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Flep24 (French Legislative Elections Podcast 2024) (Olly Haynes & Marlon Ettinger)

Explore every episode of Flep24 (French Legislative Elections Podcast 2024)

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Pub. DateTitleDuration
21 Jun 2024"Macron has collapsed," says the RN; plus bond markets and gun trafficking00:38:33

Today's episode takes us over the latest polling, which looks a little better for the left but still shows just how far off they are. The right's got all the momentum just over week out, with Macron nowhere to be seen.


Olly talks about bond markets and a potential bank-run, and Marlon questions the ten-year bond yield rates.


Marlon goes over some of the discussions he's been having with LR-RN candidates. One of them needs tea, honey, and bed-rest, but still has some insight into the sociology of the RN voter.


Olly talks political violence. Pro? Con? Tune in to find out.


More about Claude Hermant and Maxime Mouline here: https://footnotesnews.substack.com/p/monsieur-gun


Marlon's twitter @MarlonEttinger

Olly's twitter @reality_manager


Send listener questions and business offers (we are selling two 30 second advertisements per episode) to flep24pod@gmail.com.

18 Sep 2024Macron gets impeached (part II)/Barnier’s secretive government00:07:27

Impeachment proceedings are barreling ahead, with the vote to get the LFI-led resolution out of the National Assembly’s political bureau winning. If the resolution gets to the Assembly floor, it’ll be the first time in the history of the Vth Republic that impeachment is voted on against a president.


Michel Barnier’s government is starting to take shape - and he’s got the same economic adviser as Gabriel Attal did. And Elisabeth Borne did.


Plus, a former Prime Minister’s name is circulating as the potential next Foreign Minister of France.


And even more: the Prime Minister’s office is still refusing to communicate budget planning documents to the opposition-led Finance Commission in the National Assembly. Tomorrow, their leaders promise to head to the Economy Ministry to get the documents.


Show Notes

- Paul de Villepin - Tweet (fr)

- Nils Wilcke - Tweet (fr)

- Marc Endeweld - Tweet (fr)

- Arrêté du 16 septembre 2024 relatif à la composition du cabinet du Premier ministre - Legifrance (fr)

- Destitution de Macron: la première étape de la procédure validée par le bureau de l'assemblée nationale - BFMTV (fr)

More Context From Flap24

- Macron gets impeached Part I (en)

- Give us a call, Michel Barnier (en)

- ⁠Michel Barnier's Forming a Government⁠ (en)


Send us questions and suggestions for our Friday interviews at ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠flep24pod@gmail.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠.


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Olly's Twitter⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠@reality_manager

22 Sep 2024Michel Barnier's cabinet of curiosities00:15:02

Olly runs through some of Barnier's choicest cabinet picks


TLDR: It's a cabinet choc full of reactionary catholics, the policy in New Caledonia is likely to remain repressive, Macronism's left wing wakes up with a hangover and the NFP pursues censure.


Send us questions and suggestions for our Friday interviews at ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠flep24pod@gmail.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠.


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Fighting Fund: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://buymeacoffee.com/flep24⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠

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Olly's Twitter⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠@reality_manager

15 Jul 2024The left's forever war, the centre's civil war and Arcom's airwar. (fixed)00:19:35

The first upload of this episode cut half the recording for some reason, but it should be fixed now.


Olly and Marlon discuss the day's news - this includes another front in the left's forever war, a rift opening up in the centrist camp, purges of the CFDT union of RN supporters and the battle for a spot on publicly funded tv continues.


Song: Prose Elite by Medine

06 Sep 2024Hidalgo says nooooooo00:12:07

Olly takes a solo look at Hidalgo's complaints about blocking Cazeneuve and Sebastien Chenu's revelations that there were negotiations between Macron's camp and Le Pen to arrive at Barnier.


Olly also wants to say that there is one non racist French cartoonist, whose work is our logo so shout out to Allan Barte.


Send us questions and suggestions for our Friday interviews at ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠flep24pod@gmail.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠.


Cover our newspaper expenses. Deverla, how about you buy us one today? ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://buymeacoffee.com/flep24⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠


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Fighting Fund: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://buymeacoffee.com/flep24⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠

Flep24's Twitter ⁠@flep24pod⁠

Marlon's Twitter ⁠@MarlonEttinger⁠

Olly's Twitter ⁠@reality_manager



05 Sep 2024Macron Hid The Deficit00:06:56

A document from the Ministry of Economy and Finance reveals that France's deficit is exploding, and might require 60 billion euros worth of cuts to get it down to where the EU wants it. Macron hid the document for over a month and a half.


And Marine Le Pen reveals what she wants from the next government: a golden egg which might ensure the National Rally steamrolls the next legislative elections, which her party also hopes come as soon as possible.


Plus, another name in the rotation as a potential PM: Michel Barnier.


Show Notes

- Dans un Barnier de crabes - Politico Newsletter (fr)

- Marine Le Pen pose ses conditions : « Que le futur Premier ministre ne nous traite pas comme des pestiférés » (fr)

- Budget 2025 : l’exécutif à la manœuvre pour continuer comme avant (fr)

- After Raising the Pension Age, Emmanuel Macron Is Planning “Unprecedented Austerity” (en)

- BeReal Power User (feat. FLAP24) - Corner Späti podcast (en)


More Context From Flap24

- Bruno's Bercy Boys Build A Budget (en)


Send us questions and suggestions for our Friday interviews at ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠flep24pod@gmail.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠.


Cover our newspaper expenses. Caroline, how about you buy us one today? ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://buymeacoffee.com/flep24⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠


Want your book, magazine, or website advertised at the beginning or end of the show? Get in touch!


Fighting Fund: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://buymeacoffee.com/flep24⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠

Flep24's Twitter @flep24pod

Marlon's Twitter @MarlonEttinger

Olly's Twitter @reality_manager

20 Jun 2024Macron's program, Marion's heist, Melenchon's reputation under fire00:34:15

Attal presents the centrist programme, to no one's surprise it's copying the other two blocs, though presumably they'll only do the right's half.


Mélenchon continues to be Corbynified and we talk a little more about Marion Maréchal's heist.


Marlon's twitter @MarlonEttinger

Olly's twitter @reality_manager


20 Jul 2024Up all night to get lucky00:17:19

Marlon's away so Olly runs you through yet another turning of the tables as the left regains the balance of power within the assembly.


He also talks about Megabasin protests and climate change.


Want your book, magazine, or website advertised at the beginning or end of the show? Get in touch!


Flep24 email: flep24pod@gmail.com

Flep24's Twitter @flep24pod

Marlon's Twitter @MarlonEttinger

Olly's Twitter @reality_manager


Marlon's book, which we have somehow forgotten to plug:

https://www.ebb-magazine.com/books/p/zemmour-and-gaullism

20 Feb 2025Revelations Pile Up In Bayrou Affair, and Villepin Jumps Into the Race?00:12:35

Revelations into the Bétharram affair continue to pile up, with reporting about a possible intervention by French Prime Minister François Bayrou into the case, as well as ministerial level abandonment of holding private Catholic schools to account.

Plus, is Chirac’s former Prime Minister Dominique de Villepin about to jump into the 2027 presidential race?All this and more on today’s episode of Flep24/7.


Show Notes

Affaire Bétharram : le procureur de Pau annonce trois interpellations ce mercredi pour des faits de viols, agressions sexuelles et violences | La République des Pyrénées (fr)

Ange Mur Video Clip | Elodie Dievart Tweet, February 19th (fr)

Notre-Dame-de-Bétharram : un établissement hors de tout contrôle | Mediapart (fr)

Affaire des viols de 1998 : François Bayrou cerné par deux témoignages convergents | Mediapart (fr)


More Context From Flep24/7

François Bayrou’s Coverup, and the 2027 Election | (en)

A Confident Government, a Shaken Bayrou, and Answered Questions | (en)

The NFP is Over, says Jean-Luc Mélenchon | (en)


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Fighting Fund: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://buymeacoffee.com/flep24⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠

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Marlon's Twitter⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠:⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠@MarlonEttinger⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠

Olly's Twitter⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠:⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠@reality_manager


27 Jun 2024Le Pizzagate00:25:20

Meyer Habib threatens to sue Delogu. Olly and Marlon discuss this, and other developments such as the stunning hypocrisy of the French political class on racism.


Marlon's Twitter: @MarlonEttinger

Olly's Twitter: @reality_manager

10 Jun 2024Oh Snap! Election00:31:54

Journalists Marlon Ettinger and Olly Haynes discuss Macron's decision to call a snap election, why he did it, the possibility of unity on the left, and the increasingly strong far-right.


Marlon's twitter: https://twitter.com/MarlonEttinger


Olly's twitter: https://twitter.com/reality_manager


Music: Once in Paris by Pump Up The Mind.

04 Jul 2024Attal's Socialist Turn Against the RN?00:15:06

A short episode where Olly and Marlon hit the news, go over the latest developments on the prospect of a soft left coalition led by Attal, and integrating the right wing flank of the New Popular Front.


Marlon also talks about the new political phenomenon in the country...the inspiring Green Queen Tondelier. Meanwhile, the Green Party leadership discusses the abysmal European election performance.


Olly talks about Macron's political chameleon act, and Marlon relays a serious and weighty warning from Raphaël Glucksmann.


Flep24 email: flep24pod@gmail.com

Flep24's Twitter @flep24pod

Marlon's Twitter @MarlonEttinger

Olly's Twitter @reality_manager

17 Jul 2024Bello again, Baron Noir? (fixed)00:22:27

Marlon is away so Olly takes you through the complex negotiations on the eve of choosing a prime minister. The left still doesn't have a candidate! An intervention by friend of the show Stefano Palombarini puts Marine Tondellier in a tight spot and provokes a revolt in the ranks of the greens.


The PS and the Communists have other ideas.

The left did manage to find a unity candidate for the presidency of the national assembly however, and Olly goes over what he thinks is wrong with an article comparing Olivier Faure to Rickwaert from Baron Noir.


Want your book, magazine, or website advertised at the beginning or end of the show? Get in touch!


Flep24 email: flep24pod@gmail.com

Flep24's Twitter @flep24pod

Marlon's Twitter @MarlonEttinger

Olly's Twitter @reality_manager

30 Jul 2024A Tale of Two Exorbitant Spending Sprees00:08:13

It's the 50th episode of Flap24!


Marlon takes us on a solo trek through two reports which came out today about just how much all these politicians are spending.


First there's one from Libération about the vice-president of the RN splurging on 4 star hotels to the tune of 400 euros a night during the 2022 campaign, which isn't illegal at all.


Then there's a Mediapart report on the recent report by the presidential palace's auditors on the 8 million euro deficit produced by nearly half million euro dinners for kings like Charles III and state dinners for leaders like India's Narendra Modi.


Plus, an announcement about the future of the show.


Want your book, magazine, or website advertised at the beginning or end of the show? Get in touch!


Flep24 email: flep24pod@gmail.com

Flep24's Twitter @flep24pod

Marlon's Twitter @MarlonEttinger

Olly's Twitter @reality_manager

04 Sep 2024Édouard Philippe 2027, and The Socialist Party in 202400:08:30

Macron's first prime minister ever clarifies his plans in an interview with Le Point. He doesn't say it ambiguously - he's doing it.


And the Socialist Party released a statement clarifying their intentions with Macron too - no alliance.


Show Notes

- ⁠Édouard Philippe : « Je serai candidat à la prochaine élection présidentielle »⁠ (fr)

- ⁠Présidentielle 2027 : l’ancien premier ministre Édouard Philippe annonce officiellement sa candidature⁠ (fr)

- ⁠Socialist Party statement⁠ (fr)

More Context From Flap24

- ⁠The PS Wants To Govern With Macron⁠ (en)

- ⁠A Socialist Party and a Constitutional Coup⁠ (en)

- ⁠Glucksmann and Cazenueve to the Government⁠ (en)


Send us questions and suggestions for our Friday interviews at ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠flep24pod@gmail.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠.


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05 Aug 2024A Limbo Government of Non-Ministers00:10:33

Olly discusses some articles on the strange stasis French politics has entered into in which Macron is still governing as he always has, but no one really knows if this is actually a legitimate thing to be doing.


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02 Aug 2024Macron's Theater Days, His Unpublished Novels, and the Permanent Crisis of his Regime with Charles Devellennes01:05:56

Marlon and Olly interview Charles Devellennes, who's the Senior Lecturer in Political and Social Thought at the University of Kent.


Charles tells the about Macron's literary style, the unpublished novels Macron wrote, and the enduring effect Milan Kundera's "Jacques et son maître" had on young Emmanuel.


Charles also tells us about the own trajectory his interest in philosophy took him on down the path of political science, which culminated in his 2022 book The Macron Régime: The Ideology of the New Right in France.


We talk about that book, and about security, merit, and hope.


There's also speculation about the state of the left in France today and tomorrow, and a look at the right in France of yesterday and the future.


Charles' Twitter: https://x.com/cdevellennes


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02 Nov 2024The left voted against the RN rolling back the retirement reform: why?00:06:36

We recap the debate in the National Assembly on the National Rally’s attempt to roll back the retirement reform by looking why the left didn’t vote for it and what French conservatives are looking for in retirement policy. Plus, the Mexicanisation of the country continues, if you ask the Interior Ministry.


Show Notes

- En matière d’économie, le RN dit tout et son contraire | Mediapart (fr)

- Abrogation de la réforme des retraites : le piège du RN se referme sur la gauche | Mediapart (fr)

- À l’Assemblée, les jérémiades du RN pour sa journée de niche | Mediapart (fr)

- «Nous n’avons jamais fait preuve d’hypocrisie» : Jean-Philippe Tanguy justifie le vote du RN contre l’abrogation de la réforme des retraites | Mediapart (fr)

- Marine Le Pen Isn’t on the Same Side as France’s Pension Protesters | Jacobin (en)


More Context From Flap 24

- ⁠⁠Budget Battles⁠⁠ (en)

- Battle Borne Budget Bludgeons (en)


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Marlon's Twitter⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠: @MarlonEttinger⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠

Olly's Twitter⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠: @reality_manager⁠

09 Aug 2024Is France on the Right or the Left? Plus Paris gets rid of crime00:09:36

Marlon takes a solo look at a new interview with Agnès Pannier-Runacher, who's on the left of the Macron grouping. She says there needs to be a coalition government which excludes LFI and RN, and that France is not a right wing country.


Plus, did Paris get rid of crime during the Olympic games?


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Olly's Twitter @reality_manager

22 Jul 2024Which Way French leftist? 00:15:41

The left has different visions for its future, Macron attempts to call an Olympics truce and there is yet more accusations of antisemitism flung at critics of Israel.


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06 Dec 2024A Dismal Faurecast00:17:57

Olly and Marlon discuss the last 24 hours in French politics.

We have long been bearish on the survival chances of the NFP and it looks like the breakup has finally happened and Faure has broken ranks with the rest of the Front.


We also talk briefly about Mercosur and announce the donkey of the day.

Marlon's NYT piece

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/12/05/opinion/france-marine-le-pen.html

Olly's Jacobin piece

https://jacobin.com/2024/12/france-centrists-nfp-parti-socialiste


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22 Aug 2024The PS Wants To Govern With Macron00:06:50

In dribs and drabs the Socialist Party is signalling - sometimes openly - that they want to break with LFI and govern with Macron. Will they take the plunge?


Over in the presidential camp, Élisabeth Borne announces that she's running to lead Macron's party, Renaissance. But there are whispers that Gabriel Attal wants the post as well. A bloc is forming to block his ambitions.


And Renaissance deputies are trying to strip LFI Eurodeputy Rima Hassan of her parliamentary immunity after appearing at a protest in Jordan against Israel's genocide in Palestine that they say was "pro-Hamas."


Show Notes

- Avant la rencontre avec Macron, le PS replonge dans ses divisions sur l’alliance avec LFI

- Politico Playbook Paris newsletter

- Élisabeth Borne : « Je suis candidate à la direction de Renaissance »

- Bergé et Beaune annoncent soutenir Borne pour diriger Renaissance, au nom de «l'esprit collectif»

- Manifestation des 25 et 26 octobre 2014 contre le barrage de Sivens (wiki)

- Une cinquantaine de députés Renaissance demandent la levée de l'immunité parlementaire de Rima Hassan

- En Jordanie, la député européenne insoumise Rima Hassan s’affiche dans une manifestation pro-Hamas

- Rima Hassan s’affiche pro-Hamas sans réserve en Jordanie

- Two previous episodes about the Socialist Party inching towards a coalition with Macron


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05 Sep 2024Xavier Bertrand is Back, the PCF is Out00:06:37

The right isn't thrilled about Xavier Bertrand, but they say they won't oppose him outright if Macron appoints him Prime Minister. A risky gamble.


And French Communist Party leader Fabien Roussel affirms that the party won't support LFI's impeachment proceedings.


Show Notes

⁠Fabien Roussel on BFMTV⁠ (fr)

⁠Matignon : comment la droite, sous pression, a assoupli sa position⁠ (fr)

More Context From Flap24

⁠Mélenchon Wants to Impeach Macron⁠ (en)

⁠The Xavier Bertrand Hypothesis⁠ (en)


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01 Oct 2024New Caledonia 101 w/ Nic Maclellan01:26:08

Olly and Marlon are joined by Nic Maclellan Correspondent for Islands Business, a monthly news and current affairs magazine published in Fiji to talk about New Caledonia, what it is, where it is and France's imperial crisis on the island.


Nic's twitter: https://twitter.com/MaclellanNic

Show notes:

https://islandsbusiness.com/news-break/deaths-at-saint-louis-overshadow-anniversary-of-french-colonisation/

https://newint.org/colonialism/2024/new-caledonians-are-still-fighting-be-free-france

https://www.mediapart.fr/journal/france/190924/nouvelle-caledonie-le-calvaire-des-oublies-de-saint-louis?utm_source=global&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=SharingApp&xtor=CS3-5


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10 Jul 2024Coalition Negotiations00:11:14

All the different forces are jockeying for power in the National Assembly.


Who will govern? In a solo episode, Marlon breaks down the newspapers and the rumors.


There's the New Popular Front, with LFI trying to impose, but with the Communist party scheming with the centrists, reveals a leaked recording.


There's Xavier Bertrand, an LR heavyweight who was almost Macron's Prime Minister in 2017, who's calling for an LR Prime Minister. Reliable sources say he wants it. Marlon may talk with Bertrand tomorrow to confirm.


And there's the center, led by a rising Attal, who's playing the game, trying to box LFI out and suture a presidential majority together.


The podcast continues! Call it the French Legislative Assembly Podcast for 2024 or Flap24. Get in touch to help us figure out how to make this thing financially viable, and thanks for all this listens which make that possible.


Flep24 email: flep24pod@gmail.com

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13 Jun 2024Dreams of Bollorisation00:34:31

Ciotti meets Bollore for lunch and Bardella for dinner as he clings to power in LR.


The left suspends negotiations over domestic violence, Palestine, and the actual unspoken sticking point... who gets the good seats.


Marlon and Olly go on a tangent about the role of the Gaza genocide in French politics.


Marlon's Twitter: @MarlonEttinger

Olly's Twitter: @reality_manager

18 Jan 2025New Popular Fracture 00:24:33

In a stunning return to form the PS has decided to abandon its previous promises and become the crutch for the Macronist Bayrou government.


Eric Zemmour is getting ready to go to Washington and Mélenchon is seeking his 500 signatures to run for president.


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08 Jul 2024One weird trick to become a mass party (Feat. David Broder)01:00:06

Marlon and Olly are joined by Jacobin's Europe editor David Broder to discuss the results, the sociology of the RN vote and how LFI might break out of its metropolitan niche.

Marlon's twitter: @MarlonEttinger

Olly's twitter: @reality_manager

David's twitter: @broderly


photo credit: Lukas Hermsmeier

07 Sep 2024Idols? Just about still alive. Enemies? In Power00:33:43

Olly and Marlon talk about the nomination of the new prime minister, the protests, left strategy and why some pundits are wrong. Then they talk a little bit about Alexis Kohler and the eurozone.

Show notes.

https://jacobin.com/2023/02/france-socialist-party-melenchon-nupes-hamon-left-change

“Many of our fellow citizens think . . . [that a Socialist is] an aspiring minister . . . or a traitor-to-be.”

for show notes

https://www.lefigaro.fr/politique/michel-barnier-premier-ministre-a-force-de-vouloir-une-gauche-pure-on-a-eu-une-droite-plus-dure-regrette-nicolas-mayer-rossignol-20240907

https://www.lefigaro.fr/politique/michel-barnier-va-effectuer-son-premier-deplacement-en-tant-que-premier-ministre-a-l-hopital-necker-a-paris-20240907

https://www.lefigaro.fr/politique/en-direct-michel-barnier-premier-ministre-lfi-organise-sa-riposte-dans-la-rue-ce-samedi-7-septembre-20240907

Endeweld interview https://jacobin.com/2024/07/macron-rassemblement-national-snap-elections


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30 Jun 2024First Round Results00:24:28

The results are in. In a coup for FLEP24, but absolutely not for the people of France, they were as we predicted and the RN are the largest party.


Olly and Marlon go over the results, the voter sociology and the shape of the 'triangular' showdowns to come. Unsurprisingly that shape is a triangle.


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19 Jun 2024A left wing plot, a right wing program, and a pension debate00:40:18

The dissident left wing candidates rallied in Montreuil, and the press is whirling with reports about their next moves. Is a millionaire funding them?


Olly has an update from deep within the bowels of LFI about worries about so-called internal democracy.


Marlon talks a lot about pensions. The best time to start investing was 10 years ago. The second best time is now...buy an index fund.


And finally, will the RN roll back Macron's retirement reform? History says be skeptical.


Marlon's Twitter @MarlonEttinger

Olly's Twitter @reality_manager

07 Jul 2024Dawn of an RN government00:22:29

Olly gets stuck on a train, so Marlon goes solo on the eve of the voting day.


Marlon talks about speculation about possible RN ministers, and gives an update on the Horaces surrounding Marine Le Pen.


Marlon talks about the latest thinking on a coalition of the soft left and the center, and how not everybody in Macron's camp thinks that's necessarily a good idea.


And Marlon discusses the castle owning Le Pen supporting demographic - including one former Socialist Party Free-Mason member who's on a warpath supporting the RN now down in the South.


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19 Oct 2024Popular Fronts Old and New w/ Diane de Vignemont and Phineas Rueckert01:09:43

Olly and Marlon are joined by Diane De Vignemont and Phineas Rueckert to discuss how the New Popular Front compares to the old one, and how the PCF went from a once mighty force to a party that busies itself with inventing new BBQ based forms of identity politics.


Diane's work:

https://www.humanite.fr/histoire/resistance/4-avril-1944-quand-le-parti-communiste-francais-entre-au-gouvernement

https://newlinesmag.com/essays/the-french-left-is-united-not-for-the-first-time/

https://ddevignemont.wordpress.com/articles/


Phineas' work:

https://phineasjfr.wordpress.com/

https://phineasjfr.substack.com/

https://jacobin.com/2022/02/pcf-left-melenchon-france-insoumise-runoff-immigrants



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04 Aug 2024We're so back: SocDem edition00:14:40

Olly and Marlon discuss the centre's attempts to rebuild, Sophia Chikirou getting in hot water over Hamas and why nazis are calling Olly a collaborator on Twitter.


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19 Aug 2024The NFP Outside of LFI Says No To Impeachment00:07:07

The Socialist Party and the Greens reject the LFI's impeachment puch as the way forward against Macron.


The Socialist Party says a vote of no confidence is the way to go if and when Macron names a Prime Minister outside of the New Popular Front's candidate, Lucie Castets.


And a brief note on Alain Delon's death, the new moment for secular sainthood and a possibility for Macron to continue avoiding politics.


Show Notes

- Gérald Darmanin Tweet

- Olivier Faure Tweet

- Jean-Marie Le Pen Tweet

- Les Insoumis accentuent la pression et menacent Emmanuel Macron de destitution

- Destitution d’Emmanuel Macron : le Parti socialiste ne soutient pas la menace brandie par La France insoumise

- Menace de destitution d’Emmanuel Macron : le coup de com de LFI agace les autres membres du NFP

- Mort d’Alain Delon : pluie d’hommages à droite, la gauche plus circonspecte


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14 Jul 2024Huguette Bello's Prime Minister Shot00:09:16

Marlon discusses La Réunion president Huguette Bello's unlikely Prime Ministerial shot.


He also goes over some of the objections to Bello in the role, including her positions on gay marriage over the years.


And Marlon touches on who in French politics is condemning what looks like a Trump assassination attempt.


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08 Sep 2024Michel Barnier's Forming a Government00:06:17

Michel Barnier's forming a new government as the National Assembly finally gets going again this coming Monday.


Barnier's looking for ministers from the right, the left, and the current center. There are plenty of familiar faces forecast to come back—it doesn't seem like too much will change with this government.


Meanwhile, France is fighting off a budget challenge from the European Union. If they can't get an extension, they say they'll have to make at least 110 billion euros in cuts by 2027.


Show Notes

- ⁠Les premiers pas scrutés de Barnier⁠ - Politico Newsletter (fr)

- ⁠Jean-Philippe Tanguy on Montebourg⁠ - BFMTV (fr)

- ⁠Interview de Michel Barnier : ce qu’il faut retenir sur la réforme des retraites, ses priorités ou encore la proportionnelle⁠ - Le Monde (fr)

- ⁠Michel Barnier : « J'ai le calme des vieilles troupes »⁠ - La Tribune Dimanche (fr)


More Context From Flap24

- ⁠Idols? Just about still alive. Enemies? In power.⁠ - Yesterday’s Episode (en)

- ⁠Macron Hid The Deficit⁠ (en)


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15 Jul 2024Headlines: Left's PM power struggle continues, a new right wing party? More MacronoLepenism00:22:08

Olly and Marlon recap today's French headlines - most notably the fact that a week has gone an still no PM has emerged.


Olly's twitter @reality_manager

Marlon's twitter @MarlonEttinger

21 Apr 2025The French Legal Experience Podcast | Crossover with the Royal Palace01:05:24

We go deep on Marine Le Pen’s conviction, and discuss the byzantine byways of the French legal system in this crossover episode with Liam & Patrick from the Royal Palace Podcast.


We get into the case against Le Pen, her party, and her eurodeputies, who were convicted on charges of embezzlement. We also get into the legality of her ineligibility penalty, and just how the French appeals process works. Is this lawfare? (It depends on how you describe it).


All this and more on today’s episode of Flep24/7.


To hear more from Liam & Patrick, check out the Royal Palace Podcast over at their website, or wherever you download podcasts from.


Show Notes

We Should Know by Now. The Courts Aren’t Going to Stop Trump and His Kind | The New York Times (en)

March 31st, 2025 extracts from the court’s deliberation | Tribunal Judiciaire de Paris (fr)

September 30, 2024 press dossier on the National Front European parliamentary assistants affair | Tribunal Judiciaire de Paris (fr)


More Context From Flep24/7 and the Royal Palace Podcast

French law | RPP (en)

12 angry men, 1 angry woman (Le Pen Convicted) | Flep24 (en)


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02 Nov 2024Édouard Phillippe’s presidential campaign kicks into gear00:06:20

Édouard Phillippe launched his presidential campaign back in September, but he’s been preparing the run for over 2 years. What’s his plan to win, and what’s his plan to do when he wins? “Structural” reforms, in short - even if they’re unpopular.

Show Notes

- «Je n’ai pas peur du match» : Édouard Philippe, le début d’une longue campagne vers la présidentielle 2027 | Le Figaro (fr)
- «Conventions», experts, dialogue avec la «société civile»... Comment Édouard Philippe prépare son projet «massif» pour 2027 | Le Figaro (fr)


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03 Aug 2024Olympic Pride, Dinners with Michel, and France Goes to Claremont00:06:14

Marlon takes a solo look at the renewed national pride in France the Olympics are spreading.


Plus, Sarah Knafo head to California with the Claremont Institute, and presidential hopeful Laurent Wauquiez spent over 1200 euros in regional funds on a diner with Michel Houellebecq.


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11 Dec 2024We do not negotiate with Macronists.00:19:22

Olly and Marlon hop on to chat about the state of the negotiations for the new prime minister (they are not going very well) and LFI's plan to impeach Von Der Lyen over Mercosur.


Olly said that LFI's presidency of the group in the EU was new - *it's not* they have co-chaired the group with Die Linke since 2019, so their plan to rebuild the group may still be in the offing.

Marlon's NYT piece

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/12/05/opinion/france-marine-le-pen.html

Olly's Jacobin piece

https://jacobin.com/2024/12/france-centrists-nfp-parti-socialiste



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27 Feb 2025And if it was him? 00:31:19

Olly and Marlon hop on the mic to discuss Ruffin, Retaillau and Villepin itching to run for president, LFI reaching out to the Greens, Manuel Valls' frosty welcome in New Caledonia and the drumbeat of political violence targeted against the left and Muslims.


Show notes:

https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/pacific/542779/manuel-valls-in-new-caledonia-war-of-words-and-clashes-over-independence-talks


https://x.com/HugoCouturier/status/1894658665350926705


https://actu.fr/auvergne-rhone-alpes/lyon_69123/municipales-2026-a-lyon-la-france-insoumise-propose-une-alliance-avec-les-ecologistes_62290617.html

https://jacobin.com/2025/02/france-palestine-kazib-authoritarian-terrorism

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17 Feb 2025Party like it's 2005 w/ Stathis Kouvelakis 00:58:52

Olly and Marlon are joined by the Marxist academic and activist Stathis Kouvelakis for an in depth discussion on how the far right rose to prominence in France, the aftershocks of the 2005 EU constitutional referendum, race, class and the strategy of the left and why LFI is better than Syriza. Stathis is on the editorial board of the communist review Contretemps, trains LFI cadres in Marxism at Institut La Boetie and was part of the leadership of Syriza.


Stathis' article on race and class in Contretemps https://www.contretemps.eu/alliance-tours-bourgs-antiracisme-classe/

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11 Jul 2024Deep Dish With Cassandre Begous01:08:24

Marlon & Olly talk with Cassandre Begous to discuss everything about La France Insoumise.


Cass, who's in LFI and well versed in all the debates inside it, helps them go deep on the tensions between LFI and the PCF, why exactly Alexis Corbière, Raquel Garrido, and others broke with Mélenchon, and what the next government will look like.


Cass also tells stories about meetings with Mélenchon, how they got into politics, and why LFI was the place for them.


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21 Aug 2024A Socialist Party and a Constitutional Coup00:06:50

There's discontent in the Socialist Party over the alliance with La France Insoumise. Nicolas Mayer-Rossignol and Hélène Geoffroy want out again.


Éric Ciotti's party is defining its political course in the National Assembly - trotting faithfully along behind the National Rally, the most powerful force on the right.


And Gabriel Attal sent letters to his ministers laying out the cap on their budgets for 2025 - for many a political move, given the fact that Attal's government lost an election over a month ago now.


Show Notes

- Paris Playbook, August 21st, 2024

- France’s Once-Mighty Socialist Party Must Change or Die (Marlon's article)

- Les députés du groupe d’Éric Ciotti, À droite, entrent dans l’arène

- Coup d’envoi pour le budget 2025, décisif sur le plan politique

- Le camp présidentiel prêt à amender certains de ses dogmes économiques

- « On est vraiment dans l’inconnu » : le scénario d’une Assemblée incapable de voter le budget agite les constitutionnalistes

- Fixing France: How to Repair a Broken Republic

- Emmanuel Macron’s France Is a Broken Republic (Olly's article)


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28 Aug 2024Schisms all the way down00:13:11

Olly discusses the strategic divergences in the NFP and the schism in the PS as well as the Figaro and Mediapart's reaction to Macron's soft coup.


Show Notes

https://www.lefigaro.fr/politique/premier-ministre-apres-le-rejet-d-un-gouvernement-nfp-quels-scenarios-pour-matignon-20240827

https://www.lefigaro.fr/politique/le-parti-est-au-bord-de-la-rupture-apres-le-rejet-du-nfp-le-ps-divise-sur-sa-strategie-20240827

https://www.mediapart.fr/journal/economie-et-social/270824/la-sinistre-clarification-d-emmanuel-macron


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16 Sep 2024The man behind the Macron-RN alliance, and a battle for the budget00:09:09

Thierry Solère, the man who organized dinners between the National Rally and Macron’s camp, is back in the news. He reportedly, and not unpredictably, was the guy who negotiated RN’s tacit agreement with Macron to put Michel Barnier in the driving seat as Prime Minister.


And the Finance Commission president Éric Coquerel, and LFI deputy, still hasn’t received key documents from the Economy and Finance Ministry about the 2025 budget. If he doesn’t get them by the end of the day on Monday, he says he’s going to have to head over to the Prime Minister’s office to pry them out in person.


Show Notes

 - Thierry Solère, « point de contact » entre Macron et l’extrême droite - Mediapart (fr)

- Budget : Éric Coquerel affirme qu’il ira «à Matignon chercher les lettres plafonds» si elles ne sont pas envoyées d’ici lundi soir - Le Figaro (fr)

- Crimes sans châtiment: Affaire Bouaké, l'un des plus grands scandales de la Ve république (fr)


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11 Feb 2025François Bayrou’s Coverup, and the 2027 Election00:07:49

François Bayrou is confronted on the floor of the National Assembly over allegations that he didn’t protect students who were abused, physically and sexually, for decades at the private Catholic school where his wife taught. Bayrou denies any knowledge of the allegations, and says he’s be suing Mediapart, who reported on the case last week.


And Gérald Darmanin, the hard-line Justice Minister, wants to avoid a Le Pen-Mélenchon runoff in 2027. He says the way to avoid that is a primary for the governmental camp, which could include the hard-line Interior Minister Bruno Retailleau entering the contest.


All that and more, on today’s episode of Flep24/7.


Show Notes

Darmanin s’y voit | Politico Playbook (fr)

Viols sur mineurs à Bétharram : les mensonges de Bayrou pour défendre une institution catholique | Mediapart (fr)

Marlon J. Ettinger, February 6th | @MarlonEttinger, Tweet (en)

Paul Vannier, February 5th | @PaulVannierFI (fr)


More Context From Flep24/7

Prime Minister François Bayrou: France’s Last Macronist, And Its First | December 14th, 2024(en)

Attal’s Socialist Turn Against the RN? | July 4th, 2024 (en)

Édouard Phillippe 2027, and The Socialist Party in 2024  | September 4th, 2024 (en)

Sad Young Man In Matignon | August 25th, 2024 (en)

Attal’s Grand Coalition on the Horizons | August 14th, 2024

Coalition Negotiations | July 10th, 2024 (en)


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27 Jul 2024Foreign Influence and Oppression Olympics00:07:17

Marlon takes a solo look at those on Macron's right flank who are decrying wokism in the Olympics.


In more interesting news, a quick overview of the French Senate's report on foreign influence, and its plan for a massive public influence campaign on behalf of France's values, including massive narrative crafting to combat France's "enemies."


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01 Aug 2024A Former Macronist Spills the Beans00:18:33

Olly and Marlon discuss sabotage, the possibility (again) of Xavier Bertrand becoming Prime Minister, and an interview with a former Macronist discussing what the president is really like (we've mentioned him once or twice beforeon the show).


Marlon's interview with Marc Endeweld.


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21 Jul 2024Project Périclès and The National Assembly Bureaus00:07:10

Marlon takes a solo look at who one some of the new elected positions in the National Assembly.


Marlon also briefly reviews Project Périclès, a 150 million euro plan by an ultrareactionary Catholic billionaire to help the RN win the 2027 presidential and municipal elections.


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19 Aug 2024Bayrou Says No To The NFP00:05:50

François Bayrou talked with Le Figaro yesterday and called for...a government that avoids the extremes.


He also excluded Lucie Castets from becoming Prime Minster, the NFP candidate for the position, saying she has no experience.


We also take a look at a Senate Bill which would require a President under the Constitution to name a Prime Minister within 8 days of an election...it's been about 7 weeks now.


Show Notes

- François Bayrou : «Il est urgent de sortir du jeu des partis politiques qui feignent de vouloir gouverner»

- Pourquoi Emmanuel Macron prend son temps pour nommer un nouveau premier ministre

- Destituer Macron? "Chaque jour qui passe est une sorte d'abus de pouvoir," assène un député LFI

- Recent Senate Texts

- Propositions de loi constitutionnelle, Texte n° 742 (2023-2024): Statut de Gouvernement démissionnaire

- Texte n° 742 (2023-2024), Exposé des motifs


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17 Apr 2025Algeria Attacks, Bayrou's Budget, and Gossip00:18:48

France and Algeria’s diplomatic falling out continues, with many of the developments fueled by domestic political agendas. François Bayrou rang the alarm on France’s budget deficit which means one thing is coming: cuts. And we take a look at an editorial by Marianne’s new editor, as well as some of the behind-the-scenes political developments in the French press.


Show Notes

Quand l'Azerbaïdjan envoie une "carte postale" à Emmanuel Macron | Marc Endeweld’s Substack (fr)

François Bayrou : « Ceux qui choisiraient l’instabilité et le désordre nuiraient gravement à notre pays » | Le Parisien (fr)

Ève Szeftel : "Une autre voie est possible, et c'est le PS britannique qui la montre" | Marianne (fr)

Pourquoi j'ai dû quitter @MarianneleMag | Quentin Müller’s Twitter (fr)


More Context From Flep24/7

European Rearmament, and Retirement Retiring | (en)


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23 Jun 2024Anatomy of a Fall00:37:01

Marlon and Olly meet up in La Villette to recap the second week of the French legislative elections in 2024.


Birds, laughing children, and a beautiful sunny day can't stop them from discussing the political state of play in that country of countries France, that city of cities, Paris.


They talk about the consolidation of the right wing block, the prospects for a right wing victory, the turn in French civil society towards giving the RN a chance, and the civil servants and ministers breaking down the gates to let them in.


The right's opening up a big gap, and the left wing forces are putting up a fight for it in the streets of Montreuil with pamphlets and calls to vote. Will it be enough? Or will Le Pen come to power, motored by gallons of reactionary Catholic billionaire money?


Keep tuning in to find out.


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25 Jun 2024A solo debate00:15:32

Olly's out today, so Marlon performs the labour of a Heracles and gives a run through of the right's campaign against Mélenchon for Prime Minister.


Marlon also looks at the recent polling which might have things looking closer than ever, the history of RN's hotly contested national preference policy, and touches on some of the night's debate (which Flep24 livetweeted), which we'll do a deeper recap on tomorrow.


Marlon also touches on how the coordination between the left wing parties is going, Le Pen's RN social program, and some dirty campaign tactics from RN.


INA recap of national preference: https://www.ina.fr/ina-eclaire-actu/immigration-preference-nationale-apl-politique-loi-rn-bardella


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24 Jun 2024Darmanin's dinner date00:30:49

Olly and Marlon recap the news - Mélenchon continues to be monstered by the press and Olly points out the centre left are high on their own supply.


Marlon talks about a meal between Darmanin and Edouard Phillipe (sorry again) and their post-Macron plan.


They also discuss the more fleshed out proposals of the RN's plan.


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30 Aug 2024Jean Luc and the Giant Impeach 00:06:57

Sarkozy gives us his two cents, Melenchon's impeachment plan climbs in the polls and Ruffin tries to find a new role.

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14 Jun 2024LR-RN Lives - Critical Audio Issues00:13:25

Apologies in advance for the abysmal audio quality in here. It gets very bad at one point in particular and will be a trial which only the real fans can sit through. The audio quality issues here are due to being in transit and trouble with a microphone, and don't reflect the high standards the program normally reaches.


A report in Le Parisien reveals that the LR-RN alliance isn't dead just yet, the Left Alliance presents a program, and votes for LFI in some overseas constituencies were huge.

13 Sep 2024Le Maire Leaves and the Presidential Race Begins00:06:37

Show Notes

- ⁠«La France ne doit pas revenir en arrière» en augmentant les impôts, plaide Bruno Le Maire lors de son discours d’adieu⁠ - Le Figaro (fr)

- ⁠Présidentielle 2027: Édouard Philippe reste le mieux placé contre Marine Le Pen⁠ Le Figaro (fr)

More Context From Flap24

- ⁠Budget Blues and Michel Barnier's Ministry of Immigration⁠ (en)

- ⁠Macron Hid The Deficit⁠ (en)


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11 Jun 2024Unions Left, Right, and Centre00:43:57

Journalists Marlon Ettinger and Olly Haynes discuss the rapidly shifting landscape of French politics. Good news! the left unified! Bad news! so did the right! News that seems inconsequential given the showdown that's coming! Some centrists might also unify!

31 Jul 2024How to Blow Up a Railway Line00:11:46

Olly discusses the sabotage at the French Olympics, Macron's attempt to rehabilitate his image, the reactions to the opening ceremony and the plot in the PS.


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31 Oct 2024Budget Battles00:21:38

The conservatives stalled, and questions were raised about where all the value added tax revenue is going. Plus, Olly gives a timely rundown on all the splits in the New Popular Front. The Socialist Party is up to their tricks again...


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12 Jul 2024Macron Clings to Power00:14:57

The title says it all really. Macron sticks to power and his party plots for the time after him.


Marine Le Pen warns about a French January 6th as the left calls for protests against Macron refusing to hand power over to the NPF.


RN also won't stand for an LFI government.


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24 Jul 2024Assembly Commissions, Airwaves and Asahi Olympics00:11:21

Marlon & Olly reunite for a duo episode, the first one in awhile, and discuss Olympic news, the latest updates from the National Assembly commissions, and polemics around athletes being allowed to compete in the Olympics under their national flags or not.


They also discuss the potential new Prime Minister's podcast, and take a diversion into Japanese politics, believe it or not.


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28 Aug 2024Éric Ciotti's Next Act and Bompard's LFI Plan00:06:36

Éric Ciotti, the long-time pseudo president of les Républicains since the LR-RN alliance was incorporated, might be moving on from LR, which he sees as indebted and no longer worth hanging around.

And Manuel Bompard goes on TV to lay out LFI's impeachment plan, the party's economic program, and what he thinks of the Socialist Party schism.


Show Notes

- Le dilemme des roses (Politico Newsletter)

- Dreams of Bollorisation (on Ciotti)

- French right's Gen Z leaders eye successful EU elections (Marlon's article on the young French right)

- Mélenchon Wants to Impeach Macron

- Schisms all the way down


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11 Aug 2024Power Lifting00:06:37

Marlon runs through a quick solo episode on the fear of another RN surge, the goings on at the gym in the national assembly, the struggles of the poor lobbyists and the left in Paris.


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31 Jul 2024A Neo-Nazi Security Guard and a Prime Minister Who Wants To Be President00:05:18

Marlon takes a solo survey of some news as France swelters, groans, and cracks under a heatwave (projection maybe? sure!).


There's the neo-nazi security guard on the private island owned by the mega-reactionary media mogul.


There's an action packed action pact from the outgoing current resigned who knows Prime Minister Gabriel Attal, and there's even a report that Attal still wants to be President.


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14 Feb 2025The NFP is Over, says Jean-Luc Mélenchon00:04:17

The Socialist Party has broken the New Popular Front alliance, Jean-Luc Mélenchon said at a political meeting in Paris this evening.


Show Notes

Notre-Dame-de-Bétharram : un établissement hors de tout contrôle | Mediapart (fr)

Affaire Bétharram : le malaise grandit dans le camp présidentiel | Mediapart (fr)


More Context From Flep24/7

A Confident Government, a Shaken Bayrou, and Answered Questions | (en)

François Bayrou’s Coverup, and the 2027 Election | (en)


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19 Sep 2024A New Government and a Beach Trip00:00:27

There may be a brief break in episodes - Marlon's headed to the beach this weekend. Until then, we wait on Michel Barnier's government, which he says will be settled by Sunday.


Show Notes

- Le gouvernement sera présenté «avant dimanche», selon Matignon

Listen to Some Old Interviews This Weekend From Flap24

We have a thread of all the ones we've done with summaries here

- https://x.com/flep24pod/status/1836730901268418932


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31 Oct 2024Battle Borne Budget Bludgeons00:06:45

Will the Barnier government force the budget through without a vote? Borne says yes. And Gabriel Attal continues taking over Macron world.


Plus - why did the RN vote against rolling back the retirement reform?


Show Notes

 - ⁠«Nous n’avons jamais fait preuve d’hypocrisie» : Jean-Philippe Tanguy justifie le vote du RN contre l’abrogation de la réforme des retraites⁠ - Le Figaro (fr)

- ⁠Budget 2025 : Élisabeth Borne conseille à Michel Barnier de recourir au 49.3⁠ - Le Figaro (fr)


More Context From Flap 24

- ⁠Budget Battles⁠ (en)


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02 Jul 2024Cease and Desist00:40:23

Marlon and Olly talk desistments, Bollore's secret campaign, the campaigns of the LFI dissidents and the sociology of the RN vote.



Marlon's substack: https://footnotesnews.substack.com/


Olly's article on Bollorisation is available here:

https://bylinetimes.com/2024/07/02/how-far-right-billionaires-are-destroying-french-politics-and-what-the-uk-must-learn/


15 Sep 2024Give us a call, Michel Barnier00:09:15

It looks like Michel Barnier's governing now - Macron's ministers are complaining that they can't even get a call with him or anybody close to him to approve their moves because...they don't have his phone number.


On the left, François Ruffin gets booed at the Fête de « L’Humanité » as he openly goes on the warpath against Jean-Luc Mélenchon and the LFI's strategy of trying to get votes from people who support the left.


It's autumn 3 years out and the presidential race is here.


Show Notes

- L’affrontement Ruffin-Mélenchon électrise la Fête de l’Humanité - Le Figaro (fr)

- «Tout le reste, on perd notre temps» : Mélenchon appelle ses troupes à «mobiliser la jeunesse et les quartiers» - Le Figaro (fr)

- La Macronie à la recherche du «06» de Barnier... Les indiscrets du Figaro - Le Figaro (fr)

More Context From Flap24

- Michel Barnier's Forming a Government (en)

- Macron! Macron! Macron! Beware Macduff! w/Nathalie Oziol (en)


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12 Feb 2025A Confident Government, a Shaken Bayrou, and Answered Questions00:08:39

Reporting from Mediapart about French Prime Minister François Bayrou’s knowledge of allegations of sexual assault at a private Catholic school in his backyard continue to pile up, as well as calls in the National Assembly for Bayrou to account for lying about that knowledge.


In the meantime, a no-confidence vote failed against the government over its passage of the social security financing bill. Neither the Socialist Party, nor the National Rally censored Bayrou’s government, so it’s hanging on for now.All that and more, on this episode of Flap24/7.


Show Notes

Viols à Bétharram : Bayrou a menti, Mediapart publie de nouveaux documents | Mediapart (fr))

Le juge saisi des viols à Betharram : « En 1998, j’ai confirmé à François Bayrou que les faits étaient patents et établis »| Mediapart (fr)

L’Assemblée nationale repousse une troisième motion de censure sur le budget de la Sécurité sociale | Le Figaro (fr)

LCP, February 12th | Tweet, @LCP (fr)

Ilan Gabet, February 12th | Tweet, @Ilangabet (fr)


More Context From Flep24/7

François Bayrou’s Coverup, and the 2027 Election | (en)

New Popular Fracture | (en)


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08 Aug 2024The Xavier Bertrand Hypothesis00:06:58

Xavier Bertrand's name keeps coming up as Macron's next choice for Prime Minister. We've talked about him before on this podcast, so Marlon goes through some of it in this solo episode.


Also - what to do with phone numbers? I want your answers and feedback on this.


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11 Sep 2024When will the next presidential election be?00:08:44


Éric Ciotti says France should be governed from the right - and he thinks that Michel Barnier is just Macronism with another name.

Plus, when will the next presidential election be? The question is on everybody's lips, and nobody's ruling out Macron resigning. Could it happen?

Show Notes

- «Je veux que la France soit gouvernée à droite», déclare Éric Ciotti - Le Figaro (fr)

- Entre hypothèse de démission et blocage politique, la présidentielle déjà dans toutes les têtes - Le Figaro (fr)

- «Mélenchon découpe la France en segments» : François Ruffin étrille la «nouvelle France» de LFI - Le Figaro (fr)

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05 Nov 2024Elections Incoming00:05:38

With the backdrop of the American presidential election today, France’s parties are all making moves with an eye on the 2027 presidential election. Gabriel Attal is rallying the Macron wing as he takes control of the party, and the plucky Socialists want to eject what they see as the radical Mélenchon wing from the left.

The goal? Winning in 2027.

Show Notes

- ⁠Rester groupir⁠ | Politico Playbook (fr)

- ⁠Budget de la Sécu : après l'adoption de la partie "recettes" par un vote à front renversé, les députés entament l'examen des "dépenses"⁠ | LCP (en)

More Context From Flap24

- ⁠Édouard Phillippe’s presidential campaign kicks into gear⁠ (en)

- ⁠Battle Borne Budget Bludgeons⁠ | (en)

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03 Nov 2024Why is the government letting the left win?00:05:21

The left has passed a series of buzzy amendments over the past week, including 30 billion euros worth of new taxes on the rich, as well as a variety of initiatives that the New Popular Front campaigned on. Deputies on the right and the center aren’t even showing up to vote against the measures.


So will France be getting a redistributive budget that taxes and spends (which the right calls confiscatory) any time soon?


Don’t count on it.


Show Notes

- Éducation, Justice... Après les impôts, les députés lancés dans la foire aux dépenses | Le Figaro (fr)

- Budget : le plan de Barnier pour sortir du bourbier de l’Assemblée | Mediapart (fr)

- Article 47 of the French Constitution | Legifrance (fr)

More Context From Flap24

- Battle Borne Budget Bludgeons (en)

- Budget Battles (en)


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14 Dec 2024Prime Minister François Bayrou: France's Last Macronist, And Its First00:16:13

France’s new Prime Minister is François Bayrou, a wiley operator who was a recidivist candidate for president until hitching his wagon closely to Emmanuel Macron in 2017. Since then he’s dreamed of the most powerful positions in the state, and now he has one of them.


Some parties on the left like the Communists, Socialists, and Greens are eschewing the anti-agreementism of more radical La France Insoumise, who are already promising to bring forward a new no-confidence vote against the Bayrou government. They say it’s just the same old product that Barnier was selling.


But the National Rally says they’re going to be vigilant, as they try to impose their line on Bayrou, who isn’t an unyielding opponent of Le Pen and her line.


Olly discusses pressure from within the Communist Party on their National Secretary Fabien Roussel, and Marlon talks about some politicians from MoDem, Bayrou’s party.


Show Notes

Lettre ouverte à Fabien Roussel : « Il est temps que tu passes le relais » | Politis (fr)

More Context From Flap24

- ⁠⁠Popular Fronts Old and New w/ Diane de Vignemont and Phineas Rueckert (en)


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12 Jul 2024Bruno's Bercy Boys Build A Budget00:19:43

Marlon and Olly discuss the latest left wing grouping in France, L'Après, an outfit set up by some of the LFI dissidents. But are things as they seem in the new group? And who are they preparing the after for?


More rigamarole on where the government will come from - the left or the right? The unions threaten to strike come the Olympics if Macron doesn't name an NFP Prime Minister quick.


Plus, economic news: Bercy is at a loss for how to plan all their budget cuts with all the political instability, and French M&A shops are waiting for things to cool off too.


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10 Feb 2025An ankle bracelet for Sarkozy, a micro-right civil war, and an (allegedly) corrupt National Rally mayor00:06:17

Nicolas Sarkozy is filmed jogging with an ankle bracelet, there’s controversy on the far-right over scores being settled from 2022, and an RN mayor’s headed for trial over alleged corruption (which he denies).


Show Notes

IA plus qu’à | Politico Playbook (fr)

Les images du premier jogging de Nicolas Sarkozy sous bracelet électronique | Tweet, BFMTV (fr)

Nicolas Sarkozy, February 8th | Nicolas Sarkozy, Twitter (fr)

Affaire des écoutes : après sa condamnation, Nicolas Sarkozy annonce mettre «entre parenthèses» ses activités publiques | Le Figaro (fr)

Sarkozy condamné: 254 pages de jugement face au vide de la com’ | Mediapart (fr)

18 décembre 2024 Cour de cassation Pourvoi n° 23-83.178 | Cour de Cassation (fr)

Families of airliner bomb victims want their voices heard at Sarkzoy-Gaddafi funding trial | Mediapart (en)

Bruno North, February 8th | Bruno North, Twitter (fr)

Thomas Montagne, February 8th | Thomas Montagne (fr)

CNIP (Centre National des Indépendants et Paysans), February 8th | CNIP, Facebook post (fr)

Le vice-président du RN David Rachline sera jugé pour prise illégale d’intérêts | Mediapart (fr)


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29 Aug 2024Macron goes to Belgrade, Panot to the Counsel, Le Pen to court00:20:23

Macron meets with mayors, goes to Belgrade and is distrusted by a majority of the French people.


Mathilde Panot goes to the Constitutional Counsel and Le Pen goes to court.


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27 Aug 2024A Bad Job Interview00:05:30

Some accounts of Macron's meetings with the left - the list of questions he asked, and his response. Plus, what Lucie Castets told Macron!


A capsule history of François Hollande and Bernard Cazeneuve's relationship. How they cried together, how Hollande was there for him; their plan to revive French social democracy.


Show Notes

- Emmanuel Macron cherche le casting sans Lucie Castets

- « Le président ne peut pas être arbitre et sélectionneur » (Aurélien Rousseau, député PS)

- François Hollande-Bernard Cazeneuve, une amitié si particulière


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18 Aug 2024Mélenchon Wants to Impeach Macron00:07:33

Jean-Luc Mélenchon and the LFI want to impeach Macron under Article 68 of the French constitution.


They say that's he's derelict in his duties to be a neutral arbiter by refusing to accept the democratic verdict of the recent legislative elections.


Impeaching Macron would be difficult to get through both chambers of France's parliament, but Mélenchon's party has enough deputies to get the ball rolling with a resolution in the National Assembly.


Show Notes

- ⁠« Démettre le président plutôt que nous soumettre » (par Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Mathilde Panot et Manuel Bompard)⁠

- ⁠Article 68 - Constitution du 4 octobre 1958⁠

- ⁠LOI organique n° 2014-1392 du 24 novembre 2014 portant application de l'article 68 de la Constitution (1)⁠


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20 Aug 2024Glucksmann and Cazenueve to the Government00:09:12

LFI is on guard against reports that the Socialist Party won't oppose Bernard Cazeneuve as Macron's Prime Minister pick.


Raphaël Glucksmann is out with a long interview in Le Point where he talks about turning the page on Macron and Mélenchon, rebuilding French social democracy, and his presidential ambitions.


And the National Rally is preparing for another election in a year's time, resigned to what they say is inevitable paralysis whoever gets picked for PM anyway.


Show Notes

- La gauche se déchire après la menace d’une procédure de destitution d’Emmanuel Macron défendue par LFI

- Jérôme Legavre Tweet

- Antoine Léaument Tweet

- Aurélien Saintoul Tweet

- Lucie Castets affirme que le sujet « n’est pas la destitution mais la cohabitation » avec Emmanuel Macron, sur fond de divisions à gauche

- Raphaël Glucksmann : « Il faut tourner la page Macron et Mélenchon ! »

- Le RN dit se préparer à une « nouvelle dissolution » au terme d’une « année de paralysie »


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13 Sep 2024Macron! Macron! Macron! Beware Macduff! w/Nathalie Oziol00:59:14

Nathalie Oziol, La France Insoumise MP for Herault joins Olly and Marlon to talk about the budget, the strategy of LFI and her disagreements with Ruffin, as well as how she got into politics and a bit of Shakespeare.


Nathalie's Twitter https://twitter.com/NathalieOziol


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13 Jun 2024Zemmour betrayed.00:31:01

Marion Maréchal stabs Zemmour in the back. Macron makes a speech that no one listens to. LFI and the PS divvy up seats and a procedural coup prevents Marlon from voting.


Journalists Marlon Ettinger and Olly Haynes continue their analysis of the French Legislative Elections 2024.


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24 Sep 2024Left Macronism Leaves00:07:49

On the first day of the Barnier government, Assembly time is wrestled over, ministers fret about their place in the government, and the left wing of Macronism tries to fly away.


Show Notes

- Barnier 1, jour 1 : ça tourne - Politico (fr)

- Dans le camp présidentiel, le goût amer du nouveau gouvernement ne passe pas - Mediapart (fr)

More Context From Flap24

- Michel Barnier's cabinet of curiosities (en)


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07 Aug 2024Summer Conferences, Nice, and Popular Committee00:06:41

Marlon takes a solo spin through the tension in Nice, as the opening salvo in a battle for the country and the French right charges up between Christian Estrosi and Éric Ciotti.


A rundown on the summer conferences.


And LFI continues with its investigation into just how much the Olympic Games cost.


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02 Sep 2024Macron Ministry00:06:57

Two months out with no new prime minister, Macron might be drawing closer to the moment...but it looks like he still wants to name his own ministers to key positions. Macron's goal is clear: no change in policy whoever's leading the next government.


And apparently Marine Le Pen played a card to get her way with Macron. Is Xavier Bertrand out?


Show Notes

- Nouveau Premier ministre : Larcher, Bayrou et Attal reçus tour à tour à l’Elysée (fr)

- Candidatures à Matignon : Macron maintient le flou (fr)

- Nouveau Premier ministre : Larcher, Bayrou et Attal reçus tour à tour à l’Elysée (fr)

- Le président refuse une cohabitation (fr)

- Matignon : Bernard Cazeneuve, l’homme qui fracasse le PS (fr)

- The Xavier Bertrand Hypothesis (en)

- The Bernard Cazeneuve Hypothesis (en)

- The PS Wants To Govern With Macron (en)


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17 Aug 2024Macron Picks a Prime Minister00:07:20

The title is clickbait - sorry! Marlon takes a solo look at an announcement by Macron to host all the country's political forces on the 23rd of August to determine who the next prime minister will be.


The news sets off the typical paper-selling speculation about who the next Prime Minister might be (mostly familiar names, though one wacky hypothesis).


And Marlon goes over a minor Trotskyist sect and why the National Rally wants to kick it out of a beautiful beach side summer blitz.


Show Notes

-⁠ Office de Tourisme de Leucate⁠

- ⁠Gouvernement : Macron va consulter les chefs des groupes parlementaires et des partis le 23 août⁠

- ⁠Nomination du premier ministre : les noms qui circulent pour Matignon⁠

- ⁠Nomination d'un nouveau Premier ministre : Macron va discuter avec les chefs de parti vendredi prochain⁠


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19 Jun 2024Mask off for Macron00:23:25

Macron and Darmanin reveal just how right wing they actually are with rhetoric taken from Action Française.

Marion Maréchal betrays Zemmour again.

Roussel objects to one of LFI's candidates and Olly is fed a line by Ruffin's camp that the guy's analyse.

Olly's piece on Macronism in the Guardian

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/article/2024/jun/18/macron-consultants-lobbyists-starmer-labour-

Marlon's piece on Darmanin and Action Française

https://footnotesnews.substack.com/p/islamo-leftism-king-darmanin-lizard?utm_source=publication-search

24 Mar 2025The Veil of Ignorance 00:17:43

Olly and Marlon get on the mic to discuss far right politicians taking the mickey with expenses, the government trying to restrict Muslim women's ability to wear the veil even further, the internal politics of the socialist party and a potential future referendum.


https://www.liberation.fr/politique/voile-dans-le-sport-bayrou-recadre-les-ministres-opposes-a-linterdiction-20250318_LILTWSZZZVEYDJWHEE456KLCBQ/


https://www.lecanardenchaine.fr/breves/la-mare-aux-canards/828-12-mars-2025


More Context From Flep24/7

⁠Party like it's 2005 w/ Stathis Kouvelakis⁠ | (en)


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20 Dec 2024Slurs, more slurs and a cyclone00:33:24

Olly and Marlon hop back on the mic to discuss Le Monde's stunning revelation that Macron is actually quite racist, a fact that a cursory listen to FLEP would have revealed to you.


We also talk about the devastation in Mayotte and the break-in at Mélenchon's house.


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18 Jun 2024Cracks begin to show00:44:52

Ciotti finds himself in legal trouble and Olly suspects lawfare.


Olly and Marlon look at the vague commitments put out by the RN and pontificate on why they've kept it loose.


Cracks begin to show in the Popular Front which was already held together with sticky tape.


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06 Jul 20241789 Will Commence Again00:24:28

Marlon and Olly talk about the possibility of an abstentionist surge ahead of the second round of the vote on Sunday. "I don't want to do anything stupid," says one voter.


Olly watched the final debate/interview and talks about Clémence Guetté and Jordan Bardell's performances.


A bone-chilling, truly thuggish plot against a Reinaissance candidate reminiscent of scenes from Privet Drive strikes fear into the democrats of the North.


And a political scientist of some kind warns about a French January 6th - call it 6 Janvier...


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15 Jun 2024You wouldn't like me when I'm Ruffingry00:25:33

Another short one today as Marlon is on the road this time expect a long one tomorrow.


The left shoots each other again. The New Popular Front expands to include some suprising names.


Macronism looks like a sinking ship.


Marlon's new piece out in Jacobin:

https://jacobin.com/2024/06/france-marine-le-pen-horaces-far-right


A piece from earlier this year by Olly on the contradictions of both Mélenchon and Ruffin:

https://newleftreview.org/sidecar/posts/first-priorities

30 Jun 2024Three weeks where decades happened00:46:03

Olly and Marlon recap the past 3 weeks of a wild election campaign. That campaign is over. The first round votes will be cast on Sunday, June 30th.


From a shock left wing alliance, to a union of the right, and every politician locking themselves in their party offices in between, this is an excellent overview of the past 19 episodes of our daily look at news from the French election.


Alleged purges of parties and shakeups of candidates, and an unraveling and unalloyed racism running through the country's bloodstream set a dramatic scene for the first round vote on Sunday.


Olly and Marlon also go over more recent news, from Olly's report about a Macron meeting over who to support in RN LFI runoffs, to Marlon's intel on the 5,000 strong homophobic security force occupying a forest on the outskirts of Paris.


We have the whole story and more on this episode - don't forget to follow us on our socials, where we'll be discussing the results as they come in on Sunday night before recording the day's podcast.


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30 Jan 2025Out with LFI, in with the municipal elections 00:17:44

Flep24/7 was out this week with the champagne left, eating caviar, and getting some insights into LFI. You’ll hear about it here, as well as Sunday’s municipal election with Louis Boyard.

All that and more—and plenty more episodes to come in 2025 from Flep24/7.


More Context From Flep24/7

Bourgeois Bloc Blues w/ Bruno Amable | (en)


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13 Aug 2024The Country's Heating Up00:05:17

It's hot hot hot in France, and the post-Olympic truce is over. Plus, Macron's spokespeople use the language of Maurras again (not French).


Email us your Qs so we can give you As at flep24pod@gmail.com


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