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DateTitreDurée
15 Jan 2025Luke Gromen: Foreigners To Dump Bonds If U.S. Dollar Continues To Strengthen01:19:05
This Monetary Matters episode is brought to you by VanEck.  Learn more about VanEck Uranium & Nuclear ETF: http://vaneck.com/NLRJack Investing involves substantial risk and high volatility, including possible loss of principal. Visit vaneck.com or call 800.826.2333 to read and consider the prospectus, containing the investment objective, risks, and fees of the fund. Carefully read before investing.  © Van Eck Securities Corporation, Distributor, a wholly owned subsidiary of Van Eck Associates Corporation Luke Gromen, Founder & President, Forest for the Trees (FFTT), joins Monetary Matters to share his thoughts on the rapidly selling off Treasury market and strong U.S. Dollar. Recorded on January 13, 2025. Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Luke Gromen on Twitter https://x.com/LukeGromen
09 Apr 2025When the Market Crashes… They Profit | Wayne Himelsein on Logica Capital’s Long Volatility Playbook00:56:24
Wayne Himelsein, CIO and founder of Logic Capital Advisors, joins Other People’s Money, to discuss how his hedge fund is built to profit when volatility spikes in moments just like this. Everybody wants to carry crash protection but if implemented improperly the cost of carrying hedges can bleed you dry. Finding innovative ways to solve this problem is what drives Himelsein and Logica forward and in this discussion he discusses their approach to maintaining at the money long volatility exposure without relying on spread trades to fund tail hedges. This episode is brought to you by Fintool, a financial copilot tailored for institutional investors. Fintool leverages Large Language Models (LLMs) to discover financial insights beyond the reach of timely human analysis. From summarizing extensive annual reports to computing numbers and unearthing new insights by comparing years of filings, Fintool equips institutional investors like Janus Henderson, First Manhattan and companies like PWC. Learn more about how you can add AI to your investment process: https://fintool.com/?utm_source=the_opm Follow Wayne on X: https://x.com/WayneHimelsein Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod
12 Mar 2025The Liquidity Squeeze | Michael Howell On Funding Pressures, China’s Gold Yuan Devaluation, and Trump Admin’s Tariff Endgame01:20:55
This Monetary Matters episode is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about VanEck Uranium & Nuclear ETF: http://vaneck.com/NLRJack Michael Howell of Crossborder Capital returns to Monetary Matters to share his view on how global liquidity is impacting asset markets. While falling fixed income volatility and a declining dollar should buoy liquidity, Howell notes a distinct fall in liquidity momentum from central banks and worries that there could be a liquidity squeeze unless central banks inject more liquidity. He touches on various topics including the PBOC’s new mechanism, gold, and SOFR/EFFR spreads. Recorded on March 10, 2025.  Follow VanEck on Twitter https://x.com/vaneck_us Follow Michael Howell on Twitter https://x.com/crossbordercap Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Crossborder Substack https://capitalwars.substack.com/ Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez
27 Feb 2025Inside the Alternative Investment Platform Megatrend | Alan Strauss of Crystal Capital Partners00:54:31
Whether you are talking about hedge funds, private equity, private credit, or venture capital, alternative investment strategies are becoming a much larger part of the portfolios of individual investors. For many that’s being done through investment platforms targeting their registered investment advisors. Alan Strauss, senior partner at Crystal Capital Partners, joins OPM to discuss how alternative investment platforms like Crystal Capital are ushering in a new wave of adoption of alternative assets for RIAs and their clients by providing lower investment minimums, curated menus of top tier funds, and improved customization and investment “wrappers.” Are you a buyside professional looking to fast track your career? Sign up for the Fundamental Edge Analyst Academy and save 10% with coupon code OPM-10 at https://www.fundamentedge.com/opm Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR Learn more about Crystal Capital Partners: https://www.crystalfunds.com Follow Max Wiethe on Twitter: https://x.com/maxwiethe Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 01:03 History of Fund of Funds 08:47 Early Alternatives Platforms 12:35 Who Invests on Alts Platforms 15:16 Customized Fund of Funds 19:26 Platform Fee Structures 20:46 What Types of Funds Thrive on Platforms 23:56 Fundamental Edge Analyst Academy 25:38 Smaller Fund Managers 27:01 What Gets a Fund Kicked Off Investment Platforms 29:59 The Rise of Private Market Investing 35:36 Newer Vintage Funds 39:10 how Do New Funds Got On Platforms 45:45 Sub Strategy Fund Trends 49:06 Advisor Influence on Fund Menus 53:07 Are Platforms Helping Smaller Fund Managers?
19 Nov 2024How To Build A Billion Dollar Hedge Fund From Scratch | Dan Rasmussen00:55:02
Dan Rasmussen has built his firm Verdad Capital into a billion-dollar asset manager on the back of one core activity, producing high quality research. Since Verdad’s inception in 2014, they have produced almost 500 pieces of research that they publish on their website weekly and distribute both on Twitter and to their large email list of readers. This research serves two functions. It’s both the backbone of the strategies employed at this highly quantitative firm, and a point of connection with existing and potential investors. In this interview with Max Wiethe, Rasmussen discusses how he’s used research to showcase his authentic self and build an audience that provides enumerable benefits. They also discuss the compliance process for publishing research, how he has built out his team and Verdad’s internship program, and why he takes a more SaaS approach to product market fit. Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR Follow Dan Rasmussen on Twitter: https://x.com/verdadcap Follow Max Wiethe on Twitter: https://x.com/maxwiethe Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 03:43 The Value of Research and Verdad’s First Big Thesis 10:27 The SaaS Approach Product Market Fit 20:26 Investing in Human Capital 24:21 The Research and Publishing Process 28:41 Research as Brand Building 33:06 Compliance and Misconceptions About Public Statements 41:35 Authenticity and Investor Archetypes 46:07 Making Mistakes 49:45 Being Early on PE
18 Mar 2025Geopolitical Uncertainty is Freezing Private Capital | John Bowman of CAIA01:19:02
This episode is brought to you by Fintool. Learn more about how you can add AI to your investment process with Fintool: https://fintool.com/?utm_source=the_opm John Bowman, CEO of CAIA Association, the Association of Chartered Alternative Investment Analysts, joins Jack Farley on a special crossover episode of Monetary Matters and Other People’s Money to discuss the biggest trends in alternative investments. Bowman explains how Tariff uncertainty and other geopolitical factors might be the #1 factor that led to last year’s drop in PE assets, why he believes there is still another shoe to drop in private credit, and that hedge funds are coming back into vogue with alternatives investors. This episode is brought to you by Fintool, a financial copilot tailored for institutional investors. Fintool leverages Large Language Models (LLMs) to discover financial insights beyond the reach of timely human analysis. From summarizing extensive annual reports to computing numbers and unearthing new insights by comparing years of filings, Fintool equips institutional investors like Janus Henderson, First Manhattan and companies like PWC. Learn more about how you can add AI to your investment process: https://fintool.com/?utm_source=the_opm Follow John Bowman on X: https://x.com/BowmanJohnL Follow CAIA on X: https://x.com/CAIAAssociation Follow Fintool on Twitter https://x.com/fintoolx Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod
31 Dec 2024Citrini’s Top 25 Trades For 202501:54:24
Citrini just raised the price of Citrini Research by 25%. Monetary Matters listeners can get access to the LOWER 2024 pricing with this link (offer expires February 15): https://www.citriniresearch.com/subscribe?coupon=d11a5439 The cross-asset thematic investor known only as Citrini returns to Monetary Matters. James reflects on his trades of 2024 in his “Citrindex” which was up 65% in 202 (January 1, 2024 to December 23, 2024). Citrini shares excerpts from his “25 trades for 2025” piece at Citrini Research, covering everything from homebuilders, to drones, to Ukraine normalization trades and power capacitors. Recorded Christmas Eve December 24, 2024. Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Citrini on Twitter https://x.com/Citrini7
10 Nov 2024Let The Bull Loose | Citrini on Trump Trade, China, and Powell Put On Bonds01:06:58
Citrini, the thematic cross-asset investor known for his prescient and profitable calls on AI and GLP-1s, joins Monetary Matters to review with Jack his “Trump basket” which since its inception in March 4, 2024 to November 8, 2024 is up 87% (his Trump market neutral basket is up 32% over the same time horizon). Citrini explains why he created the basket and how its performance tracked and often predicted Trump’s odds of winning in the betting markets. Upon Trump’s victory, he tells Jack which parts of the basket he thinks are overheated and which have room to run. Citrini also shares his views on AI, the broad stock and bond markets, and the airline industry. Recorded on November 8, 2024. Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Follow Citrini on Twitter https://x.com/Citrini7 Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96
24 Apr 2025Hidden Mortgage Market Shifts Are Creating Opportunities | Matt Jozoff of Trevally Capital00:50:42
Matt Jozoff, co-CEO, Portfolio Manager, and Head of Macro Research at Trevally Capital joins Other People’s Money, to discuss how trends like the growth in the Ginnie Mae market, low credit borrowers and non-bank originators, and other factors are affecting mortgage prepayments and creating opportunities in the mortgage market for firms like Trevally Capital. He also discusses how Trevally Capital is looking to extract alpha from these opportunities and build a world-class institutional asset manager with the backing of partners like The Raptor Group and Seaport Global Securities. Learn more about Trevally Capital: https://www.trevallycapital.com/ Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M  Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi  YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod Timestamps 00:00 Intro 01:33 Post-Tariff Fixed Income Market Update 06:49 Recent Mortgage Market Developments 10:45 Ginnie Mae Mortgages 12:04 Not Calling For Another Mortgage Crisis 13:42 Nobody Can Afford Refinancing 17:24 Trump Admin and Fannie & Freddie 21:08 Factors Affecting Mortgage Prepayments 28:27 Day one Institutional Quality 34:53 Prepayments Part II 39:04 Importance of Seed Investors like Raptor & Seaport Global 42:07 Hedge Fund Seed Investing is Venture Capital 43:55 Peers & Competitors in the Mortgage Market 49:36 Physics & Cincinnati Connection
23 Apr 2025Tariffs Aren’t Going Away | PIMCO’s Policy Head Libby Cantrill on Trade and Tax Environment In New U.S. Administration00:55:18
Libby Cantrill, Managing Director and Head of Public Policy at PIMCO, joins Monetary Matters to explain her outlook on U.S. trade and tax policy. Cantrill argues that while Trump administration has flexibility in tariff negotiations and that the China tariffs are likely headed much lower (a prediction that already looks like it will come true), tariffs are not going away anytime soon and she views the 10% tariffs on the world as a floor, with reciprocal tariffs on top of that floor especially on China being elevated. Cantrill also shares her views on sectoral tariffs, the rumored “Mar-a-Lago Accord” (she doesn’t think it has traction), and tax cuts. Recorded the afternoon of April 22, 2025. Follow Libby Cantrill on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/libby-cantrill-cfa-17162513b/ Most recent piece, “Overall U.S. Tariff Level Still High Despite Exemptions”: https://www.pimco.com/us/en/insights/overall-us-tariff-level-still-high-despite-exemptions Cantrill’s profile on PIMCO: https://www.pimco.com/us/en/experts/libby-cantrill Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez
05 Feb 2025The EM Financial Stability Report Card | Rohit Goel on Emerging Markets, Dollar Dominance, and Term Premia01:24:37
Today's episode is brought to you by Teucrium. Learn more at: https://bit.ly/4gfI0fe Rohit Goel, partner and head of global macro at Breakout Capital, joins Monetary Matters to share his views on emerging markets, the dollar, and bond market term premia. Recorded on January 16, 2025. Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Rohit Goel on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/goelrohit/ Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez
27 Nov 2024Joseph Wang & George Goncalves on Rates, Tariffs, Fed’s Balance Sheet, and Yen Carry Trade01:28:47
Jack is joined by George Goncalves, Head of US Macro Strategy at MUFG Securities Americas Inc, and Joseph Wang, publisher at FedGuy.com and former senior trader for the New York Fed, to probe the challenges the Federal Reserve faces at its December meeting and the new year. Recorded on November 25, 2024.  Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Follow Joseph Wang on Twitter https://x.com/FedGuy12 Joseph’s website: https://fedguy.com/ Joseph’s book: https://www.amazon.com/Central-Banking-101-Joseph-Wang/dp/0999136747 Follow George Goncalves on Twitter https://x.com/bondstrategist Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96
11 Mar 2025The Specialist Hedge Fund That Has Crushed the S&P 500 | Moez Kassam of Anson Funds00:56:01
This episode is brought to you by Fintool. Learn more about how you can add AI to your investment process with Fintool: https://fintool.com/?utm_source=the_opm Toronto may be the financial capital of Canada but compared to NYC or London it does not quite have the same cachet for top hedge fund managers. This might be why Moez Kassam, CIO and Founder of Anson Funds, has flown under the radar of many keeping track of the industry’s titans while growing Anson Funds to over $2b in assets under management and putting together a track record of 15% annualized returns since inception in 2007. Known as a short selling specialist, Kassam shares his views on the art of shorting, dives into some of the other differentiated strategies Anson employs and explains how he attracts top talent to Toronto. This episode is brought to you by Fintool, a financial copilot tailored for institutional investors. Fintool leverages Large Language Models (LLMs) to discover financial insights beyond the reach of timely human analysis. From summarizing extensive annual reports to computing numbers and unearthing new insights by comparing years of filings, Fintool equips institutional investors like Janus Henderson, First Manhattan and companies like PWC. Learn more about how you can add AI to your investment process: https://fintool.com/?utm_source=the_opm Follow Moez Kassam on X: https://x.com/MunchingMoez Follow Anson Funds on X: https://x.com/AnsonGroupFunds Follow Max Wiethe on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod
03 Feb 20252025 = Biggest Bank M&A Year In History? Bank Zhar Brad Rinschler on Credit, CRE, GBank, REIT Pain, and Much Much More01:27:21
Brad Rinschler, managing partner and portfolio manager at Down Range Capital, joins Jack to share his in-depth view on the many niches of publicly traded bank stocks. Rinschler explains why he was short all 5 of the banks that failed in 2023, and why he is relatively constructive on small & community banks in 2025. He also offers his bull case for the red-hot stock $GBFH, which he has been involved with for many years. Recorded on January 27, 2025.  Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Brad Rinschler on Twitter https://x.com/thebankzhar GBank quarterly earnings: https://www.gbankfinancialholdings.com/financial-insights Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez
06 Nov 2024Enter the Kuppyverse | Harris Kupperman on Brand Building by Blogging at Praetorian Capital | Other People's Money with Max Wiethe00:57:32
Harris Kupperman, CIO and Founder of Praetorian Capital joins Max Wiethe to share how he’s grown his firm to over $300 million in AUM, largely by breaking the institutional mold. They discuss Kupperman’s choice to build a strategy with UHNW investors and family offices in mind rather than traditional institutional investors and the benefits of a diversified base of LPs. They also discuss the firm’s blog Kuppy’s Korner, the importance of authenticity in brand building, and his choice to register the fund as a 506(c). Clarification: At 50:48 Harris mentions that almost half the capital in the fund is from gains. As of September 30th, 2024 44% of the fund's capital is from gains. Sign up for Kuppy’s Korner at: https://pracap.com Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR Follow Harris Kupperman on Twitter: https://x.com/hkuppy Follow Max Wiethe on Twitter: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow OPM on Twitter: https://x.com/OPMpod Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96
23 Feb 2025Gambling Man: Masayoshi Son’s Bold AI Vision For 2025 & Beyond | Lionel Barber00:48:06
“Gambling Man” on Simon & Schuster: https://www.simonandschuster.com/books/Gambling-Man/Lionel-Barber/9781668070741 “Gambling Man” on Amazon: https://www.amazon.com/Gambling-Man-Greatest-Disruptor-Masayoshi/dp/166807074X Lionel Barber, former editor of the Financial Times and author of “Gambling Man: The Secret Story of the World's Greatest Disruptor, Masayoshi Son,” joins Jack on Monetary Matters. Recorded on February 19, 2025.  Follow Lionel Barber on Twitter https://x.com/lionelbarber Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez
30 Jan 2025Russell Clark on Inverting the Long Short Hedge Fund Model and Battling Investors' Biggest Risks00:56:58
Former fund manager and short seller Russell Clark has always believed that the key to adding value for investors is to solve for the biggest risks in their portfolios. He also argues it’s the key to successfully raising hedge fund assets. In this interview, Clark discusses the biggest risks he thinks investors face right now, why these risks have him considering relaunching his hedge fund after returning capital in 2021, and why if he does relaunch, he’s inverting the long short hedge fund model. You can read Russell's Substack here: https://www.russell-clark.com Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR Follow Russell Clark on Twitter: https://x.com/rampagingruss Follow Max Wiethe on Twitter: https://x.com/maxwiethe
13 Jan 2025How The Treasury Decides Where To Borrow | Steve Hou on Maturity Issuance Policies of U.S. Treasury and Equity Index Construction01:46:14
Steve Hou, Researcher at Bloomberg Indices, joins Monetary Matters to share his work on Treasury Issuance patterns and equity index construction. Hou explains that “the supply effect” (i.e. the degree to which issuance of long-term bonds rises bond yields is related to stock/bond correlation). He shares several findings from his work on indices related to pricing power, research and development (R&D), and other factors, and at the end he offers his macro views on bond yields and the increasingly concentrated stock market. Recorded on January 7, 2025. __ Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez __ Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Steve Hou on Twitter https://x.com/stevehouf Follow Bloomberg on Twitter https://x.com/Bloomberg Follow Bloomberg Terminal on Twitter https://x.com/TheTerminal __ Chapter 1 of Steve’s dissertation (“When is the supply effect large in the government bond market?”): https://finance.unibocconi.eu/sites/default/files/files/media/attachments/SteveHou_JMP20180115111812.pdf Steve’s work on the innovation factor (R&D): https://t.co/VSSpiUExWL Steve’s work on pricing power: https://www.bloomberg.com/professional/insights/financial-services/cracking-the-code-of-pricing-power/ Work on Analyst ratings upgrades: https://www.bloomberg.com/professional/insights/trading/analyst-ratings-improvers-a-bet-on-turnaround-companies/
18 Dec 2024Jack Farley & Max Wiethe on Fed Hawkishness & Steep Stock Market Sell-off00:37:36
Jack welcomes Max Wiethe, business partner and host of Other People’s Money podcast, to break down December’s Federal Reserve meeting. Jack shares why he bought puts prior to the Fed’s meeting and his views for the market after its steep sell-off of nearly 3%. Max and Jack debate to what extent the monetary policy is hawkish, the bull case for the dollar, and how many cuts (if any) the Fed will do in 2025. Recorded just after the FOMC meeting on December 18, 2024. Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Follow Max Wiethe on Twitter https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on Twitter https://x.com/OPMpod Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96
19 Mar 2025Volatility Markets Are Complacent | Kris Sidial on Tariff Risk to Stocks, Dispersion Trade, and Margin Risk00:54:10
Kris Sidial, co-CIO of The Ambrus Group, returns to Monetary Matters to share his decidedly bearish view of the U.S. stock market. Kris argues that volatility markets are not sufficiently pricing in the risks of President Trump’s economic policy, and if that if anything, vol traders are expecting a bounce and laying off hedges rather than buying them. Kris also explains the dispersion trade, vol selling in ETFs, index arb, vanna & volga, VVIX, and margin risk. Recorded on March 18, 2025. Follow Kris Sidial on Twitter https://x.com/Ksidiii Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez
28 Sep 2024China Fights Its Doom Loop | Leland Miller on Mammoth Stimulus From People's Bank of China01:15:34
China’s central bank just shocked markets with several impressive sounding stimulus measures, causing the biggest one-week rally in Chinese stocks since 2008. But how effective is this stimulus actually going to be to the Chinese economy? Leland Miller, co-founder & CEO of China Beige Book, joins Monetary Matters to weigh on this very important issue. Leland says he thinks the rally in Chinese stocks could continue for up to two months but that the effect on the Chinese economy will be to stabilize rather than to stimulate. Recorded on September 27, 2024.  Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Follow China Beige Book on Twitter https://x.com/ChinaBeigeBook Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96
01 Oct 2024Harley Bassman: Bonds Are Fully Cooked Without an Imminent Recession01:13:53
Harley Bassman, managing partner at Simplify Asset Management, outlines his favorite trades right now and explains why he thinks bonds are fully cooked without an imminent recession. He argues that selling interest rate vol is one of the best ways to play this fully cooked bond market and explains how new issue agency MBS and other callable bonds can be used to take advantage of the richness in bond volatility. Filmed on September 26, 2024. Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Follow Harley Bassman on Twitter https://x.com/ConvexityMaven Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Learn more about Simplify https://www.simplify.us
18 Sep 2024Joseph Wang: Fed Interest Rate Cuts Could Hurt The Stock Market00:57:27
Joseph Wang, former senior trader for the New York Fed and publisher of FedGuy.com, joins Jack Farley as the first guest of Monetary Matters. Joseph shares his view on the Federal Reserve's historic double interest rate cut, and explains why he thinks the interest rate cuts could be quite bearish for the stock market. Filmed on September 18, just after Fed Chair Powell's press conference. Follow Joseph Wang on Twitter https://x.com/FedGuy12 Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Joseph's latest piece, "When Big Cuts Are Bad": https://fedguy.com/when-big-cuts-are-bad/
30 Oct 2024Is The Yield Curve’s Recession Signal Wrong?Jeff Snider01:26:48
Jeff Snider of Eurodollar University joins Jack to explore whether the inverted yield curve signal has been proven wrong, and just how strong or weak the U.S. economy is. Recorded on October 28, 2024. Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Follow Jeff Snider on Twitter https://x.com/JeffSnider_EDU Jeff’s YouTube Channel https://www.youtube.com/@eurodollaruniversity Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96
04 Oct 2024The Oil Market Has A Big Problem | Paul Sankey01:03:49
Despite rising tensions in the Middle East, today’s guest thinks that the price of oil is headed not higher but lower. Paul Sankey of Sankey Research joins Jack Farley on Monetary Matters to share why he thinks the price of oil is headed to as low as $50 as millions of barrels of capacity come online in Guyana, the U.S., and elsewhere, and as Saudi Arabia begins to focus on market share once again. Recorded on October 4, 2024. Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Follow Paul Sankey on Twitter https://x.com/crudegusher Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Financial Times article on Saudi desire to take back market share: https://www.ft.com/content/1d186f62-5941-4f9e-aef1-7d93a8a696cd
19 Sep 2024Danielle DiMartino Booth: The Fed Is Still Behind The Curve00:59:33
Teucrium’s US Agriculture ETFs provide exposure to commodities like corn, wheat, soybeans, and sugar in a convenient size and ETF wrapper, right in your traditional brokerage account. Learn more at https://teucrium.com/ Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and chief strategist of QI Research, joins Monetary Matters to share her views on the the Federal Reserve’s historic 50 basis point cut. Recorded shortly after Jay Powell’s press conference on September 18, 2024.  Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Follow Danielle DiMartino Booth on Twitter https://x.com/DiMartinoBooth Danielle DiMartino Booth’s research service: https://quillintelligence.com/ Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96
23 Oct 2024The Panic Melt-Up In Bank Stocks | Chris Whalen on Recession Fantasies & Capital Market Reawakening01:10:34
Chris Whalen of Whalen Global Advisors & Institutional Risk Analyst joins Jack Farley to explain why bank stocks are partying like it’s 1997 again. Recorded on October 21, 2024.  Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Chris Whalen’s latest book, “Seeing Around Corners,” https://www.freedommortgage.com/seeingaroundcorners Lev Menand & Joshua Younger paper that Chris references: https://scholarship.law.columbia.edu/faculty_scholarship/4093/ Follow Chris Whalen on Twitter https://x.com/rcwhalen Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96
13 Nov 2024U.S. Dollar Is Getting Crowded | “Market Wizard” Jason Shapiro on Currencies, Stocks, and Bonds Under Trump Administration01:10:03
Veteran trader Jason Shapiro joins Jack to share how he perceives positioning across FX, Equities, commodities, and bonds. He thinks the crowded long dollar trade has created a set-up for the Euro to rally, and he estimates that traders are a bit too short of oil and natural gas. Equities is in the “too hard” column so he is neutral, however he sees some short-term risks. Recorded on November 12, 2024. Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Follow Jason Shapiro on Twitter https://x.com/Crowded_Mkt_Rpt Follow Crowded Market Report on YouTube https://www.youtube.com/@crowdedmarketreport Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96
22 Apr 2025Preparing For A Real Credit Cycle | Danny Moses on Tariff Fatigue, Private Credit, Gold, Tarnishing of U.S. Brand, and Why Stocks Still Aren’t Cheap01:11:27
To view the prospectus for the VanEck Merk Gold ETF (OUNZ), please visit: https://www.vaneck.com/OUNZProspectus Learn more: https://www.vaneck.com/OUNZJack/overview/ What happens to Private Credit in a slowdown? Are fears of tariffs overblown? Danny Moses of “The Big Short” renown joins Monetary Matters to share his views on these important issues and more. Recorded April 17 2025. Follow Danny Moses on Twitter https://x.com/dmoses34 Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Danny Moses’ podcast, On The Tape: https://open.spotify.com/show/1Bawg52xr2HpGeN36npyua Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez
15 Dec 2024The Treacherous Last Mile of Inflation | Vincent Deluard on France, 2025 U.S. Fiscal Drag, COLA Pain, and the U.S. Healthcare Price Spiral01:21:43
Vincent Deluard, director of global macro for StoneX, joins Monetary Matters to share why he thinks there is a perfect storm of macro headwinds that in April to May of 2025 may put a halt to the relentless rise in U.S. stocks.  Deluard argues that the lower inflation of 2024 will result in a lower cost-of-living-adjustment (COLA) adjustment for 2025 U.S. government programs such as Social Security. He thinks a strong U.S. dollar could dent corporate profits and that state and local governments plan to actually shrink expenditures in 2025.  Deluard, a Frenchman, shares his detailed view on political chaos in France and its macroeconomic consequences. Recorded on December 11, 2024.  Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Follow Vincent Deluard on Twitter https://x.com/VincentDeluard Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96
07 Jan 2025The Last Mutual Fund Manager Standing | How Eric Crittenden Defied the ETF Boom to Build a $1B Fund00:57:28
When was the last time you heard about an exciting new mutual fund launch? It’s probably been a while. Despite ETFs, hedge funds, and burgeoning asset classes like private credit taking all the headlines, mutual funds still control over $20 trillion in AUM. So, how does one raise assets in the 2020s with a product many associate with a time gone by? Eric Crittenden, CIO and Founder of Stand Point Asset Management, joins OPM to share how his mutual fund has done just that and reached over $1 billion in AUM in less than 5 years. Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR Follow Standpoint on Twitter: https://x.com/StandpointFunds Follow Max Wiethe on Twitter: https://x.com/maxwiethe
08 Apr 2025“Going Full Reagan” | Tian Yang on Trump Administration’s Bet To Shrink U.S. Trade Deficit, Signs of Market Panic, and Dollar Outlook00:59:58
Tian Yang, CEO and head of research at Variant Perception, explains his view on a variety of assets on time horizons of tactical, cyclical, and structural duration. Recorded April 7, 2025. Follow Variant Perception on Twitter https://x.com/VrntPerception Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Variant Perception website: https://variantperception.com/ Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez
03 Dec 2024The Investor Up 1000% With No Down Years | Chris Brown of Aristides Capital01:04:21
Since Aristides Capital’s inception in August 2008, Chris Brown has returned over 1,000% for their investors with a stunning 16-year track record of no losing years. In this interview with Max Wiethe, Brown explains how they’ve been able to sustain these results and grow their business to over $300m in AUM all while operating far from the typical financial centers where hedge funds cluster. They discuss how accumulating a plethora of lower capacity strategies, hiring and working with “well intentioned nerds,” and maintaining rigorous processes for post-hoc analysis and feedback have been some of the keys to their investment success. They also touch on asset gathering from both HNW and institutional investors, attracting talent, and the reality that for small funds being in the top quartile or even decile of performance is a near necessity for reaching critical mass. Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR Follow Chris Brown on Twitter: https://x.com/MidwestHedgie Follow Max Wiethe on Twitter: https://x.com/maxwiethe
19 Jan 2025Will the Risk On Party Continue? | Chris Carrano on The Quantitative Factors Driving Markets01:19:40
There are always many narratives about what drives markets higher or lower but increasingly investors are turning to quantitative measures like style factors to decouple the signal from the noise and pinpoint what is actually behind major market moves. In this interview, Chris Carrano VP of Strategic Research at Venn by Two Sigma breaks down the orthogonal market factors that drove asset prices in 2024 and what is driving them so far in 2025. He also examines key moments like the post Trump rally in November, December’s equity market wobble post FOMC, and the recent reaction to cooling CPI data. Filmed on January 17, 2025. Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Venn by Two Sigma on Twitter https://x.com/VennTwoSigma Read the Venn by Two Sigma Blog: https://www.venn.twosigma.com/insights
09 Mar 2025The “Biblical” Rotation Out Of U.S. Stocks | Julian Brigden on Flight from Dollar Assets, Tariffs, and Rumored “Mar-a-Lago Accord”01:09:49
This Monetary Matters episode is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about VanEck Uranium & Nuclear ETF: http://vaneck.com/NLRJack During most stock market sell-offs, the dollar tends to rise. Julian Brigden, co-founder of Macro Intelligence 2 Partners, explains why he thinks the U.S. dollar will weaken as the stock market declines as a bubble in dollar assets is popped by new U.S. fiscal policy. Recorded on March 6, 2025. Follow VanEck on Twitter https://x.com/vaneck_us Follow Julian Brigden on Twitter https://x.com/JulianMI2 Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez
31 Jan 2025Joseph Wang: Tariffs Are Coming & They Will Be Bad For Stocks (But Good for America)00:51:20
This Monetary Matters episode is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about VanEck Uranium & Nuclear ETF: http://vaneck.com/NLRJack Joseph Wang of FedGuy.com returns to Monetary Matters to share his view that markets are insufficiently discounting the large and significant tariffs that the Trump Administration will implement shortly. Joseph and Jack also review the January Fed meeting, with Joseph noting that Fed chair Powell might be significantly more dovish than the FOMC committee. Joseph explains why he is bearish on stocks and bullish on bonds and gold (and short-term interest rates). Recorded on January 30, 2025. Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Joseph Wang on Twitter https://x.com/FedGuy12 Joseph’s website: https://fedguy.com/ Pieces discussed: “The Plan”: https://fedguy.com/the-plan/ “It is a Good Day to Tariff”: https://fedguy.com/it-is-a-good-day-to-tariff/ “Shifting Flows”: https://fedguy.com/shifting-flows/ Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez
10 Jan 2025Market Tumbles On Rosy Jobs Data | Jack & Max Break-Down Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Sell-Off and Current Macro Regime00:52:48
Jack Farley and Max Wiethe of the Monetary Matters network break down the sell-off in stocks after a strong December jobs report and hot inflation expectations reading surprises markets. Recorded afternoon of January 10. Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Follow Other People’s Money on:  Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M  Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi  YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR  Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Max Wiethe on Twitter: https://x.com/maxwiethe Philadelphia Fed work on early : https://www.philadelphiafed.org/-/media/frbp/assets/economy/articles/economic-insights/2022/q3-q4/eiq3q422_rs-measuring-state-employment.pdf https://www.philadelphiafed.org/surveys-and-data/regional-economic-analysis/early-benchmark-revisions Bloomberg Opinion piece on Equity Risk Premia: https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2025-01-10/who-s-afraid-of-rising-treasury-yields-not-stocks?srnd=opinion
16 Mar 2025“It’s All About Credit” | James Aitken on Widening Credit Spreads & Falling U.S. Stocks, Tariff-Induced Slowdown & Trade Disruption, Chinese & European Stocks, and Private Credit 01:48:30
This episode is brought to you by Fintool. Learn more about how you can add AI to your investment process with Fintool: https://fintool.com/?utm_source=the_opm James Aitken of Aitken Advisors is one of the world’s most respected investment minds. He joins Monetary Matters to share his view that tariffs - and in particular announced reciprocal tariffs - from the Trump administration are set to slow economic growth in the U.S. from 5% to around 3%, and that accordingly the high-growth environment wherein credit and equities performed extremely well is likely set to give way to a lower-growth environment which will be more bumpy for credit and stocks. Aitken evaluates the current risk-reward in European and Chinese equities, and also shares his analysis of the situation in private credit. Recorded March 14, 2025.  Follow James Aitken on Twitter https://x.com/AitkenAdvisors Follow Fintool on Twitter https://x.com/fintoolx Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez
17 Sep 2024Introducing... Monetary Matters 00:00:52
Jack Farley interviews the very best financial minds about macro, markets, and monetary matters. First episode going out with Joseph Wang on September 18, shortly after the Federal Reserve begins its cutting rate cycle. Follow Jack on Twitter @JackFarley96
28 Jan 2025Tariffs Could Blow Up the Bond Market | Mark Zandi on the Biggest Risk to the Economy01:06:37
Mark Zandi, Chief Economist for Moody’s Analytics, joins monetary matters to discuss his outlook for the US economy and why he thinks higher yields driven by broad based tariffs are the biggest risk to the US economy. Despite the economic strength he still sees he believes recession risk is elevated, and this risk is being driven primarily by policy uncertainty. He also discusses the GSEs, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, and why he thinks most paths to exiting conservatorship create a lot of pain for the mortgage market. Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Follow Mark Zandi on Twitter: https://x.com/Markzandi Follow Jack Farley on Twitter: https://x.com/JackFarley96 Listen to Mark’s Podcast “Inside Economics”: https://www.moodys.com/web/en/us/about/insights/podcasts/moodys-talks-inside-economics.html
04 Dec 2024The Macroeconomic Malaise | Juliette Declercq on Debt, Tariffs, Immigration, and Yield Curve01:13:57
A stalwart of the “no recession” camp for many years, Juliette Declercq of JDI Research joins Jack to argue why she thinks that recession is now the greater risk than inflation for 2025 and beyond. Declercq argues that U.S. economy has been growing beyond organic levels by relying upon debt growth and immigration. She explains her bullish view on the dollar, the two-year note, and her views on stocks and bonds. Recorded on December 2, 2024. Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Follow Juliette Declercq on Twitter https://x.com/JulietteJDI Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96
25 Sep 2024Neil Dutta: This is What a Soft Landing Looks Like00:50:41
Neil Dutta, Head of Economic Research at Renaissance Macro Research, joins Monetary Matters to update his prior call that the US economy would not enter a recession. He explains why a soft landing is still his base case and why he thinks the Fed is properly positioned to engineer that outcome even if soft economic data forces them to cut rates more aggressively. Recorded on September 21, 2024.  __ Learn more about Renaissance Macro Research: https://www.renmac.com Follow Renaissance Macro Research on Twitter https://x.com/RenMacLLC Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96
02 Mar 2025Economic Playbook For Trump 2.0 | Eric Wallerstein on Tariffs, DOGE, Jobs Numbers, and Global Trade War Tail Risk01:27:10
Eric Wallerstein, Chief Markets Strategist for Yardeni Research, joins Jack to share his optimist outlook on the U.S. economy. Recorded on February 27, 2025. Follow Eric Wallerstein on Twitter https://x.com/ericwallerstein Follow Yardeni on Twitter https://x.com/yardeni Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez
06 Oct 2024Lyn Alden on China's Real Estate Implosion & Stock Market Rally01:18:47
Lyn Alden of Lyn Alden Investment Strategy joins Monetary Matters to explain why she is bullish on Chinese equities on a multi-year time horizon, and to share why she thinks nothing will stop the American economy because of the large amount of fiscal deficits the U.S government is running. Recorded on September 30, 2024. Teucrium’s US Agriculture ETFs provide exposure to commodities like corn, wheat, soybeans, and sugar in a convenient size and ETF wrapper, right in your traditional brokerage account. Learn more at https://teucrium.com/ Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast: https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify: https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube: https://rb.gy/dpwxez Follow Lyn Alden on Twitter https://x.com/LynAldenContact Follow Jack Farley on Twitter: https://x.com/JackFarley96
07 Apr 2025Tariff Escalation Update | Jack & Max on April 7 Tariff News & Market00:44:31
Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Max Wiethe on Twitter https://x.com/maxwiethe Other People’s Money Podcast on Twitter https://x.com/OPMpod Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez
07 Apr 2025“Supply Shock Greater Than Great Depression-Era Smoot-Hawley Tariff” | David Kotok on Trump’s Sweeping Tariffs And Market Crash00:56:38
David Kotok’s book, “The Fed and the Flu: Parsing Pandemic Economic Shocks”:  https://www.amazon.com/Fed-Flu-Parsing-Pandemic-Economic-ebook/dp/B0DCK1ZHJT Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow David Kotok on Twitter https://x.com/DavidKotokGIC Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez
07 Nov 2024A Defiant Chairman Powell Cuts Rates | Jack Farley & Max Wiethe01:01:49
The Federal Reserve continued its course of interest rate cuts in the first FOMC meeting following the election of Donald Trump and a defiant Chairman Powell strongly rejected any notion that Trump’s presidency could affect the independence of the Federal Reserve. Here, Jack Farley and Max Wiethe discuss the Fed’s move in light of recent data, the stock market’s run both before and after Trump’s election, and their outlooks for stocks and the economy moving forward. Recorded on November 7th , 2024. Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Max Wiethe on Twitter: https://x.com/maxwiethe
13 Oct 2024Jared Dillian: Private Equity Has Reached A Sentiment Top00:43:01
Jared Dillian, author of The Daily Dirtnap and of “Night Moves: And other stories” joins Monetary Matters to discuss his thoughts behind a recent piece he wrote called “The Next Big Short: Hidden Risks Behind Private Equity's $8 Trillion Market.” Jared explains why he has shorted private equity companies and why he thinks private equity has peaked as an asset class and is destined for underperformance over the next decade. Recorded on October 11, 2024. Jared’s piece, ““The Next Big Short: Hidden Risks Behind Private Equity's $8 Trillion Market”: https://m.jareddillianmoney.com/private-equity-next-big-short Jared’s Short Private Equity website: https://www.shortprivateequity.com/ Jared’s latest book, “Night Moves: And other stories”: https://www.amazon.com/Night-Moves-stories-Jared-Dillian/dp/B0DFBJS741 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Follow Jared Dillian on Twitter https://x.com/dailydirtnap Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96
26 Jan 2025How Micro Informs The Macro | David Steinberg on Scott Bessent, Pet Investing, Semiconductors, Music Publishing, and Peter Lake02:35:25
David Steinberg, founder and chief investment officer of Marlowe Partners, joins Jack for a very special episode of Monetary Matters. Steinberg recounts what he learned working for Soros and Scott Bessent at Quantum, and how he developed his investment style of high concentration in single-name equities. David and Jack talk Humanization of Pets, semis, music publishing, and David’s secret pastime which he reveals for the first time on this program. Recorded on January 23, 2025. Peter Lake philosophy: https://www.peterlake.com/philosophy-of-music Peter Lake on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/artist/2LO6MZ0w06BnfgIfoJHIe6 Peter Lake on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@PeterLakeMusic Marlowe Partners: https://marlowepartners.com/ Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez
12 Dec 202420% Decline In Stocks By First Quarter 2025? Felix Zulauf on a Bubble In S&P 500, Yen Carry Trade, and Bond Market Rollercoaster00:56:49
Today’s episode is brought to you by the Teucrium Wheat Fund. War, weather, inflation—even monetary policy—drive wheat prices. See disclaimers below. Explore the opportunities at: https://bit.ly/Teucrium Felix Zulauf, renowned macro investor and founder of Zulauf consulting, joins Jack on Monetary Matters to share his current views on stocks, bonds, and commodities. Zulauf expects a >1000 point correction in the S&P 500 in early 2025, and warns that a strengthening Japanese yen could unleash a wave of liquidations from investors involved in the Yen carry trade. Under such a risk-off scenario, Zulauf expects U.S. Treasury yields to decline, however he thinks the secular bear market in bonds will ultimately continue. Zulauf is not ready to call an end to the secular bull market in U.S. stocks. Recorded on December 9, 2024.  Felix Zulauf website: https://www.felixzulauf.com/ Felix Zulauf email: info@felixzulauf.com Zulauf Consulting on LinkedIn: zulauf-consulting Zulauf Consulting YouTube Channel: @zulaufconsulting Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Follow Teucrium on Twitter https://x.com/TeucriumETFs Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 ___ Disclaimers for Teucrium sponsorship: This material must be preceded or accompanied by a prospectus. Please read the prospectus carefully before investing. To obtain a current prospectus visit www.teucrium.com. The Teucrium Wheat Fund is a commodity pool regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and is not a mutual fund registered under the Investment Company Act of 1940 and is not subject to regulation under such Act. Commodities and futures generally are volatile and are not suitable for all investors.  Futures investing is highly speculative and involves a high degree of risk. An investor may lose all or substantially all of an investment in the Fund. Investing in commodity interest subject the Fund to the risk of its related industry. Brokerage commissions and exchange-traded fund expenses will reduce returns. Teucrium Trading, LLC serves as the Sponsor of the Teucrium Wheat Fund. PINE Distributors LLC is the Marketing Agent for the Fund, and is not affiliated with Teucrium Trading, LLC, or any of its affiliates. __ Music from #InAudio: https://inaudio.org/ Track Name: Cinematic Piano [Cinematic Music] by MokkaMusic / Soul
05 Mar 2025How Tariffs Jeopardize The Soft Landing | Jonny Matthews, former Brevan Partner, on Bond Yields, Japanese Yen, and Gold01:11:29
This Monetary Matters episode is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about VanEck Uranium & Nuclear ETF: http://vaneck.com/NLRJack Recorded on March 4, 2025. Follow VanEck on Twitter https://x.com/vaneck_us Follow Jonny Matthews on Twitter https://x.com/super_macro Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez
24 Nov 2024Banks As Synthetic Hedge Funds | Elham Saeidinezhad on Private Credit ETFs, Interest Rate Swaps as Repo, and the Increasing Interconnectedness Between Banks And Nonbanks01:58:22
Dr. Elham Saeidinezhad, Term Assistant Professor of Economics at Barnard College, Columbia University, and Market Structure Fellow, Jain Family Institute, joins Jack to share her upcoming papers on banks as synthetic hedge funds and interest rate swaps as synthetic funding. Recorded on November 23, 2024.  Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Follow Elham Saeidinezhad on Twitter https://x.com/elham_saeidi Elham Saeidinezhad’s Website https://elhamsaeidinezhad.com/ Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96
14 Mar 2025Tariffs Unlikely To Derail Strong Economy—But Market Risk Has Risen | Prometheus Macro’s Aahan Menon01:14:45
Recorded on March 13, 2025. Follow Aahan Menon on Twitter https://x.com/AahanPrometheus Follow Prometheus Macro on Twitter https://x.com/prometheusmacro Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez
18 Feb 2025The Trends Driving the Hedge Fund Industry’s Record $4.5 Trillion in AUM | Ken Heinz of HFR Index00:56:22
Ken Heinz, President of HFR Index LLC, joins Other People’s Money to break down the trends driving the hedge fund industry’s growth to a record $4.5 trillion in assets under management. HFR’s data on the industry that they collect and analyze from over 6,000 funds gives them a birds eye view of the big trends like the growth of multi-managers, crypto funds, and inflows for small and large funds alike. You can find more info on the HFR Database, HFR Indices, and other industry reports and resources for hedge fund investors and managers on their website: https://www.hfr.com Fast track your buyside career and save 10% with coupon code OPM-10 at https://www.fundamentedge.com/opm Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR Follow HFR on Twitter: https://x.com/HFRinc Follow Max Wiethe on Twitter: https://x.com/maxwiethe Timestamps: 01:13 What is HFR? 02:45 What Qualifies as a Hedge Fund? 07:07 Classifying Your Hedge Fund Properly 10:15 Multi-Manager Hedge Fund Index 15:36 The Crypto Hedge Fund Boom 21:39 Fundamental Edge Analyst Academy 23:20 Hedge Fund Asset Growth 27:04 The Return of Capital Trend 29:47 Do Capital Flows Hurt Returns 31:49 Fund Formation Trends 38:09 Fund Closure Trends 39:44 Fund of Funds 43:46 The Bifurcation of the Hedge Fund Industry 49:22 The Future of Hedge Funds
07 Feb 2025Hedge Funds Are a Team Sport | Ilya Zaides on Continuity at 14B Capital00:55:07
Hedge fund success both for their investors and operationally is almost always the result of a team effort. Ilya Zaides, CIO and Founder of 14B Capital Management, explains why this means hedge fund investors can care as much about team and key relationship stability as they do about past success. Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR Follow Max Wiethe on Twitter: https://x.com/maxwiethe
20 Mar 2025The Fed's Rate Cutting Cycle Is Already Over | Jim Bianco on March Fed Meeting, Trump Tariffs, and 4/5/6 Markets01:11:05
This Monetary Matters episode is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about VanEck Uranium & Nuclear ETF: http://vaneck.com/NLRJack Jim Bianco returns to Monetary Matters to break down the March Federal Reserve meeting. He explains why he thinks tariffs are unlikely to cause a recession and share his current asset allocation outlook. Recorded the afternoon of March 19, 2025. Follow VanEck on Twitter https://x.com/vaneck_us Follow Jim Bianco on Twitter https://x.com/biancoresearch Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez
10 Dec 2024Active Management Still Matters in Emerging Markets | Jamie Carter01:17:16
Jamie Carter, Partner and Managing Director at Variis Partners has spent much of his career focused on the world of long-only emerging-market investment boutiques. In this interview with Max Wiethe, Carter discusses the huge differences between building a long only business and a hedge fund business, why launching fund vehicles out of the UK has become more difficult, the differences in raising capital in the US, UK, and Europe, and why he thinks emerging markets are the last hold outs for fundamental active managers. He also explains why EM investors and allocators are holding their collective breath waiting to see how the Trump administration’s policies will impact global markets. Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR You can learn more about Variis Partners on their website: https://www.variispartners.co.uk Follow Max Wiethe on Twitter: https://x.com/maxwiethe
15 Apr 2025Dodging Tariff Turmoil in Nordic High Yield Credit | Måns Levin of Ridge Capital00:51:50
Måns Levin, CEO and co-founder of Ridge Capital, joins Other People’s Money, to discuss why they believe the Nordic high yield credit market provides unique opportunities for double-digit returns and insolation from tariff and trade war risks. Levin discusses the exceptional start Ridge Capital has had, both in terms of performance and asset raising, the specific features and composition of the Nordic high yield market that they find most attractive, and the flexibility in strategies required to take full advantage of the opportunities they see. Follow Ridge Capital on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/ridgecap/ Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod #credit #creditmarket #fixedincome #bonds #nordic #sweden #norway #denmark #finland #stocks #economics #economy #stockmarket #investing #hedgefunds #trading #wallstreet #ridgecapital #finance
17 Nov 2024Investing For A High Price Future | James Davolos on Inflation, Pricing Power, and West Texas01:21:03
James Davolos, portfolio manager for Horizon Kinetics, joins Jack to share his investment philosophy for investing in companies with strong pricing power that benefit from inflationary environments. Recorded on November 14, 2024.  Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Follow Horizon Kinetics on Twitter https://x.com/horizonkinetics?lang=en Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96
02 Apr 2025Tariffs: The Ultimate Stagflationary Shock? | Darius Dale on "Liberation Day," DOGE, Gold, and the Global Debt Refinancing Air Pocket01:05:47
Darius Dale of 42Macro joins Jack to explain why he’s been bearish on U.S. stocks and expects the rough sledding to continue. Dale believes stagflationary shock from tariffs and deflationary DOGE forces could cause Treasurys to catch a short-term bid, but long-term he is bearish on bonds. On a longer-term time horizon, Dale thinks Trump fiscal forces could be positive for the economy and markets. Recorded on April 1, 2025. Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Darius Dale on Twitter https://x.com/DariusDale42 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez
16 Feb 2025The Central Bank As Crisis Manager | Dr. Patrick Honohan, former Central Bank of Ireland Governor, on Crisis Management, Macroeconomic Shocks, & Tariffs01:19:42
This Monetary Matters episode is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about VanEck Uranium & Nuclear ETF: http://vaneck.com/NLRJack Dr. Patrick Honohan, honorary professor of economics at Trinity College Dublin and nonresident senior fellow Peterson Institute for International Economics, joins Monetary Matters to share lessons from his latest book, “The Central Bank as Crisis Manager.” Looking at financial and macroeconomic crises from countries ranging from Iceland, Switzerland, and the U.S., to his native Ireland (where he was the governor of its Central Bank from 2009 to 2015), Honohan concludes that central banks must prepare to fight and manage crises in addition to their ordinary mandate of price stability (and, in the case of the Fed, maximum employment). Recorded on February 5, 2025. Honohan’s Book, “The Central Bank as Crisis Manager” on Columbia Press: https://www.piie.com/bookstore/2024/central-bank-crisis-manager Honohan’s Book, “The Central Bank as Crisis Manager” on Amazon: https://www.amazon.com/Central-Bank-Crisis-Manager/dp/0881327530 Honohan’s Previous Book, “Currency, Credit and Crisis: Central Banking in Ireland and Europe”: https://www.amazon.com/Currency-Credit-Crisis-Central-Macroeconomic-ebook/dp/B07R699LFV/?_encoding=UTF8&pd_rd_w=zS3eY&content-id=amzn1.sym.bc3ba8d1-5076-4ab7-9ba8-a5c6211e002d&pf_rd_p=bc3ba8d1-5076-4ab7-9ba8-a5c6211e002d&pf_rd_r=146-4087044-9452813&pd_rd_wg=rdvDv&pd_rd_r=18882405-c569-4216-9a47-f7da59ed6d66&ref_=aufs_ap_sc_dsk Follow Patrick Honohan on Twitter https://x.com/PHonohan Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez
05 Apr 2025Trump’s War on Markets | Benn Eifert on Volatility, Tariffs and Growth of Derivatives-Embedded ETFs01:05:32
Benn Eifert of QVR Advisors joins Monetary Matters to share his thoughts on tariffs, volatility, and the growth of ETFs with embedded derivatives. Recorded on March 26 (before “Liberation Day” and the market crash). Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Benn Eifert on Twitter https://x.com/bennpeifert Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez
23 Mar 2025A Foreclosure Wave Is Coming | Chris Whalen on FHA Mortgage Loans, Tariffs, Bank Valuations, and Payment Companies01:04:09
Today's episode is brought to you by Teucrium. Learn more at: https://bit.ly/4gfI0fe While Chris Whalen of Whalen Global Advisors is a supporter of many of the Trump administration’s policies, he expects they will cause some significant turbulence in credit and economic markets. Chris explains why he thinks FHA Mortgage foreclosures will rise, and shares his views on tariffs, bank stocks, and payment companies. Recorded on March 20, 2025. Second edition of Chris Whalen’s “Inflated”: https://www.wiley.com/en-us/Inflated%3A+Money%2C+Debt+and+the+American+Dream%2C+2nd+Edition-p-9781394285716 Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Chris Whalen on Twitter https://x.com/rcwhalen Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez
29 Oct 2024To Zero and Beyond | Building Muddy Waters Capital with Carson Block | Other People's Money with Max Wiethe01:34:18
Building a successful hedge fund is hard. It’s even harder when you’re fighting the perpetual upward momentum of the market. Despite this headwind, Carson Block, CIO and Founder of Muddy Waters Capital, has made his firm into a successful fund management business and taken down billion-dollar frauds in the process. In this interview with Max Wiethe, Block explains why starting a fund became necessary to pursue activist short selling in a serious capacity, the pitfalls of capital raising and the different types of investors who are interested in specialized strategies like theirs, and how he is expanding his business with new strategies beyond activist short selling. Recorded on October 21st, 2024. Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR Follow Muddy Waters on Twitter: https://x.com/muddywatersre Follow Max Wiethe on Twitter: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow OPM on Twitter: https://x.com/OPMpod Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96
25 Mar 2025From Treasury Minister of Argentina to Macro Hedge Fund Manager | Nicolás Dujovne of Tenac Asset Management01:05:23
This episode is brought to you by Fintool. Learn more about how you can add AI to your investment process with Fintool: https://fintool.com/?utm_source=the_opm Nicolás Dujovne, CIO and founder of Tenac Asset Management, joins Other People’s Money to discuss his path from Treasury Minister of Argentina and president of the G-20 to hedge fund manager. Despite more experience managing economies than trading them, Dujovne and his partners at Tenac have succeeded in building a 5+ year track record with no down years and an annualized rate of 17.18% net of fees, focusing mostly on sovereign and corporate debt of emerging market countries. In the interview we discuss how global macro feeds portfolio construction, the important factors when analyzing individual emerging markets, and how understanding large international organizations like the IMF is crucial to predicting outcomes in EM. This episode is brought to you by Fintool, a financial copilot tailored for institutional investors. Fintool leverages Large Language Models (LLMs) to discover financial insights beyond the reach of timely human analysis. From summarizing extensive annual reports to computing numbers and unearthing new insights by comparing years of filings, Fintool equips institutional investors like Janus Henderson, First Manhattan and companies like PWC. Learn more about how you can add AI to your investment process: https://fintool.com/?utm_source=the_opm Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 00:29 Fintool Front Roll 02:00 Why is LATAM a Macro Hotbed? 04:11 From Minister of the Treasury to Macro Trader 11:36 Capital Raising in LATAM 16:31 Developing & Communicating Your Investment Process 20:53 Fintool Mid Roll 22:01 The Growth of EM Debt Markets 25:56 Dispersion and Portfolio Management 30:50 Corporate/Quasi Sovereign Debt 34:30 The Events That Move Markets in EM 38:22 Data Integrity Issues in EM 39:28 Vol and Investor Expectations 43:14 Global Spotlight on Argentina 44:57 Unique Requirements of Global Investing 48:16 The Roll of the IMF 54:27 Elections and Prediction Markets 56:58 The Roll of US Financial Conditions 01:01:45 Current Outlook for US Trade Policy 01:03:17 Opportunity Right Now #stocks #economics #economy #recession #bonds #stockmarket #investing #hedgefunds #analyst #Alternatives #Argentina #NicolasDujovne #tenac #emergingmarkets #EMinvesting
08 Dec 2024Rumors of Job Market Demise Have Been Greatly Exaggerated | Jack Farley & Max Wiethe01:04:20
Jack Farley welcomes Max Wiethe, his business partner and host of the Other People’s Money podcast, for a conversation about the job market, the stock market, and the recent central banking conference they attended. Recorded on December 6, 2024. Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Follow Max Wiethe on Twitter https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on Twitter https://x.com/OPMpod Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96
12 Feb 2025What Really Happened To Silicon Valley Bank | Ken Wilcox (SVB CEO 2001 - 2011) on SVB’s Collapse and How China Took Over Shanghai SVB01:38:08
This Monetary Matters episode is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about VanEck Uranium & Nuclear ETF: http://vaneck.com/NLRJack Kenneth Wilcox served as the CEO of Silicon Valley Bank from 2001 to 2011. He reflects on 30 years of service to SVB and its customers, as well as the stunning collapse of the institution in March 2023. Wilcox shares his findings from his new book, “The China Business Conundrum: Ensure That "Win-Win" Doesn't Mean Western Companies Lose Twice,” in which he describes in detail how the Chinese wing of Silicon Valley Bank (“Shanghai SVB”) was serially hampered and eventually taken over by Chinese bankers acting in concert with the Chinese Communist Party (CCP). Recorded on February 11, 2025.  Ken Wilcox’s book on Amazon https://www.amazon.com/China-Business-Conundrum-Win-Win-Companies/dp/1394294166 Ken Wilcox’s book on Wiley: https://www.wiley.com/en-us/The+China+Business+Conundrum%3A+Ensure+That+%22Win-Win%22+Doesn't+Mean+Western+Companies+Lose+Twice-p-9781394294169 Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez
16 Oct 2024Inflation Isn’t Dead | Jim Bianco on Why Bond Yields Are Headed Higher 01:25:34
Jim Bianco of Bianco Research and Bianco Advisors joins Monetary Matters to share his views on inflation, the labor market, and bonds. Bianco argues that the reason the unemployment rate has gone up is because the large amount of immigration into the U.S. has increased the labor force. Bianco makes the case that inflation is headed higher and bond yields now are probably headed higher. Recorded on October 14, 2024.  Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Follow Jim Bianco on Twitter https://x.com/biancoresearch Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96
20 Apr 2025Breaking The Dollar System | Freya Beamish01:11:47
Freya Beamish, Chief Economist at TS Lombard, joins Jack to argue why American tariff policy is accelerating a transition to a multi-polar international monetary order. She estimates that U.S. and China will reach a deal lowering tariffs to ~30% levels and shares her views on bonds and gold. Recorded on April 14, 2025. Follow Freya Beamish on Twitter https://x.com/freyabeamish Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez
22 Sep 2024Kris Sidial: "Graveyard Day" Is In Store For Short Volatility Traders01:16:33
Kris Sidial, co-CIO of Ambrus Group, joins Monetary Matters to break down the conditions in volatility markets that exacerbated the sharp sell-off in early August, and explain why he thinks the risks embedded in the "short vol" trade have only gotten worse. Recorded on September 20, 2024.  Follow Kris Sidial on Twitter https://x.com/Ksidiii Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96
12 Nov 2024Thinking Outside the Style Box | The Hedge Fund Category Problem with Louis Camhi | Other People's Money with Max Wiethe00:56:05
Hedge fund strategies like distressed, long short equities, relative value, etc. are well defined and understood by allocators. As a result, funds that fit neatly into these style boxes can easily answer the question, “what type of fund are you?” But what if you don’t fit neatly into one of these boxes? Be too exact and no one will search for your niche strategy. Push the envelope to fit into one of these boxes and suddenly investors feel like they’ve been tricked into a meeting. This is a problem that Louis Camhi, founder and CIO of RLH Capital, has had to deal with since launching his SPAC focused strategy in 2021. In this interview with Max Wiethe, Camhi discusses why educating investors about SPACs and defining his fund for style box focused investors has been harder than finding interesting SPAC trades. They also touch on outsourcing back and middle office, the little things you don’t think about when you are working for a larger fund, and the tradeoffs between SMAs and pooled vehicles. Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR Follow Louis Camhi on Twitter: https://x.com/valwithcatalyst Follow Max Wiethe on Twitter: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow OPM on Twitter: https://x.com/OPMpod Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96
17 Dec 2024Inside the Secret World of Prop Traders | Noel Smith of Convex Asset Management00:55:33
Noel Smith, founder of Convex Asset Management has spent most of his career outside of the world of managing other people’s money. Instead, he traded his own capital as a proprietary trader. Prop traders are famed for generating staggering rates of return, but because they have no interest in raising money, their secrets and strategies generally remain behind closed doors. However, he has decided to bring these strategies to the hedge fund world at Convex Asset Management and while they don’t scale to produce the same level of returns their lack of availability outside the prop world gives him differentiation in the product marketplace. In this interview, Smith explains why props can make so much more money, how much harder capital raising is than he anticipated, and why he ranks relationships and likability higher than performance when it comes to hedge fund success. Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR Follow Noel Smith on Twitter: https://x.com/NoelConvex Follow Max Wiethe on Twitter: https://x.com/maxwiethe Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 01:16 What is Prop Trading? 10:51 Moving to the Hedge Fund World 16:36 The Hedge Fund Popularity Contest 23:04 Volatility Trading Strategies 27:27 Extracting Information From The Options Market 32:09 Scaling Prop Strategies 34:44 Alpha Degradation 39:31 Being Good Is Not Enough 48:03 Dealing With Extreme Performance 53:28 Long-term Vision For Convex Asset Management
20 Nov 2024S&P To 7000? | Warren Pies On Why Stocks Aren’t Overvalued01:29:36
Warren Pies of 3Fourteen Research joins Jack to share his views on why the stock market isn’t overvalued and why he is recommending to clients an underweight commodities stance. Pies argues that small-caps and mid-caps aren’t destined to do great if the bull market continues. Recorded on November 19, 2024. Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Follow Warren Pies on Twitter https://x.com/WarrenPies Follow 3Fourteen Research on Twitter https://x.com/3F_Research Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96
29 Jan 2025January Fed Meeting Breakdown | Jack Farley & Max Wiethe on Powell, Banks, and China's AI Race00:32:59
Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell updated investors on the key factors driving interest rate policy at the same time as another perhaps even bigger factor, the future of AI, is rocking markets. Jack & Max breakdown Powell’s press conference, the data points to watch, and the AI elephant in the room. Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Follow Jack Farley on Twitter: https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Max Wiethe on Twitter: https://x.com/maxwiethe
09 Jan 2025S&P 500 to 15,000? | Mel Mattison on Bretton Woods 2.0, Revaluation of Gold, and Why He Expects A Violent Stock Market Correction In Early 202501:38:12
Mel Mattison, investor, monetary theorist, and former fintech executive, joins Monetary Matters to share how he’s thinking about the next few years for the financial system. Stunned that Mel’s “6,000 by year-end 2024” prediction actually happened, Jack asks Mel why he now expects a violent correction in early 2025 while at the same time extending his S&P 500 forecast to the stunningly high 15,000 level by the end of 2028. They also discuss Bretton Woods 2.0, incoming Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, potential revaluation of gold, and several advanced monetary topics. Recorded December 30, 2024.  Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Mel Mattison on Twitter https://x.com/MelMattison1 Mel Mattison’s website https://www.melmattison.com/ Mel Mattison’s book “Quoz”: https://www.melmattison.com/quoz
23 Dec 2024From "Everything Bubble" To "Everything Bust"? Michael Howell on Liquidity In 2025 & Beyond01:50:57
Today’s episode is brought to you by the Teucrium Wheat Fund. War, weather, inflation—even monetary policy—drive wheat prices. See disclaimers below. Explore the opportunities at: https://bit.ly/Teucrium Michael Howell of Crossborder Capital joins Jack on Monetary Matters to share his outlook on global liquidity from three sources: central banks, cross border flows, and the private sector. Howell expects the liquidity cycle to peak in late 2025 / early 2026 and says "enjoy the party but dance near the door." Recorded on December 19, 2024. Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Follow Teucrium on Twitter https://x.com/TeucriumETFs Follow Michael Howell (CrossBorder Capital) on Twitter https://x.com/crossbordercap CrossBorder’s Website: https://www.crossbordercapital.com/ “Capital Wars” Substack: https://capitalwars.substack.com/ “Capital Wars” the book: https://www.amazon.com/Capital-Wars-Rise-Global-Liquidity/dp/3030392872 Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 ___ Disclaimers for Teucrium sponsorship: This material must be preceded or accompanied by a prospectus. Please read the prospectus carefully before investing. To obtain a current prospectus visit www.teucrium.com. The Teucrium Wheat Fund is a commodity pool regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and is not a mutual fund registered under the Investment Company Act of 1940 and is not subject to regulation under such Act. Commodities and futures generally are volatile and are not suitable for all investors.  Futures investing is highly speculative and involves a high degree of risk. An investor may lose all or substantially all of an investment in the Fund. Investing in commodity interest subject the Fund to the risk of its related industry. Brokerage commissions and exchange-traded fund expenses will reduce returns. Teucrium Trading, LLC serves as the Sponsor of the Teucrium Wheat Fund. PINE Distributors LLC is the Marketing Agent for the Fund, and is not affiliated with Teucrium Trading, LLC, or any of its affiliates.
03 Nov 2024The Great Millionaire Migration | Basil Mohr-Elzeki on Global Wealth Migration00:49:52
Email info@monetary-matters.com to inquire about Henley & Partners, and Jack will connect you with Basil. Basil Mohr-Elzeki, Managing Director and Head of Americas for Henley & Partners, joins Jack on Monetary Matters to explain why more millionaires than ever are going to relocate countries in 2024. He delves into the causes of this phenomenon, the nuances of citizenship and residency investment, and the role that taxes, geographic diversification and other factors play in driving the migration of the world’s high-net-worth individuals. Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96
20 Oct 2024Jim Rogers on China, Silver, and Timeless Investment Lessons00:56:57
Investing legend Jim Rogers joins Jack Farley on Monetary Matters to share timeless investing lessons. Rogers warns that people who blindly follow financial pundits without doing their own analysis are likely doomed to underperform, and he explains why he is a long-term bull on Chinese shares. Rogers argues that the unprecedented sovereign debt levels in the U.S. will reignite inflation, and explains why he continues to view silver as an effective inflation hedge. Recorded on October 17, 2024. Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Beeland Interests https://www.beelandinterests.com/ Jim Rogers’ website https://www.jimrogers.com/ Jim Rogers’ Wikipedia https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jim_Rogers
21 Jan 2025Trading Skill Isn’t Enough to Run a Hedge Fund | Benn Eifert of QVR Advisors00:49:11
Almost everyone who works in finance dreams of one day showcasing their trading or investing prowess by starting their own hedge fund, but being a good trader is only one line item in a long list of skills required to be a successful hedge fund manager. Benn Eifert, Managing Partner of QVR Advisors, who himself has built his firm into one that manages $2 billion in assets, discusses the important interpersonal skills, operational considerations, and marketing duties that also fall squarely on the shoulders of the founding portfolio manager. Eifert also touches on why pod shops have been so dominant in attracting both assets and talent, his outlook for single managers and the hedge fund industry, and the growth of listed fund products using options and other derivatives. Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR Follow Max Wiethe on Twitter: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Benn Eifert on Twitter: https://x.com/bennpeifert
27 Nov 2024The Easiest Way to Launch a Hedge Fund | Understanding Fund Spinouts with Farid Guindo00:54:00
Ask anyone and they will tell you it has never been harder to start a hedge fund. That’s why so many of the most successful launches of late have been funds emerging from a prior firm with the backing of the big boss, otherwise known as spinouts. Julian Robertson’s Tiger Cubs are the perhaps most famous spinouts, but it is still an extremely popular trend today. Farid Guindo, CIO and founder of Drill Capital Management is taking advantage of these dynamics to launch his new fund with the backing of his mentor and former boss at Bornite Capital, Dan Dreyfus. In this interview with Max Wiethe, Guindo discusses the ins and outs of fund spinouts, the importance of transparency and relationship building with bosses and mentors, and how his experience working at Tiger Cubs and other spinouts solidified his belief that this was the right path for Drill Capital after deciding it was best to be a separate vehicle outside of the Bornite umbrella. Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR Follow Farid Guindo on Twitter: https://x.com/FaridGuindo Follow Max Wiethe on Twitter: https://x.com/maxwiethe
14 Jan 2025Why Hedge Fund Managers Must Adapt or Die | Kyle Mowery on The Future of Small Cap Value00:52:35
If you weren’t in large and often expensive technology stocks you likely struggled as a hedge fund manager in 2024. For small/mid-cap value investors like Kyle Mowery, Portfolio Manager and Founder of Grizzly Rock Capital, who’ve sold their investors a mandate that makes it nearly impossible to go buy the NVIDIAs of the world you can only fall back on communication and the clear expectations you’ve set with your investors. The problems plaguing small cap value managers are not new though, and if you are still practicing what Mowery calls “the old ways,” 2024 was likely not the first tough year you’ve had to explain. Here, Mowery explains how he’s adjusted his strategy over 13 years of existence to adapt to changing market structure, why he thinks of you have skills joining a pod is better than starting your own fund, and things he would do differently if he was setting up Grizzly Rock in 2025. Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR Follow Max Wiethe on Twitter: https://x.com/maxwiethe Find more on Grizzly Rock Capital here: https://www.grizzlyrockcapital.com/
10 Feb 2025“The Humble Investor” | Dan Rasmussen on Mag7, Value, Private Equity & Credit, and More01:13:33
Dan Rasmussen, founder and CIO of Verdad Advisers, joins Jack to share insights on value, magnificent 7, private equity & credit, and bonds, from his new book, “The Humble Investor: How to find a winning edge in a surprising world.” Recorded on February 4, 2025.  Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Dan Rasmussen on Twitter https://x.com/verdadcap Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez
19 Dec 2024U.S. Recession To Be Revealed By January 2025 “Data Bomb” | Danielle DiMartino Booth01:04:48
Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO & Chief Strategist of QI Research, joins Monetary Matters to share her views on the December Federal Reserve FOMC meeting and her outlook on markets and the U.S. economy in 2025. DiMartino doubles down on her call that the U.S. economy is already in a recession, and explains why she thinks on January 29 2025 will be the day that the true weakness of the job market will be revealed. Recorded on December 19, 2024. Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Follow Danielle DiMartino Booth on Twitter https://x.com/DiMartinoBooth QI Research: https://quillintelligence.com/ Follow Max Wiethe on Twitter https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on Twitter https://x.com/OPMpod Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96
05 Jan 2025Mothballing the Basel III Endgame | The Future of US Bank Regulation with Jason Cave01:46:56
Jason Cave, Senior Consultant at Potomak Global Partners, has over 30 years in bank and financial regulatory experience having worked at both the FDIC and FHFA. In this interview, Cave explains why he’s expecting a much better environment for banks of all sizes in the new regulatory regime under Trump. He discusses why he thinks the FDIC will finally open up bank M&A, the Basel III Endgame will be at least paused, and what he thinks of the future of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96
29 Dec 2024Dr. Darrell Duffie on Liquidity Strains at Year-End/Quarter-End and When Fed Reserves Will No Longer Be Ample01:10:05
With the end of year approaching and SOFR/IOR spreads widening, Darrell Duffie, renowned and prolific monetary scholar, joins Monetary Matters to share his views on why liquidity strains often appear at quarter- and year-end. Duffie explains his work on the September 2019 repo blowout and shares his findings that timing of bank payments is a better predictor of SOFR/IOR stress than the SOFR/IOR spread itself. Duffie also shares his views on debt-to-GDP levels, the theory that the Treasury has engaged in “stealth QE,” and the impact of SOFR transition on bank funding costs. Recorded on December 27, 2024.  Duffie Piece On Reserves Discussed For Most Of Interview (“Reserves Were Not So Ample After All”): https://www.newyorkfed.org/research/staff_reports/sr974 Duffie Piece on SOFR vs. LIBOR impact on bank debt-overhang cost (discussed at end, “Bank Funding Risk, Reference Rates, and Credit Supply”): https://www.newyorkfed.org/research/staff_reports/sr1042 Darrell Duffie’s website https://www.darrellduffie.com/ Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96
11 Feb 2025Building the Definitive Hedge Fund Analyst Masterclass | Brett Caughran on Fundamental Edge 01:16:37
Fast track your buyside career and save 10% with coupon code OPM-10 at https://www.fundamentedge.com/opm What does it take to succeed in one of the most competitive industries on the planet? Brett Caughran, lead trainer and founder at buyside analyst training platform Fundamental Edge is trying to codify the answer to that question and systematize the process of training hedge fund analysts. Caughran discusses the most important processes analysts must master, why understanding your role is key to success, and why building trust with your PM over years is the perhaps the most important factor in determining the trajectory of an analyst's career. Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR Follow Brett Caughran on Twitter: https://x.com/FundamentEdge Follow Max Wiethe on Twitter: https://x.com/maxwiethe
22 Jan 2025Why Chinese Bond Yields Have Collapsed | Louis Vincent Gave’s Bull Case For Chinese Stocks and Chinese Property Bonds01:24:12
This Monetary Matters episode is brought to you by VanEck.  Learn more about VanEck Uranium & Nuclear ETF: http://vaneck.com/NLRJack Louis Vincent Gave, Founding Partner & Chief Executive Officer at Gavekal, joins Monetary Matters to share his perspective on China in 2025 and beyond. Recorded on January 20, 2025. Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Louis Vincent Gave on Twitter https://x.com/gave_vincent?lang=en Arthur Kroeber book, “China's Economy: What Everyone Needs to Know”: https://www.amazon.com/Chinas-Economy-Everyone-Needs-Know%C2%AE/dp/0190239034 Louis Vincent Gave’s book, “Avoiding the Punch: Investing in Uncertain Times”: https://www.amazon.com/Avoiding-Punch-Investing-Uncertain-Times-ebook/dp/B09VHDBXYL/ref=sr_1_7?dib=eyJ2IjoiMSJ9.W_PznDbWJKTl-zd_BOIBZNrHLa30eAYoCsZGe1ZpZwRhjIip7Xd8SpCuG-DD3aQbL5eMVpAPzCxO34wzVfJLqNyukXrF4ZKT-K_L6rUFfas.Uiti9KCVO588GfCFlmEf0BbhZ2deqYObl4DW-bw2l_A&dib_tag=se&qid=1737553285&refinements=p_27%3ALouis-Vincent+Gave&s=books&sr=1-7
03 Apr 2025Liberation Day Has Come | Jack & Max on Seismic Market Revolt Against Trump Admin’s Tariff Policy (Recorded April 3 2025)00:44:42
Jack Farley & Max Wiethe share their analysis as global financial markets react with shock to Trump’s reciprocal tariffs which are based not on other countries’ tariff or non-tariff trade measures, but on the level of trade deficit itself. Recorded the morning of April 3, 2025. Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Max Wiethe on Twitter https://x.com/maxwiethe Other People’s Money Podcast on Twitter https://x.com/OPMpod Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez
26 Dec 2024The Research to AUM Pipeline | Warren Pies on Raising $450m in an ETF in Less Than 6 Months00:51:56
Having raised over $450m in less than 6 months, Warren Pies, Founder of 3Fourteen Research and Portfolio Manager of $FCTE, has had one of the most successful independent ETF launches of all time. Despite the seemingly overnight success of his fund management business, the real story is about the steady growth of his research business that feeds into everything they do. He explains how his research business has become a pipeline of investor interest in his ETF business and how research relationships flip the traditional client interaction on its head. He also discusses why he chose to focus on setting good expectations with reasonable clients rather than playing the flashy retail newsletter game. Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR Follow Warren Pies on Twitter: https://x.com/WarrenPies Follow Max Wiethe on Twitter: https://x.com/maxwiethe
26 Mar 2025Tariffs & Q2 Growth Shock | Trade Maven Brad Setser on Trump’s Tariff Warpath, China’s Balance of Payments, and “Self-Induced Recession” Probabilities01:26:25
This Monetary Matters episode is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about VanEck Uranium & Nuclear ETF: http://vaneck.com/NLRJack Brad Setser is an expert on global trade and capital flows, having served as senior advisor to the United States Trade Representative from 2021 to 2022. The Whitney Shepardson senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations (CFR) joins Monetary Matters to explain why he thinks President Trump’s tariffs are likely to cause a growth shock in the second quarter. Recorded on March 20, 2025 Brad Setser piece on China’s Balance of Payments: https://www.cfr.org/blog/iphone-imf-and-chinas-balance-payments “The Evolution of Global Trade in 2024”: https://www.cfr.org/blog/evolution-global-trade-2024 Follow VanEck on Twitter https://x.com/vaneck_us Brad Setser on Twitter https://x.com/Brad_Setser Brad Setser on CFR: https://www.cfr.org/expert/brad-w-setser Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez
28 Oct 2024Not Backing Down On Recession Call | David Rosenberg on Wealth Effect, Uncle Sam, and Stock Market Price Bubble01:10:30
David Rosenberg, founder and president of Rosenberg Research & Associates Inc., joins Jack Farley on Monetary Matters to argue why a recession is likely to occur as soon as 2025. Rosenberg points to the low savings rate and argues that fiscal deficits and a stock market price bubble are boosting consumer spending and that this will reverse if the stock market stops going up. Recorded on October 25, 2024. Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Follow David Rosenberg on Twitter https://x.com/EconguyRosie Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96
01 Apr 2025Trading Market Turmoil: Any System is Better than No System | OPM Trader Talks with Petr Pinkhasov of Anthem Capital Management00:55:33
This episode is brought to you by Fintool. Learn more about how you can add AI to your investment process with Fintool: https://fintool.com/?utm_source=the_opm Petr Pinkhasov, CIO and founder of Anthem Capital Management, joins Other People’s Money, for a special “Trader Talks” episode where he discusses how he trades incorporating quantitative signals, thematic views, and technical analysis patterns like DeMark indicators. Petr also discusses how he’s been handling the volatile start to 2025 and what forces he is attributing the market’s recent turmoil and rotations. This episode is brought to you by Fintool, a financial copilot tailored for institutional investors. Fintool leverages Large Language Models (LLMs) to discover financial insights beyond the reach of timely human analysis. From summarizing extensive annual reports to computing numbers and unearthing new insights by comparing years of filings, Fintool equips institutional investors like Janus Henderson, First Manhattan and companies like PWC. Learn more about how you can add AI to your investment process: https://fintool.com/?utm_source=the_opm Follow Petr on X: https://x.com/pinkhasov Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod
08 Mar 2025The Stock Market Blues | Jack Farley & Max Wiethe on Tariff Uncertainty & Jobs Market Data00:49:27
With a week of tough declines in U.S. stocks and the U.S. dollar, Jack welcomes business partner and host of “Other People’s Money” show Max Wiethe to talk the uncertainty that is driving markets lower. Jack explains why he is a relative bear on U.S. stocks against global equities, and why he is bullish on Chinese stocks. Max and Jack interpret the February labor market data which showed hiring had slowed, and Jack shares why he thinks the next few jobs reports will be weak because of the efforts to cut waste fraud and abuse from the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE). Recorded the afternoon of March 7, 2025. Follow Max Wiethe on Twitter https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Other People’s Money on:  Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M  Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi  YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez
16 Apr 2025The World Is Dumping U.S. Assets | Julian Brigden01:35:02
Sign up for MacroCapture by MI2 Partners today with coupon codes MM10 (for annual) and MM10Q (for quarterly) to save 10% at: https://mi2partners.com/macrocapture-landing-page/ Julian Brigden Co-Founder of MI2 Partners joins Monetary Matters to discuss why the dramatic shift in US trade policy is making non-US investors dump US assets and bring home the profits from a historic bull run in US assets. He also explains why this repatriation of profits coupled with an eventual slowdown in the flow of dollars driven by tariff policy itself spells a weaker dollar and trouble for US financial markets, even if it does result in American reindustrialization. Recorded April 15, 2025. Follow Julian Brigden on Twitter https://x.com/JulianMI2 Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 01:53 The Whole World is Overweight the US 09:55 Tariffs Slow the Dollar Flow 17:54 Selling US Assets is Prudent for Foreign Investors 26:42 Who Wins in the US Domestic Economy? 29:56 MacroCapture 34:58 Tariffs Have Been a Carpet-bomb Approach 44:06 Tariffs = Stagflation 49:43 Tariff Effects on China and Europe 54:04 Are Risks Greater in the US? 01:00:13 Will Foreign Markets Outperform on US Weakness or Their Strength? 01:04:32 Bond Market Outlook 01:10:24 Gold Outlook 01:12:50 Reading the Tape to Detect Market Participants 01:18:16 Where is the Trump Put? 01:22:21 America’s Liz Truss Moment 01:25:59 Credit Trades and HYG
19 Feb 2025The Private Markets Digestion Phase | Jean-Baptiste Wautier on Key Man Risk, GP/LP Returns, and Private Credit “Bubble”01:26:05
Jean-Baptiste Wautie, a veteran of private markets, joins Jack to share his nuanced and informed view on the asset class. Jean-Baptiste (JB) Wautier’s career highlights include significant roles at Arthur Andersen, Morgan Stanley, IK Partners, and BC Partners (BC) where he spent 20 years and was CIO for a decade. At BC he co-managed €40 billion of assets, helped raising three flagship funds and led ten major investments. Recorded on February 7, 2025. Follow Jean-Baptiste Wautier on Twitter https://x.com/jbwautier Follow Jean-Baptiste Wautier on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/jean-baptiste-wautier-1a95a2/ Jean-Baptiste Wautier website: https://wautier.co.uk/ Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez
09 Oct 2024How Chinese “Stimulus” Is Widely Misunderstood | Brian McCarthy Urges Caution On The Chinese Stock Market Surge00:53:12
SPECIAL “ASK ME ANYTHING” PROMOTION: Leave a rating and review for Monetary Matters on Apple podcast and ask Jack any question you want. Jack will answer some of the questions in future episodes. You can write the question in the body of the review, or you can send your question to to info@monetary-matters.com alongside a screenshot of your review. Brian McCarthy of Macrolens LLC joins Jack Farley to argue that the tremendous Chinese stock market rally of the past three weeks is fueled by misunderstanding of Chinese economic policy. McCarthy argues that the fiscal stimulus from the Chinese government will be 1 - 2 Trillion Yuan, or ~300 Billion USD, which McCarthy estimates is nowhere near close enough to stimulate the flailing Chinese economy. Recorded the afternoon of October 8, 2024. Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Follow Brian McCarthy on Twitter https://x.com/briangobosox Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96
01 Dec 2024Financial Markets Remain Abnormal | Andy Constan on Flat Yield Curve, Expensive Stock Market, and MicroStrategy01:24:55
Andy Constan joins Monetary Matters to explain why he thinks financial markets are abnormal. With credit spreads extremely tight, the yield curve flat, and an expensive stock market, Andy estimates that all assets are expensive to cash and that financial markets are required to return to normal in order for inflation to return to normal. Recorded on November 26, 2024. Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Follow Andy Constan on Twitter https://x.com/dampedspring Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96
08 Apr 2025Why Trump Is Likely To Negotiate Trade Deals | Charles Gasparino on Tariffs, White House Factions, and Protectionist Conservative Coalition00:54:10
Charles Gasparino, Fox Business Senior Correspondent, give color into the protectionist and moderate factions in the White House, and explains why he thinks that, President Trump is likely to reach a deal with major trading partners. Recorded April 8, 2025. Follow Charles Gasparino on Twitter https://x.com/CGasparino Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez
11 Apr 2025Lyn Alden: Challenge America’s Trade Deficit, Challenge The U.S. Dollar | Alden on China, Gold, and Financial and Economic Impacts of Tariffs01:09:12
To view the prospectus for the VanEck Merk Gold ETF (OUNZ), please visit: vaneck.com/OUNZProspectus Learn more: vaneck.com/OUNZJack Lyn Alden of Lyn Alden Investment Strategy explains the connection between the capital and financial imbalances the U.S. has with the rest of the world and its trade imbalances which are under so much scrutiny by the current U.S. administration. Alden argues that turbulence in markets, particularly U.S. assets, could continue, and warns listeners not to be exposed beyond their risk limits at a juncture that could be a historic time for markets and the global economy. Recorded April 10, 2025. Follow Lyn Alden on Twitter https://x.com/LynAldenContact Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Lyn Alden’s book, “Broken Money”: https://www.amazon.com/Broken-Money-Financial-System-Failing/dp/B0CG8985FR Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez ____ The material must be preceded or accompanied by a prospectus. Before investing you should carefully consider the VanEck Merk Gold ETF’s (“OUNZ” or the “Trust”) investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses. An investment in the VanEck Merk Gold ETF (“OUNZ” or the “Trust”) is subject to significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. OUNZ is not an investment company registered under the Investment Company Act of 1940 (the “1940 Act”) and therefore is not subject to the same protections as mutual funds or ETFs registered under the 1940 Act. The request for redemption of shares for gold is subject to a number of risks including but not limited to the potential for the price of gold to decline during the time between the submission of the request and delivery. Delivery may take a considerable amount of time depending on your location. The Sponsor for the Trust is Merk Investments, LLC. The Marketing Agent for the Trust is Van Eck Securities Corporation. © Merk Investments LLC © Van Eck Associates Corporation

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