Dr. Pero Mićić - BRIGHT FUTURE BUSINESS (Dr. Pero Mićić)
Explore every episode of Dr. Pero Mićić - BRIGHT FUTURE BUSINESS
| Pub. Date | Title | Duration | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May 2020 | CRISIS-OPPORTUNITY 03: Focus your business model on an eternal need! | Dr. Pero Mićić | 00:05:43 | |
Your opportunities and your strategy in the crisis: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/solutions/corona-crisis/ What concrete opportunities do you have in the crisis? Crisis opportunity no. 3: Focus your business model on a eternal need! The crisis stirs up everything, calls everything into question. Therefore, especially now in the crisis, it is possible to rethink and rebuild your business from scratch. So that you can make it safe, crisis robust and more successful. So that you can reflect on your future business and give your team a motivating perspective. Put the only constant in the business world at the centre of your business model: the emotional effects for which customers only pay. No, this is not about sales tricks, as in "Don't sell the product, sell the benefit". No. This is existential, aber identity, about the basic business model. It's about how disruption works. So what do your customers really pay you for? What do you think about this? What are your questions? Write them down in the comments and I will answer. Subscribe to this channel, so you won't miss any of your opportunities in the crisis. See you at the next opportunity. Have a bright future! Video: https://youtu.be/SeUPvzDjEd8
4 SCENARIOS ON THE FUTURE OF THE CORONA-CRISIS https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/solutions/corona-crisis/ THE 5 FUTURES GLASSES and THE ELVTILLE MODEL https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/solutions/eltville-model/ Playlist with more videos on opportunities: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PL4WJXwKk4nxqTaetg6UjuXodNwzy9Ti4M =================================== Inspire your customers, partners and team members with a keynote by Dr. Pero Mićić at your event: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/speeches/dr-pero-micic-speaker-en/ PROFILES AND WEBSITES MEDIA AND RESOURCES EVENTS AND SOLUTIONS | |||
| 17 Mar 2022 | Russia-Ukraine: Too much history - too little future (how to resolve?) | 00:05:33 | |
How does someone like me and my team, who are working intensively on the future and on strategies for the future, deal with the Russia-Ukraine war? How can there still be a good future? That's what we've been asked frequently in recent days. I don't want to pretend to have the whole picture. Nobody does. Not even the intelligence agencies. Nevertheless, we can learn a few things for dealing with the future.
Prof. Dr. Pero Mićić is the founder (1991) and CEO of FutureManagementGroup AG and is professor for foresight and strategy at Steinbeis University (part time). THE FUTURE OF YOUR BUSINESS ► Keynote by Dr. Pero Mićić at your event: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/speeches/dr-pero-micic-speaker-en/ PROFILES AND WEBSITES MEDIA AND RESOURCES
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| 22 May 2024 | Humanoid Robots: How they learn and innovate | 00:14:12 | |
Join the "BRIGHT FUTURE LEADERS" for free and future-proof your business: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com... On this channel, I advise you in making yourself and your business more future-proof. Please feel free to ask me any questions about the future, innovation, strategy, and leadership in the comments. How will humanoid robots learn? How will they become intelligent? And how quickly will that happen? Intelligent humanoid robots. They will fundamentally change our world of work and thus also our society. As always with such enormously useful technologies: We won't be able to stop them. You and your company need to start preparing for this new era now. The first prototypes of humanoid robots are already working at fairly conservative companies. Apollo from Apptronik is working at Mercedes. At BMW, Figure from Figure AI is employed. And Nio has recruited humanoid robots from UBTech. It all just testing and it still looks pretty clumsy, but it's a promising start. In the first two episodes on humanoid robots, I answered two questions: Will the physical capabilities of humanoids be sufficient to perform virtually any physical labor? The answer is a resounding yes. And will they be intelligent enough to do everything for us? Again, the answer is a resounding yes. The more long-term we think here, the clearer it is that millions and even billions of humanoid robots will be working for us. The Chinese government wants to become the world market leader in humanoid robots in the next three to four years. With robots that can, quote, think, learn and innovate. Learn and innovate? How is that supposed to work? Website: www.FutureManagementGroup.com Prof. Dr. Pero Mićić is the founder (1991) and CEO of FutureManagementGroup AG and is professor for foresight and strategy at Steinbeis University (part time). THE FUTURE OF YOUR BUSINESS ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ Make your business future-proof. Make it a "Bright Future Business" with us. These are the 8 features of a future-proof business which you can achieve with our program. ✔️ You sustainably improve the quality of life for many people. ✔️ You are working on great viable future opportunities. ✔️ Many customers like to buy a lot and at profitable prices. ✔️ Excellent employees like to come, stay and like to perform. ✔️ Your productivity is at the top of the industry. ✔️ Your competitors have a hard time copying you. ✔️ You are hedged against technological and strategic disruption. ✔️ Your company is a joy to shareholders.
► Keynote by Dr. Pero Mićić at your event: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/speeches/dr-pero-micic-speaker-en/ ► Free Video Crash Course: THE FUTURE OF YOUR BUSINESS ► Find and develop NEW BUSINESS: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/solutions/new-business-program_01/ ► Play BUSINESS WARGAMES: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/solutions/wargames/ PROFILES AND WEBSITES ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ ► Wikipedia Pero Mićić: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pero_Mi%C4%87i%C4%87 ► Website Pero Mićić and FutureManagementGroup AG: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/ ► Linkedin-Profile: https://www.linkedin.com/in/peromicic/ ► Facebook-Profile: https://www.facebook.com/pero.micic ► Linkedin FutureManagementGroup AG: https://www.linkedin.com/company/1185372 ► Facebook FutureManagementGroup AG: https://www.facebook.com/FutureManagementGroup/ MEDIA AND RESOURCES ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ ► Podcast on iTunes: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/leaders-foresight-dr-pero-mi%C4%87i%C4%87/id1474339238 ► Podcast on Google: https://podcasts.google.com/?feed=aHR0cHM6Ly9sZWFkZXJzZm9yZXNpZ2h0LWVuLmxpYnN5bi5jb20vcnNz&ved=0CBQQ27cFahcKEwjQr4nN5vTpAhUAAAAAHQAAAAAQBQ ► Podcast on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4Ix8nEl2Vd07NSlRF8gA6x ► Books: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/publications/books/ | |||
| 29 Mar 2020 | CORONA Crisis: 4 Scenarios: How bad will it get? How will it last? | Dr. Pero Mićić | 00:17:17 | |
► STRATEGY FOR THE CORONA CRISIS (Download): https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/solutions/corona-crisis/ ► VIDEOS ON THE ELTVILLE MODEL by Dr. Pero Mićić: Part 1: https://youtu.be/lC551mwfYO8 The Corona Crisis: How bad will it be? How long will it take? 4 scenarios for your business strategy! This is an instruction for your strategy as a leader and entrepreneur during the crisis. We are all intensively busy these days with maintaining health, solvency and operational readiness. But as leaders, we also have one central task: to give the team - and ourselves - a credible perspective for the time after the crisis. One might think that now is not the time to think about the future. Understandable, but dangerous and therefore wrong. Now more than ever, all of us and your team need a visible and justified hope for a good time after the crisis. So that we can now be prudent, capable of shaping the future and strong in implementation. So that in the here and now we can do the right things for a good future. Reserve one day a week now to work on the future of your company and your team. Lead your team with a credible picture of the future after this crisis. Now, leadership is really needed. Fair weather leadership is easy. Good leaders will now seize the opportunity to rethink their work and their business. Despite and because of the crisis. Even if it is difficult to imagine at the moment: there will be a good time again after this crisis. In the big picture, our world of the future will always be much better than most people think. The quality of life will continue to improve. It is important to invest time, spirit and also money in the future now. Please: Scenarios are NOT predictions! Again, the scenarios do not foretell the future. The (blue) assumption scenarios only describe the corners of the sphere of possibilities. Please tell your team this very clearly, otherwise you will achieve the opposite of hope. At the end of this video I will tell you what I and we at FutureManagementGroup assume to be likely. ===================== Inspire your customers, partners and team members with a keynote by Dr. Pero Mićić at your event: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/speeches/dr-pero-micic-speaker-en/ PROFILES AND WEBSITES MEDIA AND RESOURCES | |||
| 30 Nov 2019 | Vision: CO2 from the air becomes a valuable resource| Dr. Pero Mićić #futurestory | 00:04:05 | |
CO₂ and methane are a threat to the Earth's climate - at least too much of it. Almost all experts say that we humans are influencing the climate through emission of CO2 and methane. A few see it differently. But no matter who is right. It is a universal principle that a functioning system should not be disturbed. And for this reason alone, it is necessary to recapture the CO2 that we humans have demonstrably blown into the atmosphere. And there is good news. Inspire your customers, partners and team members with a keynote by Dr. Pero Mićić at your event: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/speeches/dr-pero-micic-speaker-en/ PROFILES AND WEBSITES ► Wikipedia Pero Mićić: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pero_Mi%C4%87i%C4%87 ► Website Pero Mićić and FutureManagementGroup AG: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/ ► Linkedin-Profile: https://www.linkedin.com/in/peromicic/ ► Facebook-Profile: https://www.facebook.com/pero.micic ► Linkedin FutureManagementGroup AG: https://www.linkedin.com/company/1185372 ► Facebook FutureManagementGroup AG: https://www.facebook.com/FutureManagementGroup/
MEDIA AND RESOURCES ► Podcast on iTunes: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/leaders-foresight-dr-pero-mi%C4%87i%C4%87/id1474339238 ► Podcast on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4Ix8nEl2Vd07NSlRF8gA6x ► Books: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/publications/books/
EVENTS AND SOLUTIONS ► Consulting and Coaching for your strategy: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/ | |||
| 26 Jun 2023 | How fast will AI develop? When will we have super-intelligence? | 00:09:34 | |
Many people make fun of what ChatGPT & Co. cannot do. How quickly will AI improve? You'll get my answer to this question in this episode. Here, I'm only looking at performance. We'll consider ethics, dangers, and consequences of AI in other episodes. On this channel, I guide you on how to future-proof yourself and your business. Feel free to ask your questions on strategies for the future in the comments.
Website: www.FutureManagementGroup.com Prof. Dr. Pero Mićić is the founder (1991) and CEO of FutureManagementGroup AG and is professor for foresight and strategy at Steinbeis University (part time). THE FUTURE OF YOUR BUSINESS ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ Make your business future-proof. Make it a "Bright Future Business" with us. These are the 8 features of a future-proof business which you can achieve with our program. ✔️ You sustainably improve the quality of life for many people. ✔️ You are working on great viable future opportunities. ✔️ Many customers like to buy a lot and at profitable prices. ✔️ Excellent employees like to come, stay and like to perform. ✔️ Your productivity is at the top of the industry. ✔️ Your competitors have a hard time copying you. ✔️ You are hedged against technological and strategic disruption. ✔️ Your company is a joy to shareholders.
► Keynote by Dr. Pero Mićić at your event: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/speeches/dr-pero-micic-speaker-en/ ► Free Video Crash Course: THE FUTURE OF YOUR BUSINESS ► Find and develop NEW BUSINESS: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/solutions/new-business-program_01/ ► Play BUSINESS WARGAMES: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/solutions/wargames/ PROFILES AND WEBSITES ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ ► Wikipedia Pero Mićić: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pero_Mi%C4%87i%C4%87 ► Website Pero Mićić and FutureManagementGroup AG: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/ ► Linkedin-Profile: https://www.linkedin.com/in/peromicic/ ► Facebook-Profile: https://www.facebook.com/pero.micic ► Linkedin FutureManagementGroup AG: https://www.linkedin.com/company/1185372 ► Facebook FutureManagementGroup AG: https://www.facebook.com/FutureManagementGroup/ MEDIA AND RESOURCES ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ ► Podcast on iTunes: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/leaders-foresight-dr-pero-mi%C4%87i%C4%87/id1474339238 ► Podcast on Google: https://podcasts.google.com/?feed=aHR0cHM6Ly9sZWFkZXJzZm9yZXNpZ2h0LWVuLmxpYnN5bi5jb20vcnNz&ved=0CBQQ27cFahcKEwjQr4nN5vTpAhUAAAAAHQAAAAAQBQ ► Podcast on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4Ix8nEl2Vd07NSlRF8gA6x ► Books: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/publications/books/ | |||
| 14 Jun 2024 | Humanoid Robots: How much cost per hour? | Dr. Pero Mićić | 00:15:33 | |
Join the "BRIGHT FUTURE LEADERS" for free and future-proof your business: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com... On this channel, I advise you in making yourself and your business more future-proof. Please feel free to ask me any questions about the future, innovation, strategy, and leadership in the comments. The Humanoid robots are coming! They will have amazing physical skills and they are also becoming intelligent. If they succeed, it will be the biggest technological revolution and disruption in human history. But will companies and people even be able to afford their work? If they turn out to be too expensive, then the optimistic visions cannot be achieved. How much will a humanoid's working hour cost? You'll get the answer in this episode. Website: www.FutureManagementGroup.com Prof. Dr. Pero Mićić is the founder (1991) and CEO of FutureManagementGroup AG and is professor for foresight and strategy at Steinbeis University (part time). THE FUTURE OF YOUR BUSINESS ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ Make your business future-proof. Make it a "Bright Future Business" with us. These are the 8 features of a future-proof business which you can achieve with our program. ✔️ You sustainably improve the quality of life for many people. ✔️ You are working on great viable future opportunities. ✔️ Many customers like to buy a lot and at profitable prices. ✔️ Excellent employees like to come, stay and like to perform. ✔️ Your productivity is at the top of the industry. ✔️ Your competitors have a hard time copying you. ✔️ You are hedged against technological and strategic disruption. ✔️ Your company is a joy to shareholders.
► Keynote by Dr. Pero Mićić at your event: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/speeches/dr-pero-micic-speaker-en/ ► Free Video Crash Course: THE FUTURE OF YOUR BUSINESS ► Find and develop NEW BUSINESS: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/solutions/new-business-program_01/ ► Play BUSINESS WARGAMES: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/solutions/wargames/ PROFILES AND WEBSITES ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ ► Wikipedia Pero Mićić: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pero_Mi%C4%87i%C4%87 ► Website Pero Mićić and FutureManagementGroup AG: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/ ► Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/in/peromicic/ ► Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/pero.micic ► Linkedin FutureManagementGroup AG: https://www.linkedin.com/company/1185372 ► Facebook FutureManagementGroup AG: https://www.facebook.com/FutureManagementGroup/ MEDIA AND RESOURCES ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ ► Podcast on iTunes: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/leaders-foresight-dr-pero-mi%C4%87i%C4%87/id1474339238 ► Podcast on Google: https://podcasts.google.com/?feed=aHR0cHM6Ly9sZWFkZXJzZm9yZXNpZ2h0LWVuLmxpYnN5bi5jb20vcnNz&ved=0CBQQ27cFahcKEwjQr4nN5vTpAhUAAAAAHQAAAAAQBQ ► Podcast on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4Ix8nEl2Vd07NSlRF8gA6x ► Books: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/publications/books/ | |||
| 09 May 2019 | Vision Creates Energy & Performance| part 5 | Dr. Pero Micic #Mission #Vision | 00:07:39 | |
LESS INERTIA –MORE MOTIVATION AND PERFORMANCE PROBLEM Why do your employees resist the necessary change? You yourself are fascinated by your vision for your company, but your employees are less so? The power of countless habits is directed against your vision? Obligation prevails over an intrinsic motivation? Almost every change in your business model and processes requires enormous power? The deeper meaning and societal contribution of your business are hardly seen, understood and felt by anyone?? SOLUTION What is fascinating for you and your team about your company? Without an attractive vision of your future, people always withdraw to the familiar when faced with challenges, even if it is no longer sustainable. Employees then do not deal with the future, but with the many small annoyances of everyday life. In your mission, determine the driving force and the meaningful purpose of your company. What contribution do you make for improving the lives of people? Develop a positioning that makes your company unique and significant in the market. In your vision, set an ambitious and challenging aspiration for your future significance in the market and in the world.. LESS ANXIETY AND DOUBT –MORE CONFIDENCE PROBLEM Why do you and your employees worry so much about your future? You know that fear is a bad guide and yet you feel a lot of it in your organization? Are your employees worried about many phenomena in your environment, such as disruptive competitors, artificial intelligence and robotics, or political conflicts? You hear and sense doubts about the sustainability of your business due to a lack of differentiation, missing contingent strategies, a too traditional business model and unconvincing future-opportunities?? SOLUTION What fears and doubts about the future have you systematically discussed and credibly dispelled? While it is clear that most events you fear will not come true, it is dangerous to ignore threats. From a psychological point of view too, it is absolutely necessary that you and your employees express your worries and face whatever threat: What exactly is the threat? Where and how would we be affected? What can we do today as a preventive measure and in an acute case to protect ourselves or even gain advantages? Integrate threats and respective contingency strategies into your future strategy.. LESS SHORTAGE OF PERSONNEL – GREATER ATTRACTIVENESS TO EMPLOYEES PROBLEM Why don't more talented and young employees want to work for you? Google, Adidas, Tesla and many start-ups are popular employers, but you don't get enough applications? Many of the applicants that do come to you, you would rather see working for your competitors? Your current employees give you less than ideal employer ratings on platforms such as Glassdoor, despite all the advantages and discounts you provide? Your obviously low employer attractiveness is or will become a limiting factor for growth?? SOLUTION What greater purpose does your business offer to your employees? How is your company good for people and the world? Nowadays, young applicants ask questions that previously nobody would dare to pose. A professionally well-developed mission, positioning and vision answers these critical questions of self-confident young talents. Generations Y and Z pay particular attention to the corporate culture. The more forward-looking it is, the higher both freedom and responsibility are, the more flexibly they are allowed to work, the more attractive you will be as an employer.. Your mission and vision are your most profitable investment, if you do them well. This fourth category of benefit was about energy and performance: Less inertia - more motivation and performance Less anxiety and doubt - more confidence Less shortage of personnel - greater attractiveness for employees | |||
| 28 Mar 2024 | Intelligent Humanoid Robots: Are they really coming? | 00:13:32 | |
Join the "BRIGHT FUTURE LEADERS" for free and future-proof your business: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com... If and when humanoid robots find their way into our world, they will change work, the economy and society more radically than almost anyone can imagine. Including your job and your company. Robots have been working in our factories for over 60 years. Now a new generation is coming. The humanoid robots. They are physically built like we humans. Will the humanoids now also become intelligent? As the Chinese government has announced? You'll find all the arguments and the answer in this episode. And I'll give you advice on what you can do now to make yourself more future-proof. Article: Humanoid robots: the solution to the labor shortage? (Part 1) | FutureManagementGroup AG On this channel, I advise you in making yourself and your business more future-proof. Please feel free to ask me any questions about the future, innovation, strategy, and leadership in the comments. Website: www.FutureManagementGroup.com Prof. Dr. Pero Mićić is the founder (1991) and CEO of FutureManagementGroup AG and is professor for foresight and strategy at Steinbeis University (part time). THE FUTURE OF YOUR BUSINESS ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ Make your business future-proof. Make it a "Bright Future Business" with us. These are the 8 features of a future-proof business which you can achieve with our program. ✔️ You sustainably improve the quality of life for many people. ✔️ You are working on great viable future opportunities. ✔️ Many customers like to buy a lot and at profitable prices. ✔️ Excellent employees like to come, stay and like to perform. ✔️ Your productivity is at the top of the industry. ✔️ Your competitors have a hard time copying you. ✔️ You are hedged against technological and strategic disruption. ✔️ Your company is a joy to shareholders.
► Keynote by Dr. Pero Mićić at your event: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/speeches/dr-pero-micic-speaker-en/ ► Free Video Crash Course: THE FUTURE OF YOUR BUSINESS ► Find and develop NEW BUSINESS: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/solutions/new-business-program_01/ ► Play BUSINESS WARGAMES: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/solutions/wargames/ PROFILES AND WEBSITES ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ ► Wikipedia Pero Mićić: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pero_Mi%C4%87i%C4%87 ► Website Pero Mićić and FutureManagementGroup AG: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/ ► Linkedin-Profile: https://www.linkedin.com/in/peromicic/ ► Facebook-Profile: https://www.facebook.com/pero.micic ► Linkedin FutureManagementGroup AG: https://www.linkedin.com/company/1185372 ► Facebook FutureManagementGroup AG: https://www.facebook.com/FutureManagementGroup/ MEDIA AND RESOURCES ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ ► Podcast on iTunes: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/leaders-foresight-dr-pero-mi%C4%87i%C4%87/id1474339238 ► Podcast on Google: https://podcasts.google.com/?feed=aHR0cHM6Ly9sZWFkZXJzZm9yZXNpZ2h0LWVuLmxpYnN5bi5jb20vcnNz&ved=0CBQQ27cFahcKEwjQr4nN5vTpAhUAAAAAHQAAAAAQBQ ► Podcast on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4Ix8nEl2Vd07NSlRF8gA6x ► Books: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/publications/books/ | |||
| 25 Oct 2018 | What does the machine need humans for? | 00:16:48 | |
In the United Arab Emirates they have a Minister for Artificial Intelligence. It's a real ministry. In Germany and other countries, there are Departments for the Homeland now, which is certainly important. But the UAE have a Ministry for Artificial Intelligence because they have recognized the enormous challenges. Because everything a human can do, the machine of hardware and software can already or soon do better. What does the machine need humans for? This question sounds evil and disrespectful. What else than humans does really matter? Everything else is just our tools. But the question is also useful. This question is helpful to our search for our markets, businesses and jobs in the future.
Recognize
Humans can recognize. Humans are a sensory miracle. We can see, hear and feel all kinds of things. And yet the machine can already do it better. Better than the average human, it can recognize from the face of a person whether he or she is lying. And it can recognize the sexual orientation from five photos of a person. With 91% reliability. With one photo it is 84%. This is true for men; with women, sexual orientation is somewhat more difficult to recognize from the face.
Learn
When we have recognized, we can learn. We are unbelievably good at learning. We were not born to ride a bicycle or build submarines and yet we can learn it. For 1500 years we have been developing the game of chess. As you know, we've had chess computers for decades that humans do not stand a chance against. And then comes Google AlphaZero, looks at the game, derives the rules, plays four hours against itself, and beats Stockfish, the best chess computer that humankind could build so far, 28:0. We cannot learn so fast and so well.
What applies to the field of cognition with artificial intelligence, also applies to the physical form, to the robots. The universal robot Baxter does not need to be programed. You can guide its arms and fingers and literally show it what to do. For example, if you have taught it to cut onions, you will save that skill and upload it to the global robot skill platform. So each and every Baxter-style robot in the world is able to cut onions immediately. The effort we make to transfer knowledge and skills from one person to another is enormous. From kindergarten to schools to colleges and further education. The robots and artificial intelligences do not need that. They simply copy the skills.
The robots will watch us and they will learn like children, by imitating us. They will be watching all of our Youtube videos, hopefully filtering well, and then they can do anything we can. Today we present the world two-dimensionally in photo and video, but soon we will use much more three-dimensional representations through virtual realities. Then the machines can learn even better to be able to do what we can.
Consulting
When we have recognized and learned, we can advise and consult. If I get seriously ill, if I suffer from cancer for example, I want this Watson to be used. For several years, Watson has had the skill to advise on finding the best therapies. The system reads millions of medical scientific publications and recommends the best treatment for the patient's cancer based on their genetic profile. And then the second and third best. For the next patient, it does the research again, all within a short time. No doctor can keep up with this performance.
However, I would like a human to look at the results. Why? Because I am a human. Because I want to look into eyes that I trust and that make me feel good about Watson's recommendations.
But I would also like that the people who advise me, whether it is doctors, architects or lawyers, to use such machines. I would like them to be professional by not ignoring the new tools and not be left behind.
Rather, they should "sit on top" of the increasing performance of these new tools, so as to be carried upwards in the quality of their performance and their professionalism. We can all only benefit from that.
After Watson has advised me, I may want or need psychological counseling. AI bots can already do that today. They can ask questions, give hints, engage in dialogue, just as a therapist. But they are not dependent on a limited memory. They will soon be able to treat psychologically almost as well as the best experts on earth.
But, the AI bots are not a substitute for humans. They make it possible for therapists to support us more personally and with more time. And they make it possible for millions of people to enjoy individual and yet almost free coaching in everyday life.
Communicate
Consulting also involves communicating. We will be able to speak as many languages as we want. In principle, today all non-native speakers should focus on speaking excellent English and immediately stop learning all other languages. Those who privately want to speak a language out of sheer joy should learn it, of course, but for professional reasons that no longer makes sense.
Artificial intelligence today can make voices sound so natural that we can no longer distinguish them from a human voice. AI can even emulate your voice within a few seconds. So the machine sounds like you. Already, even the appearance of virtual assistants is hardly distinguishable from that of a human.
So we will soon have access to consultants on any topic and at any time. They never get tired, never go on vacation and they will cost almost nothing. Whenever Artificial Intelligence can learn a field of knowledge, man will be at a disadvantage for standard skills. But in the end, we will still want to talk to a human.
Create
But creativity, that is our domain! Right? I am not sure. If you can map creativity into algorithms, if deep learning can learn creative processes, then in this field, too, we are no longer the crown of creation. Many years ago, an AI composed a symphony for the London Symphony Orchestra. The orchestra played the symphony and were surprised that they did not know the piece. Quote: "We were amazed by the quality." That is how good it was. Mind you; it was not composed with software, but by software.
There are software machines today that can draw comics from a textual description and even create movies. The idea is not so crazy that the movie scripts and novels of the future will be written by artificial intelligence. At least the mass products. They, too, will be guided by the structure of the so-called "hero's journey," as most Hollywood movies and novels do. The first experiments are promising. Even Shakespeare like sonnets, AI is able to write.
When AI develops new forms of steel and new vehicle batteries, we will soon be able to use BIM, Building Information Modeling, to do a fully integrated planning of a building or our home with a touch of a virtual button. We will determine the cornerstones of the house, its functions, its design, the style and within seconds get eight variants or eight hundred variants, from which we can choose the best. Of course, even our decision process will be supported by artificial intelligence.
Act
But we will be in charge of acting, of doing things, right? If you need a little bluffing in a purchasing negotiation, the algorithm cannot do that, right? Yes, it can! An AI has been playing poker against the US champions for thirty days. The human players had no chance. One of the players said, quote "I always felt that the thing knows which cards I have in hand. And probably that was the case.
That is why self-driving cars that make far fewer mistakes and will drive much safer than we do, are not that far away as many still believe. Human error causes more than 90% of fatal accidents. Virtually all of these mistakes will not be made when AIs drives the cars. We will be able to even more drastically reduce the number of people killed in traffic.
Fighter jet pilots have one of the professions with the highest demands on humans. Even very experienced fighter pilots had no chance against an AI called "Alpha." They were regularly shot from the virtual sky. And all this ran on hardware that cost only $ 35 US.
These are all great opportunities that we can take advantage of by leaving action to the machine in a few years while we engage in more important activities.
Administrate
Will we at least still be administrating the processes? Probably not. What blockchain technologies, or more precisely the distributed ledgers, can do today, will take a lot of administrative work from us.
Many professionals need to document so much, before, during, and after their consultations that they barely have time to deal in detail with their customers, clients, and patients. Therefore we should welcome the fact that we have less administrative work to do.
However, hundreds of millions of people worldwide live from simple administrative jobs. For them, there will have to be new jobs and tasks in the future, and this will be one of the greatest challenges humanity ever faced during peacetime.
Decide
Recognizing, learning, consulting, communicating, creating, acting, managing. If the machine can already today or soon do all this better, will we as humans at least make the decisions? In Hong Kong, a company called Deep Knowledge Ventures appointed a sixth board member a few years ago. With the same voting rights as the other five. But it is not human. It is an Artificial Intelligence that decides on the company's investments in biotech companies.
An AI is better at assessing which criminals are most likely to be back in jail after their release. We humans do much worse in this discipline. It is incredibly difficult for us to believe and accept all that. But at least the scientific experiments show that we have our severe shortcomings in such assessments and decisions.
What does the machine still need humans for?
The first conference on AI was held in 1956. As early as in the 1960s we wondered to what extent the machines will take away our work and our jobs. We even asked that question at the beginning of the nineteenth century, when industrialization was just beginning. At that time a farmer fed four people, today on farmer feeds 200 people. Yet we do not have millions of unemployed farmers. We have always found and invented new jobs. At that time, one could not imagine that one day there would be the job of a web designer. Or that it can be a job to make sure that a new car smells the way the manufacturer wants it to smell.
However, then as now, we have a hard time to imagine the markets, businesses, professions and jobs of the future. But we have to.
We will not have less work. We will have more work. But it will be much more sophisticated. It will put much higher demands on people. Even in the knowledge professions, value creation is being gradually eaten from the bottom up, that is, starting with simple knowledge work, such as research and data analysis, in the direction of increasingly complex knowledge work.
So, what does the machine need humans for? It needs humans for two functions. It needs humans to be useful to him or her. We should self-confidently become aware of that fact. If we do not use it, if we do not want it, not buy and not pay it, then the AI will not exist.
And the machine needs humans to be created, operated, improved and used by them. On these two sides of artificial intelligence and robotics, the machine needs and will need people.
It only becomes dangerous when the super-intelligent machine decides at some point that humans are not good enough to develop it and then the AI itself assumes the role of the developer and operator. Then we have indeed made our last invention. Then the super-intelligent machine develops the even more intelligent machine and so on. Then we will not understand it anymore. Then the so-called singularity will have happened.
We may then begin to help human evolution by upgrading ourselves with artificial intelligence and robots, merging with it and become cyborgs, the combination of human and machine. But that is really futuristic. It will take decades before we face this challenge.
Skills Disruption Inventory
So what? Make a skills disruption inventory. You can do that in Microsoft Excel. In the first column, write down all the capabilities that you personally, your company and your team have. Write down every skill and every effect you are paid for to achieve. In the other columns, write down all artificial intelligences, software packages, robots and offers of any startups that promise to master these skills better than humans. This provides you with two sorts of insights.
Number one, you will know which skills are better performed by technology than by you. You must gradually, or even immediately, invest less in these skills to be performed by people.
Ideally, you would employ more AI and robotics instead of human work, but to a tolerable degree as you help the people on your team acquire new skills. Avoid dismissals for technological reasons as much as you can so you do not lose the experience and emotional connection of your employees.
Number two, after the skills disruption inventory, you will know what capabilities you and your team will need as humans in the future because you have not found any substitutive and disruptive technologies or solutions despite thorough research. These are the skills you need to invest in in a future-intelligent way.
What will you live on tomorrow?
To know exactly where and how you need to invest in artificial intelligence and robotics in your organization and to know what skills you will be paid for in the future, you need a future-proof mission and motivating vision for yourself and your team about how and where you want to be in a world of artificially intelligent machines. Develop your intelligent vision! | |||
| 16 Apr 2020 | Crisis-Opportunity 01: Lead! Assume your role as a leader and "hero" in the crisis! | Dr. Pero Mićić | 00:04:38 | |
The Future and your Opportunities in the Crisis: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/solutions/corona-crisis/ What are your real opportunities in the crisis? Crisis opportunity no. 1: Lead! Accept your role as leader and "hero" in the crisis. Learn to feel comfortable in this role. This is a very basic opportunity. The prerequisite for all other opportunities. Opportunities are possibilities for action which, if we seize them, will help us now and after the crisis to make our world a better place. And will help you to shape your future company. This is the first opportunity. It's actually the foundation, the basis for you to be able to seize the following opportunities. Become aware of your role as a leader! You have to focus on what you can shape yourself. And so does your team. What you cannot change yourself only costs time and energy. And it paralyzes. The bridge from the present to success after the crisis is built from exactly these opportunities. To be realistic: things will be anything but comfortable on this bridge. Perhaps the imaginary winds will blow like hurricanes, it will rain like buckets, problems will force you to take steps back, cynics and hater will laugh and mock you from the sidelines. Nevertheless, it should not be an option for you to stay on this side of the shore just because it is easier now. Your specific task: Describe your leadership role for yourself in writing and in detail. Clarify yourself as a leader. What do you expect from yourself? Who hopes for your leadership? What do others expect from you? How do you want to be useful to others? What is on your mind when you think about this? What do you ask yourself? What opportunities do you see? What opportunities should I talk about here? Write it in the comments. Subscribe to this channel, so you won't miss any of your opportunities in the crisis. See you on opportunity number 02. Have a bright future!
Video: https://youtu.be/x6kxXmZqDkU 4 SCENARIOS ON THE FUTURE OF THE CORONA-CRISIS https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/solutions/corona-crisis/ ==================================== Inspire your customers, partners and team members with a keynote by Dr. Pero Mićić at your event: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/speeches/dr-pero-micic-speaker-en/ PROFILES AND WEBSITES ► Wikipedia Pero Mićić: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pero_Mi%C4%87i%C4%87 MEDIA AND RESOURCES EVENTS AND SOLUTIONS #Corona-Crisis #Corona-Opportunities #OpportunitiesInTheCrisis | |||
| 09 May 2019 | Your Vision is your most profitable investment| part 1 | Dr. Pero Micic #Mission #Vision | 00:03:31 | |
Are you satisfied with the expressiveness and impact of your mission and vision? Does it make you and your employees confident? Do you feel future-proof? A future-robust mission and motivating vision for the future can be the most valuable thing about your company. At the same time you have the most powerful leadership tool at your disposal. Who has visions should go to the doctor? Not at all! Amazon's vision is to become the most customer-centric company in the world. If the vision were only to become the market leader in online trading, Amazon would never have let its competitors onto its platform. And Amazon would not have the significance it has today. It is crucial that your mission clearly determines what you and your How do you stay unique and competitive? What do you want to achieve with your team? Your mission, positioning and vision must be robust for the future. The current and future dramatic upheavals and destructions of business models are constantly questioning your future-strategy. How do you make your mission and vision your most profitable investment? What's in it for you? ========================================== | |||
| 08 Feb 2021 | Your complete Trend System for safety and success in business! | Dr. Pero Mićić | 00:09:36 | |
Download: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/the-trend-system-for-your-business/ Why a Trend System? Whether it’s Tesla, Apple, or Salesforce. Every great success of a company is largely based on the fact that they recognized trends or potential trends earlier than others. And then created their own trend. That’s how new markets and successful companies are created. What do you have to do with trends and trends with you? You with your enterprise and your job must, or at least should align yourselves with the coming changes. Best yet use them to your advantage. And also if you invest in equities for your retirement. Trends are guides to growth. Professionally managed companies systematically observe and use future trends. And you can do the same. Quite easily, in fact. Learn how in the podcast! EVENTS AND SOLUTIONS ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ Profit from future trends and technologies. Get inspiration, advice and help from Dr. Mićić and his team for your robust, motivating and effective strategy. PROFILES AND WEBSITES ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ MEDIA AND RESOURCES ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ | |||
| 05 Aug 2020 | Will this get us to 100% renewable energy? | Dr. Pero Mićić | 00:08:57 | |
Article with full text and sources: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/gravity-storage/ Renewable energy is great. But there is a big problem. The wind doesn’t blow, and the sun doesn’t always shine when we need the electricity. So we have to store electricity on a large scale. But there is far too little storage capacity available for much more renewable energy. That’s why so many say that the transition to renewable energy will fail. But will it really fail? Video: https://youtu.be/_ZJyf9Yk4kU ==================================== LEADER'S STRATEGY PROGRAM: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/solutions/the-fmg-solution-program/ OPPORTUNITIES IN THE CRISIS: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/solutions/crisis-opportunities/ THE 5 FUTURES GLASSES and THE ELVTILLE MODEL https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/solutions/eltville-model/ ==================================== Inspire your customers, partners and team members with a keynote by Dr. Pero Mićić at your event: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/speeches/dr-pero-micic-speaker-en/ PROFILES AND WEBSITES ► Wikipedia Pero Mićić: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pero_Mi%C4%87i%C4%87 ► Website Pero Mićić and FutureManagementGroup AG: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/ ► Linkedin-Profile: https://www.linkedin.com/in/peromicic/ ► Facebook-Profile: https://www.facebook.com/pero.micic MEDIA AND RESOURCES EVENTS AND SOLUTIONS #Renewable #Energy | |||
| 06 May 2019 | Play Wargames - Detect your Blind Spots| Dr. Pero Mićić on wargames | 00:10:54 | |
Identity and Problem
WargamePlay a wargame! A very exciting and thrilling experience I'm here to give you instructions on your wargame. Together with my team at FutureManagementGroup, I have played countless exciting wargames over the last 20 years. A wargame is a workshop to simulate conceivable, probable and also surprising attacks by competitors against your company and to learn from them. Where are the blind spots in your strategy, where you are vulnerable, but also where your best opportunities for the future lie? A wargame is a role-playing game, but don't invite your colleagues to a role-playing game. If you call it a wargame, they'll more inclined to participate. You can also use other common names, such as "be the enemy" or "nightmare competitor" or "disrupt me". Let me say this upfront: I am a peaceful person and do not advocate aggression or war here. It's only about a harmless, but very inspiring thought game in the field of business. Battle of DorkingIn 1872 there was an attack of the German Reich on Great Britain. It was one year after the victory of the North German Confederation under the leadership of the Prussian army over France. And one year after the foundation of the German Empire on 01 January 1871. The Germans were in the midst of a strong industrialization and also highly motivated by the foundation of the Reich. The British Navy was destroyed by so-called "fatal engines". Today they are known as torpedoes. The German army landed in Sussex. Both the British Navy and the army were scattered throughout the world to expand and maintain the Commonwealth. In addition, Britain had demilitarized itself to a large extent and the soldiers were poorly trained. So they were weak at home. The attack was very surprising. Surprising because there was no obvious reason for the attack, no dispute, no conflict, no crisis. It came as it had to come. In the decisive battle at Dorking, the Germans defeated the British. The Germans conquered Great Britain and made it a highly taxed province of the German Empire. Great Britain had to hand over its role as the leading naval power as well as the huge Commonwealth to the German Empire. But wait: the whole thing never happened. It was a fictional story. A scenario. Written by George Chesney in 1871, one year before the alleged attack. Published in this book. The Battle of Dorking. When William came. William, the Emperor of the German Empire. The book was printed and read a couple of hundred thousand times and caused enormous sensation and hot and anxious discussions. As a consequence the British hurried to strengthen their army and navy again and made enormous investments. And they founded the Secret Service. In this way, by inventing a previously unimagined but plausible and frightening scenario of an attack by a strong opponent the horrible scenario was possibly prevented from happening. WargameThe purpose of a wargame is that you can imagine what competitors could do and how they could do it to take away your orders and your customers. To drive your business into insignificance and bankruptcy. And how they could use the latest amazing technologies and the most intelligent strategies to make you disappear from the market. But a wargame is supposed to deliberately scare your team only in the first part, in order to wake up a possibly too complacent team. But fear without hope is harmful. The second goal is to prevent these attacks by preparing for them. This will make your alignment and strategy more robust for the future. That's why many government agencies and enterprises simulate attacks on their IT or infrastructure. In order to recognize and eliminate the weak points. And the third and most important goal is for you to identify your greatest future opportunities in the potential attacks of your competitors by reversing them. Please act only with fair and legal means and for the benefit of your customers. And please do not harm your competitors directly. A wargame and implementing the resulting insights will make your company and business model much more future-robust and you will never again run the risk of missing significant threats and opportunities due to a lack of attention. With a wargame you can calibrate the attention of your team for signals in the market. This way you get a kind of strategic future radar virtually for free. Here's how you should proceedYou can play a wargame pragmatically in three hours, but also very professionally in two or three days with several rounds. Pick a business areaYou can use your current company and business model as the object of attack. Or, if you have a vision for your future company and business model, you can use it as an object of attack. With this you can perfectly check whether your vision and strategy is future-robust. Determine for which effects customers pay your company. Don't focus on the tangible products and services, but on the effects that your customers really buy. So not on the car, but on mobility, joy and prestige and not on health insurance, but on the feeling of security as the desired effect. Pick the competitorsChoose real, potential and imaginary competitors. Take competitors who you respect, who you hate you, ones that already exist or who do not yet exist. Make sure that you always include a rich, intelligent and aggressive Chinese as a competitor. And if they are not there yet, be sure they will come. And add Alphabet as a competitor, the mother of Google, so that you can also think of the totally digital disruptions. In any case, you have to bring the nightmare competitors into the game. Put yourself in the role of your competitorsPut two, three or more people of your team in the role of a competitor, depending on the size of your group. Provide the teams with thinking tools, such as a list of innovative technologies that are emerging in your industry. Or visualize the elements of your business model. You can also simulate in one round of the wargame that there is a new crash with a subsequent economic crisis, triggered by a not that unlikely collapse of the euro banking system. Let your competitors attack your businessThen these competitor teams attack your company and business model. With the knowledge of your business model. You'll be surprised what your employees can think of. That way you can simulate what could really happen in the future or at any time from now. You simulate the attacks you are afraid of. But you can only get rid of these fears about the future and the feeling of being threatened if you face your fears, deal with them and make provisions for when the scenarios really happen. Identify the impacts of the attacksNow switch roles. Your teams now become teams of your company again. Leave one employee from each competitor team in his role. He or she will now present to the team the attacks that the competitor team has selected as the most effective, most dangerous and harmful for you. Now you can see what impact the attacks are having on your organization's success factors. Where you are vulnerable. You can see where and how bad the impacts of the attacks would be. The teams then evaluate and decide what to neglect and what to take care of.. Develop Contingency StrategiesDevelop so-called contingency strategies in the next step. These are preventive strategies, i.e. measures that you can already implement today. Either to prevent competitors from attacking, for example by patent protection or better contracts with your customers, or measures that keep the consequences of an attack to a minimum. And acute strategies that you can prepare and take out of your drawer in case the attack scenario really happens. Develop your opportunitiesThe attacks of your competitors are - if you reverse them - exactly the opportunities you need for your future. After carefully evaluating and selecting your opportunities, you have a clear picture of the business areas, business models and strategies that will sustain your business in three, five or ten years. You recognize and seize your opportunities in the markets of the future. In this way, you get rid of your fears of the future and see the future as less threatening and more promising, through the simulation and analysis and reversal of future assaults. What doesn't kill you makes you stronger. OutcomesWith your wargame you can achieve the following results. Recognize and understand future events and changes in the competitive landscape. Identify and understand the potential strategies, moves and activities of competitors Derive your own opportunities for yourself from the strategies and moves of your competitors With these results you will achieve the following effects Safeguarding your vision and strategy and making them future-robust Recognizing future opportunities for your company Increasing the team's awareness of potential threats and opportunities Call to actionSet a date for your wargame right away. If you have any questions about the methodology, the necessary tools or the organization, I will be happy to answer them. Ask your questions in the comments or email me at: PM@FutureManagementGroup.com. Enjoy your wargame and have a bright future. | |||
| 07 May 2020 | CRISIS-OPPORTUNITY 05: Intelligentize your business model now! | Dr. Pero Mićić | 00:06:35 | |
Your opportunities and your strategy in the crisis: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/solutions/corona-crisis/ What are your real opportunities in the crisis? Crisis opportunity no. 05: Intelligentize your business model now! In times of crisis, people get inventive, agile and enterprising. At least some of your competitors, those you already know or thos who you have not yet recognized as competitors. Many companies will right now radically digitalize and intelligentize their business model. To increase customer benefit and to reduce costs. Don't wait for that to happen. Intelligentize your business model now! I call it intelligentization, because digitalization falls far short as a term. Everything that humans can do cognitively, the artificially intelligent machine can do better, today or soon. When I speak of AI, I define it rather broadly as the replication of human capabilities by means of information technology. But let's check systematically the capabilities of the working human being and check in which capabilities the AI has already outperformed us or will soon outperform us. ===================================== Video: https://youtu.be/snw9Q_rzc-U 4 SCENARIOS ON THE FUTURE OF THE CORONA-CRISIS https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/solutions/corona-crisis/ THE 5 FUTURES GLASSES and THE ELVTILLE MODEL https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/solutions/eltville-model/ Playlist with more videos on opportunities: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PL4WJXwKk4nxqTaetg6UjuXodNwzy9Ti4M =================================== Inspire your customers, partners and team members with a keynote by Dr. Pero Mićić at your event: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/speeches/dr-pero-micic-speaker-en/ PROFILES AND WEBSITES MEDIA AND RESOURCES EVENTS AND SOLUTIONS | |||
| 01 May 2020 | CRISIS-OPPORTUNITY 02: Create an attractive "Future-We"! | Dr. Pero Mićić | 00:04:25 | |
The Future and your Opportunities in the Crisis: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/solutions/corona-crisis/ What are your real opportunities in the crisis? Crisis opportunity no. 2: Create a credibly positive image of the future for your team. We all need confidence and hope. Always. All the more so in a difficult time like now in the crisis. Otherwise we sink into apathy and even depression. The people on your team need to see the shore on the other side. And yes, first you as leader. And then, together with your team, you develop a positive image of the future. Without the conviction and confidence that things will get better and good again, people will not act in a future-oriented manner. A positive view of the future is also the prerequisite for successful crisis management now. What is on your mind when you think about this? What do you ask yourself? What opportunities do you see? What opportunities should I talk about here? Write it in the comments. Subscribe to this channel, so you won't miss any of your opportunities in the crisis. See you at the next opportunity. Have a bright future! Video: https://youtu.be/snw9Q_rzc-U 4 SCENARIOS ON THE FUTURE OF THE CORONA-CRISIS https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/solutions/corona-crisis/ THE 5 FUTURES GLASSES and THE ELVTILLE MODEL https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/solutions/eltville-model/ Playlist with more videos on opportunities: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PL4WJXwKk4nxqTaetg6UjuXodNwzy9Ti4M =================================== Inspire your customers, partners and team members with a keynote by Dr. Pero Mićić at your event: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/speeches/dr-pero-micic-speaker-en/ PROFILES AND WEBSITES MEDIA AND RESOURCES EVENTS AND SOLUTIONS | |||
| 20 Jul 2021 | Despite AI - with THIS Qualification you will always have a job | Dr. Pero Mićić | 00:08:17 | |
It is said that two-thirds of today's students will work in jobs during their lifetime that we don't know today. What should you learn for the future? What should your children be learning? And as a leader, what should your employees learn? With which qualification should hire employees? If, after all, intelligent machines will be able to do more and more in the future. Then what is the most important skill and attribute for humans? What is the most important skill that will allow you to have well-paid jobs in the future? If everything that humans can do cognitively, that is, with their brains, the artificial intelligences can soon or already today do better. At least in special tasks. If everything that humans can do physically with their bodies, the robots can soon or already today do better. So if the intelligent machines can do virtually any special task better than we humans can. How are we as humans special then? Where and what is our place in the coming world of work? Article on the video: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/the-most-important-qualification-for-the-future/ Prof. Dr. Pero Mićić is the founder (1991) and CEO of FutureManagementGroup AG and is professor for foresight and strategy at Steinbeis University (part time). THE FUTURE OF YOUR BUSINESS https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/solutions/leaders-strategy-program_01/ PROFILES AND WEBSITES MEDIA AND RESOURCES | |||
| 21 Aug 2023 | How long will the battery in an electric car last? Just junk after 100.000 km? | 00:12:52 | |
Free Video Crash Course THE FUTURE OF MY BUSINESS: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/knowledge/crash-course/ How long does an electric car's battery last? Some say several hundred thousand kilometers, while others claim that after barely 100,000 kilometers, the battery is junk and must be disposed of as hazardous waste. So, what's the truth? On this channel, I advise you in making yourself and your business more future-proof. Please feel free to ask me any questions about the future, innovation, strategy, and leadership in the comments.
Website: www.FutureManagementGroup.com Prof. Dr. Pero Mićić is the founder (1991) and CEO of FutureManagementGroup AG and is professor for foresight and strategy at Steinbeis University (part time). THE FUTURE OF YOUR BUSINESS ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ Make your business future-proof. Make it a "Bright Future Business" with us. These are the 8 features of a future-proof business which you can achieve with our program. ✔️ You sustainably improve the quality of life for many people. ✔️ You are working on great viable future opportunities. ✔️ Many customers like to buy a lot and at profitable prices. ✔️ Excellent employees like to come, stay and like to perform. ✔️ Your productivity is at the top of the industry. ✔️ Your competitors have a hard time copying you. ✔️ You are hedged against technological and strategic disruption. ✔️ Your company is a joy to shareholders.
► Keynote by Dr. Pero Mićić at your event: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/speeches/dr-pero-micic-speaker-en/ ► Free Video Crash Course: THE FUTURE OF YOUR BUSINESS ► Find and develop NEW BUSINESS: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/solutions/new-business-program_01/ ► Play BUSINESS WARGAMES: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/solutions/wargames/ PROFILES AND WEBSITES ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ ► Wikipedia Pero Mićić: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pero_Mi%C4%87i%C4%87 ► Website Pero Mićić and FutureManagementGroup AG: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/ ► Linkedin-Profile: https://www.linkedin.com/in/peromicic/ ► Facebook-Profile: https://www.facebook.com/pero.micic ► Linkedin FutureManagementGroup AG: https://www.linkedin.com/company/1185372 ► Facebook FutureManagementGroup AG: https://www.facebook.com/FutureManagementGroup/ MEDIA AND RESOURCES ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ ► Podcast on iTunes: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/leaders-foresight-dr-pero-mi%C4%87i%C4%87/id1474339238 ► Podcast on Google: https://podcasts.google.com/?feed=aHR0cHM6Ly9sZWFkZXJzZm9yZXNpZ2h0LWVuLmxpYnN5bi5jb20vcnNz&ved=0CBQQ27cFahcKEwjQr4nN5vTpAhUAAAAAHQAAAAAQBQ ► Podcast on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4Ix8nEl2Vd07NSlRF8gA6x ► Books: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/publications/books/ | |||
| 28 Jan 2022 | METAVERSE for business! This is what you need to know and do | Dr. Pero Mićić | 00:14:49 | |
Suddenly everyone is talking about the metaverse. It is supposed to be nothing less than the next big thing. What threats and what opportunities does the metaverse bring for you professionally and for your business? Hear my answers to these questions now. Website: www.FutureManagementGroup.com Article on the video: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/metaverse-for-business-this-is-what-you-need-to-know-and-do/ This podcast does not contain any paid advertising of affiliate links. Prof. Dr. Pero Mićić is the founder (1991) and CEO of FutureManagementGroup AG and is professor for foresight and strategy at Steinbeis University (part time). GOOD SOURCE ON THE METAVERSE Companies: Technology: Invest in the Metaverse: THE FUTURE OF YOUR BUSINESS ► Keynote by Dr. Pero Mićić at your event: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/speeches/dr-pero-micic-speaker-en/ PROFILES AND WEBSITES MEDIA AND RESOURCES | |||
| 10 Feb 2021 | Why? Purpose? Mission? What is what? What do you really need? | Dr. Pero Mićić | 00:08:23 | |
Everyone tells you to find your Why. And others tell you that you should definitely determine a Purpose. Then again others come up with mission statements. Somehow it all sounds the same. And do you really need something like that for your business? For your life? And if so, which one? Just one or all of it? Invest a few minutes now and you'll have clarity on those confusions once and for all. I clarify Mission, Why and Purpose for you.
PROFILES AND WEBSITES ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ MEDIA AND RESOURCES ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ ► Podcast on iTunes: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/leaders-foresight-dr-pero-mi%C4%87i%C4%87/id1474339238 | |||
| 04 Nov 2018 | Where is the sense in managing the future? | 00:02:38 | |
The future has never been precisely predictable. And yes, in this fast and complex world today even less than ever before. | |||
| 09 May 2019 | Vision Creates Clarity & Effectiveness| part 3 | Dr. Pero Micic #Mission #Vision | 00:10:42 | |
LESS CONFUSION – MORE CLARITY AND ORIENTATION PROBLEM Many of your colleagues and employees understand your strategy and business model in different way than you do? Almost everyone uses different terms, which continues to lead to misunderstandings? If you ask ten team members about the right strategy for the future, do you feel you get ten different answers? SOLUTION Start by developing not one, but at least three to eight strategy candidates. This is the only way to ensure that you have really considered the entire space opportunity. Determine the criteria by which you evaluate the candidates, such as future fitness, risk level, strength fit, unique selling proposition potential, earnings potential and desire to implement. Let your candidates compete in pairs against each other in each discipline - the criteria - just like in a tournament. Identify the winner as the core of your strategic direction and develop the candidate into a clear mission, positioning and vision. FEWER CONFLICTS – MORE UNITY AND ALIGNMENT PROBLEM You, your executives and your employees do not agree on your strategic direction, vision, strategy and the right priorities? Some of your discussions even turn into arguments and persistent conflicts? Your meetings are sometimes characterized by low mutual trust and respect and even rude treatment? SOLUTION Resolve with your management team intensively all the big questions that must finally be answered and decided: Your mission (M): What really is your business and what is not. Your positioning (P): What really is unique about your company. Your vision (V): To where you want to develop your business and where not to. Your vision of the future will only become effective when it is understood and strongly supported by a good part of your employees. LESS SCATTERING – MORE FOCUS AND STRENGTH PROBLEM Do you have the feeling that you are following several strategic directions at the same time? You can't really concentrate your personal efforts on essential tasks? Do you always work on different fronts with only divided power? Your best people constantly have to jump back and forth between different topics? You cannot invest sufficiently in all your business areas to remain competitive? SOLUTION Together with your core team, determine the big, convincing picture of your future consisting of mission, positioning and vision, which all your activities, projects and processes should run towards. Without such a picture of your future, you always have too many business areas, projects and processes. Focus and enduring concentration of forces (mind, time, money) are undisputed success factors. Focus requires saying 'No' and literally "cutting away". Make as many decisions against options as deemed necessary in this regard. Focus is the entirety of the few decisions for a particular strategic direction and the many decisions against other possible strategic directions.. LESS EFFORT AND STRESS – GREATER EFFECTIVENESS OF LEADERSHIP PROBLEM You know everything about leadership with goals, but it doesn't work in the your field? You have a master plan with a roadmap of all projects and initiatives, but it keeps falling apart? You have become the most dilligent foreman and hopelessly overburdened instructor? SOLUTION Without a vision of your future, you do not lead, you merely manage. Leadership is not possible without a vision. The only way to lead your team from today to tomorrow more effectively than before is by having a picture of your future and being able to communicate it effectively both emotionally and rationally. Break the vicious circle of "no time for a vision of our future" and massive work overload and stress. Force yourself to develop the big picture of mission, positioning and vision. Your mission and vision can be your most profitable investment. | |||
| 31 Oct 2019 | The Difference between Mission and Vision | Dr. Pero Mićić #mission #vision | 00:07:39 | |
Actually, it's quite simple. Mission and vision are clearly definable and defined terms. Actually. And yet many companies have it wrong, even the big and supposedly very professional companies. Audi makes the following statement as their mission on its website: Consistently Audi. Sorry, this is not a mission! As a vision Audi states: "Unleash the beauty of sustainable mobility". And again, that too contradicts the definition of Vision used by most experts. This is not a V. Funnily enough, it's more of a mission, as the verb "unleash" indicates. Anyone who wants a job with Ford and asks what Ford's mission and vision is like will get the following answer: One team, one plan, one goal. One Ford is FMC's mission and vision.This is beyond me. Basically this is one of the reasons why I don't see a good future for Ford and wouldn't buy shares. It is neither a mission nor a vision. It is extremely ignorant to try to cover two very different concepts with a single statement. IKEA writes: Our Vision is to create a better everyday life for the many people. I am sorry, but this is not a vision. It is a mission. You could say it is completely irrelevant how you define mission and vision. Just make sure there are statements about strategy at all.However, I think it's dangerous and expensive. Then we could also say that it doesn't matter if we call something a task or a goal.No, if you call the task a goal and the goal a task, you confuse people. They then work less motivated, less goal-oriented, less consistent.A clear mission and vision should create orientation, give direction, offer meaning. And for this we need clear definitions and an undoubted common understanding within the company. We have today, that is, the present, and we have the future ahead of us.A mission is the promised effect that a company fulfils for its customers permanently. It applies today and until we change it. It drives us and guides us. | |||
| 23 Dec 2019 | Vision: Healthy meat without dead animals | Dr. Pero Mićić | 00:04:21 | |
Do you feel like eating lab grown artificial meat? No? Let's have a look at the future of meat. The production of meat costs enormous resources in terms of water, arable land and energy. Above all, meat production is to blame for a large proportion of emissions of climate-active gases such as carbon dioxide and methane. Therefore, more and more people are changing their eating habits - also because they do not want to let animals suffer. The number of vegetarians and vegans is growing. And also the group of those who at least reduce their consumption of meat. There are two alternatives: Firstly, the plant-based meat substitutes. And real meat that is not grown in the animal but in the laboratory. This is going to be a huge market of the future! LINKS TO SOURCES:
============================== =================================== Inspire your customers, partners and team members with a keynote by Dr. Pero Mićić at your event: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/speeches/dr-pero-micic-speaker-en/ PROFILES AND WEBSITES ► Wikipedia Pero Mićić: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pero_Mi%C4%87i%C4%87 ► Website Pero Mićić and FutureManagementGroup AG: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/ ► Linkedin-Profile: https://www.linkedin.com/in/peromicic/ ► Facebook-Profile: https://www.facebook.com/pero.micic ► Linkedin FutureManagementGroup AG: https://www.linkedin.com/company/1185372 ► Facebook FutureManagementGroup AG: https://www.facebook.com/FutureManagementGroup/ MEDIA AND RESOURCES ► Podcast on iTunes: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/leaders-foresight-dr-pero-mi%C4%87i%C4%87/id1474339238 ► Podcast on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4Ix8nEl2Vd07NSlRF8gA6x ► Books: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/publications/books/ EVENTS AND SOLUTIONS ► Consulting and Coaching for your strategy: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/ #invitromeat #labmeat #labgrownmeat | |||
| 20 Oct 2021 | Why companies fail and how you future-proof your business (overlooked factor) | 00:10:36 | |
Nokia had the future assumption that customers want many different cell phone models and always with a keyboard. VW, Mercedes, BMW, General Motors and virtually all other traditional car manufacturers had the future assumption that electric powertrains would not be marketable for decades, if ever. An assumption that today even threatens their very existence. How can something like this happen even to the world market leaders? But also restaurant owners, retailers and gym operators had the future assumption that of course guests and customers could come to them at any time. A pandemic, as a surprise disruption of their future assumptions, was not on their radar. The issue sounds theoretical, but what could be more practical than the fundament of your economic existence? Yes, no one can predict the future. But there is an early warning system you can use to safeguard your company. This episode will show you how. Let's talk (free consulting session): https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/solutions/future-strategy-program/ Free Video Crash Course THE FUTURE OF MY BUSINESS: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/solutions/crash-course/
► Website: www.FutureManagementGroup.com THE FUTURE OF YOUR BUSINESS ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ PROFILES AND WEBSITES | |||
| 06 May 2019 | Will computers outperform the human brain? | Dr. Pero Mićić on neurocomputers #Futurequestions | 00:05:25 | |
Our brain is the most complex system in the known universe. Will it stay that way? For how much longer? Even Gordon Moore, the famous founder of Intel, said it in 2007: Moore's law, according to which the transistor density and thus the performance of a computer chip doubles every 18 months, will soon no longer apply. Intel itself has not been planning with Moore's Law since 2016, because the performance of conventional computers will no longer grow exponentially. The mechanical limits will soon be reached. Parallel computing will continue to increase performance, but at a much slower pace. So, is this really the end of the computer revolution? The decisive factor is the computing power, not the technology used. And that's where great improvements are coming. Scientists have long been working on new computer concepts such as quantum computers and bio-computers to replace the silicon-based computers we use today. Neurocomputers use the way a human brain processes information as a biological model. Their artificial nerve cells and synapses imitate the human brain. And they are starting a new era in computer technology. Our brain is amazingly powerful. The performance of the human brain, with its 100 billion nerve cells and 100 trillion synapses, is still many times higher than that of today's computers. Above all through parallel processing. Many processes in our brain run side by side. For some time now, smaller neural networks could be run on conventional hardware, but only with extremely high energy consumption and quite limited performance. But the latest neurocomputers are significantly more energy-efficient than a conventional computer and are improving at an incredible pace. Researchers at IBM developed 'TrueNorth' (Link), a neuromorphic processor inspired by the functioning of the neocortex with 256 million synapses. Still a lot weaker than our brains. And they developed artificial neurons based on phase-change materials. But the performance is still a fraction of the complexity of the human brain. What can we expect if progress in this area is exponential as it will continue to be? The coupling of high computing speed and massive parallelism in information processing will lead to breakthroughs that are hardly imaginable today. In ten to fifteen years, neurocomputers could be in use everywhere. The power of artificial intelligence relies on three factors. First, the performance of the software. But secondly on the performance of the hardware and thirdly on the availability of huge amounts of data. On the basis of the data from billions of networked digital archives, devices and objects, AI that runs on neurocomputers will make decisions and discover hidden connections. It will analyze complex situations and recommend the appropriate actions, optimize the traffic flow of autonomous vehicles, make far better diagnoses of diseases and make weather forecasts way more accurate. By 2030, our brain could be in second place. Then it will no longer be the most complex system in the known universe. Then it could be neurocomputers. Then the crown of creation could have declassified itself. The more successful the systems become, the more we will trust them - and in certain areas hand over responsibility to them. Neurocomputers will also compete with us on the labour market. Countless small and large companies will either have to change radically or disappear from the market. And in the long term? Around 2030 to 2040, computers should be able to imitate the performance and functioning of the human brain 1:1. Should this be achieved one day it is also conceivable to transfer human consciousness as a copy to an artificial system. And possibly back again on a human being. Nobody knows today whether this will ever work. It would not only be a new era of computer technology, but above all a new human era. Some futurists claim that we can only compete with neurocomputers if we add neurocomputers to our brains. But that is another topic. There is a good chance that you will experience this era in your lifetime.
Now what? There is still a long time pass before we have to upgrade our brains. But: Make sure that you personally focus on such tasks that will be reserved for humans in the future. These are above all tasks with little routine and a lot of emotion and compassion. And please make sure that your company does not ignore the arising opportunities but seizes them to remain competitive and gain a competitive edge. | |||
| 24 May 2023 | To Mars? Seriously? The mission of SpaceX | 00:14:35 | |
Making humanity a multiplanetary species. That is SpaceX's mission. Is it just a giant waste of money and resources? And ultra-rich men who don’t know what to do with all their money? Or is it an investment in the survival of humanity? Here is my answer. This is the right channel for you if you want to future-proof yourself and your business. Website: www.FutureManagementGroup.com Prof. Dr. Pero Mićić is the founder (1991) and CEO of FutureManagementGroup AG and is professor for foresight and strategy at Steinbeis University (part time). THE FUTURE OF YOUR BUSINESS ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ Make your business future-proof. Make it a "Bright Future Business" with us. These are the 8 features of a future-proof business which you can achieve with our program. ✔️ You sustainably improve the quality of life for many people. ✔️ You are working on great viable future opportunities. ✔️ Many customers like to buy a lot and at profitable prices. ✔️ Excellent employees like to come, stay and like to perform. ✔️ Your productivity is at the top of the industry. ✔️ Your competitors have a hard time copying you. ✔️ You are hedged against technological and strategic disruption. ✔️ Your company is a joy to shareholders.
► Keynote by Dr. Pero Mićić at your event: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/speeches/dr-pero-micic-speaker-en/ ► Free Video Crash Course: THE FUTURE OF YOUR BUSINESS ► Find and develop NEW BUSINESS: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/solutions/new-business-program_01/ ► Play BUSINESS WARGAMES: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/solutions/wargames/ PROFILES AND WEBSITES ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ ► Wikipedia Pero Mićić: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pero_Mi%C4%87i%C4%87 ► Website Pero Mićić and FutureManagementGroup AG: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/ ► Linkedin-Profile: https://www.linkedin.com/in/peromicic/ ► Facebook-Profile: https://www.facebook.com/pero.micic ► Linkedin FutureManagementGroup AG: https://www.linkedin.com/company/1185372 ► Facebook FutureManagementGroup AG: https://www.facebook.com/FutureManagementGroup/ MEDIA AND RESOURCES ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ ► Podcast on iTunes: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/leaders-foresight-dr-pero-mi%C4%87i%C4%87/id1474339238 ► Podcast on Google: https://podcasts.google.com/?feed=aHR0cHM6Ly9sZWFkZXJzZm9yZXNpZ2h0LWVuLmxpYnN5bi5jb20vcnNz&ved=0CBQQ27cFahcKEwjQr4nN5vTpAhUAAAAAHQAAAAAQBQ ► Podcast on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4Ix8nEl2Vd07NSlRF8gA6x ► Books: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/publications/books/ | |||
| 25 Oct 2018 | Will artificial intelligence automatically expose lies and fake news in the future? | 00:11:35 | |
Imagine artificial intelligence could automatically detect fake news and lies in the future? And what dangers arise from these technologies? | |||
| 24 Jul 2019 | The 5 Core Questions for Your Future –The 5 Futures Glasses | 00:15:36 | |
Every time you make and implement decision, you are shaping your future. You got only this one life. The future is the space for your desires, ambitions and dreams. Your future begins in your head and continues in your conversations, decisions, and actions. Unfortunately, we are oftentimes overwhelmed by the the complexity of the future. Wouldn't it be great if it was easier to imagine and literally manage your future? What happens when people think about and discuss their future? Soon there is sheer chaos. Not only because the perceptions and the opinions differ so much. Another reason is even more important: We don't have a clear language for the future. There is a Babylonian confusion in the thinking and in the language for the future. When the language is not clear, so are the thoughts. When the thoughts are unclear, so are the discussions. When the discussions are chaotic, assessments and decisions are bad and risky. How can we do better? It wouldn't make much sense to develop a complicated set of definitions that people need to learn the hard way. No one feels like that, it would not work. There is an easier way. Over more than twenty years we have been listening when people talk about the future. We have done that with hundreds of teams and thousands of individuals and we discovered exactly five categories of futures. Those are the five basic motives and desires about the future. People want to be oriented, safe and secure, inspired, have a vision and a purpose and be focused on what is to be done. This is why people are so curious about and fascinated by the future. We call those five categories the five futures glasses. The good news is that you don't need to learn the futures glasses. They are already in your head. You are using them on a daily basis, only you are not aware. By using the five futures glasses ....
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| 04 Nov 2018 | Why are people so interested in the future? | 00:04:14 | |
Since the first early cultures, people have tried to see, understand and have more of the future. Obviously, we can't help ourselves.
You will find these motifs in many places. Immanuel Kant has spent his entire philosophical life's work searching for answers to three questions in which these five motives are also asked: | |||
| 15 Oct 2019 | Will there be a unconditional basic income? (part 1) | Dr. Pero Mićić | 00:14:31 | |
Is your job compromised by artificial intelligence and robotics? No? Go google it ... Everywhere we hear and read about the idea that it would be great if everyone would get an unconditional basic income, completely without any work or other condition or prerequisite. But will it come to that? Will there be an unconditional basic income? In the next 20-30 years? What is actually a basic income? The concept of an Unconditionnal BI is that every inhabitant of a country receives an income without any preconditions or prerequisits. Usually you hear an amount of 1,000 euros, dollars or similar amounts in other currencies. Supporters of a UBI say that this would have a number of advantages. People woud feel safer. The incredibly complicated and expensive system of social benefits will be drastically simplified. The often degrading and humiliating application procedures would get completely unnecessary. Very few would do nothing, nothing useful to society at least, and spend their days in the social hammock. The opponents say
The idea is old Thomas Morus wrote in 1516 about a kind of basic income. His book is called Utopia. Thomas Jefferson and Abraham Lincoln and also Martin Luther King spoke for it and even Richard Nixon wanted to introduce it, but failed in the Senate. Even the great liberal economic thinkers Friedrich von Hayek and Milton Friedman saw advantages in the idea. Perception: Today a basic income is "nice to have" for the most part. Despite presumable advantages, after decades of discussion, nations and states have so far either done nothing at all or have only done experiments that have not been continued. So the need is not so great apparently. Or the resistance is very great. Obviously, there has been no need to do so up to now. There has not been sufficient necessity. Therefore a UBI seems to be only nice to have from the current point of view. But let's have a look at what the future holds for us.Let's put on the blue glasses of the future. These are the glasses for our assessment of the probable future. It's not about forecasts, but about assumptions about the future, which is a big difference. Below is a link to a video about the five glasses for the future. Assumption: AI and robotics will take over more and more functions and tasks that previously only humans could do. Green: Opportunities and options The possible answers are: Yes, there will be a UBI. There will be no basic income at all. There will be a conditional Basic Income
Only very few will do nothing at all. The experiments from Canada in the 70s and Finland recently have shown that only 1-2% stopped working. People will take on more meaningful tasks, such as caring for children in daycare centres and schools and caring for the elderly, for example as mobility companions, or providing security services in residential areas or creating works of art. People will dare more to take risks in order to develop themselves. For example, to become self-employed. In Kenya, around 90% founded a company in a basic income test. People are becoming more creative and can sometimes get deeper into a project that doesn't have to earn money straight away. This creates a lot of innovation. What are the counterarguments? Over four or five decades it has simply not been possible to introduce a UBI anywhere in a serious and permanent way. Some argue that employers could lower normal salaries because the state pays the difference to regular salaries. This may happen, but it can be prevented by a legal minimum wage per day or hour. No, it is unlikely to cost any jobs in total. It should be an ethical principle that we have an economy in which one can live relatively well from full-time work. No matter what. Another argument against a UBI is that no one will then be doing the difficult, dirty, unattractive work. For example, in nursing care for the elderly or the police work on the street. That is too short-sighted. Rather would and will such work have to be paid significantly better than today. Otherwise - in fact - there will really be no one else to do this work. Or it will be done by intelligent robots. Crucial argument 1: It is nonsensical and unnecessary to pay the UBI really to everyone. It is usually demanded that the UBI be paid to everyone. Independent of income. Also to the millionaire. Just for the sake of simplicity. That is absurd in several ways. 1000 euros for each would, for example in Germany, make about a trillion Euros: That is three times the federal budget. A lot of money would be paid to people who neither need a UBI, nor would they really experience it as a significant difference in their lives. It is very easy to find out who would really need and benefit from a UBI and who would not. And all that without the huge bureaucracies that exist today. Since everyone then knows that there is a basic income, the feeling of security is created in many people, even if no UBI is paid yet. Crucial argument 2: I do not see the need to make it unconditional. Freedom and responsibility should always coincide. Hence also rights and duties for society. There is not really a convincing reason for unconditionality that is convincing in the historical, philosophical and ethical context. Why should we make people pure recipients, now that we are even disparagingly calling them consumers? A terrible word. Of course, it would be ideal if nobody had to worry about anything anymore. But I that is unrealistic. Because then others would have to take care of you. It is no good to impose responsibility for one's own well-being on others. And: We must develop our solutions with a global perspective. The focus of the world, both economically and culturally, is gradually shifting to Asia. In the next 20-30 years, people there are unlikely to switch to a leisure society. They will continue to develop and compete with us with vision, strategy and implementation power. The UBI requires several major reorganizations at the same time, some of which have a revolutionary character. It is better to take big, but feasible steps because they are more realistic and wiser from a systemic point of view. Otherwise, a basic income will remain a utopian idea. Option 2: There will be no basic income at all. Minus: Here I have only one Argument and that is a negative one. If our assumptions about the future are reasonably correct, then if we do not introduce a basic income, in whatever form, so that virtually nobody has to live in real poverty, the danger of social distortions is very great. There will perhaps even be a bang, as some people say. Whatever that means in concrete terms. The probability cannot be neglected that the intelligentization and robotizatoin of the economy will lead to 10, 20, 30 or more percent unemployment. This is too dangerous. | |||
| 31 Aug 2021 | Solutions for environmentally damaging ships bring new markets and jobs | Dr. Pero Mićić | 00:06:06 | |
This episode is about very concrete solutions to a major environmental problem, where new markets and new jobs will emerge, and above all, a better quality of life. Why and what for? Because it has been my job for 30 years to inspire, encourage and support entrepreneurs and life entrepreneurs like you to build better futures. You can take the following case further and derive ideas and opportunities for your company, your job and your profession from it, precisely because it comes from a completely different industry. Today, it's about wind power. But different.
Prof. Dr. Pero Mićić is the founder (1991) and CEO of FutureManagementGroup AG and is professor for foresight and strategy at Steinbeis University (part time). Sources and full text of the video: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/windpower-but-differently/ Website: www.FutureManagementGroup.com Make your business future-robust, for you and your successors. Together with FutureManagementGroup you will easier achieve the following goals: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/solutions/leaders-strategy-program_01/ ► Keynote by Dr. Pero Mićić at your event: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/speeches/dr-pero-micic-speaker-en/ ► Free Video Crash Course: THE FUTURE OF YOUR BUSINESS ► Find and develop NEW BUSINESS: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/solutions/new-business-program_01/ PROFILES AND WEBSITES ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ ► Wikipedia Pero Mićić: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pero_Mi%C4%87i%C4%87 MEDIA AND RESOURCES ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ | |||
| 17 Jan 2020 | Vision: Your new heart is 3D printed! | Dr. Pero Mićić | 00:05:16 | |
Hundreds of thousands of people around the world are waiting for a donor heart. Millions are suffering from heart disease and are not on waiting lists. And yet only about 3500 are transplanted worldwide every year. Heart diseases remain one of the most important causes of death. Millions will die prematurely, every year. But in a not too distant future we could save millions of lives with printed human hearts. LINKS TO SOURCES:
=================================== Inspire your customers, partners and team members with a keynote by Dr. Pero Mićić at your event: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/speeches/dr-pero-micic-speaker-en/ PROFILES AND WEBSITES ► Wikipedia Pero Mićić: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pero_Mi%C4%87i%C4%87 ► Website Pero Mićić and FutureManagementGroup AG: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/ ► Linkedin-Profile: https://www.linkedin.com/in/peromicic/ ► Facebook-Profile: https://www.facebook.com/pero.micic ► Linkedin FutureManagementGroup AG: https://www.linkedin.com/company/1185372 ► Facebook FutureManagementGroup AG: https://www.facebook.com/FutureManagementGroup/ MEDIA AND RESOURCES ► Podcast on iTunes: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/leaders-foresight-dr-pero-mi%C4%87i%C4%87/id1474339238 ► Podcast on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4Ix8nEl2Vd07NSlRF8gA6x ► Books: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/publications/books/ EVENTS AND SOLUTIONS ► Consulting and Coaching for your strategy: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/ | |||
| 12 Feb 2023 | How to future-proof your business! The 8 Features of a "Bright Future Business" | 00:12:54 | |
How future-proof is your company or job? Millions of experts and books tell you what you need to do to become successful. But what exactly does a successful company look like? How can you tell that a company is more future-proof than others? Consultants and authors are surprisingly silent about that. In my latest book, I describe the eight features of a future-proof company. I refer to such companies as a Bright Future Business. Here I give you a summary of the eight characteristics. Website: www.FutureManagementGroup.com This video does not contain any paid advertising of affiliate links. Prof. Dr. Pero Mićić is the founder (1991) and CEO of FutureManagementGroup AG and is professor for foresight and strategy at Steinbeis University (part time). THE FUTURE OF YOUR BUSINESS ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ Make your business future-proof. Make it a "Bright Future Business" with us. These are the 8 features of a future-proof business which you can achieve with our program. ✔️ You sustainably improve the quality of life for many people. ✔️ You are working on great viable future opportunities. ✔️ Many customers like to buy a lot and at profitable prices. ✔️ Excellent employees like to come, stay and like to perform. ✔️ Your productivity is at the top of the industry. ✔️ Your competitors have a hard time copying you. ✔️ You are hedged against technological and strategic disruption. ✔️ Your company is a joy to shareholders.
► Keynote by Dr. Pero Mićić at your event: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/speeches/dr-pero-micic-speaker-en/ ► Free Video Crash Course: THE FUTURE OF YOUR BUSINESS ► Find and develop NEW BUSINESS: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/solutions/new-business-program_01/ ► Play BUSINESS WARGAMES: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/solutions/wargames/ PROFILES AND WEBSITES ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ ► Wikipedia Pero Mićić: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pero_Mi%C4%87i%C4%87 ► Website Pero Mićić and FutureManagementGroup AG: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/ ► Linkedin-Profile: https://www.linkedin.com/in/peromicic/ ► Facebook-Profile: https://www.facebook.com/pero.micic ► Linkedin FutureManagementGroup AG: https://www.linkedin.com/company/1185372 ► Facebook FutureManagementGroup AG: https://www.facebook.com/FutureManagementGroup/ MEDIA AND RESOURCES ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ ► Podcast on iTunes: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/leaders-foresight-dr-pero-mi%C4%87i%C4%87/id1474339238 ► Podcast on Google: https://podcasts.google.com/?feed=aHR0cHM6Ly9sZWFkZXJzZm9yZXNpZ2h0LWVuLmxpYnN5bi5jb20vcnNz&ved=0CBQQ27cFahcKEwjQr4nN5vTpAhUAAAAAHQAAAAAQBQ ► Podcast on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4Ix8nEl2Vd07NSlRF8gA6x ► Books: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/publications/books/ | |||
| 15 Oct 2019 | Will there be a unconditional basic income? (part 2) | Dr. Pero Mićić | 00:12:34 | |
Option 3: There will be a Conditional Basic Income Not a UBI, but a CBI. It is a common misconception that we will run out of work. No, we will never lack problem, wishes and therefore tasks and work to do. Work is the exercise of a meaningful activity in which the meaning is determined by the worker and/or the beneficiary. At best, we will lack customers and workplaces, but not work. So many people work voluntarily in associations and organizations. So many people work in their household, in their garden. Society, all of us, has the right and actually the duty to protect their interests. Therefore, society should expect a return in exchange for an income, or at least the fulfillment of a condition. Provided, of course, that the recipient of the basic income can do anything at all. Those who are ill or disabled must not, of course, be forced to meet the same requirements as healthy people. Conditions to be met prevent people from wanting to immigrate in order to then profit from social benefits. Whether intentionally or unintentionally. Those who want and are able to work should have it easy to find paid work or to create it themselves. We have become far too accustomed to employers creating jobs and if they do not, we wait until they do it again. Often in vain. This is an attitude that has no future. The excuse that there are no jobs is then gone. In this way, the rapid loss of many tasks through AI and R could be partially compensated by establishing and supporting companies that organize work and tasks for which too little has been paid or for which there is too little money available. These are above all charitable tasks in the support of people who need help and assistance, in emotional and psychological support, in environmental protection. The biggest challenge will be that this shall not harm existing companies or such a system should make it easier for them to offer paid work. Otherwise we would further state socialism again and this is something we absolutely should not do. The society, the state, should act as a client, as a customer. And it should thoroughly examine its suppliers. Under no circumstances should we subsidize existing jobs. We must ensure payment for meaningful work. Companies such as Patreon and Kickstarter show how good projects and work can be financed without the state. Work that would not have been possible in the conventional way. In order to ensure that clients and employers do not use the CBE to pay their employees less, an acceptable minimum wage per day or hour is then required. And if it really turns out that so many new tasks, jobs and professions are created anyway that we don't need all that, then we will only slowly be expanding the CBI. A UBI, in contrast, would never be abolishable again. Those who nevertheless do not work for money because they do not want to or cannot do so will then receive a basic income. That will be well over 1,000 euros, but also well below what you get when you work. There must be a supplement for people who can only work to a limited extent or not at all. That is then perhaps one or two percent of the people. Some will spend the whole day playing computer games and simulations. Only these 2%, who cannot find work and have no other acceptable income, are paid an acceptable basic income by society, the state. How do we determine and pay the BBE? Well, everyone has to file an income tax return. In principle. If you pay a lot of taxes, you won't get a CBI. Those who pay little or nothing in taxes get a CBI as negative income tax, i.e. they get more money from the tax authority than they pay. A disadvantage, however, is that this will create competitive disadvantages compared to other countries and possibly even lower productivity, which will reduce prosperity or prevent it from growing. It is theoretically possible that all countries commit to such a tax, but the chances are rather slim. The machine tax or robot tax is therefore unlikely to be the solution. Tax financing will probably be done through the tax system and without new taxes. But highly productive companies like Google would have to pay as much tax as small companies in percentage terms and in the countries in which they create value. Many of the benefits of a UBI are also achieved with a CBI. From my point of view, however, with greater certainty and sustainability. Because not everyone gets it, a conditional basic income costs significantly less, or those get more who really need it. Because it is essentially linked to performance, there is hardly any danger of a laziness. For the same reason, a CBI would not reduce productivity, but increase it. Productivity is underestimated in its importance. It is not about profit maximization. It is simply about prosperity and quality of life. Counterarguments? Only one: Many tasks in public administration will no longer be necessary. These are not exactly the most beautiful tasks, to determine and monitor the exact amount of money people need to live. But this does not necessarily have to cost jobs. Who has not yet complained about the slow pace of public administration? There is still a lot to do and mostly better things to do. So that is not really a disadvantage. What do you think of my assessment? What is yours? Write it in the comments below. I am curious to learn what you think. The purple futures glasses are for the plan. Not the big long-term plan, that's rather the vision, but the concrete action to be taken from now on. For me, the necessary changes are clear. We have to change something fundamentally. We have to rethink work and income. Integrate the principles of a CBI into your corporate mission and vision. In the future, companies will be particularly well rewarded by society with sales and good employees if they are useful to society. Is that the case in your company? Is it part of your mission and vision? Is it really practiced? Come to our Leader's Vision Days. Then we can work on it together. You can find the link below in the video description. Push for such a solution in your social circles. In your associations. If you want to get politically involved, do it and help to develop the solutions. Have a bright future! | |||
| 04 Nov 2018 | Can you really manage the future? | 00:02:37 | |
Do you find the term "future management" strange? | |||
| 12 Sep 2020 | Hydrogen Cars? Really the best solution for the future? | Dr. Pero Mićić | 00:30:31 | |
Full text and sources: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/do-hydrogen-fuel-cell-cars-have-a-bright-future/ Hydrogen is the future of the automotive industry. You hear that everywhere. But will it be the future? There are already many articles and videos on this topic. Actually, I thought the subject was finished and closed. So why this one? Well, there’s still a lot of controversy, often on a weak knowledge base. This video is a concise summary of all arguments. Plus-arguments that hydrogen fuel cell cars will prevail and minus-arguments against it. So, will most of us be buying hydrogen cars in 2030? ==================================== PROFILES AND WEBSITES MEDIA AND RESOURCES EVENTS AND SOLUTIONS #hydrogen #hydrogen-cars #fuelcell #nikola | |||
| 06 Nov 2019 | Scenario: Quantumcomputers solve almost all problems| Dr. Pero Mićić #futurestory | 00:04:19 | |
When quantum computers arise, it will be an unprecedented leap in computer performance. And in effect a revolution of our world. PROFILES AND WEBSITES ► Wikipedia Pero Mićić: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pero_Mi%C4%87i%C4%87 MEDIA AND RESOURCES ► Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCDmPZSKhDDq_Jv0qHWGUSww EVENTS AND SOLUTIONS ► Consulting and Coaching for your strategy: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/ | |||
| 10 Jun 2020 | CRISIS-OPPORTUNITY 08: How you never miss out on future opportunities again! | Dr. Pero Mićić | 00:04:58 | |
Your opportunities and your strategy in the crisis: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/solutions/corona-crisis/ Especially in a time of crisis it is even more important that you do not let your perception and your thinking be dominated too much by current events. Not even in good times. In order for you to act more future-intelligently, it would be good to increase the share of information about the future and, so to speak, from the future in your perceptions and your thinking. But you can often only see the future once you have already seen it. Ideally, you would constantly feed and confront your brain with information about and from the future. This would make you a much more future-oriented person. Watch the video to learn how to do this easily. ==================================== Video: https://youtu.be/DTruPJsQleM 4 SCENARIOS ON THE FUTURE OF THE CORONA-CRISIS https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/solutions/corona-crisis/ THE 5 FUTURES GLASSES and THE ELVTILLE MODEL https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/solutions/eltville-model/ Playlist with more videos on opportunities: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PL4WJXwKk4nxqTaetg6UjuXodNwzy9Ti4M =================================== Inspire your customers, partners and team members with a keynote by Dr. Pero Mićić at your event: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/speeches/dr-pero-micic-speaker-en/ PROFILES AND WEBSITES MEDIA AND RESOURCES EVENTS AND SOLUTIONS | |||
| 27 Nov 2019 | Vision: Vehicles produce their own energy | Dr. Pero Mićić #futurestory | 00:02:51 | |
Can it be real some time in the future that vehicles will generate their own energy? Inspire your customers, partners and team members with a keynote by Dr. Pero Mićić at your event: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/speeches/dr-pero-micic-speaker-en/ PROFILES AND WEBSITES ► Wikipedia Pero Mićić: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pero_Mi%C4%87i%C4%87 MEDIA AND RESOURCES ► Podcast on iTunes: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/leaders-foresight-dr-pero-mi%C4%87i%C4%87/id1474339238 EVENTS AND SOLUTIONS ► Consulting and Coaching for your strategy: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/ | |||
| 15 Sep 2021 | The future is already here | Dr. Pero Micic | 00:07:50 | |
You have come to the right place if you want to future-proof your business, your job and yourself. Part of my job is to give speeches. At trade conferences, customer meetings and team events. When I talk about new markets and new jobs, every now and then after the keynote someone says: “You know, what you presented on future markets, some of them aren’t the future at all, they already exist. Hm, there’s a thinking error and bias behind that. You’ve probably heard of the S-curve … The iPhone didn’t have the first touchscreen. Tesla didn’t build the first electric cars. And not the first robots. It wasn’t Amazon, Google or Facebook that used the first artificial intelligence. Amazon was not the first online trader, Google not the first search engine and Facebook not the first social network. Salesforce was not the first Software as a service. AirBnB didn’t invent the platform business. “Times will come when our descendants will be surprised that we did not know the obvious.” Seneca said this 2000 years ago. Seneca is marking a fact that science fiction author William Gibson also means when he writes: “The future is already here, just not yet evenly distributed.” What does that mean for your business and your profession? Right now, at this moment, somewhere there are ideas and innovations that will revolutionize your business and your job. And you don’t know about them. | |||
| 04 Mar 2024 | The solution to labor shortage? (all facts) | Dr. Pero Mićić | 00:17:07 | |
Join the "BRIGHT FUTURE LEADERS" for free and future-proof your business: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com... Humanoid robots will reshape the world, says the Chinese government in a guideline for their entire economy. China wants to become the world market leader in humanoid robots by 2027. That's in three years! Is this just science fiction or should we take it seriously? If you produce, transport, sell or manage something physical in your industry, this is an existential question! The answer, you'll find out in this episode. Website: www.FutureManagementGroup.com Article: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com... On this channel, I advise you in making yourself and your business more future-proof. Please feel free to ask me any questions about the future, innovation, strategy, and leadership in the comments. Website: www.FutureManagementGroup.com Prof. Dr. Pero Mićić is the founder (1991) and CEO of FutureManagementGroup AG and is professor for foresight and strategy at Steinbeis University (part time). THE FUTURE OF YOUR BUSINESS ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ Make your business future-proof. Make it a "Bright Future Business" with us. These are the 8 features of a future-proof business which you can achieve with our program. ✔️ You sustainably improve the quality of life for many people. ✔️ You are working on great viable future opportunities. ✔️ Many customers like to buy a lot and at profitable prices. ✔️ Excellent employees like to come, stay and like to perform. ✔️ Your productivity is at the top of the industry. ✔️ Your competitors have a hard time copying you. ✔️ You are hedged against technological and strategic disruption. ✔️ Your company is a joy to shareholders.
► Keynote by Dr. Pero Mićić at your event: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/speeches/dr-pero-micic-speaker-en/ ► Free Video Crash Course: THE FUTURE OF YOUR BUSINESS ► Find and develop NEW BUSINESS: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/solutions/new-business-program_01/ ► Play BUSINESS WARGAMES: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/solutions/wargames/ PROFILES AND WEBSITES ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ ► Wikipedia Pero Mićić: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pero_Mi%C4%87i%C4%87 ► Website Pero Mićić and FutureManagementGroup AG: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/ ► Linkedin-Profile: https://www.linkedin.com/in/peromicic/ ► Facebook-Profile: https://www.facebook.com/pero.micic ► Linkedin FutureManagementGroup AG: https://www.linkedin.com/company/1185372 ► Facebook FutureManagementGroup AG: https://www.facebook.com/FutureManagementGroup/ MEDIA AND RESOURCES ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ ► Podcast on iTunes: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/leaders-foresight-dr-pero-mi%C4%87i%C4%87/id1474339238 ► Podcast on Google: https://podcasts.google.com/?feed=aHR0cHM6Ly9sZWFkZXJzZm9yZXNpZ2h0LWVuLmxpYnN5bi5jb20vcnNz&ved=0CBQQ27cFahcKEwjQr4nN5vTpAhUAAAAAHQAAAAAQBQ ► Podcast on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4Ix8nEl2Vd07NSlRF8gA6x ► Books: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/publications/books/ | |||
| 25 Dec 2018 | Will we accelerate evolution and enhance ourselves with technology? | 00:05:46 | |
Will technology serve to accelerate our evolution? Should it? Will we go beyond the limits of our senses? Do we want that? At the beginning of this millennium, the term "anthropocene" was proposed as the name for a new era. The focus is on the humans who have become so powerful as designers that they unmistakably make their mark on biological, geological and atmospheric processes. In the future, this could also include the evolution of humans themselves. Technologically, we will no longer just adapt the environment to our needs or protect ourselves from its influences, but we will begin to optimize ourselves: prosthetically, genetically, nanotechnologically, pharmacologically and digitally. We are increasingly in a position to overcome our limits. We have been doing this for decades. Anyone who wears glasses, has a hearing aid or a cardiac pacemaker is already a cyborg in a way. The glasses of today with which we correct a visual impairment are the contact lenses of tomorrow with which we can zoom in on things far away like with a camera by simply thinking "zoom". Genetic engineering, on the other hand, could one day enable us to broaden our spectrum of vision and see the universe with new eyes. Or a whole new universe. Today's hearing aids will allow us to hear much more, much better and much farther in the future. The performance of our senses determines what we perceive and thus what we think and do. And also what and who we are. Such ideas of enhancement raise big ethical and moral questions. They trigger understandable concerns and fears. As always, they also create opportunities. The goal of such "enhancement" is not only to overcome physical deficits, but also to increase our performance capacity in such a way that it goes beyond the extent given to us by natural evolution. With updates and upgrades we will not only optimize and expand our senses in the future. We will also interact differently with people and machines. We will feel more connected with others because we share sensations and feelings in new ways: - Through wearables, we can easily let family members and friends participate in what we are experiencing, from our perspective. - Insideables like micro-robots, can wander through blood vessels or intestines and diagnose, repair and heal. - With Augmented Reality we can project information as well as people, objects and phenomena into our perception at any time, which are far away or have already passed away or never really existed. - Sensory impressions and feelings can be digitally coded and neurologically reproduced. Within ourselves or even in other peoples minds. Maybe one day we can even pass on all our memories and experiences to our children. - Via networked prostheses and so-called exoskeletons we can control the body movements of others, for example to teach skills in sport or dance. - We can transfer movements to virtual figures or physical robots - or, conversely, give them control over our bodies. - Next generation Human-machine interfaces will make it possible to control devices such as machines and drones just by thought. - In the future, we can increasingly experience other people, devices and objects as extensions of ourselves. Which of these possibilities do we want to use and what are we allowed to do? It is quite probable that in the course of the 21st century humans will trigger their own next stage of evolution. Not through natural variation and selection, but through targeted enhancement. That is the vision of the so-called transhumanists. Not everyone will want to take this step and not everyone will be able to. The removal of the body's internal and external boundaries raises questions about human identity. To what point are we still human? What becomes of the principle that we are all born the same, at least biologically? Will the gap between the rich, who can expand themselves and thus become more and more productive and powerful, and those who cannot afford it, grow bigger and bigger and become unbridgeable forever? Must there therefore be a right to unconditional enhancement? Or do we have to take advantage of the early hour and legally ban all new enhancements? In any case, now is the time to get used to this new reality and form convictions about what is good and right and what is harmful and wrong. Now what? What do you think about these questions? Are you looking forward to it? Or are you committed to prohibitions? What are your beliefs? How will your professional activity be affected? What will become possible? Which skills will become unimportant? What opportunities are there for your company in products and solutions for Human Enhancement? | |||
| 30 Jan 2025 | Will AI result in catastrophic poverty or in abundance for everyone? (3 scenarios) | Dr. Pero Mićić | 00:25:49 | |
Join the "BRIGHT FUTURE LEADERS" community for free: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com... Lead your team into a challenging future and future-proof your business. What do you do for a living today? AI and intelligent robots will increasingly take over many tasks from humans. And they will do it better, faster and cheaper. Yes, yours too. Many people will work much less or not at all in normal jobs. And earn less or even nothing. What will you live on then? What about your colleagues and employees? And how will our companies survive when their customers don't have the money to buy their products and services? This is the key question for your financial future! Come with me on a journey of discovery into the future. We will take a look at three scenarios for the future of our life and the economy. If AI and robots work for us on a large scale, our future could be great. The highest quality of life, no stress at work and more time for family, friends and hobbies. However, it could also turn out quite differently. We could also wake up in a horror scenario. Because we have a huge and catastrophic flaw in our economic system that could lead to disaster in a world of AI and robotics. Correcting this mistake is the biggest challenge. What the flaw is and how we can fix it, you'll learn in this episode. Website: www.FutureManagementGroup.com Prof. Dr. Pero Mićić is the founder (1991) and CEO of FutureManagementGroup AG and is professor for foresight and strategy at Steinbeis University (part time). THE FUTURE OF YOUR BUSINESS ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ Make your business future-proof. Make it a "Bright Future Business" with us. These are the 8 features of a future-proof business which you can achieve with our program. ✔️ You sustainably improve the quality of life for many people. ✔️ You are working on great viable future opportunities. ✔️ Many customers like to buy a lot and at profitable prices. ✔️ Excellent employees like to come, stay and like to perform. ✔️ Your productivity is at the top of the industry. ✔️ Your competitors have a hard time copying you. ✔️ You are hedged against technological and strategic disruption. ✔️ Your company is a joy to shareholders.
► Keynote by Dr. Pero Mićić at your event: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/speeches/dr-pero-micic-speaker-en/ PROFILES AND WEBSITES ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ ► Wikipedia Pero Mićić: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pero_Mi%C4%87i%C4%87 ► Website Pero Mićić and FutureManagementGroup AG: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/ ► Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/in/peromicic/ ► Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/pero.micic ► Linkedin FutureManagementGroup AG: https://www.linkedin.com/company/1185372 ► Facebook FutureManagementGroup AG: https://www.facebook.com/FutureManagementGroup/ MEDIA AND RESOURCES ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ ► Podcast on iTunes: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/leaders-foresight-dr-pero-mi%C4%87i%C4%87/id1474339238 ► Podcast on Google: https://podcasts.google.com/?feed=aHR0cHM6Ly9sZWFkZXJzZm9yZXNpZ2h0LWVuLmxpYnN5bi5jb20vcnNz&ved=0CBQQ27cFahcKEwjQr4nN5vTpAhUAAAAAHQAAAAAQBQ ► Podcast on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4Ix8nEl2Vd07NSlRF8gA6x ► Books: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/publications/books/ | |||
| 13 Apr 2021 | With AI you'll speak all languages - The automatic translators are coming | Dr. Pero Mićić | 00:09:18 | |
For as long as we can remember, people have said you have to learn foreign languages to be successful in your career. That could prove to be bad advice in the future. How that might be true, and what it means for your profession and business? Watch the video. Website: www.FutureManagementGroup.com Timekettle Technologies: www.timekettle.co This audio does not contain any paid advertising of affiliate links. Article on this topic: coming soon Prof. Dr. Pero Mićić is the founder (1991) and CEO of FutureManagementGroup AG and is professor for foresight and strategy at Steinbeis University (part time). THE FUTURE OF YOUR BUSINESS Make your business future-robust, for you and your successors. Together with FutureManagementGroup you will easier achieve the following goals: ► Keynote by Dr. Pero Mićić at your event: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/speeches/dr-pero-micic-speaker-en/ PROFILES AND WEBSITES MEDIA AND RESOURCES
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| 09 May 2019 | Vision Creates Profit & Business Value| part 6 | Dr. Pero Micic #Mission #Vision | 00:09:28 | |
LESS COMPARABILITY – MORE UNIQUE POSITIONING AND MARGIN PROBLEM Why are you satisfied with less than what is possible in your business? You have always wanted to create something big and special with your heart in mind, but with your current company you have not yet been able to achieve this goal? Do you hate to be put in the same category by customers and non-customers as some of your competitors? You could achieve higher prices and a higher margin if your company positioned itself clearly and credibly as a unique supplier? SOLUTION Everyone knows about the enormous value of positive differentiation from the customer's point of view, that is also difficult to copy. There is no better opportunity to develop the unique positioning of your company than at the time when you define your mission and vision for the future. You will find arguments for the unique-ness of your company in many places, starting with your founding history. Take advantage of the disruption strategies used by startups today. Select and design a set of differentiating elements that support each other and are very useful in their combination for customers, as well as unique and hard to copy in the market.. NO STAGNATION – MORE USE OF POTENTIAL AND REVENUE PROBLEM Are you dissatisfied with how your company is seizing the sales potential available on the market? You are upset that your team is not more ambitious? You feel or know that there is an enormous sales potential in your markets, but you don't see exactly what ambition you should set for your future market position? SOLUTION There is no reason to give a team and company a vision that is clearly below the potential and possibilities. With your vision, set a standard for your future that is within sight but still out of reach. Your vision should not be achievable with today's capabilities, but starting from them. Set your vision so challenging that it hits the exact point with which you activate your team as strongly as possible, neither demanding too little nor too much from them. LOWER COSTS –HIGHER EARNINGS PROBLEM Why don't you make more profit? Lack of clarity, conflicts and disputes about the strategic direction cause enormous hidden costs? Several projects run in different directions, so that a large part of them are futile and far too expensive? You know that the diversity and complexity of your business results in enormous complexity costs, but you're not sure what exactly to eliminate and what to keep?? SOLUTION Put your mission, positioning and vision like a stencil over your current business. You recognize what is superfluous and what is missing. Clarify with your focused mission, positioning and vision which skills, systems and resources you really need for your future. Use your strategic focus to determine what is important and what is not. This gives you confidence in your decision to stop, eliminate and scrap the unimportant and unnecessary. FEWER FINANCIAL WORRIES –MAXIMIZED COMPANY VALUE PROBLEM You know companies in a similar business as yours that are valued at a multiple of the value of your company? Potential investors don't recognize the value in your company that you have in mind? You are occasionally disappointed about how little your years of hard work are reflected in the value of your company? SOLUTION Companies like TESLA have always been valued many times higher on the stock exchange than the hard facts and figures would justify. The main reason for this is that customers, employees and investors see a bright future for the company and consider it credible. Even the ice-cold financial investors achieve an immense increase in value for a company by developing a convincing picture of the company's future and by communicating it credibly. Answer the question: What could I or what could anyone, in the best case scenario, make of our company? | |||
| 01 May 2020 | CRISIS-OPPORTUNITY 04: Make "Social Value" the core of your mission! | Dr. Pero Mićić | 00:06:04 | |
Your opportunities and your strategy in the crisis: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/solutions/corona-crisis/ It is not only in times of crisis that we experience how important it is that companies are recognizably useful to society. And that they invest all their activities in maximizing this social value. That they want to earn money by doing so. That is why crisis opportunity no. 4: is Make social value the core of your mission! This is not about Corporate Social Responsibility, but about Corporate social value! It's not enough to donate money and build a kindergarten every now and then, but otherwise to focus primarily on your own profit. It is about pursuing a social benefit at the core of the activities. The more socially useful a company is, and is perceived to be, the more it is loved by its customers and rewarded with loyalty, the more employees feel their work is meaningful and are accordingly committed and loyal, the less is the company being attacked and sued. The more the company is supported in an emergency situation Video: https://youtu.be/8fFmMwxVY_A 4 SCENARIOS ON THE FUTURE OF THE CORONA-CRISIS https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/solutions/corona-crisis/ THE 5 FUTURES GLASSES and THE ELVTILLE MODEL https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/solutions/eltville-model/ Playlist with more videos on opportunities: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PL4WJXwKk4nxqTaetg6UjuXodNwzy9Ti4M =================================== Inspire your customers, partners and team members with a keynote by Dr. Pero Mićić at your event: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/speeches/dr-pero-micic-speaker-en/ PROFILES AND WEBSITES MEDIA AND RESOURCES EVENTS AND SOLUTIONS | |||
| 25 Oct 2018 | How much is a good mission and vision worth in US dollars? | 00:07:01 | |
A vision is often understood as something you just need. That's what the textbook says. Many companies only have a vision because the ISO says you have to have one to get a quality certificate. So they wrote something down. But for really existential, for really valuable they hold completely different things. I am convinced that the power, the benefits and value of a vision are drastically underestimated. Why? Because many executives do not recognize or understand that a well-honed mission and vision can have tremendous material value in US dollars. Let's take a concrete and current example. Let's take a company that is disrupting and revolutionizing its industry right now and in the last few years. And it is pushing its competitors ahead. Let's take Tesla. We at the FutureManagementGroup AG have been reporting on Tesla to our clients since 2006. Back then, we only reaped a pitiful smile and in extreme cases a self-confident lecture about the fact that battery electric cars make no technical sense. Today the world looks completely different. Tesla is a strange company. Tesla does countless things differently from everyone else. The automobile manufacturers, the OEMs, produce less than 20 percent of the added value of a car themselves, consequently they buy more than 80 percent of the value from suppliers. Tesla, however, has more than 70% vertical integration and thus accounts for more than 70% of the value added, ie the sub-products on the car itself. Tesla not only makes cars, Tesla builds and operates a worldwide charging infrastructure with its superchargers. And that is since 2013. Tesla supplies solar panels and solar roof tiles for production of electricity. And last but not least the electricity storage, the powerwalls for households and the powerpacks for businesses and entire regions. Tesla's mission is to accelerate the world's transition to sustainable transport and energy. And in the automotive business the vision is to become the most fascinating car company in the world. Let's focus on the cars. In 2017, Tesla built just over 100,000 cars. Tesla is therefore still a dwarf among manufacturers today. Since its foundation, Tesla has almost continuously produced negative cash flows, and in total has only produced losses. According to common business criteria, Tesla should have been shut down by 2014 at the latest. Nevertheless, Tesla's market capitalization is higher than that of most traditional manufacturers. It is downright crazy, if we divide the market value of Tesla by the number of cars produced and do the same for other manufacturers. Porsche ranks a around $ 100,000 per car. But Tesla ranks at an enormous 600,000 USD. So Tesla is worth a whopping six times as much as Porsche per car produced. Why is that so? Tesla AND Porsche have production facilities, a business model, a business organization. The build quality of Porsche, the panel gaps for example, is still visibly better than that of Tesla. From a material point of view, Tesla is essentially comparable to BMW. But what makes the difference? Let's subtract the pro-car value of Porsche from the pro-car value of Tesla. We arrive at a difference of 500,000 USD. There seems to be something that makes Tesla unique and is highly valued. It is the belief of employees, customers and investors in a bright future for Tesla. In their future-proof mission and motivating vision. Investors in particular are betting a lot of their own money on this bright future. They must be very convinced of it. They obviously are more confident about the future of Tesla than about the future of Porsche and even more so than of any other manufacturer.. It is not that the traditional manufacturers have no visions. Even VW and Daimler say that they want to be leaders in electric mobility. Incredibly, one even says that they already are, although you cannot buy a really good electric car from them. To reserve a Tesla Model 3, people queued at night just to pre-order a car that will be delivered in more than two years, and that they have never seen before, much less test driven. But Tesla keeps most, if not all, their promises they make. Tesla invests almost three times as much of their revenue in research and development as VW, BMW or Daimler. And if you ask Tesla drivers about their satisfaction - Would you buy this car again - incredible 98% say YES. Despite unequal panel gaps. That's the highest customer satisfaction in the industry. Now, if we multiply the $ 500,000 difference with the 100,000 cars produced in 2017, we arrive at an answer to our question: What is the mission and vision of Tesla worth? Believe it or not, it is 50 billion dollars! Almost all of their market capitalization. And now? Yes, I know, you are not Tesla and Tesla is a real exception. Your mission and vision will not be worth 50 billion, maybe not even one. It would be good if you could see the tremendous value of a well-made, enthusiastically supported, future-proof mission and motivating vision. You will more easily attract and retain your customers, your investors and your employees. Show people a future they can look forward to. Take your chance. Do not wait until someone comes who has a great vision. Life is short. Develop your vision of a bright future | |||
| 12 Sep 2023 | How Dangerous is Mercedes' Future Strategy? | 00:18:26 | |
Free Video Crash Course THE FUTURE OF MY BUSINESS: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/knowledge/crash-course/ How Dangerous is Mercedes' Future Strategy? Mercedes has unveiled a new strategy that could dramatically change not just Germany's economy, but Europe's as a whole. After all, the automotive industry is the key economic sector. Mercedes is largely pulling out of the lower segments of small and cheaper cars to refocus on the luxury market. This decision was made last year. But will this strategy turn out to be successful? And what does it mean for you? What can you learn from it? Let's dig into these questions together and find the answers. On this channel, I advise you in making yourself and your business more future-proof. Please feel free to ask me any questions about the future, innovation, strategy, and leadership in the comments. Website: www.FutureManagementGroup.com Prof. Dr. Pero Mićić is the founder (1991) and CEO of FutureManagementGroup AG and is professor for foresight and strategy at Steinbeis University (part time). THE FUTURE OF YOUR BUSINESS ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ Make your business future-proof. Make it a "Bright Future Business" with us. These are the 8 features of a future-proof business which you can achieve with our program. ✔️ You sustainably improve the quality of life for many people. ✔️ You are working on great viable future opportunities. ✔️ Many customers like to buy a lot and at profitable prices. ✔️ Excellent employees like to come, stay and like to perform. ✔️ Your productivity is at the top of the industry. ✔️ Your competitors have a hard time copying you. ✔️ You are hedged against technological and strategic disruption. ✔️ Your company is a joy to shareholders.
► Keynote by Dr. Pero Mićić at your event: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/speeches/dr-pero-micic-speaker-en/ ► Free Video Crash Course: THE FUTURE OF YOUR BUSINESS ► Find and develop NEW BUSINESS: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/solutions/new-business-program_01/ ► Play BUSINESS WARGAMES: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/solutions/wargames/ PROFILES AND WEBSITES ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ ► Wikipedia Pero Mićić: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pero_Mi%C4%87i%C4%87 ► Website Pero Mićić and FutureManagementGroup AG: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/ ► Linkedin-Profile: https://www.linkedin.com/in/peromicic/ ► Facebook-Profile: https://www.facebook.com/pero.micic ► Linkedin FutureManagementGroup AG: https://www.linkedin.com/company/1185372 ► Facebook FutureManagementGroup AG: https://www.facebook.com/FutureManagementGroup/ MEDIA AND RESOURCES ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ ► Podcast on iTunes: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/leaders-foresight-dr-pero-mi%C4%87i%C4%87/id1474339238 ► Podcast on Google: https://podcasts.google.com/?feed=aHR0cHM6Ly9sZWFkZXJzZm9yZXNpZ2h0LWVuLmxpYnN5bi5jb20vcnNz&ved=0CBQQ27cFahcKEwjQr4nN5vTpAhUAAAAAHQAAAAAQBQ ► Podcast on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4Ix8nEl2Vd07NSlRF8gA6x ► Books: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/publications/books/ | |||
| 02 Jul 2019 | Vision Creates Opportunities & Security| part 2| Dr. Pero Micic #Mission #Vision | 00:11:01 | |
How to turn your mission and vision into your most profitable investment Read here in 18 points why and how your mission and vision can become your most profitable investment: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/where-are-you-leading-to/
Fewer threats – more future opportunities PROBLEM Why aren't you looking forward to your future successes anymore? You are not sure whether or not your current business will still exist in five or ten years? Are you watching as digitalization and new competitors threaten to disrupt your industry? Some team members have their ideas about future markets, however, there is no solid decision as to which opportunities you want to seize and which you don't? Your intuitive vision has motivated and carried you for years, but lately it has lost its power? SOLUTION What will you live on tomorrow? Use Wargaming to expose your current business to simulated attacks from real, potential and imaginary competitors, including massively disruptive start-ups. This provides a picture of how your business could radically change. Use this knowledge to develop as many alternative business models as possible for your business areas. The constants in it are the effects that your customers really buy. Every other element of the business model is flexible: products, distribution channels, pricing models, production, procurement, everything. Take into account the expected techno-logical advances over the next ten years. Less short sight – more farsightedness and future intelligence PROBLEM Why do your employees keep falling for the short-term trap? To your employees, their wellbeing in the here and how is more important than the future of your company? Everyone knows the goals, but in case of doubt the short-term advantage is decisive? What is right in the long run, but demanding now, is simply not done? However, what is pleasant now is being done, even if it is harmful in the long run? SOLUTION Base your mission and vision on strong emotional needs and motives. This is the only way to make the "Future-We" emotionally important enough to overcome short-term motives of desire and the lack thereof. Less blind flight – more foresight PROBLEM Why do you still keep being surprised by customers, competitors and technologies? You observe moves of your competitors, whose sense and purpose you only recognize when it is almost too late? You sometimes get frustrated that you don't realize the impact of new technologies on your industry until others have seized the greatest opportunities? You quickly notice changes in customer behavior, but what it means for your business model often only becomes clear when it costs a lot of money? SOLUTION Create a future picture of your company consisting of mission, positioning and vision, which acts like a mental probe sent into the future. Juxtapose your vision of the future against current news about changes in technologies, customer behavior and the competitive situation. Less risk –more future robustness PROBLEM Why do you take unnecessarily big risks, known and unknown? Are you aware that a large part of your strategy is based on hope? You and your employees feel stressed by the uncertainty in your environment. You know that with a more sober and systematic look onto risks, threats and surprises, you would feel more secure? You can't provide your colleagues, employees and investors with convincing contingency strategies that would protect you from strategic surprises SOLUTION Develop an expectation scenario, several alternative scenarios and some surprise scenarios. Develop your robust future-strategy on the basis of solid assumptions about the future. Your picture of your future can be your most profitable investment | |||
| 29 May 2020 | CRISIS-OPPORTUNITY 06: Virtualize your company | Dr. Pero Mićić | 00:06:46 | |
Your opportunities and your strategy in the crisis: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/solutions/corona-crisis/ eXp Realty is a real estate brokerage firm in the USA with over 20,000 agents. The unique thing about eXp Realty is: This brokerage firm, whose core business and reason for existence is the brokerage of buildings, does not have a single physical office. The whole company is virtual. It is not an experimental startup. They make over one billion dollars in annual sales. Working from home is only the smallest step, as the example of eXp Realty shows. Virtualize your business now! Again, for strategic reasons, for efficiency and flexibility at the same time and for cost reasons. Now there is the opportunity to achieve more than ever before. What's in it for you, you are asking? Watch the video. 4 SCENARIOS ON THE FUTURE OF THE CORONA-CRISIS https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/solutions/corona-crisis/ THE 5 FUTURES GLASSES and THE ELTVILLE MODEL https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/solutions/eltville-model/ Playlist with more videos on opportunities: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PL4WJXwKk4nxqTaetg6UjuXodNwzy9Ti4M =================================== Inspire your customers, partners and team members with a keynote by Dr. Pero Mićić at your event: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/speeches/dr-pero-micic-speaker-en/ PROFILES AND WEBSITES MEDIA AND RESOURCES EVENTS AND SOLUTIONS #Corona-Crisis #Corona-Opportunities #OpportunitiesInTheCrisis
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| 04 Jun 2020 | CRISIS-OPPORTUNITY 07: Make your capabilities future-robust! | Dr. Pero Mićić | 00:06:12 | |
Your opportunities in the crisis: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/solutions/corona-crisis/ How much will your current capabilities be worth in the future? Who will pay how much for your capabilities, for your skills? I mean you personally and I mean the capabilities of your company. Many companies are very good at doing things today that will not be needed anymore in the future. Yours too? The crisis accelerates the change. And it will make some of your skills obsolete faster than you can imagine or would like. You will find advice in the podcast. ==================================== Video: https://youtu.be/snw9Q_rzc-U 4 SCENARIOS ON THE FUTURE OF THE CORONA-CRISIS https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/solutions/corona-crisis/ THE 5 FUTURES GLASSES and THE ELVTILLE MODEL https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/solutions/eltville-model/ Playlist with more videos on opportunities: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PL4WJXwKk4nxqTaetg6UjuXodNwzy9Ti4M =================================== Inspire your customers, partners and team members with a keynote by Dr. Pero Mićić at your event: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/speeches/dr-pero-micic-speaker-en/ PROFILES AND WEBSITES MEDIA AND RESOURCES EVENTS AND SOLUTIONS #Corona-Crisis #Corona-Opportunities #OpportunitiesInTheCrisis | |||
| 08 Apr 2020 | What you need to learn for your future! | Dr. Pero Mićić | 00:04:00 | |
When everything changes so quickly, what do you and your children and grandchildren need to learn and study today to be prepared for the future? Here's your answer in this podcast (Video at https://youtu.be/x7uRDmpRkYI)! ======================= Inspire your customers, partners and team members with a keynote by Dr. Pero Mićić at your event: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/speeches/dr-pero-micic-speaker-en/ | |||
| 23 Jun 2023 | How intelligent will AI become? What should we expect? | 00:14:22 | |
ChatGPT scored a '2' (or B) in the Bavarian high school diploma. Which is considered to be the hardest in Germany. Just three months ago, it had failed. How good will AI become in the foreseeable future? You'll get my assessment here. On this channel, I advise you on how to future-proof yourself and your business. Feel free to ask your questions on strategies for the future in the comments. Website: www.FutureManagementGroup.com Prof. Dr. Pero Mićić is the founder (1991) and CEO of FutureManagementGroup AG and is professor for foresight and strategy at Steinbeis University (part time). THE FUTURE OF YOUR BUSINESS ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ Make your business future-proof. Make it a "Bright Future Business" with us. These are the 8 features of a future-proof business which you can achieve with our program. ✔️ You sustainably improve the quality of life for many people. ✔️ You are working on great viable future opportunities. ✔️ Many customers like to buy a lot and at profitable prices. ✔️ Excellent employees like to come, stay and like to perform. ✔️ Your productivity is at the top of the industry. ✔️ Your competitors have a hard time copying you. ✔️ You are hedged against technological and strategic disruption. ✔️ Your company is a joy to shareholders.
► Keynote by Dr. Pero Mićić at your event: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/speeches/dr-pero-micic-speaker-en/ ► Free Video Crash Course: THE FUTURE OF YOUR BUSINESS ► Find and develop NEW BUSINESS: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/solutions/new-business-program_01/ ► Play BUSINESS WARGAMES: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/solutions/wargames/ PROFILES AND WEBSITES ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ ► Wikipedia Pero Mićić: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pero_Mi%C4%87i%C4%87 ► Website Pero Mićić and FutureManagementGroup AG: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/ ► Linkedin-Profile: https://www.linkedin.com/in/peromicic/ ► Facebook-Profile: https://www.facebook.com/pero.micic ► Linkedin FutureManagementGroup AG: https://www.linkedin.com/company/1185372 ► Facebook FutureManagementGroup AG: https://www.facebook.com/FutureManagementGroup/ MEDIA AND RESOURCES ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ ► Podcast on iTunes: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/leaders-foresight-dr-pero-mi%C4%87i%C4%87/id1474339238 ► Podcast on Google: https://podcasts.google.com/?feed=aHR0cHM6Ly9sZWFkZXJzZm9yZXNpZ2h0LWVuLmxpYnN5bi5jb20vcnNz&ved=0CBQQ27cFahcKEwjQr4nN5vTpAhUAAAAAHQAAAAAQBQ ► Podcast on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4Ix8nEl2Vd07NSlRF8gA6x ► Books: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/publications/books/ | |||
| 10 Feb 2020 | Vision: Recognize diseases before they break out | Universal Diagnostic Chips | Dr. Pero Mićić | 00:06:14 | |
Let's face it. How often do you go to your physician or clinic for a checkup? Although you know that the earlier a disease is detected, the easier and more likely it is to be cured, you go to the check-up far too rarely. Why? Because it is tedious. Will there be any change in the future? Imagine that in the future you would no longer have to go to the doctor or clinic for a health checkup and then wait several days for the results. In the future, wearable sensors will monitor us 24 hours a day, 7 days a week - and deliver faster and more precise diagnoses. Pathogens in the body will be detected even before the disease has broken out. Watch video: https://youtu.be/HmkbOIGhkT4 ========== Inspire your customers, partners and team members with a keynote by Dr. Pero Mićić at your event: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/speeches/dr-pero-micic-speaker-en/ PROFILES AND WEBSITES ► Wikipedia Pero Mićić: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pero_Mi%C4%87i%C4%87 ► Website Pero Mićić and FutureManagementGroup AG: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/ ► Linkedin-Profile: https://www.linkedin.com/in/peromicic/ ► Facebook-Profile: https://www.facebook.com/pero.micic ► Linkedin FutureManagementGroup AG: https://www.linkedin.com/company/1185372 ► Facebook FutureManagementGroup AG: https://www.facebook.com/FutureManagementGroup/ MEDIA AND RESOURCES ► Podcast on iTunes: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/leaders-foresight-dr-pero-mi%C4%87i%C4%87/id1474339238 ► Podcast on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4Ix8nEl2Vd07NSlRF8gA6x ► Books: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/publications/books/ EVENTS AND SOLUTIONS ► Consulting and Coaching for your strategy: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/ #prevention #diagnostics #diseases | |||
| 09 May 2019 | Vision Creates Simplicity & Efficiency| part 4 | Dr. Pero Micic #Mission #Vision | 00:06:54 | |
FEWER TRIVIALITIES – MORE OF THE BIG PICTURE PROBLEM Why do you decide so frequently and so much? You are constantly being consulted for trivial decisions that anyone could easily make for themselves? Are you surprised and annoyed again and again about decisions and activities of your employees which are not comprehensible for you? You should actually manage the future, but because of the multitude of individual decisions you don't find the time and energy in the evenings for doing so? SOLUTION Where is your template for the daily puzzle of your employees? Use mission, positioning and vision to create an orienting template for the thousands of individual decisions that are made on a day-to-day basis. Make the few basic decisions in one big picture step. Otherwise you would have to constantly make a multitude of individual decisions. That way, build a template for the puzzle in day-to-day business. Without a template, everything takes longer and is more prone to errors. Letting someone puzzle without a template is mean. Having employees do a puzzle without a template is also mean and for you it is exhausting and expensive.. LESS COMPLICATEDNESS – MORE SIMPLICITY PROBLEM Again and again, though well-intentioned, employees keep implementing their own systems, processes, projects, methods and tools? This makes your business model more complicated? Are you barely able to understand and assess the purpose and benefits of some ongoing activities? Do you have the feeling that your company could be simpler and more powerful?? SOLUTION What is indisputably important to you and what is not? Clearly determine the essentials and sort out the unimportant. Otherwise, each employee will develop his or her own priorities and goals. And consequently - with the best of intentions - their own means. Determine with the elements of a mission, the building blocks of your positioning and the components of your vision what you are not willing to discuss until further notice. Specify which effects even the smallest component of your business model serves. Justify your priorities with rational but also emotional arguments. LESS CHAOS – MORE PRODUCTIVE AGILITY PROBLEM Why does your agile work not work well? The promising concept of agile work too often leads to chaos instead of efficiency? Agility sometimes seems like an excuse for unwillingness or inability to act systematically and purposefully? You have an inner conflict because you would like to give your employees more freedom, however, you keep having a justified need to create order? SOLUTION An agile team needs a vision of desired result, a clear mission that bundles attention and the aligns the actions. Otherwise agile work will not work. What is the supposed effect of the project ? Why is it being done? To whom shall it deliver what benefits? What exactly does the desired result and product of the project look like? What is true for a single project is even more valid for your entire company. If the strategic orientation is described and visualized with your picture of your future consisting of mission, positioning and vision, you can confidently grant the freedom which is the second most important prerequisite for agile work.. You can turn your mission, positioning and vision, your future-strategy into the most profitable investment ever. SIMPLICITY & EFFICIENCY Fewer trivialities - more of the big picture Less complicatedness – more simplicity Less chaos - more productive agility | |||
| 08 Jul 2020 | Are Electric Cars Really the Future? (All Pros and Cons!) | Dr. Pero Mićić | 00:12:13 | |
Full text and sources: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/electric-cars-really-the-future/ Will electric cars really dominate? Are electric cars really the future? If you want to have a competent voice on these questions, this is THE video for you. I’ll give you all the key arguments. And at the end, I’ll tell you what I think about this. Here we are talking about combustion engines, i.e. diesel and gasoline passenger cars and battery electric cars. We will deal with hydrogen fuel cell vehicles in one of the next issues. Video: https://youtu.be/bd5NZDZBqNM ==================================== THE 5 FUTURES GLASSES and THE ELVTILLE MODEL https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/solutions/eltville-model/ Playlist with videos on opportunities: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PL4WJXwKk4nxqTaetg6UjuXodNwzy9Ti4M ==================================== Inspire your customers, partners and team members with a keynote by Dr. Pero Mićić at your event: https://www.futuremanagementgroup.com/en/speeches/dr-pero-micic-speaker-en/ PROFILES AND WEBSITES MEDIA AND RESOURCES EVENTS AND SOLUTIONS #electriccars #electricvehicles #tesla | |||
| 24 Dec 2018 | Will and may we tinker with our genes? | 00:06:38 | |
Will and may we tinker with our genes? The respected journal "Science" has chosen a biochemical process as its breakthrough of the year: CRISPR/Cas9. It enables a relatively simple, fast and cost-effective modification of genes. CRISPR/Cas9 promises to revolutionize medicine and biotechnology. Like with scissors, a specific sequence of DNA can be cut out. Gene segments can then be removed, modified, switched off, exchanged for another DNA-sequence. It is a kind of 'biological word processing program' with which humans can 'edit' their existence and that of their environment. A truly powerful tool. A continuation of evolution by other means, so to speak. The fact that humankind is on the cusp of taking evolution into their own hands instead of being its plaything, fuels hope and even fantasies of omnipotence among some and fears among many others. After all, the process not only has effects on living beings, but also on complete ecosystems. And in the case of humans, on their identity, their values and their social structures. It is highly likely that changes in the human germ line will continue to be handled very restrictively in the future, partly because changes are passed on. But it is no longer a taboo. In Great Britain, scientists are allowed to modify the genetic make-up of human embryos - albeit only for research purposes, so far. And Chinese scientists have already performed genetic manipulations on embryos to test whether it is possible to eradicate a genetic disease in which too little haemoglobin is produced, i.e. the pigments of the red blood cells. However, this is all still pretty far away from clinical application. There are many fears: They range from the danger of abuse by a self-optimizing and empowering super elite to the extinction of humankind by 'mutants' who overpower us. It does make sense to think of such extreme scenarios. But they also have a disproportionate effect in a world in which millions of people die every year from the consequences of alcohol and tobacco consumption or from car accidents because they are allowed to take unreasonable risks and act This is exactly what responsibility means here: taking risks consciously and sensibly. But it also implies an obligation to seize opportunities. And they are immense and numerous. Imagine the future when CRISPR/Cas9 is mature:
It has always been humankinds's goal to improve themselves and their living conditions. To this end we use science and technology and in doing so we always crossed borders. In a way, this is also an emancipation from an often threatening or even deadly natural environment. This can be criticized as human arrogance and a never-ending mania for optimization. But please do not overlook the fact that we live in a much better world today than we did 100 years ago. Thanks to progress in science and technology. It is hard to imagine how burdensome and short our lives would still be if we hadn't taken advantage of earlier opportunities. Gene editing is another technology that outright forces us to make decisions. It forces us to be sovereign designers of our future - even if it means to decide to use these technologie deliberately only to a limited extent or even not at all. But perhaps we will decide to use it not only in the fight against disease, but also as an enhancement technology to improve our physical and cognitive capabilities and lead a healthier and longer life. These are strong needs that some people are already today spending a lot of money on satisfying them. Those who have the money. Wouldn't it be better if these opportunities were available to virtually everyone? With CRISPR/Cas9 and similar techniques, we can put an end to fateful diseases, make our land pesticide-free and much more. These prospects alone make it worth leading the discussion about genetic technologies not hysterically and not dogmatically, but to consider all the arguments, including the huge benefits. The real challenge lies in the fact that we can never completely master complex systems. We simply cannot be absolutely sure what tampering with our genes will cause. But we were never really sure about all the consequences of our progress. And yet we enjoy a higher quality of life than ever before. If, however, we were to prohibit gene editing altogether, we would actually also have to prohibit most medicines and surgeries on the same principle. Now what? Take a closer look. Perhaps you are working in an industry that has not yet realized that and how white, green or red genetic engineering can better solve its customers' problems and fulfill their wishes. For the benefit of your customers, your company and - what es most important - the benefit of humankind. In the end - as so often - the advantages should be very welcome and the dangers largely controllable.
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