching the ball vs. the man

10:11 - Spurs' biggest weakness

10:41 - The type of midfielder Spurs needed

11:52 - More opportunities for mistakes

13:40 - The evolution of pressing

14:33 - Alexis Sanchez' pressing ability

15:32 - Arsenal's plan this game

18:39 - The launch of Variance Betting

19:38 - Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest

19:53 - High handicaps coming off international break

20:43 - The signs of value of Nottingham Forest

22:22 - Liverpool's defense continues to shine

23:14 - Liverpool's offensive struggles

25:05 - Ryan Gravenberch in a deeper role

27:16 - Brentford vs. City

28:11 - Thomas Frank as Manager

31:12 - Brentford's possession #'s against City

31:28 - City's lack of pressing

32:05 - The problems Pep is facing

34:20 - Manchester United vs Southampton

35:37 - United's set piece goal

36:40 - Tyler Dibling

37:24 - Is Russell Martin's job safe?

40:13 - Newcastle's internal conflict

42:21 - Paul Mitchell vs Eddie Howe

44:24 - Newcastle are doing well in the table

44:46 - How do Newcastle mend things?

46:06 - Chelsea vs Bournemouth

47:17 - Subbing in Neto for Jadon Sancho

48:09 - Bad signs for long-term success

48:55 - Chelsea need a structured attack

50:53 - West Ham vs Fulham

51:37 - Danny Ings

53:21 - Brighton vs Ipswich

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Ted and Ravi discuss Manchester City and Inter Milan's chances of winning the Champions League, changes to Erling Haaland's role, Barcelona's strong start and their expectations for the season. They then answer some listener questions which include discussions on player stocks, what to do when teams begin to figure you out, and a deep dive into the use of data to overturn some traditional football opinions.

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Follow us on our Socials:

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

TIMESTAMPS:

00:00 Episode Overview

00:33 Introduction

2:38 Man City VS Inter Milan

3:20 Inter in the UCL

6:45 Man City’s UCL Squad

7:45 Man City’s New Style Of Play

12:50 New UCL Format

18:32 Player Fatigue

20:42 Barcelona As Contendors

22:10 Dani Olmo & Barca Injuries

23:35 Hansi Flick’s Bareclona

25:35 Emergence of Youngsters

27:17 Barcelona Expectations

29:05 Biggest Changes Under Flick

32:42 Barca’s UCL Schedule

33:08 Most Entertaining Team

33:42 Hansi Flick vs Xavi

36:25 Players Stocks

39:22 Stocks To Buy

40:14 Bournemouth Under Iraola

40:47 Teams Figuring You Out

43:36 Two Halves of a Season

46:30 Kieran McKenna

47:15 Using Data To Overturn Traditional Opinions

58:45 In Swinging Corners vs Out Swinging Corners

1:03:16 Outro

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Ted Knutson, former professional gambler, explains his Premier League Matchday 5 picks and why he is betting AGAINST Liverpool. Subscribe for more!

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Follow us on our Socials:

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

TIMESTAMPS:

00:00 Introduction

00:45 Last Week Recap

1:12 TheTransferFlow & VarianceBetting

2:13 Closing Line Value

6:11 Why Does It Matter?

7:25 West Ham v Chelsea 

9:17 Aston Villa v Wolves

10:41 Fulham v Newcastle

11:54 Leicester v Everton

13:42 Southampton v Ipswich

15:31 Liverpool v Bournemouth

17:59 Spurs v Brentford

19:31 Crystal Palace v Manchester United

21:37 Brighton v Nottingham Forest

22:37 Manchester City v Arsenal

24:45 Championship Betting

25:15 Conclusion

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Patrick and Ted discuss how Pep Guardiola didn't take advantage of Arsenal going down to 10 men, Danny Welbeck's rejuvenation, and Luis Diaz's improvement. They also recap all the other action from this weekend's Premier League games, including West Ham's horrible defence, and a deep dive into Arsenal's set-pieces. Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Follow us on our Socials:

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

00:00 Episode Overview

00:30 Intro

1:47 Crystal Palace v Manchester United Review

4:24 Thoughts on Zirkzee

6:33 United’s Improved Defence

7:37 Man City vs Arsenal Review

9:17 Calafiori Golazo

10:51 Gabriel Goal & Arsenal Set Pieces

15:40 Second Half Analysis

18:03 Arsenal Defence

21:38 West Ham v Chelsea Review

22:32 Thoughts on Lopetegui

24:38 West Ham Defensive Issues

27:44 Fulham v Newcastle Review

32:45 Liverpool v Bournemouth

36:00 Luis Diaz Improvement

37:30 Brighton v Nottingham

38:25 Goals Analysis

40:28 Danny Welbeck Rejuvenation 

41:40 Refereeing In Premier League

43:28 Brighton Being A Young Arsenal

44:30 Weekend Recap

46:30 Outro

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Patrick and Ravi discuss how Man City can cope without Rodri, potential replacements, and a La Liga Roundup. They analyse Barcelona's strong start to the season, Real Madrid's start studded squad, Atletico Madrid's solid defence, and ownership issues in the league. Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Follow us on our Socials:

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 Episode overview

00:37 Intro

1:53 Barcelona’s surprising form

2:30 Ter Stegan’s injury & replacements

9:09 Can Barcelona hold off Real Madrid?

13:16 Real Madrid’s recent form

15:44 Lacking balance in midfield

17:42 Madrid’s stacked attack

20:50 Concerns about defence

22:40 Atletico Madrid’s Strengths & Weaknesses

26:25 Analysing Atleti’s solid defence

29:13 Valencia’s struggles

31:40 Sevilla’s ownership issues

32:56 Valencia under Peter Lim

37:22 Rodri ACL injury

41:40 Impact on Man City

43:15 How can City cope?

47:10 What solution will Pep come up wIth?

50:18 Potential Rodri replacements

1:00:45 Outro

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Patrick and Ted discuss the best way for Manchester United to move on from Erik Ten Hag and debate whether Cole Palmer is currently the best player in the Premier League. They also analyse the Madrid Derby and do a deep dive on Bayern Munich under new manager Vincent Kompany. Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Follow us on our Socials:

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 Episode Overview

00:36 Intro

1:46 Bayern vs Leverkusen review

4:30 Bayern going under the radar

6:55 Match breakdown

9:47 Kompany’s impact

11:30 The Pep Guardiola Effect

13:52 Man United vs Spurs Review

18:58 United’s terrible midfield

19:32 Spurs looking dangerous

19:54 Ten Hag and Man United’s summer recruitment

23:56 Man United’s new manager hunt

40:59 Chelsea’s start to the season

43:34 How not to play out from the back

44:43 Nicolas Jackson’s hot start

45:00 Is Cole Palmer the best player in the League?

51:00 James Justin golazo

51:30 Madrid Derby Review

56:17 Outro

57:42 Variance Betting Subscription update

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Patrick and Ravi discuss Arsenal's win over PSG, Dortmund's demolition of Celtic, and Barcelona's loss to Osasuna. They further analyse Dortmund's managerial situation, Barca's incredible youth integration, and Arsenal's defensive tendencies. Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Follow us on our Socials:

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps

00:00 Episode Overview

00:23 Intro

2:35 Arsenal v PSG Review

3:08 Lineup Reaction

6:07 Tactical Breakdown

8:35 Absence of Dembele

9:14 PSG creating identity

10:27 Arsenal’s dominant defence

13:15 Are Arsenal too defensive?

17:10 Dortmund v Celtic Review

22:51 Dortmund under Sahin

26:31 Will Dortmund sack Sahin?

28:30 Barcelona’s loss to Osasuna

30:08 How to properly rotate your squad

38:56 Champions League format thoughts

40:00 La Masia player integration

46:58 Are some positions easier to break into?

54:25 Outro

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Ted Knutson, former professional gambler, explains his Premier League Matchday 7 picks. Subscribe for more!

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter:

https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

More on Asian Handicap betting: https://www.betshoot.com/betting-guides/asian-handicap-betting/

Follow us on our Socials:

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 Intro

00:54 Asian Handicap betting explained

4:23 Newsletter

5:39 Crystal Palace v Liverpool

6:42 Leicester City v Bournemouth

7:57 Arsenal v Southampton

9:11 Brentford v Wolves

10:07 West Ham v Ipswich

12:24 Man City v Fulham

14:15 Everton v Newcastle

15:48 Chelsea v Nottingham Forest

17:22 Aston Villa v Man United

19:30 Brighton v Spurs

21:25 Outro

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this Episode, Ted and Patrick do a deep dive on Brentford's fast starts to game and how teams are undervaluing set pieces. They then move to discussion on playing out of the back, which has caused issues for many teams to start the season. Next, they move to Bayern Munich's recent games and their high defensive line looking fragile. To end, the move to quick hits on Real Madrid's injury situation and their need to spend big in the winter window, Micky van de Ven struggle in Spurs' loss to to Brighton, and Cole Palmer during Chelsea's 1-1 draw with Forest. Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Follow us on our Socials:

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:18 - Brentford have solved Football

01:54 - Set Pieces and Ted's history with them and Brentford

06:33 - Brentford has applied this to kickoffs

08:28 - Is it sustainable?

09:22 - Zdeněk Zeman

10:22 - Team's undervaluing set pieces

13:21 - The biggest differences between a corner and a long-throw in

16:17 - How the fast starts have helped Brentford

19:54 - Principles to watch on set pieces

22:49 - Football being influenced by other sports

25:33 - Short goal kick equilibrium

26:16 - Daryl Morey's thoughts on short Goal kicks

28:27 - Forcing other teams to adapt to your style

28:51 - The end of short goal kicks?

33:09 - Teams that adapt faster will benefit

33:17 - Bayern's recent struggles

35:13 - Omar Marmoush's good form

36:24 - Bayern's high line is vulnerable

39:03 - Pep's ability to kill off games

40:39 - Will Kompany be able to learn?

43:04 - Real Madrid's injuries and the Winter window

43:49 - Madrid are missing Kroos

44:15 - Petar Sucic as a Kimmich-like

45:35 - van de Ven and Spurs vs Brighton

47:07 - Mitoma's = Bukayo Saka?

48:45 - The Welbeck winner and 2 amazing assists from the weekend

49:15 - Chelsea vs Forest and Cole Palmer

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Patrick and Ravi discuss Dani Carvajal's injury and potential replacements that Real Madrid should consider. Can they get Trent Alexander-Arnold to come over, or should they look elsewhere? They then get into Chelsea's front line and which combinations of players is best for their team. Next, Manchester City's Director of Football Txiki Begiristain is set to leave, who are the likely hires with Pep's departure looming. Finally, Paul Pogba suspension was reduced, where are the likely landing spots for the 31-year-old Italian midfielder? Enjoy!

Ted's article on potential Toni Kroos replacements: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/kroos-ify-me

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Follow us on our Socials:

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

00:46 - Dani Carvajal's injury

01:34 - Specifics of the injury

04:50 - Carvajal's 1 year extension

05:23 - Solutions for Real Madrid

05:57 - A leadership gap

07:33 - Can Madrid lure Trent Alexander-Arnold?

10:03 - Hakimi as an option at RB

12:50 - Sliding Militao over from CB?

15:16 - Other candidates at RB

17:55 - Will Kroos unretire?

18:20 - Unresolved Vini Jr/Mbappe problems

19:55 - Who should play in Chelsea's front line?

24:29 - The disadvantage of signing the best players from smaller sides?

26:26 - Where does Nkunku fit in?

27:23 - Can players change their pressing style?

30:18 - Joao Felix's adaptability

31:02 - What happens against better sides?

32:33 - City lose their Director of Football, Txiki Begiristain

33:24 - How did Txiki perform?

36:17 - Potential replacements

39:09 - How does a DoF influence the rest of the back room?

42:47 - Will the next DoF be more powerful with Pep likely gone?

45:38 - Paul Pogba's suspension reduced

46:12 - Where might Pogba end up?

48:38 - Is MLS an option?

50:20 - Could he stay in Italy?

51:28 - Playing Pogba as a 10

53:16 - Taking a smaller contract to entice bigger teams

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Patrick and Ravi do a deep dive on the top teams in Serie A. They start with Napoli, who are top of the table despite what may have been the worst transfer window of any team. Next is Inter and their hopes back-to-back titles. Can they pull it off again despite an aging squad? Then comes Lazio, whose unconventional approach to players and manager hires sparks an interesting discussion on high variance teams. Last comes Milan, who almost sacked manager Paulo Fonseca early in the year, but have stabilized to be just 5 points out of first place. Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Follow us on our Socials:

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamp:

00:00 - Intro

01:07 - Napoli’s fantastic start

01:40 - Our rough grades for Napoli’s window

03:04 - Lack of minutes for new players

05:26 - A more Conservative defensive style

06:28 - Grades are not based on 7 games 

08:02  - Low shot quality in Serie A

10:53 - Lack of depth in attack for Napoli limits their title threat?

11:58 - Napoli’s advantage with no European Competition

14:50 - Where will they finish?

16:12 - Inter’s erratic start to the season

17:22 - The most balanced team in Serie A?

18:58 - Inter’s defensive shift

19:20 - Can the oldest team in Serie A keep this up?

21:31 - Marcus Thuram

22:39 - Do Inter need to share minutes more?

25:19 - Could they switch styles later in the year?

26:55 - Predictions for Inter’s season

27:17 - Lazio’s surprising start

28:41 - unexpected names contributing for Lazio

31:10 - Marco Baroni’s influence

35:43 - Are fringe European teams to conservative with their coaching hires?

39:12 - Thomas Tuchel’s training stories and how coaches influence their players

42:36 - Analytics only matter if you can translate them into simple messages

45:15 - Milan shake off a rough start

47:14 - Favorable matchups coming up

47:57 - Pulisic playing well and staying healthy

49:38 - Rafael Leao’s Attacking threat

51:47 - Using avoidance strategies to change player behaviors

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Ted and Patrick discuss all things Premier League related from the start of the season. They begin with teams that should be higher or lower than their current position in the table. Next, they decide which of the 4 relegation candidates will stay up. And finally, both Patrick and Ted give their predictions for the Top 6. Where do you think Arsenal, Liverpool, Manchester City, Chelsea, Manchester United, Tottenham, and the rest of the Premier League will finish?

Sebastian's guest newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/3-young-attacking-mids-on-the-rise

Ted's preseason gambling podcast: https://youtu.be/keg7HlCXPwE

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Follow us on our Socials:

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00:00 - Intro

00:02:34 - Who is the premier league table lying about right now?

00:02:41 - Newcastle United

00:05:37 - Giving honest takes vs driving engagement

00:06:31 - The table of justice

00:07:16 - Tottenham should be slightly better

00:08:03 - Spurs are playing like a Bundesliga team

00:09:12 - Exciting young pieces

00:11:03 - Where are they likely to finish?

00:12:44 - Bournemouth are better than the Table says

00:14:30 - Optimism for Everton

00:15:10 - Guest Newsletter authors

00:15:45 - Dwight McNeil’s blossoming role

00:18:11 - A Cash injection this January can fix their issues

00:19:02 - Everton fans should be happy with the takeover

00:21:35 - Manchester United’s rough start

00:22:36 - The Model’s take on United before the season

00:24:34 - United don’t tolerate long processes

00:26:20 - United fans who have never seen the good times

00:27:12 - Of the 4 candidates, who will get relegated?

00:27:27 - Ipswich

00:29:30 - Wolves

00:31:40 - Patrick’s prediction to stay up

00:32:43 - Leicester’s 5 point advantage

00:34:06 - the difficulty making a case for any of these teams

00:36:30 - What the gambling markets say

00:38:50 - Predicting the top 6

00:39:11 - factoring in a potential punishment for City

00:41:23 - Patrick’s top 4

00:42:40 - Talent goes a long way

00:44:56 - Patrick’s title winner

00:48:07 - Patrick’s 2nd place team

00:52:39 - 3rd place

00:56:48 - Debating the Last Champions League spot

00:59:57 - Patrick’s 5th and 6th place

01:00:24 - What the betting markets say

01:01:46 - Ted’s top 6

01:03:26 - When we’ll check back in on our predictions

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Ted and Patrick discuss the eventful Liverpool vs. Chelsea match and Liverpool's defense looking vulnerable. They also discuss the impact VAR had over the weekend, and get into Saliba's red card in Arsenal's 2-0 loss to Bournemouth. Next comes Southampton's loss to Leicester and Russell Martin's comments after the game. They finish with Fulham vs. Aston Villa, Brighton vs. Newcastle and the resurgence of Raul Jimenez, Manchester United looking competent, and the trend of teams playing safer.

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Follow us on our Socials:

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

00:00 - Intro

01:06 - Liverpool vs. Chelsea

03:23 - Trent Alexander-Arnold is a double-edged sword

04:22 - How cautious can you be in the modern Premier League?

05:07 - Concern for Andrew Robertson?

07:44 - Did Chelsea deserve an early penalty?

08:00 - VAR and red cards this weekend

08:44 - Caicedo as a playmaker

09:58 - This was Liverpool’s first real test

10:41 - Arsenal vs. Bournemouth

11:47 - Saliba’s red card

13:03 - Marginal calls in football

14:55 - How coaches game plan in the Premier League

16:24 - Manchester City look fragile

17:35 - Taking a red card vs. allowing a chance

19:16 - Southampton vs. Leicester City

20:36 - Russell Martin’s comments after the game

22:02 - How coaches start to talk when they want to be fired

25:29 - Mourinho’s ability to deflect from a bad performance

26:17 - Southampton’s poor performance under Martin

28:38 - 8 point gap to Leicester now

28:59 - Facundo Buonanotte and Brighton’s future

30:35 - Fulham vs. Aston Villa

33:03 - Neutral’s will love Fulham games

33:15 - Raul Jimenez is in insane form

35:10 - The resurgence of Old and Tall strikers

36:32 - Newcastle vs. Brighton

38:52 - Manchester looked competent

40:53 - Garnacho’s tendency to take wide-angle shots

42:45 - Is the trend of teams playing safer a problem?

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Patrick and Ravi discuss Real Madrid's 5-2 win over Dortmund and the injuries to Thibaut Courtois and Rodrygo. Next, they preview the Barcelona vs. Bayern Munich Champions League match today and how the game might be insightful for El Clasico on Saturday. They then dive into the best lineups for both Real Madrid and Barcelona, how much injured (Dani Olmo and Gavi) and older (Luka Modric) might play, and give their predictions for the final score. They end the conversation with Xabi Alonso's rumoured exit from Bayer Leverkusen at the end of the season, potential landing spots, and if he will actually leave. Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Follow us on our Socials:

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:02 - Real Madrid vs. Dortmund

04:32 - Real Madrid’s defense was shocking

05:32 - Different Midfield lineups Madrid has used

06:50 - Ravi’s pre-game prediction

07:48 - Bellingham last season vs. this season

09:43 - Modric, Valverde, and Madrid’s Galactico mindset

11:02 - How do they fix their midfield issues?

11:41 - How much will Modric play?

14:08 - Will Rodrygo be the odd man out?

15:12 - Barcelona vs. Bayern Munich Preview

16:20 - A good test for Bayern

17:39 - Barcelona players returning from injury

18:50 - How much can Gavi give them?

21:02 - What front 3 will Barcelona play?

22:35 - Giving minutes to returning players against Bayern

23:33 - What lineup will Madrid use against Barcelona?

24:10 - Courtois injury for Madrid

25:19 - An offensive vs. defensive lineup

26:37 - Stylistic matchups

28:21 - Should Barcelona play more conservatively?

30:11 - Both teams are weak at fullback

31:13 - Lewandowski should play as a pivot

31:57 - Ideal lineup for Barcelona

33:21 - Ravi’s predictions for El Clasico

35:38 - Patrick’s prediction for El Clasico

36:45 - Flick’s first Clasico

37:12 - A La Liga game vs. a Champions League game

39:19 - Leverkusen rumoured to be looking for a Xavi Alonso replacement

40:14 - The timing with Txiki’s departure and Pep’s contract expiring

40:52 - Real Madrid also make sense

41:34 - Hugo Viana and Ruben Amorim

42:21 - The obvious spot for Xabi Alonso

44:25 - What happens if Carlo Ancelotti doesn’t want to leave?

47:18 - Alonso’s contract ends in 2026

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Ted shares his picks for EPL matchday 9. He starts by explaining why he flat bets and when to use accumulators. He gives insights on the matches he's betting on, including Arsenal vs. Liverpool, and explains why he's staying away from certain matchups (both City and United). Enjoy!

More information on fractional Kelly betting: https://www.pinnacle.com/betting-resources/en/betting-strategy/revisiting-the-kelly-criterion-part-2-fractional-kelly/gbd27z9nljvgflgg

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter:

https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Follow us on our Socials:

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:18 - Why do you bet flat amounts?

03:44 - Why don't you bet accumulators?

06:23 - Leicester City vs. Forest

07:16 - Aston Villa vs. Bournemouth

08:03 - Brentford vs. Ipswich

09:02 - Manchester City vs. Southampton

09:51 - Brighton vs. Wolves

11:33 - Everton vs. Fulham

13:10 - Chelsea vs. Newcastle

14:15 - Crystal Palace vs. Tottenham

15:33 - West Ham vs. Manchester United

17:02 - Arsenal vs. Liverpool

#premierleague #epl #betting #liverpool #arsenal #chelsea #tottenham #soccer #football #manchesterunited

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Ted and Patrick discuss Manchester United firing manager Erik ten Hag. They run down why he had to be fired, Ruud van Nistelrooy as interim manager, and potential names for the job. Then, Ravi joins Patrick to discuss Barcelona's 4-0 victory over Real Madrid over the weekend. They talk about Barcelona's high line causing problems for Madrid, Madrid lacking a holding striker, and if Barcelona can maintain this form for the rest of the season. Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Follow us on our Socials:

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00:00 - Intro

00:00:47 - United sack Erik ten Hag

00:01:31 - Ruud van Nistelrooy interim manager

00:01:45 - Manchester United’s recent form

00:04:14 - Trends for United

00:04:39 - Could they be better with a better coach?

00:05:39 - What a good and bad manager change process looks like

00:07:24 - The U Curve of coaches

00:10:18 - Could ten Hag’s hurt United?

00:10:56 - Dan Ashworth’s limited early influence

00:11:53 - Who should United hire?

00:12:39 - Pochettino and Tuchel already have jobs

00:13:28 - Could van Nistelrooy stay on?

00:14:29 - Gareth Southgate

00:15:27 - Ruben Amorim

00:15:54 - How do budgets play into the new hire decision?

00:17:51 - Xavi as next United manager?

00:20:05 - Luis Enrique

00:21:12 - Graham Potter

00:23:09 - Eddie Howe

00:24:24 - Mourinho was the most pragmatic of recent United coaches

00:25:05 - Michael Carrick

00:28:44 - Adi Hutter

00:30:57 - Bournemouth manager Andoni Iraola?

00:31:47 - Thomas Frank

00:34:08 - The ability of a manager to get player buy-in

00:35:41 - Roger Schmidt and his pressing style

00:37:44 - Julian Nagelsmann

00:39:44 - Should United settle for the least costly option?

00:40:53 - The stress of managing/working for a team

00:41:38 - Ravi joins to talk El Clasico

00:42:46 - The game was closer than the score and Barca’s impressive workload

00:44:33 - Madrid’s gameplan was to be direct

00:45:19 - Was Fermin Lopez the correct choice?

00:46:06 - The technical ability on display

00:46:46 - Substitutions settled the game for Barca

00:47:55 - Casado’s line-breaking pass for Goal #1

00:48:52 - The high line was very impressive

00:50:11 - Lucas Vazquez struggled

00:53:14 - Who should be blamed for Madrid?

00:54:46 - Madrid struggle with a pivot and where was Endrick?

00:56:52 - Bellingham’s lack of forward threat

00:58:52 - Can Barcelona sustain this performance?

01:02:06 - Mbappe moving to the right side?

#manchesterunited #realmadrid #barcelona #manutd #eriktenhag #elclassico #football #soccer #podcast

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Ted and Ravi answer frequently asked questions about getting started in sports analytics using their extensive knowledge and experience in the industry. They get into how to look for a job, the skills you need, and what to expect once you land a job. If you have more questions you want answered, leave them in the comments down below!

Details for Ravi's conference in Houston:

https://americansoccerinsights.com/

Data Contest/Call for Proposals:

https://americansoccerinsights.com/call-for-proposals

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Follow us on our Socials:

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00:00 - Intro

00:01:01 - How do I get started?

00:04:46 - What skills do I need?

00:21:25 - Where to look for football jobs?

00:23:17 - Apart from football clubs, where are some other places I can find data jobs in football?

00:26:25 - I want to go into football, but I don't have the data skills - where can I learn them fast?

00:35:24 - How can I set myself apart from the crowd?

00:46:00 - The pay seems very low - what can I do about it?

00:51:10 - What's it look to work for these teams?

01:04:52 - What are your biggest takeaways from working in sports?

#dataanalytics #analytics #data #football #soccer #sports #sportsanalytics #premierleague #mls #stats

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Ted Knutson shares his insights for EVERY EPL Matchday 10 game and discusses why you MUST wait for the lineups before betting certain games.

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter:

https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Follow us on our Socials:

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:05 - Liverpool vs. Brighton

01:48 - Why you must check the lineup before betting this match

02:22 - Ipswich vs. Leicester City

02:41 - Forest vs. West Ham

03:48 - Bournemouth vs. Man City

04:44 - Newcastle vs. Arsenal

06:13 - Southampton vs. Everton

06:36 - Wolves vs. Crystal Palace

07:03 - Tottenham vs. Aston Villa

09:29 - Manchester United vs. Chelsea

11:31 - Fulham vs. Brentford

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

In this episode, Patrick and Ted break down the games from this past weekend. They start at the top of the table, with Arsenal and Manchester City faltering, leaving Liverpool 2 points in the lead. They discuss whether Liverpool can maintain their lead with a tough upcoming schedule, if City can rebound despite their injuries, and whether Arsenal are already out of the title race. Next, they talk about Manchester United's lucky 1-1 draw with Chelsea and how they managed to escape two possible red cards. Finally, they finish with Tottenham's 4-1 victory over Aston Villa and the difficulty of separating the top 13 teams in the Premier League. Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Follow us on our Socials:

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

00:55 - Arsenal,City, and Liverpool over the weekend

01:23 - How Brighton setup against Liverpool

02:34 - How stressful the Premier League is

03:15 - Liverpool weathered the storm then attacked

04:37 - How long Liverpool’s squad has been in rotation

05:43 - Tough schedule ahead for Liverpool

06:21 - Are liverpool favorites or should it still be city?

07:41 - City have a ton of injuries and an old squad

10:16 - Arsenal’ lack of attacking threat vs. Newcastle

11:47 - A bad game for Arsenal and Arteta

13:00 - Are managers too conservative with substitutions

14:07 - Edu Gaspar leaving Arsenal

16:39 - What is the best approach to substitutions?

20:25 - Is Arteta taking more power at Arsenal?

22:31 - Are Arsenal out of the title race?

24:26 - Phil Foden’s added threat for City

26:16 - Manchester United vs. Chelsea

26:40 - United were lucky to not get red cards (Ugarte/Martinez)

30:00 - Defensive breakdowns leading to chances + Why is Robert Sanchez in goal

31:24 - The game from a United Perspective

32:54 - The game from a Chelsea Perspective + Cole Palmer

34:05 - Concern for Chelsea’s defense?

36:10 - Tottenham vs. Aston Villa

37:21 - How managers give their players breaks during the season

38:30 - Villa were unable to contain the match

39:16 - Spurs are GOOD?

39:24 - Hard to separate teams the top 7 and top 13 teams in the table

42:26 - What makes every week exciting in the Premier League

44:00 - Serie A is also BANANAS

#premierleague #liverpool #manchesterunited #manchestercity #manutd #arsenal #tottenham #chelsea #astonvilla #arteta #colepalmer #philfoden

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Patrick and Ravi start by discussing Edu Gaspar leaving Arsenal. What should Arsenal look for in their next sporting director, what names are on the list, and how does Arteta factor into the equation? Next they move to Manchester City’s 4-1 loss to Ruben Amorim’s Sporting CP, Victor Gyokeres’ performance, and City’s dependence on Erling Haaland to score goals. Lastly, they cover Real Madrid losing another game at home, this time a 3-1 defeat to AC Milan. Do Madrid have a politics problem with their lineups, should Endrick and Arda Guler get more minutes, and will Carlo Ancelotti be the manager next season? Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Follow us on our Socials:

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:01:11 - Edu Gaspar Leaves Arsenal

00:01:47 - How big a change is a move like this behind the scenes?

00:04:37 - Jason Ayto to become Interim Sporting Director

00:06:28 - Difficulty finding a Sporting Director at a top team + Edu’s transfer record

00:10:46 - How do Arsenal go about finding a replacement?

00:12:57 - You need someone who is comfortable with disagreements

00:15:59 - Who are the candidates on the shortlist?

00:17:12 - Julian Ward + Txiki Begiristain

00:18:49 - Monchi

00:19:58 - Paul Mitchell

00:20:21 - Arsene Wenger??

00:21:29 - Roberto Olabe

00:24:03 - Personality might be the biggest part of this hire (to stand up to/mesh with Arteta)

00:25:31 - Phil Giles

00:26:14 - How long will Arteta stay at Arsenal?

00:29:11 - Ruben Amorim and Sporting defeat Man City

00:30:33 - Viktor Gyökeres performance + will he be in the Premier League soon?

00:32:22 - Sporting did not play their usual style

00:33:45 - City had problems trying to breakdown Sporting’s defense

00:35:24 - Injuries hurting City + KDB returning

00:38:19 - Overreliance on Haaland + lack of attacking creativity

00:42:37 - How can Brighton take advantage of City’s bad form?

00:45:59 - Weird Medical remedies over the years

00:47:49 - Real Madrid lose at home to Milan

00:48:56 - Did the Ballon d’or debacle hurt Madrid?

00:53:57 - Lucas Vasquez vs Rafael Leao + lack of balance in attack

00:54:44 - No Endrick or Guler used as subs

00:56:14 - Madrid have a problem with “sacred cows”

00:57:28 - Will Ancelotti be Madrid’s manager next season? + Camavinga must start

01:00:57 - Endrick and Guler lacking minutes

01:02:23 - Will Madrid look to buy Joshua Kimmich?

01:03:35 - Ravi = Neo?

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Ted and Patrick discuss Man City losing their fourth game in a row — is it all down to injuries, or do they have bigger issues in the squad? Next, they break down Arsenal vs. Chelsea, who played to a 1-1 draw over the weekend. They dive into Arsenal’s struggles in attack, Maresca’s impact at Chelsea, and Martin Ødegaard’s return from injury. Finally, they analyze the chaos of the Serie A title race, where just two points separate the top six teams. Who are the title favorites, and who should you be rooting for? Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Follow us on our Socials:

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:04 - Man City lose AGAIN

02:04 - A different Man City vs. years past

02:21 - Man City injuries + squad age

03:01 - Brighton’s adjustments won them the game

04:45 - City’s old midfield

05:56 - Brighton’s next 9-figure player?

07:19 - City have young players, but not centrally

07:46 - Can City fix this in January? Or will it cost them the title

09:22 - Liverpool’s youth players are playing well

10:28 - City can’t let their stars play the whole time

11:10 - Creating chances despite losing

11:38 - Nobody has full control this season + Villa vs. Liverpool

12:57 - Teams will drop lots of points this season

15:33 - Man City/Liverpool title odds

18:32 - English teams in the Champions League

19:24 - Arsenal vs. Chelsea

19:39 - Odegaard minutes + called up for Norway again

20:23 - Game breakdown

22:36 - How do Arsenal start attacking again

23:51 - Maresca’s influence + Chelsea in a tight table position

26:07 - Caicedo + a shaky defense

27:21 - Chelsea are bad at set piece execution

28:46 - The crazy Serie A title race

29:37 - The most entertaining league in the world (except for Juve)?

30:03 - Conte and Napoli + Other good coaches in Serie A

31:21 - 8 teams with a positive xG difference

32:03 - Fiorentina are coming from nowhere + Napoli/Juve bad attacking numbers

33:22- Atalanta are the best attacking team + Sarri/Lazio

34:56 - Napoli are not taking enough shots in big games

35:31 - We liked Juve’s transfer window

37:30 - Which teams should you root for? + Zlatan overseeing things at AC Milan

38:45 - Lampard or Mancini to manage Roma?

39:51 - Newcastle dominate Forest

#manchestercity #seriea #premierleague #arsenal #chelsea #liverpool #manchesterunited #newcastle #napoli #juventus #intermilan #acmilan #football #soccer

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Ted and Patrick dive into transfer rumours ahead of the January window. They start with Joshua Zirkzee, who may already be on the move from United. Then comes Victor Gyokeres, is his agent keeping is name in the news or will he finally make a move? Next up is Jeremie Frimpong, who has been linked to many huge clubs, including Real Madrid, Manchester City, and Liverpool. Discussion of how Manchester City replaces Rodri follows, with Enzo's name thrown out and a possible £100M fee for Baleba? They finish the episode rounding up the rumours with Nkunku linked with United, Murillo to Real Madrid, Kudus to Arsenal, and Samu Omorodion to Barcelona. Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Follow us on our Socials:

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:15 - Joshua Zirkzee to leave United?

01:37 - An addition to the podcasts

02:05 - Why is Zirkzee in the news again

03:37 - Will Amorim keep him?

05:21 - Ted’s opinion on what United should do

06:33 - Victor Gyokeres’ agent is keeping the coals hot

08:52 - Ted’s story about previous transfers he

11:41 - Jeremie Frimpong linked to Madrid,Liverpool, and City

12:29 - Everything depends on Trent Alexander-Arnold

13:33 - How Frimpong fits at City and Real Madrid

16:40 - Salah and Trent to Real Madrid?

17:53 - Xabi Alonso rumoured to Real Madrid next season?

19:10 - Will Zubimendi leave Real Sociedad?

21:41 - How much would City pay to get Baleba? + Enzo Fernandez?

22:41 - £100m to £150m for Baleba???

23:34 - Enzo is a good option, but is not fit enough

25:29 - Nkunku linked with United

26:57 - Chelsea would like to pay off their remaining transfer fee for Nkunku

28:32 - Would Chelsea sell him to United?

28:32 - Forest CB Murillo linked with Real Madrid?

29:54 - Mohammed Kudus linked to Arsenal

31:13 - Kudus is versatile, but what is he worth?

33:57 - Kudus would fit great at United

35:10 - Samu Omorodion linked with Barcelona

38:37 - How a data analyst handles incomplete information

39:34 - Ricardo Pepi looking to move from PSV?

41:11 - Pepi’s history of insanity

#manchesterunited #manchestercity #realmadrid #chelsea #arsenal #transfernews #premierleague #epl #rodri #gyokeres #salah #football #soccer

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Patrick and Ravi discuss the many transfer rumours surrounding Real Madrid. They start with Centre backs, and look at options for both established players and rising young stars. Next, they look at options for right back. Could they promote a youngster from their academy? The conversation moves to Florian Wirtz, who has been linked to Real Madrid, Bayern Munich, and Manchester City. Finally, they end the podcast by discussing if Madrid can take Trent Alexander-Arnold AND Mo Salah from Liverpool, whether any of these transfers solve their Mbappe problem, and if Vinicius will be sold in the coming years.

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Follow us on our Socials:

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:47 - Pressing Concern at Centreback for Real Madrid

02:10 - Madrid’s current options at CB

03:43 - Is there an obvious profile for them?

05:03 - Hard to find solutions in January

05:31 - Tchouaméni at CB?

06:04 - 2 groups of candidates we’re hearing

08:28 - Real Madrid won’t throw away this season + how they should approach it

09:35 - Jonathan Tah from Leverkusen

11:28 - Tah plays for Xabi Alonso, who is rumoured to be at Madrid next season

11:49 - Aymeric Laporte

13:27 - Mario Hermoso

14:38 - The information we don’t have

15:24 - The most likely option out of these 3

16:18 - The younger players Real Madrid could be looking at

16:42 - Vitor Reis from Palmeiras

18:22 - A recruiters perspective of a young prospect

20:19 - Madrid’s Brazilian players could make the move easier for Reis

21:51 - Castello Lukeba from RB Leipzig

25:13 - Murillo from Nottingham Forest

28:04 - Does Madrid’s current squad push you to a more established player?

29:23 - Tah’s Leverkusen defensive partner, Piero Hincapié

31:19 - Options for right back?

31:27 - Could Madrid address this through their academy, or is it a response to Barcelona’s success?

31:52 - Asencio as an option

33:16 - Jesus Fortea

34:02 - Do Madrid need to improve their Academy strategy, or is it inevitable with how they handle transfers?

37:17 - Florian Wirtz linked with Madrid, Bayern and Man City

38:29 - Not a great fit for Madrid

39:11 - Guler linked to Arsenal

42:11 - Wirtz makes more sense for Bayern

42:47 - Could Madrid take Trent Alexander-Arnold AND Mo Salah from Liverpool?

43:44 - Madrid would have to sell Rodrygo

44:37 - None of this solves their Mbappe Problem

46:14 - Could Madrid be forced to sell Vinicius?

#realmadrid #transfernews #mbappe #vinicius #rodrygo #ardagüler #wirtz #laliga #championsleague #madrid

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Ted and Patrick start with Mo Salah's goal vs. Southampton and how good Liverpool need to be to win the title this year. Then comes Man City, whose 4-0 loss to Tottenham marks their 5th straight defeat. City need help, but can they hang on until the January window? Next, Ruben Amorim led United to a 1-1 draw with Ipswich in his first game as manager. How much impact has he had already, and how long will it take for United to turn things around? Finally, the episode ends with discussion of Arsenal vs. Forest, Everton vs. Brentford, and Joao Pedro's wonderful assist vs. Bournemouth. Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Follow us on our Socials:

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:24 - An Interesting Segue and Mo Salah’s goal

03:16 - A Bad defensive performance from Liverpool

04:15 - Liverpool are on the good side of Variation (but they create it too)

05:39 - Liverpool don’t need to be THAT great to win the title

06:36 - Man City lose their 5th game in a row

07:38 - Kyle Walker is no longer Pep’s get out of jail free card

09:18 - City need 3 players in the January window

11:04 - Tottenham were constantly running at the back four

12:34 - Ruben Amorim’s first match as United manager

13:40 - Amorim’s influence is already showing

14:38 - Who is scoring goals for United?

15:48 - United built through the wingbacks (especially Mazraoui)

17:05 - United will continue to change over the next few weeks

19:43 - Who are the wide attackers that are helping to create for United?

20:52 - Will Gyokeres be the solution? + Should United become Sporting

21:45 - Where will United finish this year?

22:57 - Arsenal vs. Forest

25:20 - Odegaard facilitated the Arsenal attack, which was missing while he was gone

26:56 - Arsenal have to figure out how to attack without relying on Odegaard

27:32 - Arsenal haven’t put games away this season

28:06 - Leads allow teams to transition more

30:16 - Everton vs. Brentford

30:45 - Everton went up a man but couldn’t find a goal

32:45 - Joao Pedro’s assist in Brighton’s win over Bournemouth

33:32 - The angled run from Mitoma was beautiful

34:24 - Fans of big teams only are selling themselves short this season

35:41 - Taking a break Thursday and Friday

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Patrick and Ravi discuss Barcelona's needs for the upcoming transfer window. They begin at right back, where they haven't had a stable answer in years. Should they bring in Devyne Rensch, bring back a former player, or swing for the fences and sign Trent Alexander-Arnold or Alphonso Davies?? Then comes striker, how do they handle finding a backup for Robert Lewandowski? Getting the position right could extend Lewandowski's peak, but is it a low-risk strategy? Next comes left winger, where Rafael Leao could make a splash move. However, is his defensive work rate too low to work with Lewandowski? And finally, Ravi tells all on Borja Sainz, who might be the next big move for Athletic Club.

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Follow us on our Socials:

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

00:30 - Barca have produced academy kids at many positions

03:11 - Defenders Barcelona could be looking at

03:14 - Devyne Rensch from Ajax

05:22 - One Quality he has that’s very important

09:38 - Barcelona have been searching for the answer at RB

10:32 - The changing nature of the fullback position

12:22 - Óscar Mingueza

13:08 - He’s all-out attack

15:02 - Is he a profile that Barcelona need?

16:06 - Could Trent Alexander-Arnold come on board?

17:17 - Alphonso Davies is more realistic w/ Hansi Flick as manager

18:24 - Vitor Roque as a Lewandowski Replacement

19:17 - Jonathan David

20:36 - David plays a different style than Lewandowski

22:58 - Prolonging Lewandowski’s peak

25:51 - It’s a low-risk strategy

28:04 - What’s the plan at left winger and goalkeeper?

29:35 - Rafael Leao could bring magic to the wing

30:30 - How much defensive work will he really do?

32:20 - Leao is a Soloist

34:03 - Leao and Lewandowksi can’t coexist defensively

35:22 - Borja Sainz is on a tear

38:12 - He’s also a good presser

38:51 - He’s from the Basque region, could Athletic Club be interested?

40:31 - Could an EPL team swoop him up?

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Ted and Patrick start by discussing Phil Foden. Why has the reigning Player of the Season's production dropped for Manchester City? They then move to Aston Villa and Unai Emery, who are struggling over their last few games. Is this expected after Emery's time at Villarreal, or will they find a way to improve? Then, Brentford is must-see TV at home against lesser teams. Will Thomas Frank leave the club at the end of the season? Finally, they discuss Bukayo Saka's importance to Arsenal as their "glue guy." Is Saka the BEST player in the Premier League right now? Watch until the end for a glimpse behind the scenes.

Kim's Struggle Era article: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/your-team-s-struggle-era-lineups-are-hilarious

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Follow us on our Socials:

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:07 - What’s wrong with Phil Foden?

02:54 - Lack of shooting success this year

04:23 - Maintained shot numbers, just less xG on each

06:43 - How dead are Man City?

07:56 - Kim’s struggle era article

09:01 - How did City allow Salah to run at them multiple times?

10:53 - Foden’s shift towards creating vs. shooting

11:38 - Are Foden’s struggles Doku’s fault?

13:26 - City’s success over the last 6 years has led to this

14:17 - Aston Villa are STRUGGLING

15:10 - Similarities to Unai Emery’s time at Villarreal

17:48 - Villa are riding the wave of variance

18:15 - Emery will have his best moments in the CL Knockout rounds

20:17 - Villa are good at executing set pieces

21:33 - Brentford home games are must see TV

22:39 - Brentford make a stylistic choice depending on their opponent

24:22 - Thomas Frank's skill as a manager

25:12 - Elite managers switch their styles when needed (Conte/Fergie)

27:42 - Is Bukayo Saka the best player in the Premier League?

28:47 - Saka is a “glue guy” for Arsenal

30:23 - Saka remained productive with Odegaard out

31:33 - The combination of Odegaard and Saka is what beats teams over and over

32:25 - Saka, Palmer, and Salah are the 3 best players right now

33:17 - How you can help us

34:40 - Story time with Ted

#premierleague #manchestercity #arsenal #foden #saka #astonvilla

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Patrick and Ravi start by discussing Barcelona's recent run of form and how much they've relied on 17-year-old Lamine Yamal. Is the teenager already the best player in La Liga? Then, they move to Barcelona's recurring registration issues. Why does this keep happening and how can they fix it? Next they discuss Real Madrid, whose recent run of form has them back near the top of the table. Will they be forced to spend big in the Winter if they continue to struggle in the Champions League? Finally, Atletico Madrid have figured out how to use Julian Alvarez, but are they good enough to win the League? Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Follow us on our Socials:

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:39 - What’s happening with Barcelona recently?

02:33 - Due a loss after a run of tough games

03:35 - Lamine Yamal’s importance to Barcelona

05:08 - Why does Yamal attract so much attention?

06:21 - His assist yesterday was a skill even Messi didn’t do often

07:01 - Yamal’s work out of position sets him apart

10:31 - Why didn’t Barcelona run away with the title

11:55 - Barca are much more direct this year

12:35 - Hansi Flick’s success with a changing defensive line

13:25 - Barcelona have never pressed this much

13:55 - Is Lamine Yamal the best player in La Liga?

14:33 - One aspect he needs to improve upon

16:09 - Wenger helped Thierry Henry fix a similar problem

17:04 - Barcelona’s registration issues and Dani Olmo

18:32 - They tried to solve their issues but failed

20:07 - Didn’t the Nike deal fix it?

23:26 - Could they be forced to sell Frenkie de Jong?

26:25 - Real Madrid’s recent form

27:45 - An easier run of games in La Liga than the Champions League

28:17 - Starting to get players back from injury

30:33 - Will Madrid’s young players keep their spot in the squad?

31:00 - Will Madrid make a big splash in the Winter Window?

34:02 - If they struggle towards the end of the group stage, they may try to make a move

34:53 - Atletico Madrid are quietly near the top of the table

36:12 - They’ve figured out how fit Julian Alvarez into the squad

37:30 - Atletico are playing a few youngsters

39:15 - Can they improve their set pieces?

42:28 - Odds for Atletico to win La Liga?

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Ted and Patrick start by discussing Manchester United and Dan Ashworth parting ways. What did Ashworth do in his 5 months at United, who will be their next Sporting Director, and will Amorim be allowed to get his guys in the squad? Then, Chelsea's 4-3 win over Spurs highlighted Tottenham's injury crisis. Can Ange Postecoglou fix the squad, or are they destined to have some heartbreak this season. The conversation switches to Cole Palmer, is he the best player in the Premier League or does he still have some growing to do? Finally, Andoni Iraola has Bournemouth high up the table, but will he move to a bigger club after this season? Stay tuned for Ted's Story at the end of the episode! Enjoy.

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Follow us on our Socials:

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:06 - Dan Ashworth Out as Manchester United Sporting Director

03:18 - Who can replace him?

04:02 - United are trying to Pin blame on Ashworth

05:03 - What did Ashworth do in his 5 months at United?

06:40 - What do United do next?

08:26 - How good is Dan Ashworth actually?

10:23 - How outside consultants provide value to a club

12:41 - Will United allow Amorim to bring in his guys?

14:27 - Chelsea defeats Tottenham, 4-3

15:49 - Spurs are so injured

16:24 - No centerbacks for Spurs

17:37 - Social media videos hiding mistakes + Cucurella mistake

19:05 - Both teams were spotted goals

20:08 - Takeaways from the game for Tottenham

20:37 - Chelsea’s attack is flying

21:53 - Can Ange fix this despite the injuries?

23:09 - Is Cole Palmer the best player in the Premier League?

24:40 - We’ve become indifferent to Saka because of how long he’s been good

25:37 - Palmer pulls the strings for Chelsea’s break

26:36 - You can’t overplay Palmer due to Chelsea’s squad

27:11 - The free role allows Palmer to develop more skills

27:48 - What about Palmer’s defensive side?

29:16 - What happens if Palmer doesn’t score in preseason and never leaves City?

32:03 - Andoni Iraola is due for a big move this summer

33:00 - Iraola = Dr. Octopus from Spiderman

33:47 - Bournemouth has done really well under Iraola

34:45 - Where could Iraola end up?

38:34 - Story Time with Ted

#premierleague #manchesterunited #chelsea #tottenham #colepalmer #bournemouth #saka

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Patrick and Ravi breakdown the Champions League after round 6. They start by discussing the new league phase format and the effects it may have down the road. Next, they look at the most surprising teams so far, as well as giants that have underperformed. Then, the conversation turns to young talents that are emerging. Which players have caught their eyes? And finally, they predict the top 8 and where the underperforming giants will finish in the table. All that and more on today’s episode, enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Follow us on our Socials:

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00:00 - Intro

00:01:00 - New Champions League format discussion

00:02:57 - New format = more marquee matchups

00:06:48 - 3 surprise teams this Champions League

00:07:20 - Aston Villa

00:09:00 - This is what Unai Emery does

00:10:45 - A clear path to the top 8

00:11:43 - Brest are struggling in Ligue 1, but have had the easiest path in the CL

00:12:39 - The rest of Brest’s schedule

00:14:05 - Lille actually have worse numbers than Brest in the CL

00:15:20 - Lille have had a pretty hard schedule

00:16:44 - Bruno Genesio has put together good plans and Lille have good talent

00:18:46 - Big name teams that are STRUGGLING

00:19:29 - City and PSG have good xG differential but are low in the table

00:20:06 - PSG are underperfoming their xG by a crazy amount due to bad misses

00:22:29 - Man City and PSG play a huge game in round 7

00:24:44 - City’s final game appears easy, but you never know

00:26:03 - Pep’s CL away record

00:27:38 - Are City’s league and CL problems the same?

00:30:07 - Rodri’s importance and who can replace him in January

00:32:29 - Real Madrid are unlikely to go out due to relatively easy last 2 games

00:34:25 - Qualified teams could put more pressure on these 3 teams

00:36:04 - Real Madrid don’t have free midweeks coming up

00:37:25 - Madrid’s xG conceded numbers are very high

00:38:31 - Atalanta’s style played into Madrid’s hand

00:39:25 - Madrid’s sorcery is getting weaker

00:40:27 - Emerging young talents

00:40:54 - Álvaro Carreras - Benfica

00:43:12 - Enzo Millot - Stuttgart

00:45:06 - Similar stats to Florian Wirtz

00:46:23 - Charles De Ketelaere - Atalanta

00:49:00 - Malik Tillman - PSV

00:51:22 - Johan Bakayoko - PSV

00:53:38 - Other player shoutouts

00:57:57 - Top 8 Predictions

01:00:16 - Real Madrid, PSG. Man City predictions

01:03:21 - Argentina’s 40-team league = CL table this year

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Ted and Patrick start by discussing Arsenal's recent run of poor results. What's going wrong, how can they fix it, and do they need to add someone in January? Next, Russell Martin and Gary O'Neil were sacked this weekend. Why did it happen and should the firings have come sooner? The conversation moves to the Manchester Derby after United edge out a 2-1 win over City thanks to 2 late goals. What's wrong with City, can Pep fix it, and just how good is Amad Diallo? To end the episode they discuss Diego Gomez' move from Inter Miami to Brighton, marking the first move of the January window. Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Follow us on our Socials:

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:06 - What’s wrong with Arsenal?

02:22 - An accumulation of imperfect choices

04:07 - Lack of squad depth

06:31 - Injuries have been a factor, but they have played conservatively

07:59 -The piece they’re missing

09:51 - Martinelli

11:30 - Why Odegaard might be tired + stories from Ted

15:06 - Should Arteta be playing more aggressively?

16:30 - The risk/reward trade off of pushing for more goals

18:16 - What kind of player should Arsenal target in January?

21:28 - Russell Martin FINALLY sacked by Southampton

24:21 - Why did they keep him so long?

26:01 - Wolves Firing Gary O’Neil

29:18 - How many EPL teams allowed over 60 xG last season?

30:09 - Late drama in the Manchester Derby

31:09 - City couldn’t get anything going

32:21 - Lack of quality at DM and fullback are hurting Pep

33:52 - Can pep fix it?

34:32 - Can they buy their way out of it in January?

35:17 - Amad Diallo

35:57 - The first transfer of the window: Gomez to Brighton

36:54 - Neymar to join Lionel Messi at Inter Miami?

38:41 - Brighton’s strategy of stacking up useful talent

39:59 - It may allow them to make consistent Champions League runs soon

41:51 - Ted’s recent run on Variance Betting

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Patrick and Ravi start by Discussing Vincent Kompany's tenure at Bayern Munich. They lead the Bundesliga, but have struggled in big matches. What's the best way to evaluate Kompany's performance? Then, the conversation switched to Lyon, who need to make 100M in sales this January to avoid being sent to Ligue 2. How has the happened, who will they sell, and what teams might those players go to? Finally, the Serie A title race has been close since the start of the season, but is it now down to 3 teams? Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Follow us on our Socials:

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:06 - Vincent Kompany’s tenure as Bayern manager

02:51 - What would be a successful first season?

04:14 - Lack of success in Big Matches

06:49 - They’ve missed key players for multiple matches

08:00 - Do they have the squad for Kompany?

10:26 - Bayern by the numbers this season

13:35 - How Kompany has approached this season

16:15 - How do you evaluate Kompany?

17:33 - Should Bayern manage expectations?

19:30 - Do you evaluate Kompany solely on big matches?

21:36 - What positions should Bayern target in January?

23:15 - Kimmich has played the most minutes and may leave

24:50 - Why Lyon need to make 100M in January

26:15 - Lyon have spent money poorly

27:50 - Lyon are not a team that spend big money historically

30:29 - Players Lyon can sell for significant money (Caqueret and Cherki)

33:05 - Why hasn’t Cherki left Lyon yet?

35:52 - Georges Mikautadze

36:48 - Malick Fofana is a great prospect

38:46 - Ernest Nuamah

39:45 - What club for Fofana and Nuamah?

40:51 - The Serie A title race

41:29 - Is it a 3-team race (Inter Milan, Napoli and Lazio)?

44:00 - Why Fiorentina is likely not a challenger

44:38 - Napoli’s advantage

45:27 - Upcoming schedules for the top teams

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Patrick and Ted start by discussing Liverpool's 6-3 battering of Spurs. Mo Salah is ageless, should Ange Postecoglou change his style of play, and do Liverpool have the best attack in the world? Then, Southampton have hired Ivan Juric as manager. Who is he, what is his style, and how is he different than Russell Martin? After that comes Arsenal, have they finally flipped the switch and fixed their attack? Next, Barcelona lost 2-1 to Atletico Madrid. Are Barcelona in crisis, or do the numbers tell a different story? And finally, Manchester United lost 3-0 to Bournemouth, but is there reason for United fans to be hopeful? Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Follow us on our Socials:

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:01 - Liverpool Defeat Spurs, 6-3

03:21 - Injured defense against the best frontline in the world?

04:21 - How Liverpool created their chances

05:15 - Ange Postecoglou’s style of play

07:51 - Ange won’t change his philosophy

09:51 - How good would Spurs be with one elite midfielder?

11:42 - Mo Salah is ridiculous

13:09 - It’s getting hard to see how Liverpool doesn’t win the title

14:29 - Southampton hire Ivan Juric as manager

17:01 - Differences between Juric and Russell Martin

18:21 - The new generation of Italian football

19:03 - Big Shakespeare fan

19:38 - We fixed Arsenal

21:07 - Gabriel Jesus’ last 2 games

21:47 - Arsenal played much for attacking football

22:38 - Kai Havertz is very versatile

23:49 - Can Arsenal find the right balance?

24:28 - Saliba had a poor game

25:22 - How teams are trying to stop Arsenal’s set piece advantage

28:20 - The more variation you throw at them the better

30:13 - Calling basketball plays in open play

31:09 - Ben White/ Cristiano Ronaldo’s approach to getting open for crosses

32:11 - Saka injured in this game, should fast-attacking teams un-invert their wingers?

34:26 - Are Barcelona in Crisis after 2-1 loss to Atletico?

35:44 - The numbers are still good despite the results

37:57 - Lamine Yamal was out injured

39:00 - Go and watch Pedri in this game

40:04 - United are the leakiest club in the league

41:21 - Man United are in a multi-year rebuild

42:29 - They’re trending well on Defense

45:19 - Ted’s request for the listeners

#liverpool #barcelona #arsenal #tottenham #manchesterunited #saka #lamineyamal #pedri #arteta #angepostecoglou #atleticomadrid

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Ted and Patrick discuss what Arsenal best course of action after Bukayo Saka's injury. Can they replace him, who are their best options, and is the replacement already in the squad? Next, they move to Barcelona failing to register Dani Olmo. Can Barca fix this issue, or will Olmo leave the squad? Along the way they discuss Virgil Van Dijk and Mo Salah's extensions, Marcus Thuram replacing Darwin Nunez, and Joshua Zirkzee's struggles. Lastly, Nottingham Forest have been on an incredible run in the Premier League. Will they finish in a Champions League spot? Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Follow us on our Socials:

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

00:45 - Games over the break

03:13 - A good time to have a great Academy

03:25 - Saka’s injury

04:21 - Salah’s incredible run of form (James Yorke tweet)

05:06 - Alexander Isak’s story

07:18 - Erling Halaand’s transfer history

09:26 - What should Arsenal do about Saka’s injury?

10:58 - Buying a replacement vs. playing youngsters

11:52 - Is Omar Marmoush an option?

12:55 - Could the be after Marcus Rashford?

14:03 - Teams taking the money vs waiting for the “right” price (Chelsea…)

15:34 - Names that could be Saka replacements

15:40 - Does Bryan Mbeumo make sense?

18:11 - He has high risk reward passing style

19:18 - Mathys Tel on Loan?

20:28 - Evan Ferguson to bolster the attack?

21:09 - Will Brighton sell?

22:55 - Leroy Sane as a direct replacement?

23:46 - Sane brings a broad skillset, but is he too old

26:55 - Barcelona fail to register Dani Olmo

27:51 - Barca are the only thing to make Ravi angry

29:18 - Hansi Flick should be furious + Olmo Landing spots

31:08 - La Masia is their saving grace and will they scapegoat Frenkie de Jong

32:27 - de Jong = Bobby Bonilla?

33:37 - Manchester United players are “available”

34:07 - Should City sign him + What is his actual position?

37:03 - Giggs hamstring story

38:38 - Marcus Thuram to Liverpool?

41:14 - Extensions for VVD and Salah?

42:29 - How does Thuram fit in the squad?

44:37 - Joshua Zirkzee saga continues

45:34 - Missing a lot of big chances means you are in good positions a lot

47:18 - Can Nottingham Forest continue their run of form?

50:28 - Forest’s attack is fragile, will it cost them?

52:49 - A coin flip for top 4 or for top 5?

54:40 - How Forest have won their recent games

56:32 - Going full circle

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Ted and Patrick begin by discussing Frankfurt forward Omar Marmoush. Who will sign him, how much will it cost, and what is his best fit? Then, Donyell Malen has been linked with Aston villa, but are there better teams for him to sign with? Next comes City, who have been linked with 20-year-old CB Abdulkadir Khosanov. Is he their Kyle Walker replacement? After City, Ted goes in-depth on the state of pricing in football, who benefits and suffers, and how owners can handle it differently. The episode ends with discussion of Liverpool v. United, Crystal Palace v Chelsea,Southampton v Brighton. Stay till the end for an easter egg, plus Patrick teaching us how to pronounce Abdulkadir Khosanov.

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Follow us on our Socials:

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

02:00 - Omar Marmoush linked with multiple teams

02:37 - Marmoush’s history and skillset

05:23 - Does he make sense for Liverpool?

06:16 - What does he excel at?

09:24 - Marmoush’s fit at Arsenal, City and United

13:05 - What price for him?

14:39 - Villa linked with Donyell Malen

15:30 - Malen’s traits

17:12 - The rumoured fee

18:05 - His career numbers + time at Arsenal

19:25 - More fun destinations for Malen

20:00 - City linked with 20-year-old CB Abdulkadir Khosanov

21:20 - Kyle walker replacement?

22:27 - Is Benfica’s Antonio Silva the long-term replacement?

23:23 - How do city approach the window?

24:10 - City’s last few games

26:14 - We don’t know what teams should be pricing players at right now

28:21 - We’re already seeing prices come down from their peaks

29:16 - Who benefits and suffers from this?

32:33 - How do owners handle this?

36:05 - Will we see teams start to sell aggressively?

36:48 - Ben Doak linked with Palace and Ipswich

38:22 - Should Liverpool sell him?

39:53 - What should the price be if they do sell?

41:04 - Liverpool vs. Man United Thoughts

43:56 - United have a lot of mismatched toys right now

44:28 - Brentford's 5-0 win over Southampton

45:16 - Brentford tried to maximize transition opportunities

46:08 - Chelsea draw Crystal Palace, 1-1

47:02 - Chelsea controlled the game pretty well

48:13 - Chelsea’s Sanchez problem

50:03 - Arsenal were pretty poor over the weekend

51:11 - Ted’s easter egg for those who stick around

52:40 - B-roll (Trying to pronounce Abdulkadir Khosanov)

#premierleague #transfernews #liverpool #manchestercity #arsenal #manchesterunited #chelsea

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Patrick and Ravi start by discussing Randal Kolo Muani's move from PSG, teams that he's linked to, and what his best fit would be. Then comes West Ham, who have a rift between manager Julen Lopetegui and sporting director Tim Steidten. Can it be fixed, or is the situation too far gone? The episode ends with a look at two new options for the Arsenal attack, Kang-in Lee and Mikkel Damsgaard. Which player is the best option for Arsenal, how much will they cost, and will Arsenal just wait for Nico Williams in the summer? Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Follow us on our Socials:

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

02:41 - Randall Kolo Muani is on the market

04:06 - Kolo Muani as a player

05:58 - What are the questions with him?

07:34 - How Kolo Muani’s age impacts what teams will get from him

09:36 - Comparison to Nicolas Jackson

12:06 - Kolo Muani’s best fit

13:27 - Do Arsenal, United or Spurs make sense?

14:28 - A Timo Werner replacement for Spurs?

16:17 - A rift at West Ham

17:41 - Julen Lopetegui and Tim Steidten drama

19:21 - West Ham’s Summer window

20:34 - How does this rift between manager and Sporting Director impact the club?

22:44 - Is a Lopetegui sacking inevitable?

24:03 - Did Moyes keep West Ham together?

25:02 - 2 new targets for Arsenal

25:36 - Kang-in Lee’s history

26:49 - How Lee’s role has changed at PSG

28:18 - What’s his best position?

29:50 - Would he be worth the price?

32:15 - Will Arsenal just wait for Nico Williams in the Summer?

33:28 - The value of a young player who has played multiple roles

36:05 - Mikkel Damsgaard’s history

36:49 - Damsgaard’s skillset

38:02 - He makes sense as a backup

38:56 - Low pass success rate, but high chances created

39:57 - Comparing Lee and Damsgaard

41:32 - Arsenal do not dribble much, but how does Nico Williams fit in?

43:13 - Arsenal run a NBA half-court offense

44:52 - The differences between Liverpool and Arsenal

46:36 - Arteta will have to “open the playbook” for Williams

48:30 - Do Arsenal need a more diverse attacking profile?

49:14 - The constant push and pull of sporting directors and managers

50:22 - Bob Voulgaris’ strategy for Castellon

52:26 - Different philosophies to combat variance

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Ted and Patrick start by discussing Khvicha Kvaratskhelia’s move from Napoli, potential suitors, and how much he should cost. Next, Manchester United are having a fire sale, but will anyone be interested in the players they are offering? Then, Manchester City are close to completing a few deals, but are they overspending? And how will Pep Guardiola be able fit Omar Marmoush into the squad? The episode ends with Everton firing Sean Dyche (and their fans getting mad at Ted) and a potential move for Kyle Walker to AC Milan? Enjoy!

Ted's Friday Variance Betting Column: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/the-insider-update-on-variance-betting

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Follow us on our Socials:

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:18 - Khvicha Kvaratskhelia set to leave Napoli

02:37 - Napoli need to sell him for budget reasons

03:48 - Liverpool, United, and PSG are alleged suitors

04:57 - Why would PSG be interested?

06:46 - Could Ligue 1 be a draw for Kvara?

07:16 - Kvara vs. Barcola

08:54 - The problem with Kvara’s shots

10:27 - His shot map + worse radar from last season

11:12 - A Garnacho replacement for United?

13:02 - Atletico Madrid’s form

14:30 - Manchester United’s fire sale

15:14 - Kobbie Mainoo’s fan perception + United’s incompetence

17:52 - How would you price Mainoo and Garnacho?

19:08 - What to do with Mainoo

20:46 - Amorim and United are in damage limitation mode

21:35 - What makes sense for Garnacho?

25:30 - Man City getting closer to a few deals for BIG money

26:43 - Should City fans temper expectations for Marmoush?

27:34 - Why does he have a low dribble rate?

28:15 - Marmoush radar + shot map and what they tell us

29:21 - How does Pep fit him in?

30:32 - Everton fans are mad at Ted

31:15 - Sean Dyche did one of the best managerial jobs this season?

32:49 - He changed his style to keep Everton up

34:55 - Kyle Walker to AC Milan?

36:50 - Variance Betting information

38:04 - Behind the scenes

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Patrick and Ravi start by discussing Arsenal closing in on signing Martin Zubimendi. How does he fit, do they need him, and will signing him cost them a player in the future? Next comes Barcelona’s 5-2 thrashing of Real Madrid. What caused Real Madrid issues in the game, would they be better off if they didn’t sign Mbappe, and can Vinicius Jr. and Mbappe have a good game at the same time? The episode ends by touching on Nkunku being linked to Bayern Munich and Loic Bade getting interest from Aston Villa. This is Ravi’s last episode with us, show him some love in the comments!

How to get a job in Football podcast: https://youtu.be/nI_qZHXA1eI

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Follow us on our Socials:

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

00:27 - Ravi announcement

01:19 - Arsenal close to signing Zubimendi

01:57 - Is this the player Arsenal need most?

03:41 - Too many defensive midfielders?

04:46 - Freed up wages, but what is the plan?

05:33 - Did the key in on Zubimendi too hard?

06:49 - Will they miss out on someone because of this transfer?

07:45 - Who is the player that sits?

09:53 - Are they building too hard into one style even if they get Nico Williams?

12:06 - Would Williams and Saka open up enough space?

13:55 - How the finances work

15:36 - What if they don’t get their ideal targets?

16:43 - Opportunity costs

17:17 - Barcelona thrash Real Madrid

18:35 - Multiple Madrid issues in this game

20:26 - Stats that can be misleading

21:24 - Should Ascensio have started?

22:31 - Real Madrid need immediate solutions

23:59 - Which of their attackers will sit?

24:54 - How easily Barca scored some of their goals

26:56 - Madrid turned Bellingham into a more of an attacker

28:23 - Pass accuracy against both Barcelona and Real Madrid

29:35 - Hansi Flick’s coaching job

30:18 - What if Madrid didn’t add Mbappe in the Summer?

31:30 - Can both Vinicius and Mbappe have a good game at the same time?

33:32 - Would a different coach be better for them?

34:43 - Xabi Alonso rumoured, but does the squad fit?

35:16 - What will make Real Madrid make a change

37:18 - Nkunku leaving Chelsea for Bayern Munich?

39:47 - Being able to cover for Musiala

41:27 - What should the price be?

42:22 - Chelsea cannot set the price too high

43:28 - Loic Bade linked with Aston Villa

46:17 - Concern from moving from La Liga to the Premier League

49:14 - Aston Villa have been busy

51:09 - Goodbye to Ravi

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On the 8th episode of Variance Betting, Ted goes over how his bets have fared at the mid-way point of the season, gives you a way to get better prices on your bets, and goes over his EPL Matchday 22 picks.

Get better prices on Bet105: https://btone.servclick1move.com/?mid=248446_1462437&utm_source=www.thetransferflow.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=variance-betting-17-jan-2025&_bhlid=379169a1e683fa1a289c2ed91425b14a56c4246c

Ted's mid-season Variance Betting roundup: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/the-insider-update-on-variance-betting

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Follow us on our Socials:

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

00:33 - Why we paused

01:27 - Where to get better prices on your bets

03:24 - Why do you care?

04:44 - Ted’s results so far

06:08 - Betting £1 for every Variance Betting subscriber

07:13 - EPL matchday 22 picks

07:16 - Newcastle v Bournemouth

08:29 - Leicester v Fulham

09:45 - West Ham v Crystal Palace

10:43 - Brentford v Liverpool

11:39 - Arsenal v Aston Villa

13:48 - Everton v Tottenham

15:11 - Nottingham Forest v Southampton

16:21 - United v Brighton

17:05 - Ipswich v Man City

18:15 - Chelsea v Wolves

20:11- Join Variance Betting for more betting related content

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Ted and Patrick discuss the many strikers that have been linked to Arsenal. Is the answer Victor Osimhen, Benjamin Sesko, or someone else? Next, Erling Haaland signed an extension with Manchester City until 2034. Why did both City and Haaland choose to get this deal done? Then comes Romain Esse's move to Crystal Palace. Have Palace gotten enough credit for their recent decision making? The conversation moves to Rayan Cherki, with the hosts trying to find the best league and team for the talented, but hard to work with, Frenchman. The episode ends with discussion of the weekends Premier League games, Liverpool stepping on the gas, and how Manchester United fans should feel. Stick around to see Patrick and Ted discuss Ralph Lauren, Coco Channel, and just how hot Olivier Giroud is.

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Follow us on our Socials:

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:56 - Strikers linked to Arsenal

02:38 - What Arsenal need and don’t need

04:58 - The type of player that fits their squad

06:01 - Does Victor Osimhen make sense?

07:22 - Why Osimhen is still at Napoli + what will they do with him

08:54 - What is a good price for Osimhen?

10:43 - Negatives with Osmihen?

12:09 - What about Benjamin Sesko?

14:42 - Lower shot volume since moving to Germany a worry?

15:51 - Is targeting pre-peak players a risk?

19:10 - Erling Haaland’s big extension with Man City

20:24 - City’s perspective for making this happen

22:46 - Perspective from Haaland’s side

24:59 - Could this hurt City in the long run?

26:44 - If Barcelona did this with Messi

27:45 - Champagne and Oysters for Fulham

28:28 - Ted and Patrick’s train beer preferences

30:09 - Romain Esse to Crystal Palace

31:30 - A good bet for the future

32:38 - Tottenham and Archie Gray

33:33 - Do Palace get enough credit?

34:42 - Glasner’s potential to be a top coach

36:53 - Rayan Cherki available to leave Lyon

37:35 - A talented but difficult to work with footballer

39:41 - He’s the type of player you dream for as a fan

40:47 - He needs to be on a team that can keep him focused

41:31 - The best league and team for him

43:04 - What club will make the next coaching move?

43:58 - Liverpool have stepped on the gas

46:08 - How good Virgil Van Dijk and Konate are

46:34 - The champions league race + how United fans should feel

48:32 - Behind the scenes (is Giroud hot, double denim, and Coco Channel)

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Ted and Patrick roundup Champions League matchday 7 and preview the Wednesday night games. They start with Barcelona's 5-4 comeback over Benfica which featured featured a ton of chaos. The conversation turns to Atletico Madrid's 2-1 win over Bayer Leverkusen and why Julian Alvarez is such a good fit for Atletico. Next comes Bologna's 2-1 upset over Dortmund. Nuri Sahin was sacked, but can the next manager solve Dortmund's problems? In the transfer mill, Yoane Wissa has been linked to Nottingham Forest, but will Brentford sell the 28-year-old? , Ted and Patrick share their thoughts on the huge game between Manchester City and PSG tonight. Both teams are in the danger zone, but can one of them earn a much needed victory? The episode closes with Ted's bets for Wednesday's games, our search for a new host, and 18 simultaneous games next week. Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Follow us on our Socials:

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:27 - The chaos of Benfica v Barcelona + Szczęsny tackle

02:56 - Pavlidis hat-trick + Barca’s high line

03:53 - Club Brugge v Juventus bore fest

05:35 - It’s difficult to play this Barca team for the first time

06:11 - Was Raphinha’s goal intentional or an accident?

07:40 - Benfica penalty shouts then Barca’s winning goal in the final minute

09:21 - Pavlidis as a potential transfer target

09:48 - Atletico Madrid v Leverkusen

10:52 - Ted’s recent run on Variance Betting

12:49 - Atletico’s unusual defensive style

13:58 - Alvarez is a perfect fit for Atletico + Griezmann story

15:38 - The winning goal

16:42 - Wissam Ben Yedder and tiny, square players

17:24 - The most interesting thing about Atletico this season

18:12 - Bologna v Dortmund and Nuri Sahin sacking

18:58 - Guirassy panenka penalty

19:45 - Dortmund can’t get out of their own way

20:58 - Roger Schmidt as next Dortmund manager?

21:30 - Would Andoni Iraola make sense?

22:38 - Yoane Wissa linked to Nottingham Forest

24:10 - Wissa’s skillset

24:54 - What should the price be?

26:27 - What would his role be at Forest?

28:51 - Patrick’s love for Thomas Frank

29:37 - PSG vs Man City

30:23 - PSG have struggled against physicality

31:37 - Weaknesses with City

32:51 - PSG have been what the critics say they are

33:33 - Can PSG’s runners trouble City?

34:19 - Marquinhos’ importance to City

35:08 - Real Madrid v Salzburg and Feyenoord v Bayern Munich

35:59 - Clash of styles between Inter Milan and Sparta Prague

36:20 - Arsenal can lock up top 8 vs. Dinamo Zagreb

37:36 - The gap from 26th to 27th may save one of PSG and City

38:07 - 18 games at the same time next week

39:19 - Help us find a Co-host!

40:50 - Subscribe to Variance Betting to increase Ted’s base bet size

#championsleague #barcelona #psg #manchestercity #brentford #nottinghamforest #football #soccer #realmadrid #transfernews #football #soccer #raphinha

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On episode 9 of Variance Betting, Ted goes over his big results from last week, gives a crash course on discount bookies and Asian Handicaps, and shares his bets for Premier League Matchday 23!

Get better prices on Bet105: https://btone.servclick1move.com/?mid=248446_1462437&utm_source=www.thetransferflow.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=variance-betting-17-jan-2025&_bhlid=379169a1e683fa1a289c2ed91425b14a56c4246c

More info on Asian Handicap betting: https://www.betshoot.com/betting-guides/asian-handicap-betting/

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Follow us on our Socials:

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:10 - Running totals, last weeks recap, and updated bet size

04:29 - New courses coming this summer

05:13 - Why we prefer Discount Bookies + Bet105 promo

08:38 - Why Asian handicap betting?

12:00 - What is Variance Betting?

14:13 - Liverpool v Ipswich

15:34 - Wolves v Arsenal

16:41 - Brighton v Everton

18:17 - Southampton v Newcastle

18:54 - Bournemouth v Forest

19:45 - City v Chelsea

21:58 - Tottenham v Leicester

22:59 - Crystal Palace v Brentford

24:27 - Aston Villa v West Ham

25:47 - Fulham v United

26:45 - Total bets this week

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Ted and Patrick start by discussing Manchester City's 3-1 win over Chelsea this weekend. Khusanov struggled, Marmoush excelled, and Robert Sanchez needs to be replaced. The conversation turns to who will finish the Champions League spots. Can Bournemouth, Newcastle, and Forest overtake City and Chelsea, or will the giants regain their form? To round out the episode Patrick and Ted take a look at some transfer rumours. They start with Patrick Dorgu being linked to United, how he fits, and what his price should be. Then, 18-year-old Sverre Nypan has interest from many clubs. Is a move to Arsenal in the cards, or could he prefer a lower league before making the jump to the EPL? Make sure to stay tuned until the end of the episode for a behind the scenes look at Sir Alex Ferguson stories, Ted's invite to a Party, and Billy Beane.

Tickets for the party Ted mentions: https://zalevska.webflow.io/korporatyv-eng?fbclid=PAY2xjawIEdFpleHRuA2FlbQIxMQABpop_xpK7gZiFyk8r-GL6W8n5Y_LZ3Q48xOv1TUyL7ZqeWPEp0htiwhz2Uw_aem_jG_OuTl6kQHs3Yp94__tJw

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Follow us on our Socials:

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:07 - Man City v Chelsea + Khusanov’s rough start

02:33 - Haaland’s creation during the game

03:10 - Gvardiol and a continuing theme for Pep

04:16 - Marmoush fit in instantly

06:00 - 2 teams who want to play with control, but neither had it

06:37 - What does this performance mean for Chelsea?

07:53 - Sanchez has the yips

08:36 - A change at keeper is surely coming

10:02 - Maresca has Chelsea playing to the level of their talent

11:31 - The importance of asking questions in football

13:01 - 2 instances where Ted called out bad transfers

15:06 - GM’s and DoF’s should be in the media regularly

16:09 - The race for Champions League spots in the Premier League

16:45 - Ted disagrees with Patrick

17:20 - Bournemouth's form despite an injury crisis

17:52 - Are Forest in trouble?

18:37 - Can Bournemouth add any players?

19:44 - City still have problems defensively and with the press

20:56 - Can city rebuild their press?

22:47 - So who makes it into the top 5?

23:59 - Who falls out of the CL spots?

25:07 - The second team out?

26:37 - Newcastle are the most fragile of the contenders

27:56 - Everything but the title race should be interesting to follow

28:35 - Patrick Dorgu to United?

29:25 - How much is he worth?

30:03 - He has traits to succeed in the EPL and at United

30:42 - He sometimes is able to coast, which hurts him

32:02 - He fits into a tough position at United

33:39 - Should they buy back Alvara Carreras instead?

34:39 - It looks like Garnacho will be gone eventually

35:12 - Sverre Nypan rumours

36:10 - Other Norwegian youngsters

37:05 - Nypan’s skillset + Does a weak league hurt him?

38:22 - What’s a comfortable price?

39:15 - Arsenal’s history of developing young talent

41:43 - The Premier League is back to attracting the best young talent

42:46 - Trying out new hosts!

44:27 - Behind the scenes footage (Sir Alex Ferguson story, Ted’s party invite for everyone, and Billy Beane?)

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Patick is joined by Hayden Van Brewer to discuss the latest transfer rumours around Europe. They start with Garnacho leaving Manchester United and look at the best potential landing spots. Does he fit in better at Chelsea, or should Napoli make a serious run at him? Next comes Brian Brobbey, who has been linked with West Ham this January. Does he fit in well with Graham Potters system and what skillset would he bring? The conversation turns to Victor Boniface, who has an offer from Saudi side Al Nassr. Could he make a difference on a top European team instead? We finish up with Rayan Cherki being linked to Newcastle and Albert Gronbaek's move to Southampton. Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Follow us on our Socials:

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

02:11 - Garnacho appears DONE at Manchester United

02:33 - Clubs interested in Garnacho

04:11 - How he fits at Chelsea

05:20 - Whats a better fit, Chelsea or Napoli?

07:09 - The creativity at Chelsea suits Garnacho

08:01 - What about his defensive side?

09:26 - Garnacho is still only 21 + Amorim’s system needs money

11:16 - Brian Brobbey linked with West Ham

12:06 - Brobbey is a physical specimen + his skillset

13:39 - A replacement for Antonio?

14:53 - Would he fit in with Graham Potter?

16:51 - Why did he not work at Leipzig?

18:36 - Victor Boniface linked with Saudi

19:49 - Boniface could be a difference maker for a Europa/Champions League side

21:15 - Is the market wary of players with injury history?

23:41 - How do pro teams look at a players trends and injury concerns?

26:45 - Rashford linked to Barcelona, but he has lots of miles on his legs

27:33 - We’ve talked about this with Kobie Mainoo

28:20 - Is there a market opportunity? Or are older players too risky?

30:35 - Looking where others aren’t gives you the most chance to find an edge

32:01 - Rayan Cherki on the Market, linked with Newcastle

33:22 - Could Newcastle convert him like Joelinton?

34:36 - His skillset would help Newcastle unlock defenses

35:32 - Too much of a weakness in the press?

37:11 - A good partner for Aleksander Isak

37:40 - What club would suit Cherki the best?

39:35 - Albert Gronbaek to Southampton

40:30 - Gronbaek’s skillset

41:51 - The dutchification of The Transfer Flow

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Ted Knutson, former professional gambler, shares his picks for EPL Matchday 24. He shares why he's taking Bournemouth over Liverpool, betting on Ipswich, and staying away from Arsenal v Man City.

Get better prices on Bet105: https://btone.servclick1move.com/?mid=248446_1462437&utm_source=www.thetransferflow.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=variance-betting-17-jan-2025&_bhlid=379169a1e683fa1a289c2ed91425b14a56c4246c

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Follow us on our Socials:

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

00:40 - Find the best Prices at Bet105

01:40 - The BEST Super Bowl promo

02:22 - Forest v Brighton

04:31 - Bournemouth v Liverpool

07:23 - Newcastle v Fulham

09:02 - Everton v Leicester

10:46 - Ipswich v Southampton

12:19 - Wolves v Aston Villa

14:36 - United v Crystal Palace

15:00 - Brentford v Tottenham

16:23 - Arsenal v Manchester City

18:43 - Chelsea v West Ham

20:19 - How much Ted has in play this weekend

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On today’s episode, Ted and Patrick discuss Arsenal’s 5-1 victory over Manchester City. Have Arsenal’s academy kids saved their season? Then comes Aston Villa, who have acquired Marcus Rashford and Marco Asensio on loan. Why have they agreed to pay the rumoured 75% of Rashford’s wages? Next, Tottenham’s search for defenders and the loan addition of Mathys Tel from Bayern Munich. Why would spurs agree to a loan deal if it only helps Bayern? The episode ends with discussion of Evan Ferguson’s loan move to West Ham, Brighton stockpiling assets, and the atmosphere at the Arsenal/Man City game. Stick around for behind the scenes footage with discussion of Japanese game shows, Natalie Portman, and Kumail Nanjiani.

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Follow us on our Socials:

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

00:50 - Arsenal thrash Man City

03:14 - Teams are teeing off on the City press this year

05:03 - Lewis-Skelly and the Arsenal kids SAVED their season

06:08 - Nwaneri and Lewis-Skelly don’t look like kids

07:03 - How good Academy players influence the rest of the squad

08:09 - They’re mentally ahead of the curve

09:55 - Not every youngster is capable of this

10:33 - Will Lewis-Skelly stay at left-back?

12:36 - Arsenal are in win now mode

15:27 - Marcus Rashford and Asensio to Aston Villa

16:49 - Why are they paying 75% of Rashford wages?

17:37 - Villa are focusing on the Champions League

18:55 - Villa love a big name from a big club

20:24 - Tottenham’s search for defenders

20:36 - Palace turns down 70M for Guehi? And Brighton turned down 90M for Mitoma?

22:40 - Spurs sign Tel on a straight loan… WHY?

24:02 - Spurs sign Kevin Danso as well, is he a backup?

26:20 - Will Spurs try a back 3? + Back 3’s this season

28:28 - Brighton and Fabian Hurzeler

29:27 - Teams can save themselves money by having design

30:00 - Brighton let Evan Ferguson join West Ham on loan

30:42 - What would you want Ferguson’s buy option to be here?

33:01 - He’s going to a coach who knows him

34:10 - What would Brighton hope to get for him in the summer?

36:24 - Brighton are stockpiling forwards

38:03 - Brighton have everything in place, but Hurzeler might not be the coach for the job

38:41 - City fans complaining about the Arsenal atmosphere

39:47 - It’s part of wearing the crown

40:19 - The Arsenal/Man City games have become a real rivalry

42:48 - PSG have ruined their rivalry with Marseille

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On today’s episode, Patrick is joined by José C. Pérez to discuss the end of the transfer window. They start with Man City’s spending spree this January and the addition of Nico Gonzalez. Is he their Rodri replacement? The conversation moves to Aston Villa, where the guys try to make sense of their additions. How will Unai Emery use his new firepower? Next, Arsenal and Liverpool both made no moves, but does this mean the Gunners are throwing in the towel? Then comes La Liga, whose teams spent far less this window than the other big leagues. Real Madrid also made no moves, despite a squad that needs upgrades. Is it a sign of things to come across Europe, or is it only due to their financial regulations? The episode finishes with discussion of AC Milan’s moves this window, including Joao Felix, and Como and Rennais both making a TON of moves. Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Follow us on our Socials:

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:37 - Man City have spent BIG this window

02:14 - Have City neglected their needs for a while?

04:43 - City’s press has rapidly declined

06:22 - An aging squad + Rodri’s injury

07:56 - Nico Gonzalez history and escaping Barcelona’s grasp

09:18 - City need a more positional version of Gonzalez

10:42 - Physicality and similarities to Rodri

13:27 - Jose’s thoughts on Aston Villa’s window

16:43 - Similarities between Rashford and Malen

17:59 - Asensio’s quality, but do they have enough defensive presence?

19:36 - Why did Liverpool and Arsenal make no moves?

21:24 - Are Arsenal throwing in the towel?

22:46 - Why did La Liga make so few moves?

25:03 - Why are Real Madrid making no moves if they have the money?

27:17 - Why are Madrid averse to spending on defenders?

27:51 - A historic spending spree coming?

30:22 - Serie A went MAD

30:47 - Conceicao and AC Milan’s window

31:51 - How does Joao Felix fit in?

33:05 - Kyle Walker as a conventional RB?

34:33 - Does the Santiago Gimenez make sense?

36:52 - What will Conceicao’s style look like?

37:51 - Como and Rennes make a TON of moves

40:21 - A mix of reloading on talent and trying to win now?

42:09 - Should they have done fewer transfers, given how hard it is to interchange squads?

44:28 - Where can people find Jose?

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On today’s episode, Ted and Patrick breakdown every match in the Knockout phase of the Champions League. They start with the biggest match of the round, Real Madrid vs. Manchester City. Both teams have clear weaknesses, but who will be able to take advantage of them the most? Then they get into Ousmane Dembele, is he the best player in the world right now? Stay tuned to see the hosts live reaction to Feyenoord sacking Brian Priske, underrated matches to watch this round, and some stories from Ted. The episode ends with predictions for EVERY matchup and some behind the scenes footage. Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Follow us on our Socials:

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Nicolas Cage is a Coppola?

00:54 - Champions League Playoffs

01:31 - Real Madrid v Man City

02:25 - City are a coin flip and Pep vs Ancelotti

04:57 - How both teams will approach this game

05:53 - Ederson is the best long-ball goalkeeper in the world

07:38 - Madrid can’t press, but their ability to play out from pressure is elite

08:28 - Madrid Derby reactions

09:45 - Dani Ceballos is Madrid’s best player at the moment

11:25 - Patrick vs Rodri, who wins right now?

12:04 - Real Madrid have the worst defensive record in the UCL, why did they make no moves?

15:36 - But surely Real Madrid could have done SOMETHING?

17:10 - Football nepotism = Genepotism

18:24 - Brest vs PSG + Dembele is the form player in the world right now

19:26 - Dembele’s positional change

20:40 - How his ability to use both feet impacts defenders

21:22 - The drastic xG difference

24:55 - Juventus vs PSV

26:16 - Sporting v Dortmund

27:21 - One to watch for potential summer transfers

28:56 - Brugge v Atalanta

29:46 - Atalanta play a very unique style

30:34 - How is Gasperini doing this?

31:36 - The oddities of Italian coaches + a story from Ted

32:52 - Celtic v Bayern Munich

35:21 - Do Celtic have it in them?

36:11 - Feyenoord v AC Milan

37:42 - Milan’s season is becoming more and more unhinged

38:50 - Zlatan not being a bit, he’s just weird

40:01 - Should be a fun contest between managers?

41:27 - Breaking news - Priske sacked mid recording + Reactions

43:32 - Monaco v Benfica is sneaky fun

44:41 - Can Benfica replicate their form?

46:41 - A ton of young, exciting players in this game

49:22 - Predictions for EVERY matchup

51:53 - Behind the scenes - Andre 3000, Australians, and a cliffhanger from Ted

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On today's episode, Patrick is joined by Neel Shelat to discuss all things Champions League from Tuesday's slate of games. They start with the big one, Real Madrid's 3-2 victory over Manchester City. Where were the new transfers, what went wrong for both teams, and can City bounce back in the 2nd leg? After discussing the other games from Tuesday, the conversation switches to the Saudi Pro league and the market opportunities for smart teams. Should more European clubs be trying to get players BACK from Saudi? The episode ends with Kai Havertz' season ending injury. Should Arsenal have made a move in January? Enjoy!

Neel's article on Man City's huge January window: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/manchester-city-spent-180m-planning-for-the-future

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Follow us on our Socials:

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:04 - Neel’s Manchester City transfer article

03:17 - Marmoush is the biggest impact for this season

04:35 - These transfers were meant to rejuvenate an aging squad

05:16 - The transfers did not play early

05:53 - The start of the game + Real Madrid’s initial plan

07:29 - City should have taken more advantage of Madrid’s poor start

07:49 - City have forgotten how to close out games

09:48 - The pressing in this game was staggeringly incompetent

10:35 - Bellingham grew as the game went on

11:18 - Their 2020 matchup and the similarities between the games

12:42 - City’s intensity dropped in the second half

14:49 - The threat of Vinicius vs. De Bruyne

15:42 - Will City become more of a transition side with Marmoush?

17:28 - City must score early in the 2nd leg

18:28 - Quick roundup of Tuesday’s UCL games

18:55 - Juventus vs. PSV

21:33 - Dortmund vs Sporting + the transition to Kovac

24:42 - Opportunities for teams in the Saudi Pro League

25:46 - How many foreign players in the Saudi Pro League?

26:58 - Teams are maxed out - No more huge market movement

27:48 - Fofana example + the opportunity to get players to improve European teams

28:49 - Teams have to be careful with wages

31:08 - Players now have to be careful about getting replaced in a few years time

32:29 - The difference between Saudi and the Chinese Super League

35:16 - Kai Havertz out for the season for Arsenal

36:04 - The timing of moves matters

37:31 - Rotating players to avoid injuries during long seasons

39:06 - Arsenal have ran their stars into the ground

39:45 - Options to replace Havertz + players returning from injury for Arsenal

40:42 - Arteta needs to think about his 13/14 key player rotation + Using Arsenal’s great academy

42:16 - The amount of games are not going to go down ($$$$$$)

42:55 - Where to find Neel

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Ted Knutson, a former professional gambler, shares his picks for every Premier League match this weekend and explains why you shouldn’t chase the action on weeks where the total bet number is small. He then goes over some of the reads he shared on social media earlier this week. Enjoy!

Get better prices on Bet105: https://btone.servclick1move.com/?mid=248446_1462437&utm_source=www.thetransferflow.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=variance-betting-17-jan-2025&_bhlid=379169a1e683fa1a289c2ed91425b14a56c4246c

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Follow us on our Socials:

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

00:16 - Bet105

02:28 - Brighton v Chelsea

04:04 - The best players are only worth so much to lines, even Messi and Ronaldo

04:43 - Leicester v Arsenal

06:24 - Fulham v Forest

06:55 - Southampton v Bournemouth

07:45 - Aston Villa v Ipswich

08:33 - Man City v Newcastle

11:08 - West Ham v Brentford

12:07 - Crystal Palace v Everton

13:14 - DON’T chase the action

14:23 - Liverpool v Wolves

15:00 - Tottenham v United

16:57 - Running totals and new bet size

17:56 - Ted’s recent reads on Plymouth and AC Milan

21:11 - More about The Transfer Flow

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Ted and Patrick start by discussing Chelsea's woeful form and their 3-0 loss to Brighton this weekend. Then, the conversation switches to Manchester City and their revived attack. Is Ederson's long ball ability to Haaland and Marmoush the key to saving their season? Next, Arsenal seem to have found their Kai Havertz replacement, but it's not one you would expect. Is Mikel Merino the man for the job going forward? The episode ends with a woeful Tottenham vs. Manchester United game, an apology to Everton fans, and questioning if Liverpool fans should start to get a bit nervous after their last 2 games. Stay tuned to find out about a new venture that Ted and Patrick are planning to launch! Enjoy!

Kim's INEOS roundup: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/tottenham-and-man-united-meet-in-the-disaster-bowl

The singles party Ted Mentions: https://zalevska.webflow.io/korporatyv-eng?fbclid=PAY2xjawIgUyFleHRuA2FlbQIxMQABpt1fCOH1LFRprRYsrkjme9YNvHf3jEzhHhjK6K_1gUJkMpCKrSINKTr7Qw_aem_rBiF6cicDe8OwUAqTsAoGg

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Follow us on our Socials:

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00:00 - Intro

00:00:48 - New host hires

00:01:39 - A damaging for months for Chelsea

00:03:08 - Sanchez finally out of goal

00:03:58 - Chalaba and Colwill

00:05:17 - Ederson vs Raya vs Sanchez distribution

00:07:08 - Is it a coaching issue? + Cucurella struggles

00:08:03 - Very high PPDA for Chelsea

00:09:51 - How Arsenal play out of possession + Wenger anecdote

00:12:47 - Nicolas Jackson out 6-8 weeks

00:13:28 - Marmoush, Haaland, and Ederson

00:15:27 - Haaland takes so much attention

00:17:33 - Newcastle vs. United

00:19:17 - Spurs games are FUN for neutrals

00:20:16 - United completed 2 dribbles and Zirkzee playing like Felliani

00:21:17 - Amorim has dealt with injuries, but United are BAD

00:22:35 - Ted’s preseason prediction

00:24:23 - Kim’s INEOS writeup

00:24:58 - Arsenal’s new number 9 + Raheem sterling seems DONE

00:27:32 - Mikel Merino slotting in as your center forward

00:28:42 - Merino = Land shark

00:30:18 - An apology tour for our Everton takes

00:30:46 - Same level of play, different results

00:32:36 - Will this run continue?

00:35:14 - Should Liverpool fans be concerned?

00:36:34 - Salah is playing great, but he will need some rest

00:37:36 - A tough run of games coming up

00:38:35 - Liverpool’s FA cup loss could help them rest

00:39:36 - Share your topic suggestions with us!

00:40:24 - Ted and Patrick’s new podcast

00:41:33 - Patrick’s thoughts on Another Round

00:43:45 - Ted’s TikTok inspired adventure

00:47:45 - Ted’s history

00:49:18 - No history of dating with smartphones or on apps

00:50:52 - Experimenting to optimize Ted’s profile

00:52:08 - Why Patrick is qualified to speak on this topic

00:54:25 - What the podcast will be about

00:55:22 - Pilates and Yoga are a great way for men to meet people

00:56:29 - Ted gets vulnerable and talks about himself

01:00:36 - Breaking up with someone, but breaking your own heart

01:03:28 - Doubling down to vulnerability after being avoidant

01:05:29 - Men love sports because they get to feel

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Hayden and Patrick discuss Kylian Mbappe and Real Madrid dismantling Manchester City, 3-1. What caused City’s defense to collapse, could this be a good thing for City, and have things finally clicked for Real Madrid? Next, Atalanta was shocked by Club Brugge in both legs and their manager had harsh comments for their star player after the game. Is Ademola Lookman’s time at Atalanta done after this season? Then, Italian teams struggled in the Champions League while Dutch clubs had great success. What caused this sudden deviation from expectations? And finally, the title race in La Liga is heating up with Barcelona, Real Madrid, and Atletico Madrid separated by just one point. Who is in the best position to win the title? Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Follow us on our Socials:

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

00:59 - Real Madrid Defeat Manchester City 3-1

02:28 - Mbappe was a mismatch

03:18 - Was it coaching or the players making mistakes?

05:09 - How Madrid got their goals

06:01 - Man City get a break now and Madrid REALLY needed this

07:47 - Have things clicked for Madrid?

09:36 - Atalanta lose to Club Brugge in both legs

11:53 - Tolio’s red card

12:22 - Lookman penalty situation + Gasperini’s response

14:33 - Lookman’s response and reactions

15:49 - Will Lookman leave in the summer?

17:35 - Potential landing spots for Lookman

19:58 - Italian clubs suffered while Dutch teams excelled

21:32 - PSV have been excellent for 18 months

22:54 - Why can’t Serie A clubs perform in the UCL + Juventus continue to be BORING

25:26 - Has Peter Bosz improved as a manager?

26:56 - PSV have let Ajax back into the Eredivisie title race

28:12 - Feyenoord will be a tough environment for visiting teams next round

29:46 - The La Liga title race

30:40 - Barcelona, Real Madrid, and Atletico are in a stalemate

31:33 - Are Barcelona in the best position to win La Liga and will Real Madrid focus on the Champions League?

33:06 - Unsung heroes performing for Barca/Real Madrid

33:47 - Does signing players from the top end of the market mean they are able to solve problems better?

34:58 - Jude Bellingham’s ability to be better than the opponent when needed

36:32 - Messi is another problem solver

37:20 - Players Hayden worked with that surprised him with what they saw

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Patrick and Neel discuss Manchester City’s 2-0 loss to Liverpool over the weekend. How reliant are City on Haaland, is this Mo Salah’s best form EVER, and is it finally time to call Kevin De Bruyne washed? Then, the conversation switches to the race for the Champions League spots. Will City secure a spot, or will one of Chelsea, Forest, Newcastle, Bournemouth, or Aston Villa knock them out? Next, Bayern defeated 3rd place Eintracht Frankfurt 4-0 over the weekend, but do they have weaknesses that may cost them in the Champions League? And finally, the Serie A title race is as close as ever. Who will be on top when the season ends? All that and more on today’s episode, enjoy!

Kim's newsletter on Mo Salah and when great players become washed:

https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/how-long-can-mohamed-salah-stay-on-top

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Follow us on our Socials:

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

01:20 - Liverpool vs Manchester City 2-0

02:22 - City’s Issues with Haaland out

03:19 - City’s success hinges on Haaland’s fitness

04:09 - Liverpool’s passive press

06:43 - Arne Slot and the press

08:53 - Salah’s Best ever form? and Kim’s article on when players become washed

09:59 - Kevin De Bruyne might be past it

11:03 - How Liverpool are reliant on Salah

12:40 - How do Liverpool figure out Salah’s contract given his form and age?

14:26 - A whole right-sided rebuild is coming?

15:39 - Will City make the champions league next season + Top 5 predictions

18:00 - How european matches may impact the top 5 race

21:02 - Final spot predictions

21:44 - Bayern pummel Eintracht Frankfurt 4-0 + Freiburg goal difference

24:25 - How good Bayern can be + Frankfurt's Marmoush replacement

25:25 - What are Bayern not good at?

27:13 - How teams can hurt Bayern in transition

30:41 - Bayern's draw in the UCL and their chances there

31:54 - Can Inter trouble Bayern in the next round?

33:42 - What’s going on with Leipzig?

35:56 - The difficulties of trying to switch styles of play

37:21 - The Serie A title race narrows

39:20 - Atalanta ahead of Napoli, but are Inter still the favorites?

41:36 - Inter vs Napoli next weekend

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Patrick and Hayden discuss the Championship playoff race. Leeds seem poised to take the top spot, but who will get the second automatic promotion seed and who will make the playoffs? Then, Manchester United have fired MORE staff and cut back on their canteen under INEOS and Jim Ratcliffe. Why would they do this, how does this impact the staff, and what do they need to do going forward? The episode ends with each host sharing a player that you NEED to watch as the season comes to a close. Enjoy!

Our episode with NTT20 to start the season: https://youtu.be/_LymoQM0MvE?feature=shared

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Follow us on our Socials:

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

00:51 - The Championship playoff race

01:51 - Burnley’s defense and Leeds’ attack

03:06 - Promoted teams having to reinvent themselves

03:58 - Burnley’s retooling and a bet with J.J. Watt

05:17 - The race for second

06:20 - Spots 3-6 are WIDE open

07:42 - Hope for Middlesbrough?

09:52 - Frank Lampard and Coventry

12:31 - Lampard didn’t revolutionize much, but brought what the team needed

14:19 - Predicting the top 6 that will make the playoffs

17:11 - Patrick’s predictions

18:24 - Manchester United cutting 200 more jobs + food options

20:19 - Why teams have meals for their staff

21:58 - Why would United make these cuts?

23:46 - United don’t need someone to develop a culture of excellence

25:34 - United’s commitment to Amorim

27:06 - United still have players coming into the first team despite their troubles

27:47 - 2 Players you should be watching

29:14 - Jorthy Mokio

31:04 - Who does Mokio compare to?

32:43 - Ajax is a good place for him to develop

34:12 - Patrick’s player - Emanuel Emegha

35:44 - Benefiting from a weak league?

37:13 - Emegha’s ability to use both feet

38:14 - Comparison to Dembele’s ability and recent form

38:59 - The traditional number 9 is making a comeback

40:43 - Is he someone to take a chance on this summer?

#manchesterunited #manutd #premierleague #efl #eflchampionship #leedsunited #sheffieldunited #burnley #coventry #football #soccer

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Ted and Patrick break down every matchup in the Champions League Round of 16. Will Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid, PSG vs. Liverpool, and Benfica vs. Barcelona be the standout matches of the round, or will we see a surprise result? Enjoy!

Ted's article on recruitment from Monday: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/what-recruitment-teams-are-doing-right-now

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Follow us on our Socials:

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:14 - Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid

02:19 - Was Modric starting vs Betis the right call?

03:01 - Isco’s performance and history

05:29 - Atletico are looking great

07:01 - Julian Alvarez’ insane form

08:17 - How will Real Madrid beat Atletico’s defense?

10:23 - La Liga standings are crazy right now

10:46 - PSV vs Arsenal and Arteta’s Haramball

12:19 - Liverpool vs PSG and Dembele’s form

13:15 - Liverpool’s physicality + PSG’s attack

15:24 - Gamblers thoughts on the game

15:57 - Salah vs PSG’s defense

17:34 - Luis Enrique vs Arne Slot?

17:57 - Benfica Barcelona

18:43 - Dortmund vs Lille tangent

19:14 - Barcelona’s recent form and Benfica won’t make it easy

19:56 - Club Brugge vs Aston Villa

21:38 - Bayern Munich vs Bayer Leverkusen

22:20 - Will Leverkusen beat Bayern AGAIN?

24:08 - You can’t judge teams now based on their early season form

24:42 - Bayern withdraw Kimmich contract offer + Next team and replacements

26:03 - Finding valuable archetypes

28:31 - Feyenoord vs Inter Milan and Inter v Napoli

29:02 - Inter stopped attacking

31:05 - Hope for Feyenoord? No, look at their injury list

33:37 - An exciting round of fixtures

34:05 - Patrick’s disclaimer

35:06 - Ted and Patrick’s new venture

36:10 - B-Roll

36:15 - Watching 4 games at once and being cool in school

37:23 - Commentators having no clue what they’re talking about

39:59 - Cristiano Ronaldo Free-kick perception vs Lionel Messi’s

40:48 - Ted and Patrick’s beef with Journalists

42:39 - Patrick goes off

44:32 - Ted’s story time from his time working in football

49:41 - Ted’s (almost) time at Lyon

51:07 - Ridiculed for leaning on a goalpost

52:36 - Patrick’s realization and more honesty from him

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Patrick and Neel take a look at the Champions league Games from Tuesday, focusing on Real Madrid's 2-1 win over Atletico Madrid and Arsenal's 7-1 BATTERING of PSV. How did Real Madrid get the advantage and what can Atletico do to win in the 2nd leg? Why did Arteta decide to play such attacking football? Plus two players you NEED to watch Wednesday, Vangelis Pavlidis and Igor Paixão. Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Follow us on our Socials:

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:03 - Real Madrid Defeat Atletico Madrid, 2-1

01:51 - Individual efforts were the story of the game

02:56 - Real Madrid and Ancelotti are breaking the mold of top teams

05:31 - If not for Alvarez, Atletico would have produced very little

07:05 - Real Madrid dropping their defensive line

07:51 - Luka Modric’s introduction to the game

08:53 - Atletico are good are breaching high lines

10:25 - Atletico’s defense was shocking on the second goal

12:27 - Atletico can shop for defensive centerbacks that other big teams wouldn’t go for

14:14 - How can Real Madrid be exploited in the 2nd leg?

17:28 - Arsenal BATTER PSV

17:55 - Why no haramball from Arteta?

19:12 - Arsenal beat PSV at their own game

20:16 - Was the scoreline a bit harsh?

21:54 - Benitez had a horrible game

23:33 - Dortmund vs Lille was definitely a game of football

23:44 - Club Brugge vs Aston Villa and pure haramball from Emery

24:51 - The last goal makes it REALLY hard for Club Brugge to comeback, but they’ve had a great campaign

25:36 - Brugge’s young talent

28:22 - PLEASE watch the Madrid derby next week instead of Villa v Brugge

29:05 - Pavlidis has been on a TEAR for Benfica

30:05 - He’s 3rd in the UCL in non-penalty expected goals

31:23 - His movement is what sets him appart

33:33 - Benfica have made some interesting Striker signings

38:30 - Pavlidis’ left foot

39:56 - Igor Paixao is a player to watch Wednesday for Feyenoord

41:41 - Paixao’s shot map and decision making

42:30 - Inter have defensive problems

43:09 - Will he leave the Eredevisie?

44:21 - Premier League fit + Playing with Yankuba Minteh

45:15 - Paixao is dynamic, but lacking in the final third

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Patrick and Ted discuss how the numbers may have lied about the first leg of PSG vs. LIverpool and what they mean for the 2nd leg. Then, Arsenal have hired Andrea Berta to be their next director of football. Who is he, what does he need to do, and how should Arsenal fans feel about the hire? Next, a quick look at games from the Bundesliga over the weekend and a discussion on how fitness professionals can impact teams the most. The episode ends with a look at Claudio Ranieri’s Roma team, Inter Milan being a good longshot for the UCL, the Serie A table, and Arsenal vs. Manchester United. Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Follow us on our Socials:

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:22 - PSG vs Liverpool

01:59 - Stats from the game

03:22 - 1st half vs 2nd half

05:01 - PSG were much more open in the 2nd half

06:08 - How does this line up for the 2nd leg?

06:59 - You can’t just “be more defensive”

08:25 - PSG needs to allow their creativity to create chances, not pound shots

11:09 - A look at the Champions League matches

12:23 - Arsenal hire Andrea Berta as director of football

13:16 - How the media handle these things and Raul Senllehi

16:03 - Arsenal have a clear idea of what they need to do

17:07 - Why the Berta hire makes sense

19:21 - Saka coming back for Arsenal, will he be cautious or come back at full speed?

21:02 -Stability with Arteta should make Arsenal fans feel confident

22:05 - A quick look at the bundesliga - Why were they running so much?

23:33 - Bayern’s PPDA were crazy even with 10 men

25:05 - Sprint management

26:20 - FItness people being on the same page as coaches

26:45 - How fitness coaches can give teams absurd value

27:51 - We’re hiring!

28:48 - Rainieri and Roma

30:13 - Napoli are in a rough stretch

30:39 - Inter a sharp bet to win the UCL?

32:22 - The Italian table

33:51 - We’ll talk the top 5 race in England next week

35:04 - Raya was UNBELIEVEABLE for Arsenal v. Manchester United

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Patrick and Hayden break down the action from Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid, PSG vs. Liverpool, Barcelona vs. Benfica, and Dortmund vs. Lille and look ahead to the quarterfinal matchups. Can Arsenal defeat Real Madrid, will Dortmund upset Barcelona, and who will prevail in Bayern Munich vs Inter Milan? The episode ends with predictions for the next UCL round. Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Follow us on our Socials:

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

00:00 - Intro

00:33 - New UCL Format + a great 2 days of games

01:14 - PSG shock Liverpool

02:52 - Did Slot’s gameplan make sense?

03:26 - Luis Enrique’s tactics and Dembele

04:33 - Donarumma was VULNERABLE early

05:42 - If you can weather PSG’s storm they drop off considerably

06:38 - How PSG’s “micro-midfield” ran the game

07:43 - How does PSG stack up against Aston Villa?

10:01 - Luis Enrique is an excellent problem solver

11:09 - Real Madrid SURVIVE Atletico Madrid

12:05 - Modric and Bellingham did not have a geat game

14:22 - Real Madrid need someone other than Vinicius and Mbappe to unlock defenses

15:10 - What will Arsenal’s gameplan be?

17:04 - If Saka is back, how will Arsenal set up?

18:56 - Saka’s gravity and two-footedness

20:16 - Barcelona vs Dortmund

20:41 - Lille scored “too quickly” against Dortmund

21:38 - Barcelona will NOT allow Dortmund to have the ball and attack all game

22:03 - Raphinha is in ridiculous form + Barcelona matchup perfectly against Dortmund

23:29 - Barcelona can score their way out of trouble

24:46 - Lewandowski might be declining, but he’s what Barcelona need

26:10 - Bayern Munich vs. Inter Milan

26:41 - Will Bayern break down Inter, or will Inter be able to counterattack?

27:34 - The biggest game of Vincent Kompany’s managerial career

29:15 - Does each club's domestic title race impact this matchup?

31:01 - UCL Quarterfinals predictions

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Ted and Patrick begin by discussing Barcelona's 4-2 comeback victory over Atletico Madrid. What went wrong for Atleti and what does it mean for the La Liga title race? After a quick discussion of Villarreal vs Real Madrid, the conversation switches to Newcastle's 2-0 victory over Liverpool to claim their first trophy in 56 years. How can the Magpies build off this moment? Then, Inter Milan has a firm lead in Serie A, but will Champions League commitments and lack of depth hurt their title aspirations? The episode finishes with Chelsea fans finally seeing the truth and if Como are preparing to spend this summer. Enjoy!

Don't miss Ted and Patrick's new podcast - ManDown: https://www.youtube.com/@mandown.podcast

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Follow us on our Socials:

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

00:00 - Intro

00:39 - Ted’s shoutout

02:37 - Podcasts as a record of yourself to leave behind

03:33 - Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona

04:42 - How Atleti exploited Barca’s high line

05:56 - Why xG is an imperfect metric

07:11 - South American strikers and Wenger

08:41 - Lewandowski’s ridiculous finish

09:15 - Did an uncalled handball lead to the finish we got?

10:00 - Lamine Yamal’s goal and Goalkeepers vs. deflections

11:24 - Atleti didn’t deserve the results they got this week

12:09 - Villarreal vs Real Madrid

13:24 - Even when Real Madrid are off they find a way to win

14:15 - La Liga table

16:27 - With no UCL, Atleti can focus on the La Liga race

18:10 - Raphinha to Man United for £70M?

20:04 - Patrick and Ted’s NEW podcast

20:47 - Newcastle Win the Leagues Cup and end their trophy drought

21:15 - Why was Mac Allister marking Dan Burn?

23:55 - How Liverpool uses Salah’s movement before they win the ball back

24:52 - Leicester City and Mourinho’s Real Madrid were great at countering from corners

26:14 - How Newcastle countered this strategy

27:56 - Joelinton’s physicality

29:24 - Newcastle are good at frustrating top sides, but are not set up to deal with bad teams every week

30:14 - Newcastle will have to do some squad building in the summer

31:56 - Inter Milan vs Atalanta and Ederson’s red card

33:37 - Inter really didn’t do much until the red card

34:07 - Depth a problem with Inter still being in the UCL or is the international break more scary?

35:54 - Chelsea fans are finally seeing the truth

37:00 - It looked like Chelsea were off to a great start, but the problems are showing now

38:04 - Jackson and Palmer can’t ALWAYS save chelsea

38:55 - First season with a new manager, give Maresca time to adapt

40:32 - Como and Cesc Fabregas

41:51 - will Como spend big this summer?

43:07 - Will Juventus fire Motta?

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Patrick and Ted discuss who will claim the Premier League’s remaining champions league spots. Will the table stay it is with Chelsea and Manchester City staying safe, or will Newcastle, Bournemouth, or someone else knock them out? Then, the transfer rumour window is heating up. Patrick fires rumours from the weekend at Ted to see if they are a good idea or bad idea, as well as plausible or straight BS. Enjoy!Ted's Variance Betting update: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/the-insider-scoop-on-variance-betting-march-update

Don't miss Ted and Patrick's new podcast - ManDown: https://www.youtube.com/@ManDown.Podcast

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Follow us on our Socials:

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00:00 - Intro

00:00:36 - Mandown Podast launch!

00:01:47 - The Race for UCL spots in the premier league

00:02:30 - Futures bets

00:03:30 - Fixture congestion + remaining schedule

00:04:51 - Nottingham Forest have been pretty lucky, but are seemingly safe

00:06:29 - Why this season has been so weird

00:07:56 - 10th place Bournemouth

00:10:35 - A good long-shot bet?

00:10:56 - Manchester City SHOULD be fine

00:11:51 - Haaland is back

00:12:13 - Odds to finish in the top 5

00:13:48 - Are Chelsea in trouble?

00:14:10 - DGF explanation

00:15:37 - Palmer has been mortal since Christmas

00:16:12 - Chelsea’s injury problems

00:17:50 - Uptick in possession, but worse results?

00:18:41 - Arsenal are the only team of that style that destroys transition

00:20:35 - So will Chelsea drop out?

00:21:05 - Newcastle and Brighton’s resurgence

00:22:10 - Newcastle fans are angry at us

00:23:33 - Newcastle’s remaining games

00:24:50 - Are Brighton good now?

00:27:07 - Danny Welbeck

00:27:31 - Brighton’s schedule

00:28:26 - Matthew Benham/Tony Bloom rivalry

00:30:30 - Aston Villa’s should focus on the Champions League

00:31:29 - Poor goal difference and bad underlying numbers

00:32:47 - Some Parisian slander

00:34:00 - Patrick’s final predictions

00:34:40 - Ted’s prediction

00:35:31 - Ted’s Red Star story

00:40:01 - Early transfer window rumours

00:40:39 - Rashford to Villa for 40M?

00:42:09 - Why this is a bad idea for Villa

00:43:07 - Felix Nmecha to Man United?

00:44:01 - Lack of ball progression with Nmecha and Ugarte

00:44:17 - Xavi Simons to Liverpool?

00:45:26 - Rebuilding bad teams and strengthening good teams

00:45:59 - Adam Wharton to Manchester City for 70M, is it too little money?

00:47:10 - Tyler Dibling to Spurs

00:49:07 - Good dribbler, but no end product

00:49:20 - Angel Gomes to West Ham on a free

00:50:10 - Caoimhin Kelleher to Bournemouth?

00:53:34- B-roll Conversations

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.