Enterprising Investor (CFA Institute)

In this episode of Guiding Assets, host Mike Wallberg, CFA, is joined by Kunal Kapoor, CFA, CEO of Morningstar, to discuss the rise of AI and its role in financial markets. Kunal shares insights into Morningstar's mission to empower investor success. Tune in to learn more about the accelerating pace of change in the industry and how Morningstar is adapting to it.

The Journey to Leading a Global Investment Firm

Leading an investment firm, regardless of size, requires a combination of soft skills — empathy and understanding of what motivates people — and a breadth of management experiences built over time. In this episode, Mike talks with a respected leader of a global investment organization, Richard Brandweiner, CFA, CEO of Pendal Australia, about his unique career path and the important leadership characteristics he honed along the way, including service to others, showing humility, building trust and relationships across an organization, bringing diverse teams together for better decision making, and always trying to see the world through the lens of the client. Richard also discusses the recent proposal from Australian fund manager, Perpetual, to acquire Pendal and his priorities as CEO in managing the firm through this combination.

In episode #375, Professor Laurie Santos developed and taught Yale University's most popular course ever in which she introduced the science of happiness. Building on that experience, Dr. Santos appeared at the 72nd CFA Institute Annual Conference to help professionals in our demanding, dynamic profession learn what science teaches us about being happier at work—and in all facets of our lives.

In episode #259, Thomas D. Giachetti, chair of the securities practice at Stark & Stark, is a frequent speaker on the topic of cyber risk in financial services. Here he talks about potential exposures and consequences of a cybersecurity breach; duty to clients; and steps that financial advisers and firms should take to protect their practices.

Episode #387. Cryptocurrency is a fascinating but polarizing topic. In this episode, Meltem Demirors, chief strategy officer at CoinShares, a digital asset manager, helps explain the broader macro context for the rise of bitcoin including economic, political, and social drivers. She discusses macro tailwinds, whether bitcoin is a risk asset or a flight-to-quality asset, Facebook's Libra, and her top three science fiction book recommendations.

In Episode #321, Dr. George Friedman, founder and chairman of Geopolitical Futures, a firm that specializes in geopolitical forecasting. Dr. Friedman also discusses immigration in Europe, the ramifications of secession movements, and much more, including his view of China five years down the road and why he draws inspiration from Hegel, the German philosopher.

In Episode #362, Marko Papic, chief political strategist and senior vice president at BCA Research, discusses a variety of geopolitical risks, including the rise and implications of populism, the biggest threat to the single market in Europe, what's happening in China, and whether US President Donald Trump will be re-elected in 2020. He also provides investors an update on geopolitical risks to watch in 2019.

In Episode #319, Wesley Gray delivers a thorough discussion and analysis of factor investing. Gray explores the limits to arbitrage, making a compelling case for investing using opportunities that others hypothesize should not exist.

In episode #265, John Coates, research fellow in neuroscience and finance at the University of Cambridge, researches the biology of risk taking and stress. Previously, he traded derivatives for Goldman Sachs and ran a trading desk for Deutsche Bank. Dr. Coates’s book, The Hour between Dog and Wolf, was short-listed for both the Financial Times/Goldman Sachs Book of the Year Award and the UK Wellcome Trust Science Writing Prize. His research on risk taking has attracted interest from business, medicine, the military, and elite sports teams. Foreign Policy named Dr. Coates one of the most influential thinkers of the year. He holds an MPhil and a PhD from the University of Cambridge.

In this episode of Guiding Assets, Paul Andrews, head of Research, Advocacy, and Standards at CFA Institute, interviews BentallGreenOak co-CEO Sonny Kalsi. They discuss the outlook for office real estate and regional banks, as well as the best places to invest in this environment. They also touch on topics such as diversity, equity, and inclusion (DEI) and environmental, social, and governance (ESG) issues. BentallGreenOak is one of the largest real estate investment firms in North America and Sonny shares his insights on the industry. Overall, this episode provides valuable insights for investors looking to navigate the current economic landscape.

[00:02:29] Regional banks' real estate lending.

[00:03:18] Private market lenders.

[00:07:31] Systemic Risk in Banking.

[00:12:44] Real estate and carbon emissions. 

 [00:16:09] Systemic risk and transition.

In Episode #304, Anthony Serhan, managing director of the Asia Pacific Research Strategy at Morning Star, will provide his insights into these important questions that will shape the “future of investment advice.”

The need and demand for attention toward the end client has never been higher. Investment advice is one of the high impact areas within financial services where this need has been growing. Is the “advice for a fee model” where the end customer decides the fee, the right model? What roles do technology and robo-advisory have to play?

In this bonus episode, Geopolitical strategist and author Peter Zeihan discusses why the global order, as we know it, is about to collapse, touches on the US presidential elections, and takes listeners on a whistle-stop of where we stand in the current COVID-19 crisis and what to expect in the coming weeks. This conversation was recorded during the 73rd CFA Institute Annual Virtual Conference.

Drew Estes, CFA, a portfolio manager at Banyan Capital Management, and host Mike Wallberg, CFA, discuss Drew’s thought-provoking article, "Commercial Evolution," which explores the intersection of evolutionary biology and investment strategies. He shares his disillusionment with traditional economic theories, particularly equilibrium theory, and advocates for a broader understanding of economics by incorporating biological concepts. Drew explains how both economists and biologists study the same phenomenon—evolution—and highlights the importance of replication, heritable traits, and variability in commerce. Listen now to discover how evolutionary theory can lead to smarter investment decisions.

In episode #426, Anne Walsh, CFA, chief investment officer for fixed income at Guggenheim Partners, discusses risks and opportunities in global bond markets, Guggenheim’s investment process, and why investment management is a high calling.

In this episode of Guiding Assets, host Mike Wallberg, CFA, is joined by Mark Heppenstall, CFA, president and chief investment officer of Penn Mutual Asset Management. They discuss the nuances of managing money for an insurance company, highlighting the importance of managing assets to be in line with liabilities. Mark also shares insights on the current state of credit and bond markets, revealing where he sees value. Tune in to gain a deeper understanding of the unique challenges and opportunities in insurance-focused investing.

In Episode #284, Martyn Davies, managing director of emerging markets and Africa at Deloitte Frontier Advisory, discusses the coming demand shock for some emerging markets, the relationship between China and Africa, and what needs to happen for emerging markets to divorce themselves from moves in commodities and simple currency fluctuations.

The Take 15 Series is a series of short interviews with leading practitioners on timely topics focused on the investment profession.

Episode #444. Fran Skinner, CFA, CPA, discusses the importance of identifying your “A-game" so you can improve performance in all aspects of your work, tips on how to take advantage of virtual networking sessions to expand your network, and much more.

In episode #376, we cover cover some of the basic terminologies and then chart a map of the AI-driven landscape.  From small data to big data, from desktops to the cloud, and from simplistic programming to machine learning, the world has been moving at a rapid pace. 

Episode #398. Paula Campbell Roberts leads KKR's efforts to incorporate big data and machine learning into many of its investing and value creation efforts. In this episode, she discusses how data analytics can be used to identify investment themes and talks more broadly about "the new consumer" and the investment implications from the disruption in the renting and sharing economies.

Founder and CEO of Essentia Analytics, Clare Flynn Levy, joins Mike Wallberg, CFA, to discuss the concept of the behavioral alpha score, a metric designed to assess an investor's decision-making skill. Drawing from her experience as an active equity fund manager, Clare explains the origins of the behavioral alpha score and its significance in the pursuit of sustainable investment alpha in an increasingly competitive landscape. She emphasizes that traditional methods of generating alpha, such as superior information, are no longer effective, highlighting the importance of understanding and improving one's own decision-making processes. Tune in to explore how behavioral analytics can enhance investment strategies and decision making.

In episode #419, Jon Stein, CFA, the CEO and founder of Betterment, discusses the past and future of the online adviser, and the building of financial fortitude and resilience required by an uncertain environment.

In episode #435, Randall Kroszner discusses central bank responses to COVID-19, the impact of lower rates on savers and plan sponsors, the toolkit to deal with future crises, and a way forward for bailouts of insolvent firms.

In Episode #347, Richard Howitt, CEO of the International Integrated Reporting Council, discusses the power of Integrated Reports for investors. For example, their additional detail on multiple sources of capital and return; their prospective, not retroactive nature; and their insistence on executive management narrative to help make sense of data.

Episode #395. We live in disruptive times. But as valuation expert Aswath Damodaran often says, disruption is easy, but making money from disruption is hard. In this episode, the author of five books on valuation discusses the "disruption dilemma," shares his advice for investors trying to value the disruptors, and gives viewers and listeners a preview of what attendees can expect from an extended session on valuation that he will be teaching at the 73rd CFA Institute Annual Conference in Atlanta in May 2020.

In episode #260, Patrick O’Shaughnessy, CFA, principal and portfolio manager at O’Shaughnessy Asset Management and author of Millennial Money, discusses how millennial investors are different from prior generations, including the events that shaped their outlook and risk tolerance, and offers some advice for traditional wealth managers who want to work with millennials. 

In Episode #281, Joshua M. Brown, CEO of Ritholtz Wealth Management, the persona behind the highly successful financial blog, The Reformed Broker, talks about his views on the Obama administration’s push for a fiduciary standard for brokers; the story behind his “reformation”; the outlook for fintech; how social media has helped business; and who he considers “must-reads.”

Episode #406. Pandemic panic has engulfed financial markets. In this timely and wide-ranging episode, financial economist Robert F. Bruner, co-author of The Panic of 1907: Lessons Learned from the Market's Perfect Storm, discusses the 1907 panic, what the Spanish Flu can teach us about the Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) crisis, facts versus fiction when it comes to financial crises, how investors can identify signs of recovery, and leadership lessons in times of crisis.

Join us for a special crossover episode of Enterprising Investor, where host Mike Wallberg, CFA, sits down with The Long Term Investor podcast’s Peter Lazaroff, CFA, for a lively and thought-provoking conversation. Together, they dive into the key influences that have shaped their investing philosophies and personal worldviews, sharing insights gleaned from their experiences with a wide range of guests. This episode is packed with actionable takeaways as they explore the powerful intersection of investment strategies and personal growth. Tune in now for this unique podcast crossover, blending expertise, experience, and fresh perspectives in one compelling discussion. And if you enjoy this episode, you won’t want to miss Mike and Peter at CFA Institute LIVE 2025 in Chicago this May!  

This episode is sponsored by Fintool. Check them out at https://fintool.com/

Discover how to unlock the power of alternative data in your investment strategy with Kai Wu, founder and chief investment officer of Sparkline Capital, as he speaks with Paul Andrews, head of Research, Advocacy, and Standards at CFA Institute. Listen in as we explore the use of modern technology, data, and machine learning to enhance traditional investment approaches. Kai shares how Sparkline Capital applies these innovative techniques to measure intrinsic value, especially in the realm of intangible assets. Learn how alternative data sets and tools like natural language processing and AI can revolutionize your approach to value investing.
 
In the second part of our discussion, we focus on the potential of AI in risk management and investing. We explore how natural language processing can be used to quantify intangible assets and measure risk. Kai shares insights from Sparkline's experiences in using alternative data to make more informed investment decisions. We also discuss the significance of creating transparent and traceable models and the growing role of data vendors in the investment landscape. Don't miss out on this engaging conversation packed with actionable insights for today's tech-savvy investor.
 
 
--------- EPISODE CHAPTERS ---------
 
(0:00:06) - Using Alternative Data in Value Investing
(0:12:14) - AI in Investing and Risk Management
(0:17:20) - The Importance of Unstructured Information

In episode #417, Arden O’Connor discusses how financial advisers can recognize potential addiction issues with clients and shares effective communication strategies and resources for helping clients and families in sensitive situations.

In this episode #447, Troy Prince founder of Wall Street Bound discusses how his organization is creating pathways of success for urban youth through careers in finance, despite the many challenges they often face.

Episode Transcript:
http://static.3playmedia.com/p/files/5648975/threeplay_transcripts/16831037?format_id=46&project_id=18442&format=pdf

Topics discussed:

1:23 – Background about yourself and Wall Street Bound
3:34 – Inner city youth: what are the biggest roadblocks that keep them from finding positions within investment management?
5:30 – Diversity: how do we get employers and investment management to value this underserved part of the talent pool?
7:06 – Stories or examples on how have you been able to help these young people and get them positions within investment management?
9:39 – Credentialing: Ways you have helped your students get credentialing to move into investment management.
11:49 – Current status of diversity in the industry
15:53 – Hiring people from diverse backgrounds: What do employers do to find talent, valuable talent in the inner city?
17:52 – Skills that you are recommending helping students and/or young people so they can better compete for positions in the industry?
23:43 – How would you like to see the investment management industry evolve over the next 5 to 10 years? And what do you think they should focus on first?
26:37– What is the best way to find good inner-city talent?

Related articles and links:

Wall Street Bound: https:///www.wallstreetbound.org info@wallstreetbound.org

CFA Institute members and charterholders Professional Learning Tracker https://cpd.cfainstitute.org/
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Find Lauren here:

LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/lauren-foster/

Twitter: https://twitter.com/laurenfosternyc

Find Troy here:

LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/troyaprincecaia

Twitter: https://twitter.com/wallst_bound?lang=cs

In Episode #278, David Schawel, CFA, discusses the appropriate role for fixed income as investors contemplate the end of a thirty year bull market in rates. Schawel also discusses how professional investors use Twitter and his outlook for Marketplace lending. 

In Episode #308, Daniel S. Meader, CFA, founder and a managing partner of Trinity Private Equity Group, discusses his firm’s investment philosophy.

In Episode #340, investment strategist Joachim Klement, CFA, explains how seasoned investors might better capitalize on their experience, shares his views on a range of behavioral biases that affect the decision-making of both asset managers and asset owners, and weighs in on the efficacy of certain valuation conventions and market anomalies.

Episode #404. Olof Granstrom discusses the concept of factfulness and his work on helping people understand the world through data. In this short interview, Granstrom talks about dealing with conflicting facts and incorporating them into decision making. 

Matthew Hougan and David Lawant from Bitwise, the world's leader in crypto index funds, join Mike to talk about the current state of crypto currencies in 2022. They talk about market fundamentals, valuing crypto assets in the current volatile market, what has changed, and how to approach these assets going forward.

-show notes-

In Episode #336, recorded live at the 71st CFA Institute Annual Conference in Hong Kong, Oscar N. Onyema, chief executive officer of the Nigerian Stock Exchange and member of the National Council, makes the case for why now is an opportune time to invest in Nigeria, despite ongoing challenges.

In Episode #324, Christine L. Todd, CFA, shares her outlook for infrastructure spending in the United States and explains both the benefits and risks associated with investing in infrastructure through US municipal bonds.

In episode #248, There has been significant wealth accumulation in Asia in recent years. Vineet Vohra, CFA, of HSBC discusses trends and developments that are taking place across the region, including asset allocation, fees, and ETFs.

In what has already been a very turbulent few years for investors, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has rattled investors to the core. The geopolitical uncertainty making headlines has led to heightened market volatility on an economy which was rebounding from the disruptions of a global pandemic. Now, the prospect of a long-term war leaves more questions than answers. Dr. John C. Hulsman, president and co-founder of John C. Hulsman Enterprises, a prominent global political risk consulting firm, explains how we got here, identifies the biggest risks associated with the conflict, and describes the geopolitical implications of this humanitarian crisis on markets today and in the future.

The opinions expressed on this podcast are solely the views of the guests and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of CFA Institute.

In this episode of Guiding Assets, Mike Wallberg, CFA, interviews the head of the global investment team at Orbis Investments, Simon Skinner, CFA. They discuss Orbis' unique approach to asset management, including refunding of performance fees in the case of underperformance. They also delve into Orbis' investment insights team and their use of data to make better investment decisions. Tune in to learn more about Orbis' progressive strategies in the investment industry.

Aligning Client Objectives with Portfolios

Demand for impact investments has never been higher among high net worth clients, but capital allocation to impact strategies is still a small fraction of demand.  How can advisors help their clients align objectives, build portfolios and invest in solutions to societal and environmental challenges and provide attractive returns?  Adam Rein, Co-founder, President and CIO of CapShift discusses the tools, platforms and frameworks for advisors to help navigate the impact investment landscape.

In Episode #359, Caitlin Long, a Wall Street veteran who has been a blockchain evangelist since 2014 and bitcoin since 2012, discusses bitcoin, blockchain myths versus reality, cryptocurrencies, why the world needs more systemic thinkers, how Satoshi Nakamoto solved the "Byzantine Generals Problem", and more.

In Episode #275, Dan Ariely, as he provides a more rational approach to money and opportunity costs. There is a rational or right way as well as an irrational or wrong of thinking about money. As human beings we are prone to thinking about money in the wrong way, but fortunately, there are some things we can do about our irrationality. 

In Episode #295, Larry Cao, CFA, recently sat down with Chris Ryan, managing director and head of the Asia Pacific region for MSCI in Hong Kong, and discussed these questions. This summer, investors anxiously waiting for MSCI’s decision on whether to add China. A shares to the MSCI index were met with another disappointment. For the third year in a row, MSCI decided against including China A shares in its popular emerging market index. What are the general criteria a market needs to satisfy for it to be included? What’s missing from the China A shares market and what will it take for China A shares to be added? 

Energy price volatility has taken investors on quite a roller coaster ride over the past few years. From historic lows at the onset of the global pandemic to the surging highs seen in recent weeks, it begs the question if what we’re witnessing in the energy sector will continue, and for how long? Kathryn Downey Miller, CFA, VP of Energy Strategy at FactSet, helps shed a light on power, oil, and natural gas sectors while discussing the intricate nuances that have critical impacts on energy markets and what it means for investors.

In episode #369, recorded at the 72nd CFA Institute Annual Conference in London, Connson Locke, senior lecturer in practice in the department of management at the London School of Economics, talks about the what the underlying question in the leadership research has been: Are leaders born or made? Moreover, what makes a great leader? What are some tips for developing presence and influence as a leader? 

In episode #390, Julie Castro Abrams, chair and CEO of How Women Lead, discusses the sought-after skills and experience for corporate boards, considerations for taking a corporate board role, and progress made and opportunities to move the needle on corporate board diversity.

In episode #269, Erika James, dean of Goizueta Business School at Emory University, is well-known for her research in the areas of crisis leadership and workplace diversity. She has written that crises are inevitable and every organization will experience a crisis of some magnitude. In this interview, Dean James discusses how leaders can prepare for a crisis and then take the experience and use it to take the organization to the next level once the crisis ends. She also talks about the business case for diversity and the importance of corporate culture.

In Episode #3012, Larry Cao, CFA, spoke with Robert P. Browne, CFA, EVP and CIO of Northern Trust, about his team’s investment process. From quantitative approaches and factor analysis to more fundamental approaches, such as macroeconomic and valuation analysis, Browne shares his perspectives on the pertinent topics and, more importantly, on how to tie them together. Browne also spoke on their market outlook and where they see opportunities in the market. Are equities expensive after the sharp run-ups? Are bonds at risk given the rising interest rate environment in the US? Tune in, and find out for yourself.

In episode #424, Jan van Eck, president and CEO of Van Eck Associates Corporation, discusses his outlook on gold and China, the firm’s approach to launching ETFs, five things to know about former US president Ulysses S. Grant, and much more.

In Episode #368, we highlight some of the key attributes and tricks of the trade required to ensure you sell your self effectively in business meetings. We all know the importance of first impressions but what does LWAR stand for and what are the 3Cs and how do they lead to communication excellence. In this interview all is explained.

In episode #388, Kunal Kapoor, CFA, chief executive officer of Morningstar, a leading provider of independent investment research, took the helm of the industry giant in January 2017 after joining the firm as a a data analyst in 1997. In this brief conversation, he shares what has changed and what has stayed the same, why Morningstar launched a family of mutual funds, why ESG and sustainability are important to him, and what he would ask prospective employees if he could only ask one question in the interview. **This conversation was recorded near a construction site, so we apologize for any background noise.**

“Risk” in investment management has many definitions and dimensions. For investors, it’s not only important to quantify total portfolio risk, but also to go beyond to determine the portfolio’s risk and return drivers and different sources of risk. Mike Wallberg, CFA, and Reshma Rajagopalan, CFA, Quant & Analytics Specialist at FactSet, discuss how risk budgeting, risk modeling, and risk assessment tools add value in the portfolio management process and can help investors stick to their investment plan and allocations, especially through turbulent periods, to achieve better performance outcomes.

In Episode #326, Roberto Rigobon describes the Billion Prices Project, an alternative measure of inflation he developed with a colleague at MIT. He discusses the inspiration behind the Billion Prices Index, its composition and correlation to the US Consumer Price Index (CPI), and the practical implications of this work for policymakers and asset managers.

Dive deep into the world of asset allocation with Anubhuti Gupta, CFA, CIPM, a senior principal consultant for Mercer's Wealth business in Singapore. We discuss the impact of inflation on portfolios and how investors can structure them for resilience amidst inflationary pressures. We also explore the challenges of diversification in 2022 and the importance of private markets in portfolio allocation. Additionally, we touch on the benefits of investing governance, the role of Outsourced Chief Investment Officer (OCIO) providers, and the importance of keeping an open mind throughout our investment careers. Join us in this insightful conversation as we navigate the ever-changing landscape of investing and asset allocation.

Chapters:

(0:00:03) - Asset Allocation in Inflation
(0:09:26) - Diversifying Portfolios in an Unpredictable Market
(0:20:02) - Benefits of Investing Governance
(0:23:43) - Keeping an Open Mind

Chapter Summaries:

(0:00:03) - Asset Allocation in Inflation (9 Minutes)
We discuss the impact of inflation on portfolios and how investors can structure their portfolios for resilience in the face of inflationary pressures. Anubhuti highlights the importance of focusing on energy efficiency, security, infrastructure, technology, and materials to facilitate the transition. We also delve into the potential for value stocks to outperform in the current market environment, as growth equities may struggle to recover to previous market highs'

(0:09:26) - Diversifying Portfolios in an Unpredictable Market (11 Minutes)
Diving into the challenges of diversification in 2022, we discuss the risks associated with relying on traditional strategies like the 60/40 portfolio. With equities and bonds producing negative results simultaneously for the first time in many investors' careers, it is essential to consider more dynamic approaches, such as incorporating specialist downside risk mitigation strategies or using real assets. We also touch on the importance of private markets in portfolio allocation, emphasizing their continued relevance for those with long horizons and a desire for innovation. However, it is crucial to reassess portfolio risk and exposure levels in the context of both public and private markets.

(0:20:02) - Benefits of Investing Governance (4 Minutes)
As we examine the disconnect between private real estate and REITs, we consider the potential opportunities that may arise when valuations for private real estate funds align with reality. We stress the importance of maintaining a long-term view and avoiding short-term panic-driven decisions that may be detrimental to the portfolio. Discussing governance and the outsource CIO (OCIO) model, we highlight the benefits of working hand in hand with asset allocators to manage assets as opposed to in-house management. This approach allows for streamlined decision-making processes and the ability to take advantage of market dislocations and emerging opportunities.

(0:23:43) - Keeping an Open Mind (3 Minutes)
In this conversation, we delve into the concept of Outsourced Chief Investment Officer (OCIO) providers and their role in easing the pain points for asset allocators and investment teams. By outsourcing certain aspects of the value chain to OCIO providers, entities can focus on high-value activities where they excel. Additionally, we share some personal insights from Anubhuti Gupta's career journey, emphasizing the importance of keeping an open mind for both young and seasoned professionals in the industry.

In Episode #330, Michael J. Mauboussin, author of The Success Equation, considers the continuum between luck and skill as it pertains to investing. He also shares his thoughts on the price/earnings multiple as a valuation tool, the hallmarks of an effective investment process, and how professional investors might mitigate some of the most common behavioral biases.

In this bonus episode, Morgan Housel, author of the forthcoming book, “The Psychology of Money,” interviews author, business consultant, and former professional poker player Annie Duke, about the science and strategy of decision-making and Annie’s forthcoming book, “How to Decide.”Their conversation was recorded at the 73rd CFA Institute Annual Virtual Conference.

In Episode #311, Frank Lu, Director of the Blockchain Department at Ping An OneConnect, a former IBMer, and co-author of the HyperLedger white paper, lays out his view of where the true value of blockchain lies. He will discuss hurdles of blockchain adoption, as well as how the business models may evolve for blockchain.  The interview was conducted by Larry Cao, CFA, at the LendIt China 2017 conference in Shanghai.  

In Episode #327, Omar Selim, founder and CEO of Arabesque, an ESG quant asset management firm, sits at the nexus of ESG, machine learning, and big data. In this interview, Selim tells viewers why he believes Arabesque is “the Tesla of finance,” what he thinks finance will look like in the next decade, and what it means to build a values-based asset management firm.

In Episode #301, Freya Beamish, a senior economist at Lombard Street Research with extensive knowledge of China and Japan, answers whether Chinese zombie debt provides a threat to the wider economy, if Abenomics is a success or failure, and offers her insights into the RMB/USD exchange rate.

In episode #372, recorded at the 72nd CFA Institute Annual Conference in London, Adam Tooze, a professor of history and director of the European Institute at Columbia University, discusses his most recent book, Crashed: How a Decade of Financial Crises Changed the World. Crashed has been described as “an eye-opening reinterpretation of the 2008 financial crisis and its aftermath, leading to the political shock waves you are feeling in the world today." In this short conversation, Professor Tooze discusses his main purpose in writing the book, connects the dots from 2008 to Brexit, and reflects on whether the global financial system is more resilient now.

The tried and true rules of the formal debate model can be useful to learn the skills needed to disagree productively, find common ground, and influence decisions, whether you’re presenting an analysis to colleagues in your firm’s security selection process or fielding portfolio performance questions from clients. Mike Wallberg, CFA, speaks with Julia Dhar, Managing Director and Partner, Boston Consulting Group, about debate model techniques and other behavioral insights to help investors sharpen investment ideas and improve client relationships.

Thank you for listening, if you enjoyed this episode please tell a friend and be sure to leave a review. To find the full line-up of CFA Institute podcasts, visit https://cfainst.is/podcasts.

Episode #442. Dr. Frida Polli, CEO and co-founder of pymetrics, a company that uses neuroscience and AI to improve the accuracy, fairness, and diversity of hiring, discusses how hiring is broken and why soft skills are key for accurate and fair talent matching.

In this fascinating episode, Andres Vinelli, chief economist at CFA Institute, sits down with Marko Papic, partner and chief strategist at Clocktower Group, to explore the geopolitical implications of a multi-polar world. Listen in as we discuss the role of the US and emerging markets, and provide tips for applying a geopolitical strategy toolkit to investing. We also forecast the resolution of the debt ceiling and analyze why a professional investor should care about geopolitics. Get ready to dive into the idea of a multi-polar world being a discordant one, and how this can impact investment profiles in different regions or sectors in the economy.

Join us as we continue the conversation by examining strategies emerging market economies can use to benefit from engaging with both the US and China. We'll also discuss how investors can use material constraints to assess political paths of least resistance. Don't miss our analysis on the irony of China having withdrawn their efforts to finance infrastructure projects around the world, and the efforts of the US to counter the Belt and Road Initiative. This episode is packed with insights on investing in emerging markets and commodities in a multi-polar world — you don't want to miss it!

--------- EPISODE CHAPTERS ---------

(0:00:13) - Geopolitics and Investing (10 Minutes)

Marko Papic, partner and chief strategist at Clock Tower Group, and I explore the geopolitical implications of a multi-polar world. We examine the role of the US and emerging markets, and provide tips for applying a geopolitical strategy toolkit to investing. We forecast the resolution of the debt ceiling and discuss why a professional investor should care about geopolitics. We analyze the idea of a multi-polar world being a discordant one, and how this can impact investment profiles in different regions or sectors in the economy.

(0:10:40) - Assessing Geopolitics for Asset Allocation (13 Minutes)

We explore strategies emerging market economies can use to benefit from engaging with both the US and China, and how investors can use material constraints to assess political paths of least resistance. We also discuss the irony of China having withdrawn their efforts to finance infrastructure projects around the world, and the efforts of the US to counter the Belt and Road Initiative.

(0:23:23) - Investing in Emerging Markets and Commodities (2 Minutes)

Marko Papic and I discussed the global investment landscape in a multi-polar world. We looked at how countries like Spain, America, Brazil, Netherlands, and Japan are increasing their CAPX spending, and how this could create a new CAPX-driven cycle, even without a single country to replace China. We examined the impact of this cycle on the US dollar and emerging markets, as well as the strategies investors can use to benefit from this shift in the global economy.

In Episode #272, Karin Kimbrough, managing director and head of macro and economic policy at Bank of America Merrill Lynch, discusses how central banks' quantitative easing has affected both global economic and productivity growth.

In Episode #366, Brian Portnoy, CFA, explains wealth is "funded contentment." It is the ability to underwrite a meaningful life however one chooses to define that. Being rich is having "more." In this episode, Dr. Portnoy discusses his latest book, The Geometry of Wealth, explains what drives a more meaningful life, and shares how financial advisers should be coaches who can help their clients underwrite a life of meaning.

In episode #403, human rights activist Bill Browder discusses the role personal history and timing played in his career trajectory. From the founding of Hermitage Capital Management just after the fall of the Soviet Union, to his current role fighting state-sponsored corruption and human rights abuses through the Magnitsky Act, Browder shares his evolution from rebel capitalist, to activist investor, to full-time human rights activist, detailed in his book, Red Notice.

In Episode #303, Mebane Faber, co-founder and chief investment officer at Cambria Investment Management, takes a quantitative approach to investing. In this brief interview, he shares his views on common behavioral pitfalls, active management, shareholder yield, and the exaggerated impact of asset allocation on returns.

Episode #402. Stephanie Kelton explains modern monetary theory, a new approach to economics. She explains how to break free of the myths and misunderstandings about money and the role of taxes, debt, and deficits that have hamstrung policymakers around the world.

In episode #250, Rob Arnott discusses the many demographic headwinds confronted by the global economy and how they explain much of the post-Great Recession economic malaise.

In the wake of the FTX debacle, investors in cryptoassets have seen the need to critically reassess and strengthen their due diligence and risk management processes, and for regulators globally to provide greater clarity and consistency in regulating the space. In this episode, Mike Wallberg, CFA, and Martin Leinweber, CFA, Digital Asset Product Strategist at MarketVector Indexes, discuss the  lapses in investors’ due diligence with regard to FTX, the role and valuation of cryptoassets in balanced portfolios and diverse ways in which investors can invest in the space, beyond cryptocurrencies.

Read the Report: Cryptoassets: Beyond the Hype

Online Course: DeFi: Introduction to Blockchain and Cryptocurrency

Thank you for listening, if you enjoyed this episode please tell a friend and be sure to leave a review. To find the full line-up of CFA Institute podcasts, visit https://cfainst.is/podcasts.

Global FX markets with $2.1 trillion daily spot turnover far overshadow fixed income and equities markets in size, yet more can be done to assure their integrity and effective functioning.  Mike Wallberg, CFA, speaks with Dagmara Fijalkowski, CFA, head of global fixed income and currencies at RBC Global Asset Management, about the FX Global Code, a set of principles that goes beyond a code of ethics to embody industry best practices. Fijalkowski explains how the FX Global Code has helped to improve the governance, internal processes, best execution and risk management practices surrounding FX transactions for her firm and their clients.

Find the Enterprising Investor article here: https://blogs.cfainstitute.org/investor/2023/02/24/global-fx-code-of-conduct-is-now-the-time/

In this episode of Guiding Assets, host Mike Wallberg, CFA, interviews Dr. Daniel Peris, CFA, a senior portfolio manager with Federated Hermes. Dr. Peris discusses his new book, "The Ownership Dividend," and the paradigm shift he sees in how U.S. investors think about dividend stocks. He explains that for generations, investors have considered it normal to focus on capital gains and overlook the importance of dividends. Drawing on his background as a historian, Dr. Peris provides a unique perspective on the significance of dividends in investment strategies.

In Episode #337, New York Times bestselling author and Ted Talk regular, Pico Iyer, discusses the importance of silence for all of us in the modern world.

How Asset Owners are Using DEI Metrics in Manager Selection and Investment Decision Making

Diverse investment teams outperform on many levels.  Having a dedicated DEI strategy and culture at your investment firm can not only enhance investment performance, but also can contribute to significant improvements in risk management, talent acquisition, and employee retention. Jason Lamin, Founder & CEO, Lenox Park speaks with host Mike Wallberg, CFA, about what asset owners are asking for in terms of DEI metrics and benchmarks and the up-and-coming analytical tools available for peer comparisons by asset classes, regions, and more.

In Episode #300, David Brear, co-founder and CEO of 11:FS, a fintech consultancy, explains why he believes this is the case, what he’s most excited about in fintech, and what the future looks like.

In Episode #346, Roger Urwin, lead author of the CFA Institute report Investment Firm of the Future, and Willis Towers Watson's global head of content, along with Richard Howitt, CEO of the International Integrated Reporting Council, discuss the report, as well as pertinent details with which all investment pros should familiarize themselves.

In Episode #333, Steven Eisman, managing director at Neuberger Berman and portfolio manager for the Eisman Group, is known for predicting the global financial crash of 2008 and for being portrayed in the book and the film, The Big Short. In this interview, he addresses several questions, including: Are markets more ethical today than they were in the past? Are there systemic risks in today’s market that could see a repeat of 2008? Have regulators done a good job? And the burning question that everyone seems to want the answer to: Does Steve believe there is another “big short” opportunity approaching? Tune in for the answers to these questions and more.

In this episode of Guiding Assets, host Mike Wallberg, CFA, sits down with Ivan Mitov, the VP and Director of Risk Research for FactSet. Ivan leads a team of quantitative researchers who focus on building and applying multi–asset class risk models. The discussion centers around the application of AI and large language models in the investment industry. Ivan explains the research process and the outputs his team works towards for clients. Tune in to gain insights into the role of AI in risk modeling and its impact on the industry.

In this episode, we dive deep into strategies for building robust market forecasts with Gerry Fowler, CFA, Head of European Equity Strategy and Global Derivative Strategy at UBS. We discuss the importance of leading indicators in understanding potential future outcomes for market and business cycles, as well as the impact of rising interest rates on corporate profitability and the potential economic ramifications. We also explore how harnessing your strengths and leaning into them can lead to a successful career. Join us as we uncover the secrets to navigating the ever-changing financial landscape and making the most of the opportunities it presents.

Chapters:

(0:00:00) - Building Market Forecasts
(0:14:13) - Navigating Interest Rates
(0:21:16) - Harnessing Strengths to Succeed in Career

Chapter Summaries:

(0:00:00) - Building Market Forecasts (14 Minutes)
In this episode, we explore strategies for building more robust market forecasts with Gerry Fowler, CFA, Head of European Equity Strategy and Global Derivative Strategy at UBS. We discuss the importance of leading indicators in understanding potential future outcomes for market and business cycles. By examining these indicators, investors can gain insight into the expansion, slowdown, contraction, and recovery phases of the business cycle. Fowler highlights the importance of macro regime distributions, which help identify how market performance, profits, and valuations cluster around the business cycle. He emphasizes the need for humility when interpreting leading indicators, as they are often mere guesses with inherent errors.

(0:14:13) - Navigating Interest Rates (7 Minutes)
We discuss the impact of rising interest rates on corporate profitability and the potential economic ramifications. Despite healthy jobs growth and elevated inflation figures, there are signs that the tightening of credit standards and weakening demand for credit will affect profitability. The lag effect of rate hikes and the hidden credit tightening in private enterprise, along with the increase in bankruptcies, suggests that there may be a need to brace for a potential economic downturn. The conversation also touches on the Federal Reserve's potential pivot to a more dovish position, the likelihood of a recession starting in the third quarter of this year, and the expectation of aggressive rate cuts from the fourth quarter.

(0:21:16) - Harnessing Strengths to Succeed in Career (2 Minutes)
Reflecting on my career in finance, I recall my first job at Salomon's with Barney in Australia and my journey into derivatives strategy and portfolio management. I discuss the importance of knowing one's strengths and leaning into them for success. Additionally, I emphasize the value of becoming a specialist while maintaining a broad network of colleagues, competitors, and providers for a well-rounded perspective as you progress in your career.

Tune in as David Blanchett, CFA, shares insights on his latest research on investment horizons, serial correlation, and better retirement portfolios. David discusses the impact of time and inflation on optimal portfolio construction and makes a case for including commodities in portfolios. Listen now to learn more about his findings and insights into retirement planning strategies. Read the full paper here: https://cfainst.is/4eW9BTp.

In Episode #354, Shazia Syed, chief executive and chairperson of Unilever Pakistan Limited, describes her journey from management trainee to CEO, including the skills she needed to cultivate and lessons learned along the way. As an active advocate for greater gender diversity, Syed also discusses the importance of mentors in building one's career.

In Episode #331, Amy Florian, CEO of Corgenius, a consulting firm that teaches financial services professionals how to support clients in times of grief, loss, and transition, explains that grief is triggered when there is a break in an attachment. And while we tend to think of this break as the loss of a loved one, positive transitions—such as retirement—can also trigger grief. Florian discusses why it’s important for financial advisers to communicate with clients when they are grieving and experiencing difficult times and offers practical tips for compassionate conversations.

In episode #268, Will Ortel and Melissa Cook, CFA, discuss why it’s critical for companies and investors to pay attention to the continent, where they can fruitfully devote their attention, and how it is emerging as a battleground for a new category of company. 

Episode #394. There is no shortage of negative headlines, but Lucy Johns, CFA, a vice president at Dodge & Cox, is optimistic about global bonds. In this Take 15 episode, she explains why she believes investors can find real positive yield and have an edge through security selection, being benchmark agnostic, and managing currency exposure.

In episode #264, Andreas J. Sauer, CFA, shares key characteristics of his approach to macro investing, which infers market expectations for both real growth and monetary policy. Sauer also discusses how he developed trading strategies based on this approach.

In Episode #301, Joel Bruckenstein, an expert on applied technology for financial professionals and publisher of Technology Tools for Today (T3), discusses cyber-security, improving the client experience, the rise robo-advisers, what’s in store for financial technology in the near future, and more.

In Episode #323, Heather Brilliant, CFA, Managing Director, Americas, at First State Investments, explains what it will take to make that shift and what needs to change for the industry to routinely act in the best interests of the client. She also discusses why we need to rebuild trust in the industry and the importance of assembling diverse investment and leadership teams.

In episode #247, John P. Meier, CFA, discusses the newly released Guidance Statement on the Applicability of the GIPS Standards for Asset Owners, including the reasons behind issuing the guidance statement and how claiming compliance with the GIPS standards can benefit these asset owners.

In this episode of Guiding Assets, host Mike Wallberg, CFA, is joined by Dan McGoey, CFA, a portfolio manager and analyst on the multi-asset investment team at Lazard Asset Management. They discuss real assets, which are companies or businesses with high-cost investments and long useful lives, such as those in the real estate and infrastructure sectors. They also explore different ways to invest in real assets, including through direct investment or listed securities. Tune in to learn more about real assets and Dan's experience investing in Latin America.

In Episode #296, Larry Cao, CFA, recently sat down with Hao Hong, CFA, chief strategist of Bank of Communications International, and discussed these questions.

In The Chinese economy has been the focal point for many investors around the world given its slowing growth. Has the investment-driven growth phase come to an end? Have real estate developers finally come to accept that the “if you build it, they will come” era is finally over? Will supply-side reforms save the day?

In episode #251, Elroy Dimson discusses his research on John Maynard Keynes, collectables, and indices, and draws out some investment lessons from the past.

In episode #386, Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and director of intelligence at Quill Intelligence LLC, a research and analytics firm, and author of FED UP: An Insider’s Take on Why the Federal Reserve Is Bad for America, tells us what, if anything, has changed since she wrote her book and shares her views on macro risks to global economic growth, the data she watches most closely, and whether millennials can grow the US economy.