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DateTitreDurée
03 Feb 2022Episode 148: UPRO Questions, Stand-Up Philosophizing, A UPAR Strategy And A Free New Tool!00:32:45

In this episode we address emails from Rory (x2), Frank, Andy and Mark.  We discuss UPRO issues, where to put gold, role models for retirement, Andy's experiments with UPAR and Mark's wonderful new tool and options strategies for reducing stock market risk.

Links:

Kitces Analysis of Morningstar Safe Withdrawal Rate Report:  Can Morningstar's Withdrawal Rate Report Refute The 4% Rule? (kitces.com)

Andy's UPAR Bogleheads Forum Link:  The Tobin Two-Fund Portfolio - Bogleheads.org

Mark's Most Excellent Portfolio Shortcutter Tool:  https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1lG18XrJA8-oODSNC0nV2T5nyVPAByU7p901oYn_ECDw/edit#gid=1553040997

A famous stand-up philosopher:  A Standup Philosopher - YouTube

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05 Feb 2022Episode 149: His Dudeness, Young Paduwan Portfolio, Insurance Companies and Tail Risk, Data Discussions and Portfolio Reviews As Of February 4, 202200:39:39

In this episode we answer questions from Alexi, Vaughn, Yamini, Jamie (x2) and Adam.  We discuss merger arbitrage as an asset class, the Macro-Allocation Principle applied to an accumulation portfolio, the benefits of investing in insurance companies, tail risk parity and the my favorite science paper and considerations about the lack of really old data.

And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the seven sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio

Additional links:

Alexi's podcast reference:  Why Merger Arb Works (aqr.com)

Alexi's correlation analysis of merger arbitrage funds:  Asset Correlations (portfoliovisualizer.com)

Artemis Capital Research Page:  Research & Market Views — Artemis (artemiscm.com)

Artemis Hawk and Serpent Paper:  DocSend

Correlation Analysis of Insurance ETFs:  Asset Correlations of KBWP (portfoliovisualizer.com)

Tail Risk Parity Paper:  Tail Risk Parity  (alliancebernstein.com)

More Is Different Science Paper:  anderson72more_is_different.pdf (tamu.edu)

Kitces Article re 4% Rule:  Can Morningstar's Withdrawal Rate Report Refute The 4% Rule? (kitces.com)

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09 Feb 2022Episode 150: A REIT Extravaganza, His Dudeness (Again), The New Perfect Portfolio Book And Talking PFF00:25:01

In this episode we answer questions from Steve, Alexi, Mycontactinfo and Brandon.  We discuss choosing REITS better than you might with a REIT fund, "inflation winners and losers", the new "In Pursuit of the Perfect Portfolio" book, and the preferred shares fund PFF.

Links:

VNQ holdings:  VNQ - Vanguard Real Estate ETF | Vanguard

NAREIT REIT Sectors:  REIT Sectors | Nareit

REIT correlation matrix:  Asset Correlations (portfoliovisualizer.com)

Alexi's Article on Assets that Benefit from Inflation:  What Works When Inflation Hits? | Man Institute | Man Group

Perfect Portfolio book link:  In Pursuit of the Perfect Portfolio | Princeton University Press

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13 Feb 2022Episode 151: Portfolio Mods, More TIP Thrashing, Dividends And Gran Torinos, And Our Portfolio Reviews As Of February 11, 202200:44:52

In this episode we answer emails from Julie T, Justin, Jeffrey, Anderson and the mysterious Mycontactinfo.   We discuss Golden Ratio modifications, TIPs vs. commodities and stocks for inflation YTD, asset roles in Risk Parity Portfolios, volatility funds, the good, bad and ugly of dividend investing, ideas for future episodes and Professor Lo's new book (again). 

And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the seven sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.

Additional Links:

Golden Ratio Portfolio with Utilities:  Backtest Portfolio Asset Allocation (portfoliovisualizer.com)

Money For The Rest of Us Podcast Episode #374:  Lifecycle Investing, Risk Parity Portfolios, and Why Stocks Are Riskier in the Long Run

Money For The Rest of Us Podcast Episode #306:  Three Approaches to Asset Allocation | Money For The Rest of Us

Jeffrey's Link re Dividend Investing:  Dividend Millionaires - The Compound Investor

Dividend Collapses Article:  The Biggest Dividend Stock Collapses of All Time - Dividend.com

Link To Podcast With Professor Lo:  Andrew Lo: Finding the Perfect Portfolio--a 'Never-Ending Journey' | Morningstar
 

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16 Feb 2022Episode 152: An Analysis Of ProShares UltraPro S&P500 Fund (UPRO)00:23:05

In this episode we give Mary a break and analyze the ProShares Ultrapro S&P500 ETF, ticker symbol UPRO, using David Stein's Ten Questions to Master Investing, which are:

1.  What is it?
2.  Is it an investment, a speculation, or a gamble?
3.  What is the upside?
4.  What is the downside?
5.  Who is on the other side of the trade?
6.  What is the investment vehicle?
7.  What does it take to be successful?
8.  Who is getting a cut?
9.  How does it impact your portfolio?
10.  Should you invest?

This fund analysis was suggested/requested by listener Anderson.

Links:

UPRO Fact Sheet:   Prosharesfactsheetupro.pdf

UPRO Summary Prospectus:   UPRO_summary_prospectus.pdf (proshares.com)

UPRO Semi-Annual Report:  Report 11-30-2021 (proshares.com)

Leveraged Funds And How They Work:  What Is a Leveraged ETF and How Do They Work? (optimizedportfolio.com)

Nine Best Leveraged Funds Article:  The 9 Best Leveraged ETFs To Enhance Portfolio Exposure (2022) (optimizedportfolio.com)

Leverage Generally And Links To Sample Levered Portfolios:  Leverage | Optimized Portfolio


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19 Feb 2022Episode 153: These Are The Days Of Investing Philosophies and Books, A Visit From Sweden, The Golden Ratio And Portfolio Reviews As Of February 18, 202200:37:09

In this episode we attend to emails from Justin, Mycontactinfo, Ron, Bastian and Dustin.   We discuss the UPRO stock split, Dan Pink's Drive and flow states, Laurence Kotlikoff books and the nature of reality and uncertainty, having a look at PICK and EWD, and more variations on the Golden Ratio portfolio.

And THEN we put you to sleep with our weekly portfolio reviews of the seven sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.

Additional links:

Mark's Cool Portfolio Shortcutter Tool:  https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1lG18XrJA8-oODSNC0nV2T5nyVPAByU7p901oYn_ECDw/edit#gid=1553040997

RSA Animate "Drive" video:   RSA ANIMATE: Drive: The surprising truth about what motivates us - YouTube

Kotlikoff's latest book:  Money Magic: An Economist’s Secrets to More Money, Less Risk, and a Better Life: Kotlikoff, Laurence: 9780316541954: Amazon.com: Books

The Rise of Superman book:  The Rise of Superman: Decoding the Science of Ultimate Human Performance by Steven Kotler | Goodreads

The Art of Impossible book:  The Art of Impossible: A Peak Performance Primer by Steven Kotler | Goodreads

Correlation Analysis of PICK and EWD:  Asset Correlations (portfoliovisualizer.com)

FXIFX vs. Golden Ratio Portfolio:  Backtest Portfolio Asset Allocation (portfoliovisualizer.com)

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23 Feb 2022Episode 154: Leverage In Accumulation, Nice Dinners And Mary Releases The Bees00:20:49

In this episode we address emails from Brandon, Scot, Junior, Tony and Chris.   We address using leverage in accumulation portfolios, thanks to Scot, how QYLD resembles a 1987 Chrysler LeBaron, the UPRO stock split (again), and sources of gold data.

Links:

Ben Felix Video About Leverage:  Investing With Leverage (Borrowing to Invest, Leveraged ETFs) - YouTube

AQR Paper About Leverage:  Alternative Thinking Why Do Most Investors Choose Concentration Over Leverage.pdf

Portfolio Visualizer Destruction of QYLD:  Backtest Portfolio Asset Allocation (portfoliovisualizer.com)

The 1987 Chrysler LeBaron Convertible:  1987 Chrysler LeBaron Indy Pace Car Convertible - YouTube

Chris's Bogleheads Link:  Simba's backtesting spreadsheet - Bogleheads

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26 Feb 2022Episode 155: Problems With Pros, Anti-Beta ETFs, Golden Ratio Considerations And Portfolio Reviews As Of February 25, 202200:30:43

In this episode we address emails from Chris, Kevin from Canada, Davis, Amy and Mark.  We discuss RPAR's performance issues, A Canadian Anti-Beta ETF and academic analysis of those strategies, using utilities in the Golden Ratio portfolio, frontier markets and international factor funds, decumulation mechanisms and the Golden Ratio sample portfolio, and DFA-like funds.

And THEN we put you to sleep with our weekly portfolio reviews of the seven sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.

Additional links:

RPAR Fact Sheet:  RPAR Risk Parity ETF (rparetf.com)

Anti-Beta Strategies Paper:  Microsoft Word - BettingAgainstBeta - 20101129.doc (nber.org)

FM/EEM Correlation Analysis:  Asset Correlations (portfoliovisualizer.com)

DFA ETFs table:  Dimensional ETFs

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02 Mar 2022Episode 156: International Funds And Value, The Accelerated Permanent Portfolio And More!00:27:10

In this episode we address emails and messages from Nathan, Michael, MyContactInfo and Visitor 5225.  We discuss correlations of international funds vs. small cap value funds, new international small cap value funds, the plusses and minuses of the Accelerated Permanent Portfolio, Aswath Damdaran and the follies of dividend investing, and my email address.  Whoa!

And THEN we look at monthly distributions and returns of the seven sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.

Additional links:

International and small cap value correlation analysis:  Asset Correlations (portfoliovisualizer.com)

Bogleheads Podcast Featuring Eduardo Repetto:  Episode 43: Bogleheads on Investing – guest Eduardo Repetto, host Rick Ferri – Rick Ferri, CFA

Video Lecture of Aswath Damodaran re Dividends:    Damodaran on Dividends - YouTube


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09 Mar 2022Episode 157: Ukraine Is Not Weak, Comparison Tools And Unwinding Annuities00:23:50

In this episode we give a shout out to our listeners in Ukraine and answer emails from Darren, Jeffrey and Ron.  We discuss World Central Kitchen, comparison tools for non-U.S. funds, the Portfolio Visualizer Financial Goals tool, shorter-term use of risk parity portfolios, the disgusting problem of unwinding poorly performing annuity products and some customized risk-parity style portfolios.

Links:

World Central Kitchen charity for Ukraine:  World Central Kitchen (wck.org)

Marketwatch example of non-U.S. fund:  VWRL | Vanguard FTSE All-World ETF Advanced Charts | MarketWatch

Portfolio Visualizer Financial Goals analysis tool:  Financial Goals (portfoliovisualizer.com)

Ron's Custom Portfolios:  Backtest Portfolio Asset Allocation (portfoliovisualizer.com)

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12 Mar 2022Episode 158: Composer And Other Emails And Our Scary Portfolio Reviews As Of March 11, 202200:28:58

In this episode we address emails from Julie T., Julie H. Jeff and Colin.  We discuss the automated trading platform Composer, places to learn about crypto and NFTs, the growth factor in equities, the fund PRWCX, a modified Golden Butterfly portfolio, and using ABLE accounts for the "family match".

And THEN we scar you with our weekly portfolio reviews of the seven sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.

Additional links:

The Composer website:  Composer – Automated trading platform.

Modern Finance podcast:  Modern Finance – MoFi

Proof podcast re NFTs:  PROOF

Bitcoin Fundamentals podcast:  Bitcoin Fundamentals: A Podcast on Bitcoin - The Investor's Podcast Network (theinvestorspodcast.com)

Portfolio Visualizer Growth Fund/Total Stock Fund Correlations:  Asset Correlations (portfoliovisualizer.com)

PRWCX vs. Golden Ratio:  Backtest Portfolio Asset Allocation (portfoliovisualizer.com)

Colin's Modified Golden Butterfly:   Backtest Portfolio Asset Class Allocation (portfoliovisualizer.com)

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17 Mar 2022Episode 159: Burn Baby Burn With A New Rant Re Financial Mis-wisdom And Bonus Emails00:44:16

In this episode we begin with a rant about a Think Advisor article about what financial services is all about -- the PARTY CIRCUIT.  And the we address emails from the Nameless One, Kyu, Brian and Eric.  We discuss the original Permanent Portfolio and modifications to the Golden Butterfly portfolio, the tax feature of the Portfolio Visualizer Monte Carlo simulator, efficient allocations in taxable, tax-deferred and tax protected accounts, considerations surrounding expected returns of asset classes and the problems with cash drags in portfolio construction, and the BITW fund and alternatives.

Links:

Think Advisor article:  How Advisors Do the Party Circuit | ThinkAdvisor

"Nimble Golden Butterfly" modifications:  Backtest Portfolio Asset Class Allocation (portfoliovisualizer.com)

Risk Parity Radio Tutorial Video re Portfolio Visualizer Monte Carlo Simulator:  Tutorial #4: Portfolio Visualizer Monte Carlo Simulator -- Introduction - YouTube

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20 Mar 2022Episode 160: Blowing Up The Deathstar (Again!) And Our Weekly Portfolio Reviews As Of March 18, 202200:42:03

In this episode we address emails from Thomas, Karen and Jeffrey.  We discuss high-performing two-fund portfolios, Bill Bengen and Michael Kitces missiles into the Deathstar's crystal balls and exhaust ports, Karen's portfolio management, an updated and improved shortcut tool for analyses at Portfolio Visualizer and Portfolio Charts, and a query about investing in energy sector stocks.

And THEN we scare you with our weekly portfolio reviews of the seven sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.

Additional links:

NTSX/GLD portfolio and comparison analysis:  Backtest Portfolio Asset Allocation (portfoliovisualizer.com)

Bill Bengen Critique of Morningstar Study:  Is It Now the “3.3% Rule”? - Articles - Advisor Perspectives

Michael Kitces Critique of Morningstar Study:  Can Morningstar's Withdrawal Rate Report Refute The 4% Rule? (kitces.com)

Karen's Mod to Mark's Most Excellent Portfolio Shortcutter Tool:  Karen's update to Mark's Shortcutter - asset class support and older funds - Google Sheets

Portfolio Visualizer Energy Sector Analysis:  Backtest Portfolio Asset Allocation (portfoliovisualizer.com)

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23 Mar 2022Episode 161: Gonna Fly Now With Risk Parity Chronicles And More Listener Emails00:24:12

In this episode we announce the roll out of the Risk Parity Chronicles blog and website from our listener Justin.  We also address emails from MyContactInfo, Spencer, Satoshi and Andre.  We discuss an interview of Eugene Fama about the war in the Ukraine, the ETF SAA (ProShares 2x Small Cap), the inherent problems with analyzing gold in a portfolio pre-1971 and related issues, and how to value a property to be inherited.

Links:

Justin's Risk Parity Chronicles blog and website:  Risk Parity Chronicles  

Summary of Eugene Fama Interview:  Fama: It’s Putin who’s irrational, not the markets | The Evidence-Based Investor (evidenceinvestor.com)

Next Level Life Analysis of Golden Butterfly Portfolio:  The Golden Butterfly Investing Strategy Explained (Most CONSISTENT Investing Strategy Ever?) - YouTube

Article Regarding the London Gold Pool of the 1960s:   London Gold Pool - Wikipedia


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27 Mar 2022Episode 162: Approaching Brazilian TIPs, Treasuries, Insurance Companies, Sector Concentrations And Portfolio Reviews As Of March 25, 202200:32:05

In this episode we answer emails from Luis from Brazil, Paul, Alexi (His Dude-ness), and MyContactInfo (a different one).  We discuss how to analyze Brazilian TIPs and other role-based assets, the trials and tribulations of treasury bonds, the oddly extraordinary performance of property and casualty insurance companies in times like these,  tax considerations in fund-picking and what concentrations in particular stock fund sectors do in risk-parity portfolios.

And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the seven sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio

Additional links:

Analysis of QQQ portfolio vs KBWP portfolio:  Backtest Portfolio Asset Allocation (portfoliovisualizer.com)

Risk Parity Chronicles blog and website:  Risk Parity Chronicles

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31 Mar 2022Episode 163: Let's Put Karen In The Easy Chair And Do A Golden Ratio Case Study!00:37:48

In this episode we read a novella from Karen about how she is constructing her Golden Ratio-style retirement portfolio.   Then we review expense and budgeting considerations, asset locations in multiple accounts, drawing down on a portfolio with ten-year IRAs and the basic options for managing asset sales and distributions.  And a bit on REITs to boot!

Fear?  That's the other retiree's problem!

Episode 160, where we answered Karen's initial question:  Podcast 160| Risk Parity Radio

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02 Apr 2022Episode 164: Transitioning Basics, TIPS, Consumption Smoothing, Plato And Our Portfolio Reviews As Of April 1, 202200:35:17

In this episode we answer emails from Michelle, Brian, Alan and MyContactInfo.  We discuss transitioning from accumulation to decumulation, why TIPS suck (again), consumption smoothing in financial planning and the Allegory of the Cave applied to financial services and media.

And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the seven sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio

Additional Links:

Correlation Analysis of TIPs and Treasuries:  Asset Correlations (portfoliovisualizer.com)

White Coat Investor Article:  Consumption Smoothing is Stupid (whitecoatinvestor.com)

The Allegory of the Cave:  Allegory of the Cave - Wikipedia

Early Retirement Extreme Book:  Early Retirement Extreme: A Philosophical and Practical Guide to Financial Independence by Jacob Lund Fisker | Goodreads

Think Advisor Article With Bad Advice:  Wade Pfau: TIPS and Annuities Good Bets When Inflation Is High | ThinkAdvisor

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06 Apr 2022Episode 165: Treasury Bonds And Tax Loss Harvesting, Infinite Banking At Interactive Brokers And Staying On Message00:32:57

In this episode we answer emails from Mike, John, Jeff, Wang, and Ray.  We discuss recent performance of long-term treasury bonds and tax loss harvesting them, ValueStockGeek's Weird Portfolio (see episodes 113 and 126), borrowing against your portfolio at Interactive Brokers, how to understand criticism and not get caught up in spurious arguments and insults, and staying focused on we are actually trying to do here with advice from Bruce Lee and Ralph Waldo Emerson.

Links:

Weird Portfolio Article:  The Weird Portfolio. How To Avoid Bubbles, Limit Drawdowns… | by Value Stock Geek

IRS Page on Form 4952:  About Form 4952, Investment Interest Expense Deduction | Internal Revenue Service (irs.gov)

Perfect Portfolio book:  In Pursuit of the Perfect Portfolio: The Stories, Voices, and Key Insights of the Pioneers Who Shaped the Way We Invest: Lo, Professor Andrew W: 9780691226446: Amazon.com: Books

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10 Apr 2022Episode 166: Tax Loss Harvesting Funds, Withdrawal Mechanics, Tools And Portfolio Reviews As Of April 8, 202200:27:24

In this episode we answer emails from Mitchell, Alexi (Dude!), Brian and Daniel.  We discuss how to identify similar funds for tax loss harvesting, concentrations and "bad decades", leveraged ETFs in accumulation, using risk-parity portfolios for intermediate accumulations, and withdrawing in retirement from a Golden Butterfly portfolio.

 And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the seven sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio

Additional Links:

Portfolio Visualizer Asset Correlation Tool:  Asset Correlations (portfoliovisualizer.com)

PHYS ETF page and description:  PHYS Keep More of What You Earn (sprott.com)

Ben Felix Video About Leverage:  Investing With Leverage (Borrowing to Invest, Leveraged ETFs) - YouTube

Optimized Portfolio website:  Optimized Portfolio - Investing and Personal Finance

"Buffett's Alpha" White Paper:  Buffett’s Alpha (tandfonline.com)

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13 Apr 2022Episode 167: Portfolio Analysis, New Composite Funds And Pappy O'Daniel's Conflicted Flour Hour00:30:16

In this episode we answer emails from Paul, MyContactInfo, Alex and Marvin.  We discuss Paul's sample portfolio construction, inherent conflicts of interest in financial media and the financial services industry, new Wisdom Tree Funds GDE and GDMN and more conflicts of interest from popular personal finance personalities involving day care centers and milk shake drinkers.

Links:

Portfolio Visualizer Analysis Of Paul's Portfolio:   Backtest Portfolio Asset Class Allocation (portfoliovisualizer.com)

Portfolio Charts Analyzer:  MY PORTFOLIO – Portfolio Charts

Where Are The Customer's Yachts Book:  Where Are the Customers' Yachts?: Or a Good Hard Look at Wall Street by Fred Schwed Jr. | Goodreads

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20 Apr 2022Episode 168: Celebrating With Risk Parity Chronicles, More Cowbell, Dividend Handling, Two-Fund Portfolios And THE DUDE00:30:37

In this episode we answer questions from Doron, George, Eddie J. and Alexi (a/k/a "Duder").  We discuss the Macro-Allocation Principle and when to diversify your stock portfolio, what to do with dividends,  experimenting with leveraged two-fund portfolios and options for investing in volatility and managed futures/trend following with the Dude.

We also talk about reaching 250,000 downloads and about what's happening over at Risk Parity Chronicles.

Links:

Johnny Ball and his Pentagram:  Drawing an Egg (with a Pentagon) - Numberphile - YouTube

Risk Parity Chronicles post re Backtester Tool:  Portfolio Backtest Shortcut Tool explainer (riskparitychronicles.com)

Risk Parity Chronicles tutorial:  Screencast for Portfolio Backtest Shortcut Tool - YouTube

Risk Parity Chronicles Inflation Post:  Best Asset Classes for Surviving Inflation: a test (riskparitychronicles.com)

The Dude's Proposed Dragon-Type Portfolio:  Backtest Portfolio Asset Allocation (portfoliovisualizer.com)

The Dude's Portfolio Correlation Analysis:  Asset Correlations (portfoliovisualizer.com)

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24 Apr 2022Episode 169: Financial Services Industry Musings, Taxes, Budgeting And Our Portfolio Reviews As Of April 22, 202200:34:34

In this episode we answer emails from MyContactInfo (x2), Chris and Karen.  We discuss annuities and conflicts in the financial services industry and why efficient solutions are disfavored, tax considerations for accumulation risk parity portfolios and the joys of budgeting. 

And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the seven sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio

Additional Links:

Interview of Fairfax County Pension Investment Managers:  7 Allocator Series: Learnings from Fairfax County ft. Katherine Molnar and Andrew Spellar— April 6th, 2022 | Top Traders Unplugged

Monte Carlo Simulator At Portfolio Visualizer:  Monte Carlo Simulation (portfoliovisualizer.com)

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27 Apr 2022Episode 170: Lazy Hosts, All About Commodities Funds And Other Musings00:31:22

In this episode we celebrate George's generosity and answer emails from Jeff, Kyle, Richard, Jamie and MyContactInfo.  We discuss ulcer indexes and where to find them, leveraged ETFs and rebalancing, tag GDE again, have a lengthy frolic and detour into commodities funds and how they work, and rant a little more about the financial services industry.

Links:

The Father McKenna Center:  Home - Father McKenna Center

Portfolio Charts Drawdown Calculator with Ulcer Index:  DRAWDOWNS – Portfolio Charts

Optimal Rebalancing Article:  Optimal Rebalancing – Time Horizons Vs Tolerance Bands (kitces.com)

Bloomberg Commodity Index:  Bloomberg Commodity Index - Wikipedia

Deutsche Bank Liquid Commodity Index:  Deutsche Bank Liquid Commodity Index - Wikipedia

Commodities Fund Article:  Investing in Commodity ETFs (investopedia.com)

ETF Database -- Commodities Funds:  Commodities ETFs (etfdb.com)

Risk Parity Chronicles re Assets for Inflation:  Best Asset Classes for Surviving Inflation: a test (riskparitychronicles.com)

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30 Apr 2022Episode 171: Email Assortment And Our Weekly Portfolio Reviews In A Time Of Cholera00:28:08

In this episode we answer emails from Chas, Javen and Pankaj.  We discuss using Berkshire Hathaway in a risk parity-style portfolio, Direxion mutual funds, taxable account considerations (again) and international stock funds (again).

And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the seven sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio

Additional Links:

Direxion Mutual Funds:  Direxion Mutual Funds | Direxion

Episode 27 Re Utilities:  Podcast #27| Risk Parity Radio

Correlation Analysis Of Several International Funds:  Asset Correlations (portfoliovisualizer.com)

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04 May 2022Episode 172: The Joys Of Factor Investing, Valuation Notions And More Leveraged ETFs00:23:55

In this episode we answer emails from Andy, MyContactInfo and James The Flatterer.  We discuss factor investing in detail, why it is better than prior approaches and how to use it, why using valuation methods is beyond the skills of most amateurs and financial advisors and more fun with Wisdom Tree Funds.

Links:

Factor Investing Article 1:  Factor Investing Definition (investopedia.com)

Factor Investing Article 2:  Factor investing - Wikipedia

Correlation Analysis of Golden Ratio Factor Funds:  Asset Correlations (portfoliovisualizer.com)

The Current Portfolio of James:  Backtest Portfolio Asset Allocation (portfoliovisualizer.com)

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07 May 2022Episode 173: REITs, Struggling Bond Funds, More Cowbell And Portfolio Reviews As Of May 6, 202200:34:34

In this episode we answer emails from Jamie, Jean-Luc and Geordi.  We discuss a paper about REITs as a separate asset class, what to do about struggling bond funds, the value of small-cap value and choosing a retirement portfolio in line with Bill Bengen's recommendations.

And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the seven sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.

Additional Links:

Jamie's Article -- Are REITs A Distinct Asset Class?:  delivery.php (ssrn.com)

Correlation Matrix for Small Caps:  Asset Correlations (portfoliovisualizer.com)

YouTube Video re Retirement Spending Calculator:  Tutorial #1: Portfolio Charts Retirement Spending Calculator - YouTube

YouTube Video re Monte Carlo Simulator:  Tutorial #4: Portfolio Visualizer Monte Carlo Simulator -- Introduction - YouTube

Risk Parity Isn't What You Think It Is:  Corey Hoffstein: Risk Parity Isn't What You Think It Is - YouTube

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14 May 2022Episode 174: The Meta-Considerations of Country Risk, RPR "Club", And Portfolio Reviews As Of May 13, 202200:39:06

In this episode we answer emails from Soo-New, Monika, Jeff and Jack.  We discuss building out a risk parity portfolio in multiple accounts, the perils of membership in the Risk Parity Radio Club, the latest fads and gimmicks in Direct Indexing, how to consider and compare investing in different countries with Country Risk Factors and the intellectual perils of the Possibility Effect.

And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the seven sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.

Additional Links:

Country Risk Factors:  Assess Country Risk (trade.gov)

Bailout Nation Book:   Bailout Nation: How Greed and Easy Money Corrupted Wall Street and Shook the World Economy by Barry Ritholtz | Goodreads

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25 May 2022Episode 175: Global Monetary Systems, The Dude And Other Emails00:20:37

In this episode we answer emails from MyContactInfo, the Nameless One, Jeff, Alexi (a/k/a Dude), and another Jeff.  We talk about leveraged ETFs (briefly), thoughts about changes in the Global Monetary System, another portfolio site, ETFs KBWR and KBWP and efficient accumulation.

Links:

Ray Dalio's Latest Book:  Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order: Why Nations Succeed and Fail - Kindle edition by Dalio, Ray. Politics & Social Sciences Kindle eBooks @ Amazon.com.

Lords of Finance Book:  Lords of Finance: The Bankers Who Broke the World by Liaquat Ahamed | Goodreads

Lazy Portfolio Site:  Lazy Portfolios and ETF composition (lazyportfolioetf.com)

Asset Correlations of KBWR and KBWP:  Asset Correlations (portfoliovisualizer.com)

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29 May 2022Episode 176: How Bond Correlations Work, When To Buy, A Simple Path And Portfolio Reviews As Of May 27, 202200:48:59

In this episode we answer emails from Steve, Judy and Geordi.  We discuss the data surrounding stock/treasury bond correlations back to 1952, when and why you might want to hold bonds and a process for figuring that out and my takes on The Simple Path To Wealth.  With detours into prison jumpsuits, SpongeBob and  Ray Liotta.

And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the seven sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.

Additional Links:

Flights To Safety Treasury Bond Correlation Paper:  delivery.php (ssrn.com)

Choose FI "Role of Bonds in a Portfolio" podcast:  The Role Of Bonds In A Portfolio | Ep 194 - ChooseFI

Kitces Four Phases of Investing Article:  The Four Phases Of Saving For Retirement (kitces.com)

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01 Jun 2022Episode 177: Passive Index Funds, Foolish Consistencies, ZROZ And A Couple Marketing Fads00:30:08

In this episode we answer emails from Andrew, Visitor #4691, Nate, and MyContactInfo.  We discuss the new-age-old question about passive indexing and market efficiency, the intersection between the ideas of Max Planck and Ralph Waldo Emerson and how it applies to the development of ideas in portfolio construction, using ZROZ to tax-loss harvest TLT and observations about the promotion by the financial services industry of direct indexing and tax loss harvesting services.

Links:

Max Planck's Principle:  Planck's principle - Wikipedia

Ben Carlson Article about Indexing:  Who Owns All the Stocks & Bonds? (awealthofcommonsense.com)

Portfolio Charts Portfolio List:  Portfolios – Portfolio Charts

Optimized Portfolios Lazy Portfolio List:  52 Lazy Portfolios and Their ETF Pies for M1 Finance (2022) (optimizedportfolio.com)

Risk Parity Chronicles Mega-Resources Pages:  Resources - Risk Parity Chronicles

Perfect Portfolio book:  In Pursuit of the Perfect Portfolio: The Stories, Voices, and Key Insights of the Pioneers Who Shaped the Way We Invest: Lo, Professor Andrew W: 9780691226446: Amazon.com: Books

White Coat Investor Tax Loss Harvesting Article:  The Case Against Tax-Loss Harvesting | White Coat Investor

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05 Jun 2022Episode 178: AQR Articles, Wild West Gambling Problems, Japan And Portfolio Reviews As Of June 3, 202200:35:43

In this episode we answer emails from George, Grant, Visitor #4090, Justin and Lili.  We discuss the long-time usage and popularity of risk parity concepts by professional investors, a levered Golden Butterfly portfolio, the website chat function, Japan, crypto (a little) and consulting services.  And my general laziness.

And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the seven sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.

Additional Links:

AQR Paper "Understanding Risk Parity":  Understanding Risk Parity (aqr.com)

Recent Cliff Asness Interview:   Cliff Asness: Value Stocks Still Look Like a Bargain | The Long View (simplecast.com)

Risk Parity Chronicles Resource References:  Resources - Risk Parity Chronicles

Grant's Levered Golden Butterfly Portfolio:  Backtest Portfolio Asset Allocation (portfoliovisualizer.com)

ETF Database -- Levered Funds:  Leveraged Equity ETF List (etfdb.com)

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08 Jun 2022Episode 179: Better Call Bridget, Why Rice Plays Texas And Other Weird Wild Stuff00:26:34

In this episode we answer emails from Karen, Ron, Brian and Paul.  We discuss shameless plugs for my family and friends and other considerations in selecting a financial advisor/manager, the full cycle of investing and Paul's value- and Iowa-focused portfolio.

Links:

Bridget Patel (better call her):  Bridget Patel - Profile | Alliance of Comprehensive Planners Community (acplanners.org)

Values Added Financial:  About Us – Values Added Financial

Holly Grosvenor:  Microstuff.com - Financial coaching helping you and your family gain Financial confidence - Microstuff

Cody Garrett:  Meet Cody - Measure Twice Financial

Kitces Interview of Cody Garrett:  Using An Advice-Only Approach To Grow With DIY Validators (kitces.com)

OLIO Financial:  OLIO Financial Planning (meetolio.com)

Kitces Interview of Andrew Miller:  Replacing The AUM Fee With A Complexity-Based Fee (kitces.com)

Paul's Portfolio And Comparison:  Backtest Portfolio Asset Allocation (portfoliovisualizer.com)

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11 Jun 2022Episode 180: Uncle Frank's Book Corner And Portfolio Reviews As Of June 10, 202200:36:00

In this episode we answer emails from Kirk, MyContactInfo and Holly.  We revisit QREARX, Episode 179 and Correlation Metrics, and then we entertain Holly's requests for book recommendations.  And I forgot to recommend "Money For The Rest Of Us" by J. David Stein in that segment.

And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the seven sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.

Additional Links:

TIAA QREARX Summary:  TIAA Real Estate Account

Risk Parity Books at Risk Parity Chronicles:  Top 10 Risk Parity Resources: #10... Shahidi (2021) (riskparitychronicles.com)

"Taking Stock" by Jordan Grumet (Doc G):  Taking Stock: A Hospice Doctor's Advice on Financial Independence, Building Wealth, and Living a Regret-Free Life: Grumet, Jordan, Robin, Vicki: 9781646043545: Amazon.com: Books

"Money for the Rest of Us" book:  Money for the Rest of Us: 10 Questions to Master Successful Investing: Stein, J. David: 9781260453867: Books (amazon.com)

RSA Animate Video: RSA ANIMATE: Drive: The surprising truth about what motivates us - YouTube

Prospecting Mimetic Fractals:  The Lenses of Wisdom - Prospecting Mimetic Fractals

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15 Jun 2022Episode 181: Fun With Rebalancing Schemes And More Financial Services Industry Malfeasance00:28:15

In this episode we answer emails from Brian, Grant and MyContactInfo.  We discuss rebalancing mechanisms and rules for various kinds of portfolios and the big discount brokers.

Links:

Optimized Rebalancing Article:  Optimal Rebalancing – Time Horizons Vs Tolerance Bands (kitces.com)

Brian's Golden Butterfly with Annual Rebalancing:  Backtest Portfolio Asset Class Allocation Brian #1  (portfoliovisualizer.com)

Brian's Golden Butterfly with Rebalancing Bands:  Backtest Portfolio Asset Class Allocation Brian #2  (portfoliovisualizer.com)

A Rebalancing Band Improvement on Those Two:  https://tinyurl.com/2p8rm2ws

Grant's Leveraged Portfolio with Monthly Data:   https://tinyurl.com/58wakx33

Grant's Google Spreadsheet:  https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Bz8uwpSYkMSaBZjc7vaF7nL7i5B4dKl7XyKXj2D3HVU/edit?usp=sharing

MyContactInfo Vanguard Link:  What sets us apart from other asset management firms (vanguard.com)

Article re Schwab re Intelligent Investor Funds:  Schwab to Pay SEC $186M Over ‘No Hidden Fee’ Claims for Cash-Heavy Robo | ThinkAdvisor

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19 Jun 2022Episode 182: A Portfolio Management Extravaganza And Portfolio Reviews As Of June 17, 202200:38:50

In this episode we answer emails from Julie T, Geordi and Justin.  We discuss mechanisms for withdrawals from retirement portfolios, transitioning portfolios as you get close to retirement and the whys and hows of adding new investments to a portfolio.

And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the seven sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.

David Stein's Ten Questions to Master Investing for reference:

1.  What is it?
2.  Is it an investment, a speculation, or a gamble?
3.  What is the upside?
4.  What is the downside?
5.  Who is on the other side of the trade?
6.  What is the investment vehicle?
7.  What does it take to be successful?
8.  Who is getting a cut?
9.  How does it impact your portfolio?
10.  Should you invest?

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23 Jun 2022Episode 183: The Cost Matters Hypothesis, I-bonds, Emerson And Swiss Pop Music00:32:29

In this episode we answer emails from MyContactInfo, Jeff, Liah and Andrin.  We discuss asset pricing models, the history of economics and Bogle's Cost Matter Hypothesis, Emerson and Foolish Consistencies and the FTSE All World GDP Weighted Index.

Links:

Self-Reliance:  Self-Reliance: Change Your Life For The Better - Ralph Waldo Emerson (emersoncentral.com)

Self-Reliance Audio:  Self-Reliance Ralph Waldo Emerson Audio Book - YouTube

FTSE All-World Index:   GDP-Weighted-Paper.pdf (ftserussell.com)

ACWI Fund Page:   iShares MSCI ACWI ETF | ACWI

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26 Jun 2022Episode 184: Lazy Authors, Simple Annuities, And Portfolio Reviews As Of June 24, 202200:32:25

In this episode we answer emails from MyContactInfo, Nancy and Anderson.   We discuss why I'm not writing a book any time soon, the performance stats on the Portfolios Page, when I might consider a simple annuity and why I don't like financial personality profiling, and the difficulties of adding leverage in portfolio downturns.

And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the seven sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.

Additional Links:

Money for the Rest of Us Podcast about Annuities:    279: Why All Retirees Should Consider an Income Annuity - Money For The Rest of Us - | Money For The Rest of Us

Immediate Annuities Website:  Immediate Annuities - Income Annuity Quote Calculator - ImmediateAnnuities.com

Blue Zones Longevity Test:  Live Longer, Better - Blue Zones

The Drive Podcast:  The Peter Attia Drive Podcast - Peter Attia (peterattiamd.com)

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30 Jun 2022Episode 185: Interactive Brokers, Private Equity, Asset Gardening, Stagflation And Grumpy Old Men00:33:29

In this episode we answer emails from Eric, Colin and  Chris.  We discuss the pros and cons of Interactive Brokers, the generally useless nature of private equity, David Stein's Asset Gardening approach, and stagflation.   And that's the way it was and we liked it!

Links:

Correlation Analysis of Private Equity Fund (PSP):  Asset Correlations (portfoliovisualizer.com)

Article about stagflation and the origin of the term: Stagflation Definition (investopedia.com)


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02 Jul 2022Episode 186: Fortune Favors The Brave, Rose Gardens, Treasury Bonds And Portfolio Reviews As Of July 1, 202200:33:05

In this episode we answer questions from Matsui, FuriousRiskParityInvestor and Paul.  We discuss why we have chosen excessively aggressive withdrawal rates for the sample portfolios, revisit treasury bond correlation issues and why smaller allocations to long-term treasuries make more sense than larger allocations to intermediate treasury bonds in most risk parity style portfolios.

And THEN we our go through our weekly and monthly portfolio reviews of the seven sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.

Additional Links:

Flights To Safety Treasury Bond Correlation Paper from Episode 176:  delivery.php (ssrn.com)

Analysis of Golden Butterfly variations with intermediate treasury bonds:  Backtest Portfolio Asset Class Allocation (portfoliovisualizer.com)

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06 Jul 2022Episode 187: Biased Business Models, A TSP Rollover And A Crystal Ball, Managed Futures And A Gambling Problem00:25:42

In this episode we answer emails from MyContactInfo, Brett and Jamie.   We discussed inherent biases, rolling over a TSP portfolio and reallocating it at Fidelity with or without a crystal ball, have a lengthy talk about allocations to managed futures and the difficulties in analyzing them, and SCO, a short oil futures ETF.

Links:

Gwen's Frustrations With A Rollover:  Navigating The Archaic, Convoluted, Confusing, And Utterly Enraging 401(k) Rollover Process | Fiery Millennials

Patrick Boyle's Investment Musings In An Entertaining Accent:  Investing In An Inflationary Environment! - YouTube

Artemis Capital's Hawk And Serpent Paper:  DocSend

CME Paper Re CTA Indexes:  a-comparison-of-cta-indexes.pdf (cmegroup.com)

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09 Jul 2022Episode 188: All Small, All Value, All The Time And Our Boring Portfolio Reviews As Of July 8, 202200:23:57

In this episode we answer emails from Paul, Soo-New and Geordi.  We discuss using the AVUV fund for your small cap value allocation, the timing of withdrawals to reduce stress and crystal balls, and small cap value vs. small cap blend funds.  And we reference an article at Portfolio Charts reviewing common portfolios' performances in the first half of 2022.

And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the seven sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.

Additional Links:

Asset Correlation Analysis of IJR and IJS:  Asset Correlations (portfoliovisualizer.com)

Portfolio Charts First Half of 2022 Portfolio Reviews:  Halfway to Nowhere: 2022 Mid-Year Portfolio Rankings – Portfolio Charts

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13 Jul 2022Episode 189: Existential Questions About Economy Worship, Ray Dalio and China, And Risk Parity Chronicles00:22:14

In this episode we answer emails from MyContactInfo, Rob and Justin.  We discuss a paper about GDP and the problems with using it to predict stock market returns, why China may never overtake the U.S. and ascend to reserve currency status and a most excellent rebalancing resource you can find at the Risk Parity Chronicles website and blog.

Links:

Economic Growth and Equity Returns Paper:  Microsoft Word - EconGrowth.doc (ssrn.com)

GDP Article:  Gross domestic product - Wikipedia

Risk Parity Chronicles Rebalancing Resource:    Version 1.1 of the Simple Portfolio Rebalancing Spreadsheet (riskparitychronicles.com)


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16 Jul 2022Episode 190: Portfolio Construction 101, Golden Ratio, I-Bonds, And Portfolio Reviews As Of July 15, 202200:37:15

In this episode we answer emails from Jody, Neil and The Nameless One.  We discuss the basic ideas of portfolio constructions and the tools for doing it, the Golden Ratio portfolio and gold itself, and more I-bond suggestions and links.

And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the seven sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.

Additional Links:

Portfolio Charts Portfolio Examples:  Portfolios – Portfolio Charts

Portfolio Finder Tool:   PORTFOLIO FINDER – Portfolio Charts

Portfolio Matrix Tool:  PORTFOLIO MATRIX – Portfolio Charts

Portfolio Risk and Return Tool:  RISK AND RETURN – Portfolio Charts

Asset Correlation Tool:  Asset Correlations (portfoliovisualizer.com)

Risk Parity Chronicles Resources:  Resources - Risk Parity Chronicles

The Perfect Portfolio Book:  In Pursuit of the Perfect Portfolio: The Stories, Voices, and Key Insights of the Pioneers Who Shaped the Way We Invest by Andrew W. Lo | Goodreads

Nameless One's I-bond Articles:  I Bonds Archives - The Finance Buff

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20 Jul 2022Episode 191: Teaching Fishing, Anomalous Data, Vanguard Frustrations And Investing For A Six-Year Old00:24:42

In this episode we answer emails from Anderson, Aaron, Anna and Travis.  We discuss how to use Portfolio Visualizer to compare portfolios on a particular time-frame using samples and a 60/40, where to address any data issues to Portfolio Charts and Portfolio Visualizer, and the current frustrations many are having with using Vanguard.  And then we consult a crystal ball to help a six-year old child.

Links:

Comparison of Golden Butterfly, Golden Ratio and 60/40 Portfolios:  Backtest Portfolio Asset Allocation (portfoliovisualizer.com)

Portfolio Charts Data Page:  Data Sources – Portfolio Charts

Portfolio Visualizer FAQ Page (Data Sources at Bottom):  Frequently Asked Questions (portfoliovisualizer.com)


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24 Jul 2022Episode 192: Our Annual Rebalancing Episode And Portfolio Reviews As Of July 22, 202200:42:49

In this annual feature we discuss how we rebalanced four of the sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio and have frolics and detours into discussions of bucket strategies, crypto-funds and the details of the Risk Parity Ultimate sample portfolio.  We also highlight a new video tutorial from Justin at Risk Parity Chronicles about the Risk/Return tool at Portfolio Charts and do our weekly portfolio reviews of all seven sample portfolios.

Links:

Risk Parity Chronicles post and tutorial:  Portfolio Charts Risk/Return Chart Tutorial (riskparitychronicles.com)

YouTube Link to tutorial:  PC Risk/Return Chart Tutorial - YouTube

Interview of the originator of the "bucket strategy":  Conversation with the Father of the Bucket Strategy--Harold Evensky - YouTube

Risk Parity Ultimate Portfolio Correlations Matrix:  Asset Correlations (portfoliovisualizer.com)

Risk Parity Ultimate Portfolio Backtest:   Backtest Portfolio Asset Allocation (portfoliovisualizer.com)

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28 Jul 2022Episode 193: Musings About Private Equity, The Paradox Of Skill, Volatility-Targeting Strategy, Yield Curve Inversions And Dolly Parton00:21:59

In this episode we answer emails from MyContactInfo (x2), Chris, and Andrew.  We discuss "The Myth of Private Equity" by Jeff Hooke,  the paradox of skill and how it is applied in garden-based portfolio construction, volatility targeting as a decision making mechanism for investing and my gout, my podcast musical selections and the security of the Golden Ratio portfolio.  And we throw in a yield curve inversion video.  We do it all here.

Links:

The Myth of Private Equity book:  The Myth of Private Equity | Columbia University Press

Interview of Jeff Hooke:  361 – Jeff Hooke, Johns Hopkins - The Myth of Private Equity - YouTube

Paradox of Skill Article:  The Paradox of Skill - Farnam Street

Primer on Volatility Targeting:  An Introduction to Volatility Targeting - QuantPedia

Interview of Campbell Harvey re Yield Curve Inversion:  Predicting Economic Activity with Yield Curves - YouTube

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31 Jul 2022Episode 194: Dunn Capital, The "Cockroach Portfolio" And Weekly/Monthly Portfolio Reviews As Of July 29, 202200:28:32

In this episode we answer emails from Visitor #1109, Keith and Brad.  We discuss Dunn Capital and Managed Futures funds, our podcast charity -- the Father McKenna Center --, and Mutiny Fund's "Cockroach Portfolio".

And THEN we our go through our weekly and monthly portfolio reviews of the seven sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.

Additional Links:

Dunn Capital:  Home - Dunn Capital

Top Traders Unplugged Podcast:  Top Traders Unplugged

Mutiny Fund's Cockroach Portfolio:  The Cockroach Portfolio - Mutiny Fund

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04 Aug 2022Episode 195: Comparing Cars And Brokerages, Analyzing Concentrated Funds, And More Cowbell!00:30:34

In this episode we answer emails from MyContactInfo (x2), William and Peter.   We discuss how brokerages and cars are alike, a correlation episode reference, analyzing a portfolio with Fidelity Select Funds in it (and other things) and transitions from VTSAX to some small cap cowbell and then to a Golden Ratio portfolio for retirement.

Links:

I'm Not Leaving Vanguard Article:  Why I’m Not Leaving Vanguard | ETF.com

60/40 Is Still Alive Article:  Like the phoenix, the 60/40 portfolio will rise again (vanguard.com)

Morningstar Fund Analysis Tool:  FSRPX – Portfolio – Fidelity® Select Retailing | Morningstar

Asset Correlation Analysis Of Will's Portfolio:  Asset Correlations (portfoliovisualizer.com)

ChooseFI Podcast Episode 194 About Bonds:  The Role Of Bonds In A Portfolio | Ep 194 | ChooseFI

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06 Aug 2022Episode 196: Extended Duration Bonds, Books About Life Transitions, China And Portfolio Reviews As Of August 5, 202200:26:00

In this episode we answer emails from Davis, Justus and Value Stock Geek.  We discuss how to use extended duration bond funds like EDV, ZROZ and GOVZ, reprise our discussion about life transitions from Episode 71 and veer off into Peter Zeihan and China's demographics. 

And THEN we our go through our weekly and monthly portfolio reviews of the seven sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.  Note that I discovered some of my return numbers were wrong (WRONG!) after recording this episode.  They are corrected on the website.

Additional Links:

Arthur Brooks book:  From Strength to Strength - Arthur C. Brooks (arthurbrooks.com)

David Brooks book:  The Second Mountain by David Brooks (goodreads.com)

Richard Rohr book:  Falling Upward: A Spirituality for the Two Halves of Life by Richard Rohr (goodreads.com)

Peter Zeihan with Meb Faber:  Episode #419: Peter Zeihan – Deglobalization, Depopulation, & What It Means Going Forward - Meb Faber Research - Stock Market and Investing Blog

Disunited Nations book:  Disunited Nations: The Scramble for Power in an Ungoverned World: Zeihan, Peter: 9780062913685: Amazon.com: Books

Shock of Gray book:  Shock of Gray: The Aging of the World's Population and How it Pits Young Against Old, Child Against Parent, Worker Against Boss, Company Against Rival, and Nation Against Nation by Ted C. Fishman (goodreads.com)

Lying Flat and Let It Rot Movements in China:  After lying flat, a new trend among China's youth is to “let it rot (bai lan)” which worries CCP - YouTube

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10 Aug 2022Episode 197: MBS, Defense Stock and Short Term Bond Funds, And Ragging On Financial TV00:31:41

In this episode we answer emails from Howard, Paxton, Neil and Soo New.  We discuss why financial TV is bad for your financial mind and health, the RISR ETF that invests in interest components of mortgage-backed securities, defense stock ETFs, the JPST ETF and what Soo New might do with her employer pension fund.  It's Weird, Wild Stuff!

Links:

 RISR Information Page:  Rising Rate ETF (RISR) — FolioBeyond ETFs

Morningstar Analysis of ITA Defense Stock ETF:  ITA – Portfolio – iShares US Aerospace & Defense ETF | Morningstar

JPST Analysis:  JPST – JPMorgan Ultra-Short Income ETF – ETF Stock Quote | Morningstar

Immediate Annuity Price/Quote Site:  Immediate Annuities - Income Annuity Quote Calculator - ImmediateAnnuities.com

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13 Aug 2022Episode 198: The Possibility Effect, Accumulation Portfolios, Tax Loss Harvesting And Portfolio Reviews As Of August 12, 202200:31:35

In this episode we answer emails from Karen, Adam and Pankaj.  We revisit China and reserve currencies, discuss cognitive biases, talk about accumulation portfolios, bonds and the Macro Allocation Principle, and about tax loss harvesting bond and gold ETFs. 

And THEN we our go through our weekly and monthly portfolio reviews of the seven sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio

Additional Links:

Ben Felix Video On Leverage:  Investing With Leverage (Borrowing to Invest, Leveraged ETFs) - YouTube

ETF Database:  List of All ETFs - Exchange Traded Funds | ETF Database (etfdb.com)

TYA ETF Information Page:  TYA Simplify Risk Parity Treasury ETF | Simplify

PHYS Information Page:  Sprott Physical Gold Trust

Charity Walk For McKenna:  Walk4McKenna - Father McKenna Center

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18 Aug 2022Episode 199: Dude! Ned! Managed Futures and Leverage!00:24:56

In this episodes we answer emails from Alexi (Dude!), Brian, NED(!) and William.  We discuss DBMF and managed futures funds, a 80/10/10 transition portfolio, leverage in accumulation portfolios and adjusting all-stock index fund portfolios.

Links:

Walk For McKenna:  Walk4McKenna - Father McKenna Center

Andrew Beer (DBMF) Interview:  Jack Bogle of Hedge Funds (guest: Andrew Beer) - Market Huddle Ep.188 - YouTube

Brian's Transition Portfolio Compare To One With More Cowbell:  Backtest Portfolio Asset Class Allocation (portfoliovisualizer.com)

Ben Felix Video About Leverage:  Investing With Leverage (Borrowing to Invest, Leveraged ETFs) - YouTube

"Buffett's Alpha" White Paper:  Buffett’s Alpha (tandfonline.com)

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21 Aug 2022Episode 200: Putting The Opus In Your Magnum With A Milestone And Portfolio Reviews As Of August 19, 202200:40:32

In this episode we answer emails from Justus (x2), Anderson and Blake.  We discuss life transitions, what I've learned over an evolving DIY investing career, and Blake's Pathway of FI. 

And THEN we our go through our weekly and monthly portfolio reviews of the seven sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio

Additional Links:

Portfolio Charts Sample Portfolios:  Portfolios – Portfolio Charts

Risk Parity Chronicles Resources Page:  Resources - Risk Parity Chronicles

Kitces Four Phases Article:  The Four Phases Of Saving For Retirement (kitces.com)

Blake's Article:  Model-Portfolios-for-Every-Financial-Stage.pdf (pathwaytofi.com)

Blake's Model Portfolio Construction Paper:  Construction-and-Analysis-of-the-Pathway-to-FI-Model-Portfolios.pdf (pathwaytofi.com)

Morningstar Tool With International Fund:  VXUS – Portfolio – Vanguard Total International Stock ETF | Morningstar

Walk For McKenna:  Walk4McKenna - Father McKenna Center

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25 Aug 2022Episode 201: The Limits On Risk/Reward Ratios, What To Tell Your Kids And Avoiding Trading Pitfalls00:32:22

In this episode we answer emails from Micah, Steve and Keith.  We discuss the limit on the usefulness of Sharpe and Sortino ratios, helping out Steve's daughters with building and managing a portfolio for medium-length goals and what else Uncle Frank says to guide his adult kids with ant brains and grasshopper brains and comparing actual performances with Portfolio Visualizer models.

Links:

Portfolio Visualizer comparison of short term treasuries and gold:  Backtest Portfolio Asset Class Allocation (portfoliovisualizer.com)

PHYS ETF particulars:   Sprott Physical Gold Trust

Walk For McKenna:  Walk4McKenna - Father McKenna Center

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01 Sep 2022Episode 202: Buy, Borrow, Die And Why You Should Listen To Me (i.e., Nonsensical Ravings)00:34:05

In this episode we answer questions from Andy and Todd.  We discuss the Buy, Borrow, Die Strategy and everything you wanted to know about the Host (or maybe not) and his approach.

Links:

Luke Burgis Book About Mimetic Theory:  Wanting: The Power of Mimetic Desire in Everyday Life by Luke Burgis | Goodreads

Barking Up The Wrong Tree Book:   Barking Up the Wrong Tree: The Surprising Science Behind Why Everything You Know About Success Is (Mostly) Wrong by Eric Barker | Goodreads

Interview of Rick Ferri About His Portfolio:  Show Us Your Portfolio: Rick Ferri - YouTube


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04 Sep 2022Episode 203: Stop Using Blackberries, REITs, Data Sources And Portfolio Reviews As Of September 2, 202200:32:49

In this episode we answer emails from Gen, Greg and Nathan.  We discuss how to find funds using a fund screener and why you should not be using the investment account equivalents of blackberries and flip-phones any more, individual REIT selections, and value and growth data sources.   I forgot to mention that the other individual REIT we hold is WY, which invests in timber (and thereby missed another opportunity to play the lumberjack song.)

And THEN we our go through our weekly and monthly portfolio reviews of the seven sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.

Additional Links:

Fund Screener:  Fund Screener (portfoliovisualizer.com)

Rob Berger Video About Vanguard's New Fees:  Vanguard Fees Are Going Up -- Here's Why and How to Avoid Them - YouTube

Investopedia Article -  Value vs. Growth in the S&P 500:  Value or Growth Stocks: Which Is Better? (investopedia.com)

Value vs. Growth Over Time:  Canterbury Investment Management - Value versus Growth: A Brief Historical View (canterburygroup.com)

DFA Matrix Book:  Matrix+Book+2020.pdf (squarespace.com)

Walk For McKenna:  Walk4McKenna - Father McKenna Center

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07 Sep 2022Episode 204: What Should I Do If I Am Dying And Want To Try Short-Term Trading?00:28:09
10 Sep 2022Episode 205: Bonds On The Run, More Cowbell And Portfolio Reviews As Of September 9, 202200:26:56

In this episode we answer emails from Connor, Paul and Paul Z.  We discuss a new single bond ETF, Paul's risk parity style portfolio and AVUV vs. VIOV.  And THEN we our go through our weekly and monthly portfolio reviews of the seven sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.

Additional Links:

Connor's Article:  Single-Bond ETFs Solve Some Key Investing Problems (wealthmanagement.com)

Analysis of Paul's Portfolio and Alternatives:  Backtest Portfolio Asset Allocation (portfoliovisualizer.com)

Interview of Eduardo Repetto:  Episode 43: Bogleheads on Investing – guest Eduardo Repetto, host Rick Ferri – Rick Ferri, CFA

AVUV Webpage:  AVUV - Avantis® U.S. Small Cap Value ETF | Avantis Investors

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14 Sep 2022Program Note (September 14)00:00:43

Aaaand we're gone!  Poof!

Back next week!

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21 Sep 2022Episode 206: Mauboussin, Cowbell and Bogle, Oh My!00:34:47

In this episode we answer questions from MyContactInfo, Wesley and Adam.  In a tour de force presentation, we discuss Michael Mauboussin's book, "The Success Equation:  Untangling Skill and Luck in Business, Sports and Investing", the implications of an all small-cap value portfolio and applying the ideas of Bruce Lee and Emerson to Jack Bogle's "Common Sense Investing".  And we also take a frolic and detour into the Twilight Zone.

Links:

CFA Institute Book Review the The Success Equation:  The Success Equation: Untangling Skill and Luck in Business, Sports, and Investing (a review) (cfainstitute.org)

Twilight Zone Episode Clips:  Twilight Zone: Of Late I Think Of Cliffordville - YouTube

Earn & Invest Podcast (#349) Interview of Paul Merriman:  Are We Leaving Money on the Table? — Earn & Invest (earnandinvest.com)

Rational Reminder Podcast Interview of Vanguard's Former CIO:  Episode 216: Gus Sauter: Vanguard's Former CIO on Indexing, Active Management, and Private Equity — Rational Reminder


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24 Sep 2022Episode 207: Freak Out With Math, Intermediate Term Portfolios, Annuities And Portfolio Reviews As Of September 23, 202200:30:13

In this episode we answer emails from Arun, Jeffrey and Chris.  We discuss using simple back-of-the-envelope estimation methods to solve for complex portfolio projections, using a risk parity style portfolio for intermediate accumulations, and re-cap annuity considerations from Episode 184.

And THEN we our go through our weekly and monthly portfolio reviews of the seven sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.

Arun's question:  

"What type of portfolio would you suggest for below scenario. I can invest $x a month for y years and can let it sit for n years. After y+n years would like to start withdrawing at least .75x dollars per month perpetually. Value of x would be less than $1000 and value of y would be 5-10 years but depending on future need and market condition it can stay longer or shorter. Ideally would like to have n=0 but that might be too ambitious. Is there to tool to play with these variables that you know and what type of portfolio would you suggest."


Additional Links:

Risk Savvy book:  Risk Savvy: How to Make Good Decisions by Gerd Gigerenzer | Goodreads

Portfolio Visualizer Monte Carlo Simulator with Multi-stage Analyzer:  Financial Goals (portfoliovisualizer.com)

Rule of 72:  Rule of 72 - Wikipedia

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28 Sep 2022Episode 208: Advice For New Investors -- We're Off To See The Wizard!00:49:18

In this episode we discuss an email from and conversation with Paul Merriman.  We follow up on his suggestion/request that we create an episode for beginning investors to help them get going  in a simple way that can work.  And then we embark on a very special trip.  Very.  Special.

Links:

The Four Phases of Saving and Investing for Retirement:  The Four Phases Of Saving For Retirement (kitces.com)   Earn = Kansas.  Save = Munchkinland.  Grow = The Roads To Emerald City.  Preserve = Emerald City.

Paul Merriman website:  Home - Paul Merriman

Paul Merriman Sound Investing podcast:  Podcasts - Paul Merriman

Paul Merriman Best In Class Funds:  Best-in-Class ETF Recommendations - Paul Merriman

Earn & Invest Podcast (#349) Interview of Paul Merriman:  Are We Leaving Money on the Table? — Earn & Invest (earnandinvest.com)

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01 Oct 2022Episode 209: Popular SWR Delusions And The Madness Of Gurus And Portfolio Reviews As Of September 30, 202201:06:21
In this episode we answer a lengthy email from Kevin about issues with popular estimates of Safe Withdrawal Rates.  We then discuss the problems with and failings of some of these estimates and their underlying analysis, including why Best Practices beat Convenient Shibboleths, failures to analyze non-simplistic portfolios, misuse of the "reversion to the mean" concept, improper use of conservative assumptions and modelling software, improper use of the 30-year time frame, and the failure to incorporate well-accepted favorable assumptions. 

We also discuss appeals to popularity and conflicts of interest, including safety in numbers, the use of double standards, the popularity of pessimism, and the desire to please sponsors, sell products and maintain past consistency, whether foolish or warranted.

And THEN we our go through our weekly and monthly portfolio reviews of the seven sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.

Additional links:

SWR Series #34:  Using Gold as a Hedge against Sequence Risk – SWR Series Part 34 – Early Retirement Now

Next Level Life Video re Gold:  Why Are Gold Portfolios So Dependable? - YouTube

RAM Interview of Wade Pfau:  ReSolve Riffs with Wade Pfau on Optimal Retirement Strategies - YouTube

Morningstar 2011 (Lousy) Predictions Article:  Your Forecasts for Stock and Bond Returns  (2011)| Morningstar

Portfolio Charts SWR/PWR Calculator:  WITHDRAWAL RATES – Portfolio Charts

Kitces Article Re Consequences of Retirement Spending Smile:  How Total Spending Declines Over Time In Retirement (kitces.com)

RAM Interview of Antti Ilmanen:  Antti Ilmanen on his new book "Investing Amid Low Expected Returns" - YouTube

Immediate Annuities Website:  Immediate Annuities - Income Annuity Quote Calculator - ImmediateAnnuities.com

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05 Oct 2022Episode 210: More SWRs, REITs, Factor Investing And Cruising To Winning the Game00:29:04

In this episode we follow up on Episode 209 with some recent (as in this week) Wade Pfau references that confirm what we said about overly pessimistic SWR assumptions.   And then we answer emails from Justin, Drew, Jim and Chris.  We discuss REITs and the Risk Parity Chronicles series about them, good sources for information about factor or "smart beta" investing, and questions about transitioning from accumulation to decumulation when you are close to "winning the game."

Links:

Retire With Style Podcast #34:  Retire With Style - Episode 34: Even In Volatile Markets, Find Out Why The 4% Rule Distribution May Be Too Low (google.com)

Risk Parity Chronicles REIT Series Conclusion:  Post-script to REITs series: How do individual REITs compare? (riskparitychronicles.com)

Rational Reminder Podcast #213:  RR #213 - Expected Returns and Factor Investing - YouTube

Rational Reminder Podcast #129:  RR #129 - Five Factor Investing with ETFs - YouTube

Resolve Asset Management YouTube Channel:  ReSolve Asset Management - YouTube

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09 Oct 2022Episode 211: Leverage, Real Estate, Projections And Portfolio Reviews As Of October 7, 202200:53:29

In this episode we answer emails from Boone, MyContactInfo and Alex.  We discuss issues with leverage, real estate invesments, spreadsheet projections and guessing about the future.  Listen for the BLOOPER!

And THEN we our go through our weekly and monthly portfolio reviews of the seven sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.

Additional links:

Video About Leverage:  Investing With Leverage (Borrowing to Invest, Leveraged ETFs) - YouTube

Optimized Portfolios Leveraged ETFs Reviews:  The 9 Best Leveraged ETFs To Enhance Portfolio Exposure (2022) (optimizedportfolio.com)

MyContactInfo's Link to Vanguard REIT:  VGSLX-Vanguard Real Estate Index Fund Admiral Shares | Vanguard

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13 Oct 2022Episode 212: Revocable Trusts, Portfolio Management And Small Cap Funds00:30:57

In this episode we answer emails from Sue, Vern and Rene.  We discuss revocable trusts, where and where not to get them and why or why not you might want one, the mechanics of rebalancing and drawing down on a portfolio with multiple accounts, and the differences between various small cap funds like IJR, IJS, IJT and VIOV.

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15 Oct 2022Episode 213: The Coldness Of WARM, More Annuities, Fractional Shares And Portfolio Reviews As Of October 14, 202200:29:29

In this episode we answer questions from Jeremy, Richard and Gen.  We discuss the moribund WARM portfolio strategy, more issues about annuities and where to learn more about them, and fractional share trading of ETFs.

And THEN we our go through our weekly and monthly portfolio reviews of the seven sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.

Additional links:

JL Collins Article on WARM Strategy:  Sleeping soundly thru a market crash: The Wasting Asset Retirement Model - JLCollinsnh

Bogleheads Critiques of WARM Strategy:  No risk retirement withdraw strategy - WARM - Bogleheads.org

Stan The Annuity Man Channel:  Stan The Annuity Man - YouTube

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19 Oct 2022Episode 214: Tilting At Dragons, Common Mistakes And Getting Back To Theoretical Risk Parity00:38:55

In this episode we answer emails from Harvey (a large rodent), MyContactInfo and Mark.  We discuss the Dragon Portfolio and managed futures funds like DBMF, reprise Episode 202,  some common mistakes of amateur investors, reverse mortgages (briefly), and how we have incorporated and modified classic and theoretical risk parity principles.

Links:

Recent Interview of Andrew Beer (DBMF):  214 Systematic Investor Series ft. Andrew Beer – October 16th, 2022 | Top Traders Unplugged

Harvey's First Link re Dragon Portfolio:  How to Build a Recession-Proof Investment Portfolio (w/ Danielle DiMartino-Booth & Chris Cole) - YouTube

Harvey's Second Link re Dragon Portfolio:  How to Build the Dragon Portfolio - YouTube

In Pursuit of the Perfect Portfolio book:  In Pursuit of the Perfect Portfolio: The Stories, Voices, and Key Insights of the Pioneers Who Shaped the Way We Invest by Andrew W. Lo (goodreads.com)

CFA Manual Chapter re Risk Parity:  chapter-4-from-managing-multiasset-strategies-2018.pdf (callan.com)

Early Retirement Now Gold Study:  Using Gold as a Hedge against Sequence Risk – SWR Series Part 34 – Early Retirement Now

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02 Nov 2022Episode 215: Heavy Metal, ESG, Growth & Value Funds And The Infernal JEPI00:32:00

In this episode we return from vacation ready to rumble and answer emails from Peter, David, MyContactInfo (x2) and Mark.   We appreciate our listeners and then annoy them (I've got an angle), talk about ESG investing and why you want to have both growth and value funds and talk about buy-write funds in general and JEPI in particular.

Links:

Risk Parity Chronicles Resources:  Resources - Risk Parity Chronicles

ESG Article One:  Shades of Green - HumbleDollar

ESG Article Two:  Musings on Markets: ESG's Russia Test: Trial by Fire or Crash and Burn? (aswathdamodaran.blogspot.com)

Backtest of 50/50 Value/Growth vs. Total Market:  Backtest Portfolio Asset Class Allocation (portfoliovisualizer.com)

Asset Correlation Matric for JEPI:  Asset Correlations (portfoliovisualizer.com)

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05 Nov 2022Episode 216: Tools & Talent, Fractional Shares, More Managed Futures And Portfolio Reviews As Of November 4, 202200:28:10

In this episode we answer emails from Blake, Gen and MyContactInfo.   We discuss Blake's good work with analysis tools, fractional shares of ETFs and more on managed futures and DBMF. 

And THEN we our go through our weekly and monthly portfolio reviews of the seven sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.

Additional links:

Blake's Model Portfolios:  Model-Portfolios-for-Every-Financial-Stage-v2.pdf (pathwaytofi.com)

Blake's White Paper:  Construction-and-Analysis-of-the-Pathway-to-FI-Model-Portfolios-v2.pdf (pathwaytofi.com)

Portfolio Charts Risk/Reward Calculator:   RISK AND RETURN – Portfolio Charts

Portfolio Visualizer Asset Correlation Analyzer:  Asset Correlations (portfoliovisualizer.com)

MyContactInfo Links to Andrew Beer/DBMF podcast:  The Investors First Podcast: Andrew Beer, Dynamic Beta Investments: Replicating Hedge funds in an ETF Wrapper on Apple Podcasts


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09 Nov 2022Episode 217: Tax Loss Harvesting, Golden Ratio Mania, The Asset Swapping Technique, Portfolio Finding And Todd00:35:33

In this episode we answer questions from Brad, Craig, AnnieMous, and Jack.   We discuss new information from Portfolio Charts about tax-loss harvesting bond funds like TLT (and other funds), portfolio construction with the Golden Ratio, the recent popularity of managed futures with the info-sales and marketing crowd, portfolio management with asset swapping between taxable and tax-protected accounts, and REITs in the Portfolio Charts Portfolio Finder.

Links:

Portfolio Charts Tax Loss Harvesting Article:  Harvesting the Fall: Why I Sold All My Bonds – Portfolio Charts

Buffett's Alpha Paper:  Buffett’s Alpha (tandfonline.com)

Brad's Portfolio Construction Article:  How to Balance a Portfolio - (breakingthemarket.com)

Brad's Other Article:  Breaking the Market University -

Portfolio Charts Portfolio Finder:  PORTFOLIO FINDER – Portfolio Charts

Early Retirement Now SWR Spreadsheet Tool Article and Link:  An Updated Google Sheet DIY Withdrawal Rate Toolbox (SWR Series Part 28) – Early Retirement Now


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20 Nov 2022Episode 218: Risk Parity Accumulations, Hedgehogs and Foxes, The Pleasuredome And Our Portfolio Reviews As Of November 18, 202200:37:16

In this episode we answer emails from Ethan, Eric, MyContactInfo and Jon.   We discuss using the Golden Ratio portfolio for intermediate accumulations, Hedgehogs and Foxes in economic forecasting, total bond funds, momentum factor investing and Frankie Goes To Hollywood.

And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the seven sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.  With rebalancing this week!

Additional links:

Wealthtrack Interview of Jim Grant:  INFLATION’S DAMAGE: FINANCIAL CONSEQUENCES & INVESTMENT STRATEGIES WITH HISTORIAN JAMES GRANT : WealthTrack

Flirting With Models Podcast with Andrew Beer (DBMF):  Flirting with Models: Andrew Beer - Replicating Hedge Fund Beta (S5E9) (libsyn.com)

Bogleheads Forum Link on Total Bond Funds:  Bogle said 75% Total Bond and 25% Investment Grade Corp. Bond? - Bogleheads.org

Fama on Momentum Article (I found it!):  Fama on Momentum (aqr.com)

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23 Nov 2022Episode 219: The Ins And Outs Of Buffered Funds, Gold and Bond Ladders00:34:30

In this episode we answer emails from Uday, Rick,  Anderson and Jacques.  We discuss Giving Tuesday and the Father McKenna Center, new tutorials at Risk Parity Chronicles about asset swaps and wash sales, buffered ETFs and scandalous structured products, why we still love gold (a little), getting exposure to small cap value -- yada, yada, yada -- and bond ladders vs. bond funds.

Links:

Father McKenna Center Homepage:  Home - Father McKenna Center

Father McKenna Center Giving Page:  Donate - Father McKenna Center

Risk Parity Chronicles Asset Swap Post And Tutorials:  Risk Parity Basics: Asset Swaps and the Important Wash Sale Rule (riskparitychronicles.com)

Analysis of Buffered Fund BSEP:  Backtest Portfolio Asset Allocation (portfoliovisualizer.com)

Portfolio Charts "Ingredients" Article:  Three Secret Ingredients of the Most Efficient Portfolios – Portfolio Charts

Morningstar Analyzer:  VEXMX – Portfolio – Vanguard Extended Market Index Investor | Morningstar

Ben Carlson Article:  Owning Individual Bonds vs. Owning a Bond Fund (awealthofcommonsense.com)

Finance Buff Article:  Two Types of Bond Ladders: When to Replace a Bond Fund or ETF (thefinancebuff.com)

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27 Nov 2022Episode 220: The Follies And Foibles Of Managed Funds And Portfolio Reviews As Of November 25, 202200:33:12

In this episode we answer emails from Nick, Mr. Harris and Howard.  We discuss the hoary details of the tax reporting of GLDM, following your rebalancing rules and why relying on the past performance of managed mutual funds probably is not a good idea.

And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the seven sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.  With rebalancing this week!

Additional links:

Father McKenna Center Giving Page:  Donate - Father McKenna Center

Optimal Rebalancing Article:  Optimal Rebalancing – Time Horizons Vs Tolerance Bands (kitces.com)

SPIVA Report for 2021:  SPIVA U.S. Year-End 2021 Scorecard (spglobal.com)

Morningstar Analyzer -- PRWCX:  PRWCX – Portfolio – T. Rowe Price Capital Appreciation | Morningstar

Portfolio Visualizer Comparison Analyses of PRWCX:  Backtest Portfolio Asset Allocation (portfoliovisualizer.com)

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30 Nov 2022Episode 221: All Roads Lead To More Cowbell -- Shplendid!00:27:28

In this episode we answer emails from Gregory, MyContactInfo, Ralphio and Spencer.  We discuss the overriding currency speculation aspect of investing in non-U.S. funds, keeping things simple during accumulation, leveraged funds, some academic analyses of managed funds and what to make of it, how to identify the basic factors of given funds and the Shplendid aspects of MORE COWBELL.

Links:

Paul Merriman's "Best in Class" Fund Identification Page:  Best-in-Class ETF Portfolios - Paul Merriman

Rational Reminder Leveraged Portfolios Video:  Investing With Leverage (Borrowing to Invest, Leveraged ETFs) - YouTube

Rational Reminder Interview of Professors Berk and Binsbergen:  Episode 220: Jonathan Berk and Jules van Binsbergen: The Arithmetic of Active Management, Revisited — Rational Reminder

Berk and Binsbergen 2014 Paper re Active Management:  delivery.php (ssrn.com)

Rational Reminder Interview of Eduardo Repetto of Avantis:  Episode 228: Eduardo Repetto: Deep Dive with Avantis Investors' CIO — Rational Reminder

Rick Ferri Interview of Eduardo Repetto of Avantis:  Episode 43: Bogleheads on Investing – guest Eduardo Repetto, host Rick Ferri – Rick Ferri, CFA

Morningstar Analysis of IJR:  IJR – Portfolio – iShares Core S&P Small-Cap ETF | Morningstar

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04 Dec 2022Episode 222: Holy Volatility Allocations, Charitable Event Promotion And Portfolio Reviews As Of December 2, 202200:29:10

In this episode we answer emails from Jamie, Chris and The Dude (Alexi).  We give do some listener appreciation and talk about The Dude's proposed volatility-related allocation.

And THEN we our go through our weekly and monthly portfolio reviews of the seven sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.  

And we also invite you to an event at the Father McKenna Center in Washington, DC -- Lessons and Carols on December 8 at 7 pm.

Additional links:

Father McKenna Center Lessons and Carols:  Lessons and Carols - Father McKenna Center

Jamie's Article re Luck and Success:  Winning a Nobel Prize Takes Luck as Much as Talent - WSJ

The Dude's Proposed Volatility Allocation:  7% CCOR, 5% YCS, 5% EUO and 3% VIXM (20% overall allocation).

CCOR fund page:  CCOR ETF | Core Alt Capital (corealtfunds.com)

Correlation Matrix with Alexi's Funds and BTAL:  Asset Correlations (portfoliovisualizer.com)

Backtest using Alexi's volatility allocations:  Backtest Portfolio Asset Allocation (portfoliovisualizer.com)

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07 Dec 2022Episode 223: A Celebrity Deathmatch About CAPE Ratios And Related Topics00:35:07

In this episode we answer an email from Daniel, who asks a follow-up question to episode 209 about CAPE ratios and Big ERN's blog.  We then recount a Zoom chat and email exchanges between the host and Karsten Jeske about that topic and related ones and an analysis of a sample risk-parity style portfolio using the Early Retirement Now SWR Toolbox.  It's similar to "Celebrity Deathmatch" in entertainment value.

We also talk briefly about Risk Parity Chronicles, The upcoming EconoMe Conference with Diania Merriam and the upcoming event at the Father McKenna Center.

Links ("the best links, the best"):

Father McKenna Center Lessons and Carols Event Link:  Lessons and Carols - Father McKenna Center

Risk Parity Chronicles:  Risk Parity Chronicles

EconoMe Conference:  EconoMe Conference - March 17th-19th, 2023

Early Retirement Now SWR Toolbox:  An Updated Google Sheet DIY Withdrawal Rate Toolbox (SWR Series Part 28) – Early Retirement Now

Safe Withdrawal Series Part 34:  Using Gold as a Hedge against Sequence Risk – SWR Series Part 34 – Early Retirement Now

Kitces CAPE Ratio Article 2014:  Shiller PE: Bad Market Timing, Good Retirement Planning (kitces.com)

Kitces CAPE Ratio Article 2016:  Reducing Retirement Return Assumptions For High Valuation? (kitces.com)

Kitces Critique of November 2021 Morningstar Forecasts Report:  Can Morningstar's Withdrawal Rate Report Refute The 4% Rule? (kitces.com)

Morningstar 2011 Article About Predicting the Next Decade (classic misuse of P/E ratios):  Your Forecasts for Stock and Bond Returns | Morningstar

Early Retirement Now Small-Cap and Value Blogpost:  My thoughts on Small-Cap and Value Stocks – Early Retirement Now

Early Retirement Now Options Strategy Blogpost:  Passive income through option writing: Part 8 – A 2021 Update – Early Retirement Now

The Market Huddle Podcast re Bloomberg Analysis:  To Survive Disasters, You Need Smiles (guest: Steve Hou) - Market Huddle Ep.201 - YouTube

Bloomberg Presentation:  MH201-SteveHou-Bloomberg.pdf (markethuddle.com)

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11 Dec 2022Episode 224: Correlation and Monetary Musings, The Physical Metals Racket and Portfolio Reviews As Of December 9, 202200:42:22

In this episode we answer emails from Brian, Alexi (the Dude!) and Geordi.  We discuss how central bank activities may affect asset correlations, applying the history of money to today's crypto currency-related issues, investing in volatility, another podcast about DBMF, and the follies and foibles of the physical precious metals racket and the participants therein, especially the newsletter and book-touting Hedgehogs.

And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the seven sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.  

Additional links:

Bloomberg Presentation re Asset Performances in Inflationary Environments:  MH201-SteveHou-Bloomberg.pdf (markethuddle.com)

YouTube video explaining Bloomberg presentation:  To Survive Disasters, You Need Smiles (guest: Steve Hou) - Market Huddle Ep.201 - YouTube

Interview of Andrew Beer about DBMF (managed futures):  214 Systematic Investor Series ft. Andrew Beer – October 16th, 2022 | Top Traders Unplugged

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14 Dec 2022Episode 225: Rebalancing Basics, Cowbell in the U.K. And Poking At The New Deathstar00:27:01

In this episode we answer emails from Charlie, Jimi and Freya.   We provide explanations of the concepts of rebalancing and reallocation, talk about a listener's favorite sound clip and about creating a simple starter portfolio for a very small U.K. investor.  And we take a poke at the new Morningstar report on retirement forecasting and projected safe withdrawal rates, and the vast changes they made from last year.

Links:

New Morningstar Report:  2022 Retirement Withdrawal Strategies Report | Morningstar

Michael Kitces Optimal Rebalancing Article:  Optimal Rebalancing – Time Horizons Vs Tolerance Bands (kitces.com)

Ernest P. Worrell:  Ernest P. Worrell - Wikipedia

Jim Varney:  Jim Varney - Wikipedia

"Hey Vern It's Earnest" Clip:  Hey Vern It's Ernest.m4v - YouTube

Paul Merriman "Sound Investing" Podcast on Portfolio for Grandchild:  How to Create a Financial Legacy for a Child - Sound Investing | Podcast on Spotify

Portfolio Charts "My Portfolio" Analyzer:  MY PORTFOLIO – Portfolio Charts

ISVL Fund Page:  iShares International Developed Small Cap Value Factor ETF | ISVL

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18 Dec 2022Episode 226: Tilting At The Dude's Dragons, Market/Limit Orders, DIY Investing Since 2011 And Portfolio Reviews As Of December 16, 202200:27:25

In this episode we answer emails from Alexi (a/k/a "the Dude"), Matt and Daniel.  We talk about Alexi's Dragon-style portfolio experiments (and provide links), market orders vs. limit orders and miscellaneous trading advice, and the evolution of DIY investing with ETFs and other funds since 2011.

And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the seven sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.  

Additional links:

Alexi's Dragon-style portfolios:  Alexi's Portfolio Asset Allocation (portfoliovisualizer.com)

Alexi's Dragon-style portfolios with longer data-set funds:  Alexi's Portfolio Asset Allocation (Proxy Funds) (portfoliovisualizer.com)

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22 Dec 2022Episode 227: Traditional vs. Roth, Fundamental Risk Parity Principles and Correlations, and Talkin' About that Cowbell!00:31:47

In this episode we answer emails from Bradley, Chris and Andreas.  We discuss traditional versus Roth considerations in retirement accounts, REITs, some risk parity fundamentals about the interplay between asset classes and macroeconomic environments and how that relates to correlations, a recent risk parity backtest to 1926 and the real reasons to use small cap value allocations.  I'm telling you, fellas, you're gonna want that Cowbell!

Links:

REIT Sectors and Directory:  REIT Sectors | Nareit

Episode 5 Bridgewater Article on Risk Parity Fundamentals:  Microsoft Word - 2009.12 AW Info Pack.doc (granicus.com)

Early Retirement Now Article re Small Cap Value:  My thoughts on Small-Cap and Value Stocks – Early Retirement Now

Analysis of Small-Cap Value vs. Total Market since 1972:  Backtest Portfolio Asset Class Allocation (portfoliovisualizer.com)

Bloomberg Presentation re Performance of Various Asset Classes in Inflationary Environments:  MH201-SteveHou-Bloomberg.pdf (markethuddle.com)

Merriman Podcast (12/21/2022) on Small Cap Value Stocks:  10 reasons small-cap value can make you richer - Paul Merriman

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25 Dec 2022Episode 228: Talladega Nights Christmas Dinner, Composite Fund Considerations, Intermediate Treasury Bonds, And Portfolio Reviews As Of December 23, 202200:29:33

In this episode we answer emails from Drew, Sad Fientist and Popeye.  We discuss managed futures and the fund BLNDX, intermediate treasury bonds and general bond considerations and record keeping for the sample portfolios.  And throw in some Talladega Nights gold fleece diaper-dom along the way.

And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the seven sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio

Additional links:

Father McKenna Center Donation Page:  Donate - Father McKenna Center

BLNDX Information Pages:  Standpoint Multi-Asset Fund - Documents (filepoint.com)

Portfolio Charts Article Re Tax-Loss Harvesting TLT:  Harvesting the Fall: Why I Sold All My Bonds – Portfolio Charts


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29 Dec 2022Episode 229: Family Frolics, The Infernal JEPI And Legacy Investing00:18:10

In this episode we answer emails from MyContactInfo, Mark and Eric.  We discuss rowing machines, the infernal JEPI and other heavily marketed financial products, and what to do as a DIY investor for legacy investing.  Happy Holidays!

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01 Jan 2023Episode 230: Annual Portfolio Reviews For The Most Hideous Year Of 202200:36:54

In this episode we do an annual review of the seven sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.   We compare them with standard funds including VBIAX (60/40), VWENX, VWIAX, risk parity funds including RPAR and UPAR, and ultra-diversified funds including AQRIX and QDSIX.  And we conclude with some take-away thoughts from this disaster of a year as predicted by Quasimodo.

Additional links:

Risk Parity Chronicles Resource Page:  Resources - Risk Parity Chronicles

RPAR and UPAR Descriptions:  RPAR Risk Parity ETF (rparetf.com)

AQRIX Fund Page:  AQR Multi-Asset Fund - AQRIX

QDSIX Fund Page:  AQR Diversifying Strategies Fund - QDSIX

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05 Jan 2023Episode 231: Value, Growth And Momentum Factors And What To Do About The Children00:30:26

In this episode we answer emails from MyContactInfo, Cy, Alexi (Dude!) and Chris.  We discuss value vs. growth factors, assisting children with investing and inheritances, momentum factor investing and the fund QMOM, and the best audience available.

Links: 

QMOM and MTUM asset correlations:  Asset Correlations (portfoliovisualizer.com)

QMOM Performance:  QMOM – Alpha Architect US Quantitative Momt ETF – ETF Stock Quote | Morningstar

MTUM Performance:  MTUM – iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF – ETF Stock Quote | Morningstar

Bloomberg Presentation on Asset Classes in Inflationary Environments:  MTUM – iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF – ETF Stock Quote | Morningstar

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08 Jan 2023Episode 232: Bond Fund Considerations, Transitions To Retirement, A New Tool And Portfolio Reviews As Of January 6, 202300:28:11

In this episode we answer emails from Trey, Nita, Christy and Keith.  We discuss considerations in bond fund selections (see also Episodes 14 and 16) and the specific fund IEI, timing for transitioning to your retirement portfolio, classifying the Sample Portfolios by intended purposes, and a new tool for analyzing portfolios with managed futures.

And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the seven sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio

Additional link:  

Keith's Link to the new tool:  Portfolio Builder - Dunn Capital

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12 Jan 2023Episode 233: It's Gold Jerry! And Other Excessive Hijinks . . .00:22:46

In this episode we answer a trio of emails from MyContactInfo and a piece de resistance from Eric.  We discuss why complicated financial products are bad for you, Peter Bernstein's books and what Paul Volcker had to say about gold, and spurious histories of money.  And we celebrate our inanity and insanity with Eric.

Links:

Power of Gold book:  The Power of Gold: The History of an Obsession: Bernstein, Peter L., Volcker, Paul A.: 9781118270103: Amazon.com: Books

Link to Campbell Harvey article:  Gold, the Golden Constant, and Déjà Vu (cfainstitute.org)

Peter Zeihan video about monetary systems:  Global Currency: The Dollar Ain't Going Nowhere - YouTube

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15 Jan 2023Episode 234: Rollin' With Momentum, Mid-Caps, BDCs And Portfolio Reviews As Of January 13, 202200:28:26

In this episode we answer emails from Alexi (Dude!), Yangon and Brett.  We discuss the momentum factor (again), mid-cap funds and other fund characteristics that are lacking in meaning for the purposes of diversification, financial advisor certifications and investing in BDCs (Business Development Companies).

And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the seven sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.

Additional links:

EconoMe Conference:  EconoMe Conference - March 17th-19th, 2023

DFA Article About Momentum Strategy Funds:  Have Investors Benefited from Momentum Strategies? | Dimensional

Momentum Funds Correlation Matrix:  Asset Correlations (portfoliovisualizer.com)

Series 65 Licenses Article:  Series 65 Definition (investopedia.com)

Series 7 Licences Article:  Series 7: Definition and Formula for Calculation, With Example (investopedia.com)

Brett's BDC Article:  Credit Is Good: BDC Credit May Be Even Better | Seeking Alpha

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19 Jan 2023Episode 235: Our Listeners Have All Kinds of Gambling Problems00:22:42

In this episode we answer emails from Arun, Blake and MyContactInfo.  We discuss helping a spouse getting started with investing, what to do with an options strategy portfolio, why index funds still rule over managed funds, good and bad processes for picking funds and various gambling problems.

Links:

Simple Portfolios for Arun's Spouse:  Backtest Portfolio Asset Allocation (portfoliovisualizer.com)

Article re Index Funds Beating Managed Funds:  Actively Managed Mutual Funds Consistently Fail to Beat Markets, Study Finds - The New York Times (nytimes.com)

EconoMe Conference:  EconoMe Conference - March 17th-19th, 2023

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22 Jan 2023Episode 236: All About Assets In Inflationary Environments (And Other Tales) And Portfolio Reviews As Of January 20, 202300:35:12

In this episode we answer emails from Alexi (Dude!) and Spencer.  We discuss a recent Bloomberg presentation about what asset classes perform best and worst in inflationary environment, how that informs portfolio construction and why we don't bother with meaningless fund characteristics like mid-caps and dividend-payers for portfolio construction.

And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the seven sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.

Additional links:

Steve Hou/Bloomberg Presentation:  MH201-SteveHou-Bloomberg.pdf (markethuddle.com)

Market Huddle Video with Steve Hou:  To Survive Disasters, You Need Smiles (guest: Steve Hou) - Market Huddle Ep.201 - YouTube

Article about the "Factor Zoo":  Taming the Factor Zoo (aqr.com)

EconoMe Conference:  EconoMe Conference - March 17th-19th, 2023

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25 Jan 2023Episode 237: Dropping A Bomb On You With A Ten-Question Analysis Of Inflation-Hedger RRH00:26:06

In this episode we take the Dude's suggestion and do a detailed analysis of the Advocate Rising Rate Hedge ETF, ticker symbol RRH.

To conduct our analysis of RRH, we use SPLB, using David Stein's Ten Questions to Master Investing:

1.  What is it?
2.  Is it an investment, a speculation, or a gamble?
3.  What is the upside?
4.  What is the downside?
5.  Who is on the other side of the trade?
6.  What is the investment vehicle?
7.  What does it take to be successful?
8.  Who is getting a cut?
9.  How does it impact your portfolio?
10.  Should you invest?

Links:

RRH Website:  Advocate Rising Rate Hedge ETF (rrhetf.com)

RRH Fact Sheet:  Microsoft PowerPoint - Advocate RRH Fund Fact Sheet Jan 2023 v01 (rrhetf.com)

RRH Summary Prospectus:  advocate_rrh_summary.pdf (rrhetf.com)

Podcast about RRH:  Scott Peng, PhD, Founder and CEO/CIO, Advocate Capital Management - Alpha Exchange | Podcast on Spotify

Asset Correlation Analysis of RRH:  Asset Correlations (portfoliovisualizer.com)

Risk Parity Chronicles TIPs Blog Series (Summary and Conclusions):  Eight Observations About TIPS (riskparitychronicles.com)

EconoMe Conference:  Programming & Activities - EconoMe (economeconference.com)

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29 Jan 2023Episode 238: CAPE Crusading, NEWMAN! And Portfolio Reviews As Of January 27, 202300:36:31

In this episode we answer emails from Justin and Arun.   We discuss the last decade of history of the failed use of CAPE ratios as a crystal ball and the general problems with those approaches, and the inherent limitations and problems with using the personal finance recommendations of theoretical economists.

And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the seven sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.

Additional links:

CAPE Ratios Article:  CAPE Fear: Why CAPE Naysayers Are Wrong | Research Affiliates

Michael Kitces  CAPE Article (2016):  Reducing Retirement Return Assumptions For High Valuation? (kitces.com)

Kitces Critique of November 2021 Morningstar Forecasts Report:  Can Morningstar's Withdrawal Rate Report Refute The 4% Rule? (kitces.com)

Sector P/E Ratios Article:  Sector Valuation: Shiller PE By Sectors - GuruFocus.com

Industry P/E Ratios Article:  Price to Earnings (P/E) Ratios by Industry | Eqvista

2022 Morningstar Report:  2022 Retirement Withdrawal Strategies Report | Morningstar

Afford Anything Kotlikoff Interview:  #329: Challenging Your Confirmation Bias, with Economist Larry Kotlikoff - Afford Anything

Planet Money Economist Interview:  Yale Economist James Choi Analyzes Popular Financial Advice : Planet Money : NPR

Complex Adaptive Systems and the Math that Applies To Them:  The Fractal Lens - Prospecting Mimetic Fractals

More Than You Know Book:  More Than You Know: Finding Financial Wisdom in Unconventional Places by Michael J. Mauboussin | Goodreads



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02 Feb 2023Episode 239: A Potpourri Of Esoteric Eccentricities On Groundhog Day!00:30:59

In this episode we answer emails from Gareth, Mark and Alex.  We talk about the meta-differences in investing in various countries, utilities, long dollar funds like UUP, specialized commodities mutual funds like LCSIX and a couple new leveraged funds with mixed asset classes.

Links:

LCSIX Fact Sheet:  LoCorr-Funds-Long-Short-Commodities_fact_sheet.pdf (locorrfunds.com)

Alex's SEC Link To Return Stacked Funds Prospectuses:  https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1924868/000138713122011734/newfound-485apos_112322.htm

Resolve Asset Management Return Stacking White Paper:  Return Stacking: Strategies For Overcoming a Low Return Environment (investresolve.com)

Resolve Asset Management YouTube Channel (Video on Risk Parity):  Risk Parity Is the Answer: What Was the Question? (EP.18) - YouTube

EconoMe Conference:  Programming & Activities - EconoMe (economeconference.com)




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05 Feb 2023Episode 240: Dirty Harry Kicks Over A Dignity Bucket And Portfolio Reviews As Of February 3, 202300:45:43

In this episode we answer emails from Kyle, Esek and Erin.   We discuss 529 plans, what is "enough" in terms of this podcast, and THEN the meta approaches to retirement planning and the importance of distinguishing portfolio construction and allocation strategies from portfolio management techniques, including a tour on the Good Ship Lollipop with the Outlaw Josey Wales.  Errata: I said "Bernstein assumptions" when I meant "Bengen assumptions."

And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the seven sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.

EconoMe Conference link:  Programming & Activities - EconoMe (economeconference.com)

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09 Feb 2023Episode 241: Entertaining The Masses With Asset Selection Tricks And Techniques00:45:51

In this episode we answer two looooong emails from Mark and Andreas.  We discuss Mark's quandaries with a 457 plan and Andreas's Risk Parity fever brought on by topics that include how to choose ETFs for each asset class, leverage in bond funds, TIPS, a proposed portfolio, other alternatives like long-short, market neutral and options strategies and musings about taxes and currency exposures.   And then we conclude with Polo Hofer.

Links:

Father McKenna Center donation page:  Donate - Father McKenna Center

Risk Parity Chronicles video tutorial on asset swapping:  How to Do an Asset Swap - YouTube

Risk Parity Chronicles series on TIPS:  Eight Observations About TIPS (riskparitychronicles.com)

ETF Database:  ETF Database: The Original & Comprehensive Guide to ETFs (etfdb.com)

Bloomberg Presentation on Asset Classes in Inflationary Environments:  MH201-SteveHou-Bloomberg.pdf (markethuddle.com)

Vanguard Commodities Paper:  Commodity investing and its role in a portfolio (vanguard.com)

Antti Ilmanen books:  Books by Antti Ilmanen (Author of Expected Returns) (goodreads.com)

EconoMe Conference:  EconoMe Conference - March 17th-19th, 2023

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12 Feb 2023Episode 242: Lemmy Joins Some Of The Regulars For Q&A And Portfolio Reviews As Of February 10, 202300:27:39

In this episode we answer emails from Alexi (a/k/a "the Dude"), the effervescent MyContactInfo, and Mike.   We discuss a Portfolio Visualizer fund selection tool for factor investing, Merton and other academics, and an uncannily familiar diversified portfolio recently featured in a Marketwatch article.   And we play some Motorhead  and rant about financial media a bit.

And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the seven sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.

Additional links:

Portfolio Visualizer Fund Factor Attribution Tool:  Mutual Fund and ETF Factor Performance Attribution (portfoliovisualizer.com)

Rational Reminder Interview of Robert C. Merton:  Episode 234: Prof. Robert C. Merton: ICAPM, Retirement, and Models in Finance — Rational Reminder

MarketWatch Article:  This 'crazy' retirement portfolio has just beaten Wall Street for 50 years - MarketWatch

Easy Improvements to Marketwatch-featured portfolio:  Backtest Portfolio Asset Class Allocation (portfoliovisualizer.com)

EconoMe Conference:  Programming & Activities - EconoMe (economeconference.com)

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19 Feb 2023Episode 243: Dirty Harry's Managed Futures Portfolios, An Asset Replacement Experiment And Portfolio Reviews As Of February 17, 202300:35:19

In this episode we answer emails from Johnny, Kevin and Daniel.  We discussed managed futures vs. commodity funds, the Mt. Lucas "Dirty Portfolios" with KMLM and how to transition from one asset to another in a portfolio with the beginning of a new pedagogical experiment in that.

And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the seven sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.

Additional links:

Dirty Portfolios Article with Dirty Harry Quotes:  Dirty Portfolios - Managed Futures As A Portfolio Element (mtlucas.com) 

Side-by-Side Analysis Of Original and Planned Golden Ratio Portfolios: Backtest Portfolio Asset Allocation (portfoliovisualizer.com)

Side-by-Side Analysis of Original and Planned Levered Golden Ratio Portfolios:  Backtest Portfolio Asset Allocation (portfoliovisualizer.com) 

EconoMe Conference:  Programming & Activities - EconoMe (economeconference.com)

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26 Feb 2023Episode 244: Fun With New Managed Futures Funds, TIPS Misconceptions And Portfolio Reviews As Of February 24, 202300:39:40

In this episode we answer a series of emails from Drew and one from Ms. Annie Mouse.  We discuss the fund BLNDX, managed futures and how to analyze new and composite funds and then rant about TIPs misconceptions and uses for your delight and amusement.

And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the seven sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.

Additional links:

Podcast re BLNDX:  Creating The Optimal Diversified Portfolio | Eric Crittenden | Episode 64 - The Market Call Show | Podcast on Spotify

Analysis of BLNDX vs. a 50/50 stock/managed futures portfolio:  Backtest Portfolio Asset Allocation (portfoliovisualizer.com)

Analysis of 50/50 stock/managed futures portfolio vs.  Golden Ratio-style portfolio:  Backtest Portfolio Asset Allocation (portfoliovisualizer.com)

LTPZ vs. TLT analysis:  https://tinyurl.com/2fgsgn8o

EconoMe:  Our Speakers - EconoMe (economeconference.com)

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04 Mar 2023Episode 245: Gold And Bonds And Sonia, Oh My! And Portfolio Reviews As Of March 3, 202300:37:07

In this episode we answer emails from Anonymous, Jeffrey and Anderson.  We discuss locations for putting gold in various accounts, rant about the physical gold racket, discuss theoretical and practical risk parity portfolios, and talk about short and long term treasuries.

And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the seven sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.

Additional links:

Justin's Video Re Asset Swaps:  How to Do an Asset Swap - YouTube

Justin's Video Re The Portfolio Visualizer Fund Factor Tool:  How to Use the Fund Factor Regression Tool on Portfolio Visualizer - YouTube

Risk Parity Chronicles YouTube Channel:  Risk Parity Chronicles - YouTube

CFA Institute Manual -- Risk Parity Chapter:  chapter-4-from-managing-multiasset-strategies-2018.pdf (callan.com)

Early Retirement Now Article about Gold:  Using Gold as a Hedge against Sequence Risk – SWR Series Part 34 – Early Retirement Now

Sonia's Crystal Ball Video:  Crystal ball gazing, how to use a Crystal Ball ~ How to Scry with a Crystal Ball ~ by Sonia Parker - YouTube

EconoMe Conference:  Our Speakers - EconoMe (economeconference.com)

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16 Mar 2023Episode 246: Risk Parity ETFs, Leverage, Alternatives, Podcasts and Ohio!00:39:37

In this episode we answer emails from Kevin, Graham and Boone.  We discuss the risk parity ETFs, RPAR and UPAR, leveraged portfolios, alternative assets, ETFs and some of the podcasts I'm listening to these days.

Links:

RPAR webpage:  RPAR Risk Parity ETF (rparetf.com)

Risk Parity Book Review:  Top 10 Risk Parity Resources: #10... Shahidi (2021) (riskparitychronicles.com)

CFA Institute Manual Article:  chapter-4-from-managing-multiasset-strategies-2018.pdf (callan.com)

Rational Reminder Video about Leverage:  Investing With Leverage (Borrowing to Invest, Leveraged ETFs) - YouTube

Sound Investing Podcast:  Sound Investing on Apple Podcasts

Money With Katie Podcast:  The Money with Katie Show

Money With Katie Portfolio Analysis Blogpost:  How to Diversify Outside of the Total Stock Market — Millennial Money with Katie

Ramit Sethi Podcast:  Podcast - I Will Teach You To Be Rich

Macro Trading Floor Podcast:  The Macro Trading Floor on Apple Podcasts

Eurodollar University Podcast:  General 2 — Eurodollar University

Gestalt University Podcast:  Resolve's Gestalt University on Apple Podcasts

Alpha Exchange Podcast:  Alpha Exchange on Apple Podcasts

Excess Returns YouTube Channel (Corey Hoffstein Episode):  Show Us Your Portfolio: Corey Hoffstein - YouTube

Retirement Planning Education YouTube Channel:  Retirement Planning Education - YouTube


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